Try the model
WSU

Washington State 41 at Wyoming 19

WYO
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · War Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDSAFETYTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:07 · Oscar Draguicevich punt for 53 yds , Austin Conway returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 22 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Wyom 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Home team on offense+3.3Pregame prior−5.7Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:07: Avante' Cox run for 23 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +12.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:48: Cooper Rothe 30 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +8.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:51: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +14.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:55: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 7 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +23.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:50: Max Borghi run for 14 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 9:57WSU 4th & 7 at WYO 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:56WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:42WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:35WYO 4th & 11 at WSU 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    39.7%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:37WSU 4th & 6 at WYO 24, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:37WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:07WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:53WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:03WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:48WYO 4th & 4 at WSU 13, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.4%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−9.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:48WSU 4th & 6 at WYO 40, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    37.6%−1.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−2.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:43WYO 4th & 17 at WYO 4, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−8.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:52WYO 4th & 20 at WYO 20, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−3.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:50WYO 4th & 11 at WYO 24, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:29WSU 4th & 1 at WYO 35, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−1.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:38WSU 4th & 5 at WYO 28, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:28WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:23WYO Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:07WYO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:51WSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:55WSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−1.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:50WSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:44WSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 5:0360% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
40.3%
James Williams run for 8 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
40.3%
James Williams run for 13 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
40.3%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+9
40.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 9 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+36
40.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 36 yds to the Wyom 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
40.3%
Minshew,Gardner pass incomplete to Williams, James, PENALTY WSU holding 10 yards to the WY16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
+2
40.3%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+5
40.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 5 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
41.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 2 yds to the Wyom 7Similar
Q1 9:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
41.6%
Blake Mazza 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 2:0142% → 43%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
41.6%
EVANS, Nico rush for 1 yard to the WY26 (Begg, Nick), PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the WY15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
41.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
41.6%
Nico Evans run for 3 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
41.6%
Nico Evans run for no gain to the Wyom 23Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
42.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Nico EvansSimilar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+3
42.6%
Tim Zaleski punt for 43 yds , Kyle Sweet returns for 3 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 4:1458% → 62%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
42.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 6 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-5
41.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+15
42.1%
WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
41.5%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
41.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
41.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 9
OPP 46
+15
42.1%
WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
41.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 4 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+6
41.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 6 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
41.3%
Borghi, Max rush for 17 yards to the WY4 (WINGARD, Andrew), PENALTY WSU holding off-setting, PENALTY WY personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+18
41.3%
James Williams run for 18 yds to the Wyom 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
41.3%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 2Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:4639% → 38%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.3%
Nico Evans run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
39.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
37.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-2
37.5%
Tim Zaleski punt for 47 yds , Kyle Sweet returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5SF
5 plays · -24 yds · 0:5761% → 61%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
38.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
38.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Travell Harris for 4 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
38.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop Winston, broken up by Tyler HallSimilar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 6
OWN 28
-28
39.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 28 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OWN 20
-5
39.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
39.6%
Nico Evans run for 7 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 3
OPP 38
-3
39.7%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
39.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Ayden Eberhardt, broken up by Sean Harper Jr.Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 6
OPP 41
-5
38.7%
ZALESKI, Tim punt 33 yards to the WSU8, fair catch by Sweet, Kyle, PENALTY WY illegal formation 5 yards to the WSU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
38.2%
Tim Zaleski punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
38.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for a loss of 1 yard Max Borghi fumbled, forced by Garrett Crall, recovered by Wyom Garrett CrallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:2940% → 49%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
40.4%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+8
40.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 8 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+7
39.6%
Nico Evans run for 7 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
40.4%
Nico Evans run for 8 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+8
48.5%
Nico Evans run for 8 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:4656% → 60%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
44.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
43.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+31
44.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 31 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
42.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Keith Harrington for 3 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+9
42.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 9 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
41.4%
Keith Harrington run for 2 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+2
41.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Keith Harrington for 2 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
41.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
40.5%
Blake Mazza 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.7%
Nico Evans run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Avante' Cox for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
42.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+29
41.6%
Tim Zaleski punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WYOMING 36 WYOMING Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
38.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
39.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
39.7%
Gardner Minshew pass intercepted Antonio Hull return for no gain to the Wyom 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:3644% → 57%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
44.0%
Austin Conway run for 9 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+7
44.8%
Nico Evans run for 7 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
44.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to James Price for 15 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
57.1%
Avante' Cox run for 23 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
55.0%
James Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
55.3%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
56.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-2
56.8%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 53 yds , Austin Conway returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 22 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Wyom 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0056% → 57%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
55.5%
Nico Evans run for 7 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
56.8%
Nico Evans run for 5 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
56.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass intercepted Marcus Strong return for no gain to the WshSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
57.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire Calvin, broken up by Tyler HallSimilar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+5
57.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 5 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 5
OWN 10
0
57.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 5
OWN 10
+9
58.2%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 60 yds , Austin Conway returns for 9 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:5656% → 53%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
56.1%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 4 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+8
57.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 8 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
57.5%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-5
57.0%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 14
OWN 47
-4
55.0%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Will Rodgers III for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 18
OWN 43
+6
53.8%
Nico Evans run for 6 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
52.6%
Tim Zaleski punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 6:1253% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
53.3%
Nico Evans run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
53.3%
Nico Evans run for 12 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
54.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+18
54.1%
Nico Evans run for 18 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
56.5%
EVANS, Nico rush for loss of 3 yards to the WSU46 (Oguayo, Nnamdi), PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the WY47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+2
54.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 2 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 49
-3
54.0%
Jevon Bigelow run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 46
+23
52.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 23 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
57.1%
Jevon Bigelow run for 9 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+3
57.1%
Jevon Bigelow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
57.1%
Jevon Bigelow run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+8
56.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to James Price for 8 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
55.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Mason KeelerSimilar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
64.8%
Cooper Rothe 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5739% → 59%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
60.4%
Minshew,Gardner pass incomplete to Patmon, Dezmon, PENALTY WY pass interference 12 yards to the WSU42, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
59.4%
James Williams run for 14 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
57.5%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
56.9%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
57.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davontavean Martin, broken up by Marcus EppsSimilar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 1
OPP 35
-5
59.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+9
59.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 9 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
55.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 17 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
55.4%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+4
55.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 4 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
41.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
8 plays · -6 yds · 0:0047% → 44%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
46.9%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 20Similar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
46.6%
VANDER WAAL, T. pass incomplete to PRICE, James, PENALTY WSU holding 10 yards to the WY30, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
47.3%
Jevon Bigelow run for 11 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
50.6%
Jevon Bigelow run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
50.9%
Jevon Bigelow run for 3 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-12
50.0%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Willie Taylor III for a loss of 12 yards to the Wyom 19 Tyler Vander Waal fumbled, recovered by Wyom , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 32
OWN 19
+51
43.7%
Tim Zaleski punt for 41 yds , Kyle Sweet returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 18 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the WshSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:4355% → 54%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
45.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 4 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
44.0%
Keith Harrington run for 3 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+11
44.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 11 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
41.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Max BorghiSimilar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
42.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+5
44.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 5 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
42.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
46.1%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 42 yds, downed at the Wyom 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0046% → 42%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
45.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
45.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 15Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 6
OWN 15
-5
43.4%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 10Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 11
OWN 10
-2
43.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 8Similar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 13
OWN 8
-4
41.9%
WYOMING Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-4 Yards) to the Wyom 4Similar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 17
OWN 4
0
41.9%
Tim Zaleski punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the Wyom 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:3460% → 85%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
39.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 6 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+29
39.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 29 yds to the Wyom 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
38.0%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the Wyom 7Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
14.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 7 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
21.0%
Jevon Bigelow run for 7 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 3
OWN 24
0
21.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Tyree MayfieldSimilar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+6
20.6%
Jevon Bigelow run for 6 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
21.5%
Jevon Bigelow run for 1 yd to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
21.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-11
20.0%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Dominick Silvels for a loss of 11 yards to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 20
OWN 20
0
18.6%
Tim Zaleski punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kyle Sweet at the WshSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:4286% → 96%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
14.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 45Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+1
14.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 1 yd to the WshSt 46Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+13
15.1%
Minshew,Gardner pass incomplete to Winston, Easop, PENALTY WY pass interference 13 yards to the WY41, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
14.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Easop WinstonSimilar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+17
14.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 17 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
13.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 10 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
4.2%
Max Borghi run for 14 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.7%
Jevon Bigelow run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
5.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Raghib Ismail Jr.Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
5.6%
WYOMING Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
5.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Raghib Ismail Jr., broken up by Jalen ThompsonSimilar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+7
5.4%
Tim Zaleski punt for 45 yds , Kyle Sweet returns for 7 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26TD
15 plays · 62 yds · 4:1296% → 100%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
3.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for no gain to the WshSt 38Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+18
3.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 18 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
3.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
3.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+9
3.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 9 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
2.5%
Gardner Minshew run for 2 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
2.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 1
OPP 24
-1
2.2%
James Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 2
OPP 25
-5
2.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+2
2.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+23
1.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 23 yds to the Wyom 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
1.4%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the Wyom 3Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.3%
James Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
0.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:55
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Easop Winston for 7 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)
-23.1
TD · Q3 3:51
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Max Borghi for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Mazza KICK)
-14.1
TD · Q2 5:07
Avante' Cox run for 23 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com