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BGSU

Bowling Green 24 at Oregon 58

ORE
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.6ORE 95.9%Justin Herbert pass complete to JaylonRedd for 33 yds for a TD, (ZachEmerson KICK)AWAY 10 - HOME 7 · Q1 3:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:18 · Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 33 yds for a TD, (Zach Emerson KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Pregame prior+44.0Home team on offense−1.3Score differential−0.3Blowout margin−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:10: Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 6 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:47: Justin Herbert run for 2 yds for a TD, (Zach Emerson KICK) — ORE win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:07: Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 40 yds for a TD, (Zach Emerson KICK) — ORE win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. SAFETY · Q2 5:42: TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards for a SAFETY — ORE win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:06: Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for 9 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 1%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 7BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00ORE 4th & 9 at ORE 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:46BGSU 4th & 2 at ORE 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:46ORE 4th & 2 at ORE 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:18ORE 4th & 14 at BGSU 33, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:18BGSU 4th & 2 at ORE 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:47BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 43, down 11
    Close callPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:47BGSU 4th & 15 at BGSU 20, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:23BGSU 4th & 2 at ORE 12, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:37BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 42, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:30BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 45, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:54ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 39, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00ORE 4th & 5 at BGSU 17, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:36BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 26, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:48ORE 4th & 11 at ORE 31, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:00BGSU 4th & 7 at ORE 40, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:32BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 28, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:26ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 48, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:00BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 28, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 8 of 8BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:10BGSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:18ORE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:13ORE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:47ORE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:07ORE Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:47ORE Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:06BGSU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 13:37ORE Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:36ORE Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 2:53BGSU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:32ORE Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
98.1%
Herbert, Justin pass incomplete to Mitchell, D., PENALTY BGSU pass interference 3 yards to the ORE21, 1ST DOWN ORE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
98.1%
Tony Brooks-James run for 1 yd to the Oregn 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
98.1%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
98.1%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
98.1%
Blake Maimone punt for 39 yds , Marcus Milton returns for no gain to the BwGrn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:182% → 3%
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
98.0%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+8
98.0%
Jarret Doege run for 8 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
98.0%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 11
50
+10
97.8%
Andrew Clair run for 10 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
97.8%
Jarret Doege run for 2 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
97.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 11 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
97.8%
Bryson Denley run for 8 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 2
OPP 19
0
97.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
97.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+36
97.5%
Nate Needham 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
97.5%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 6 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+2
97.5%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
97.5%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
97.5%
Blake Maimone punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:343% → 4%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
97.4%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
97.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for 6 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+6
97.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 6 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
97.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 3 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
97.3%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+15
97.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 15 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
97.3%
OREGON Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Oregn 35Similar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+6
97.3%
Bryson Denley run for 6 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
97.3%
Bryson Denley run for 14 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
97.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 9 yds to the Oregn 6Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+6
95.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 6 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5296% → 96%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.9%
Travis Dye run for 9 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+37
96.0%
Justin Herbert run for 37 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
96.1%
Justin Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-2
96.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Cam McCormick for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 14
OPP 33
0
95.2%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+33
95.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 33 yds for a TD, (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 49 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
96.0%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+28
96.0%
Andrew Clair run for 28 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
95.9%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
95.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to R Hargrove for 6 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
95.8%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
95.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Jevon HollandSimilar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+6
95.9%
Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 2
OPP 32
-1
95.9%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 2:5595% → 96%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
95.1%
CJ Verdell run for 8 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+5
95.3%
CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.3%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
95.1%
CJ Verdell run for 11 yds to the OREGON 43 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
95.3%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+8
95.1%
Justin Herbert run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+6
95.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Kano Dillon for 6 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
95.4%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon Mitchell, broken up by Montre GregorySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
95.4%
CJ Verdell run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+13
95.3%
CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (12 Yards) to the BwGrn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
95.4%
CJ Verdell run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
95.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 9 yds for a TD, (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.0%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Andrew ClairSimilar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-6
95.2%
Jarret Doege sacked by Justin Hollins for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 21 Jarret Doege fumbled, recovered by Oregn Jalen Jelks , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:3595% → 96%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
95.4%
Darrian Felix run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+6
95.4%
Darrian Felix run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
95.3%
Justin Herbert run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
95.3%
Darrian Felix run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 2Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.4%
Justin Herbert run for 2 yds for a TD, (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.2%
Andrew Clair run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.0%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.1%
Bryson Denley run for no gain to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
96.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 7 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
96.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Ugochukwu AmadiSimilar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
96.1%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 12 yds, downed at the Oregn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:3096% → 98%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
96.1%
Brooks-James rush for loss of 3 yards to the ORE42 (WALDER, Roland), PENALTY BGSU face mask 15 yards to the BGSU40, 1ST DOWN ORE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
98.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 40 yds for a TD, (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12SF
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:253% → 2%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-8
97.2%
Jarret Doege sacked by Austin Faoliu and Jalen Jelks for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 18
OWN 3
0
97.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Justin HollinsSimilar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 18
OWN 3
+16
97.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 16 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 2
OWN 19
-19
98.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:5599% → 99%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 5 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-6
99.0%
Justin Herbert sacked by Roland Walder for a loss of 6 yards to the Oregn 38Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+53
99.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Tony Brooks-James for 53 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.4%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 5 yds for a TD, (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.8%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-7
99.8%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 37 yds , Jevon Holland returns for no gain to the Oregn 43 Jevon Holland fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Jerry McBride IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 43 yds · 1:330% → 1%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Rb Marlow for 12 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.8%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+9
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 9 yds to the Oregn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 7 yds to the Oregn 13Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Deric Phouthavong, broken up by Deommodore LenoirSimilar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+1
99.8%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the Oregn 12Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+3
99.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 3 yds to the Oregn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for 9 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
99.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 15 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17INT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:232% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.4%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
98.4%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+38
99.0%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted for a TD Ugochukwu Amadi return for 38 yds for a TD, (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.0%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+14
98.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 14 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
98.9%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
98.9%
Bryson Denley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-7
98.8%
Jarret Doege sacked by Ugochukwu Amadi for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q3 13:37
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
99.0%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 45 yds, downed at the Oregn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19TD
2 plays · 87 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.7%
Taj Griffin run for 4 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+83
99.8%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Taj Griffin for 83 yds for a TD, (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
99.7%
Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+3
99.8%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.8%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+12
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 12 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Troy DyeSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.8%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Rb MarlowSimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+1
99.8%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 35 yds , Ugochukwu Amadi returns for 1 yd to the Oregn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.8%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Kano DillonSimilar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+11
99.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 11 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Kano DillonSimilar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+4
99.8%
Blake Maimone punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 19 , Marcus Milton returns for 4 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+16
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 16 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 63 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23INT
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Travis Dye run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
Herbert, Justin pass incomplete to Mitchell, D. (GARTH, Fred), PENALTY BGSU holding 10 yards to the BGSU35, 1ST DOWN ORE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.9%
Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+1
99.9%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
99.9%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Travis Dye run for no gain to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 5 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Justin Herbert pass intercepted Marcus Milton return for no gain to the BwGrn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+15
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 15 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.9%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
99.9%
CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 31Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 11
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon Mitchell, broken up by Montre GregorySimilar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 11
OWN 31
+29
99.9%
Tom Snee punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the OREGON 25 OREGON Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the BwGrn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Justin HollinsSimilar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+17
99.9%
Andrew Clair run for 17 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
R Hargrove run for no gain to the Oregn 43Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to - Wayne-Prather for 3 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 27INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Justin Herbert pass intercepted Fred Garth return for no gain to the BwGrn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
100.0%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Troy Dye return for no gain to the Oregn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 29TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
99.9%
Darrian Felix run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Darrian Felix run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Darrian Felix run for no gain to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 5
OPP 33
-15
99.9%
Herbert, Justin pass complete to Redd, Jaylon for 18 yards to the BGSU15, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ORE pass interference 15 yards to the BGSU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 20
OPP 48
+48
99.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 48 yds for a TD BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Zach Emerson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
100.0%
Charles Lamar run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
Charles Lamar run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Charles Lamar run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 7:32
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Grant Tinnerman punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Darrian Felix run for 2 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Darrian Felix run for 1 yd to the Oregn 48Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Darrian FelixSimilar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Tom Snee punt for 32 yds, downed at the BwGrn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
R Hargrove run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
R Hargrove run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
R Hargrove run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+1
100.0%
Mason Lawler punt for 38 yds , Travis Dye returns for 1 yd to the Oregn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 33END OF GAME
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 9 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+6
100.0%
CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
50
+3
100.0%
CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+4
100.0%
CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:07
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 40 yds for a TD, (Zach Emerson KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q1 5:10
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 6 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)
-1.5
TD · Q2 9:47
Justin Herbert run for 2 yds for a TD, (Zach Emerson KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com