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TENN

Tennessee 13 at Vanderbilt 38

VAN
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:05 · Parker Thome punt for 54 yds, downed at the Tenn 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense+12.8Score differential+1.8Garbage-time factor+6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Pregame prior+2.1Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:38: Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 17 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +5.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:33: Kalija Lipscomb run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +9.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:51: Ryley Guay 43 yd FG GOOD — VAN win probability +4.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:48: Ty Chandler run for 75 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +10.9 pts (now 28%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:29: Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 26 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +10.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:52TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:38TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:33TENN 4th & 3 at VAN 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:23VAN 4th & 1 at TENN 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−2.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:51VAN 4th & 7 at TENN 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:34VAN 4th & 2 at TENN 2, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.4%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    69.1%−9.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:34TENN 4th & 13 at TENN 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−2.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:22VAN 4th & 22 at VAN 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−3.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:23TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:05VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 31, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:28TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:29TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:16VAN 4th & 1 at TENN 40, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:09TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 38, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:38VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:33VAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:48TENN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:29VAN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:02VAN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:33VAN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
56.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
56.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 2 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
56.7%
Parker Thome punt for 62 yds, downed at the Tenn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
56.9%
Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 8Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+7
56.9%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
56.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+12
56.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 12 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
56.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
56.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 8 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
56.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 3 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
56.7%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
56.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tim Jordan for 5 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
56.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
56.8%
Joe Doyle punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 7:0457% → 63%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
56.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 5 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+9
57.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 9 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
57.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 19 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
57.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+11
57.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 11 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-9
57.6%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Alexis Johnson Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 19
OPP 47
+14
57.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 14 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+5
57.6%
[SH], Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 4 yards to the UT29 (Abernathy,M.), PENALTY UT offside (Johnson Jr.,A.) 5 yards to the UT28, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
57.8%
Kalija Lipscomb run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+7
57.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+7
57.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 7 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
63.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 17 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.7%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
61.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete, broken up by Josh SmithSimilar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
62.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q1 1:38
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
62.6%
Joe Doyle punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 5:2163% → 74%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
62.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+5
63.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
63.8%
Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+7
63.7%
Khari Blasingame run for 7 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+6
63.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 6 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
64.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 15 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
64.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 14 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
64.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 7 yds to the Tenn 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+4
64.1%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 4 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.7%
Kalija Lipscomb run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, broken up by Alim MuhammadSimilar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
70.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, broken up by Josh SmithSimilar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
70.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 10 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
70.3%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
69.8%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
69.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 5 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
69.8%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 46Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
70.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jordan Murphy for 6 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+1
69.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 1 yd to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
69.9%
Joe Doyle punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 5:3275% → 83%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
74.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 7 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-1
74.6%
Khari Blasingame run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+21
73.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 21 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
75.4%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+9
75.4%
Kyle Shurmur run for 9 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
75.5%
Kalija Lipscomb run for 4 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+4
75.5%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+1
74.9%
Kyle Shurmur run for 1 yd to the Tenn 31Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+3
74.2%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-8
75.6%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Darrell Taylor for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 18
OPP 36
+11
78.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 11 yds to the Tenn 25 TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
77.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Khari Blasingame, broken up by Kyle PhillipsSimilar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
82.7%
Ryley Guay 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
81.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 16 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
79.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
80.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ty ChandlerSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+28
80.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass intercepted for a 1ST down Frank Coppet return for 13 yds to the VANDERBILT 46 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
82.3%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Alexis Johnson Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
72.1%
Ty Chandler run for 75 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11MISSED FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 5:1474% → 76%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.5%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
73.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 7 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
73.7%
Kalija Lipscomb run for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 29Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+41
73.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 41 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
75.3%
Khari Blasingame run for no gain to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
75.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+21
76.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 21 yds to the Tenn 9 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
77.1%
Khari Blasingame run for 7 yds to the Tenn 2Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
77.1%
Khari Blasingame run for no gain to the Tenn 2Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q3 9:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
76.2%
Ryley Guay 20 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
75.6%
Tim Jordan run for 19 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-8
74.1%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Josh Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+5
76.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jordan Murphy for 5 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
76.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
77.2%
Joe Doyle punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0079% → 75%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
78.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for no gain to the Vandy 39 VANDERBILT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kalija Lipscomb) to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 25
OWN 24
+3
76.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jamauri Wakefield for 3 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 22
OWN 27
0
75.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for no gain to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 22
OWN 27
+25
75.3%
Parker Thome punt for 50 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 25 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0025% → 21%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
75.5%
Jarrett Guarantano run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 14
OWN 44
0
77.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jordan Murphy, broken up by Joejuan WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 14
OWN 44
-5
78.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, delay of game (Jarrett Guarantano) to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 19
OWN 39
+8
78.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 8 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
78.9%
Joe Doyle punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
78.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 13 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
79.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 1 yd to the Vandy 23Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 9
OWN 23
-2
79.0%
Jamauri Wakefield run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 21Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+10
77.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 10 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
78.4%
Parker Thome punt for 54 yds, downed at the Tenn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0020% → 17%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
80.5%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
80.6%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 17Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
81.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer, broken up by Alim MuhammadSimilar
Q3 1:28
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
82.6%
Joe Doyle punt for 31 yds, downed at the Tenn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 0:3385% → 95%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
84.9%
Khari Blasingame run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+23
84.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 23 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
94.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 26 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, broken up by LaDarius WileySimilar
Q4 14:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q4 14:29
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Joe Doyle punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 4:2596% → 99%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
95.7%
Khari Blasingame run for 14 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
95.9%
Kalija Lipscomb run for 9 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
95.9%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
95.9%
Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+13
95.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 13 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
95.9%
Khari Blasingame run for 21 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.9%
Khari Blasingame run for no gain to the Tenn 1Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:311% → 5%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings, broken up by Allan GeorgeSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+58
98.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 43 yds to the VANDERBILT 32 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, roughing passer (Cameron Tidd) to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
94.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 17 yds for a TD VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21TD
12 plays · 49 yds · 5:5897% → 100%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
97.3%
Khari Blasingame run for no gain to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
97.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 9 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
97.2%
Kyle Shurmur run for no gain to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+4
98.9%
Kyle Shurmur run for 4 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Chris Pierce for 7 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
99.0%
Khari Blasingame run for no gain to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+12
99.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 12 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Sam DobbsSimilar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+15
99.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 15 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Cody Markel for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:241% → 1%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings, broken up by Allan GeorgeSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.4%
Chryst,K. pass incomplete to London,M., QB hurry by Caleb Peart, PENALTY VANDY pass interference (Jordan Griffin) 13 yards to the UT38, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-Anderson, broken up by Dimitri MooreSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q4 2:09
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Joe Doyle punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
99.8%
Donaven Tennyson run for 8 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
Khari Blasingame run for 2 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:48
Ty Chandler run for 75 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
-10.9
TD · Q4 14:29
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 26 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q2 10:33
Kalija Lipscomb run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)
+9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com