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LSU

LSU 72 at Texas A&M 74

TA&M
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OT3OT4OT5OT6OT7TDTDTDFGFGTDTDFUMBLETDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:48 · Braden Mann punt for 56 yds , Jonathan Giles returns for 3 yds to the LSU 21 LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the LSU 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorTime remainingDefense timeoutsOffense timeouts
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OT3OT4OT5OT6OT7Play 130Home team on offense+11.7Pregame prior+3.4Garbage-time factor+8.5Time remaining−0.1Defense timeouts+0.0Offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 0:00: Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 19 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +51.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · OT2 0:00: Nick Brossette run for 3 yds for a TD Nick Brossette run for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK) — LSU win probability +36.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · OT3 0:00: Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 25 yds for a TD (Kellen Mond pass to Kendrick Rogers for Two-Point Conversion) — TA&M win probability +49.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · OT5 0:00: Clyde Edwards-Helaire pass complete to Tory Carter for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — LSU win probability +35.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Overtime period 5).
  5. TD · OT7 0:00: Joe Burrow run for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — LSU win probability +35.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Overtime period 7).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 8 of 8LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 14:01LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:05TA&M 4th & 21 at TA&M 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:59LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:30LSU 4th & 22 at TA&M 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−1.9
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:52TA&M 4th & 7 at LSU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−5.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00LSU 4th & 9 at TA&M 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:57TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:16TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−2.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:26LSU 4th & 14 at LSU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−4.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:48TA&M 4th & 16 at TA&M 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−4.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:24LSU 4th & 12 at LSU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−2.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:41TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−7.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:32TA&M 4th & 5 at LSU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−4.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−6.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:29LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:15TA&M 4th & 18 at TA&M 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:31TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:48LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:31TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:42LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:33TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:41LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:00TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−7.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4436% → 36%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
64.1%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Lanard Fournette for 9 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-2
64.1%
Nick Brossette run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 14:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
64.1%
Joe Burrow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
64.1%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:3064% → 64%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
64.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-3
64.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 22Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 9
OWN 22
-12
63.9%
Kellen Mond sacked by Devin White for a loss of 12 yards to the TexAM 10Similar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 21
OWN 10
0
63.8%
Braden Mann punt for 53 yds, downed at the LSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5936% → 36%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
63.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 9 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-2
63.6%
Nick Brossette run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 44Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
63.5%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
63.8%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
10 plays · 95 yds · 4:1464% → 67%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
63.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 8Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+6
63.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 6 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+7
63.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
63.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 7 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+13
63.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 13 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
64.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+39
64.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 24 yds to the TEXASAM 35 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
64.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 9 yds to the LSU 11Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+1
64.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 1 yd to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
67.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 10 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:2734% → 39%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
66.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Dee Anderson for 8 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
66.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 1 yd to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
66.5%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 3 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
66.5%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+10
66.4%
Joe Burrow run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
66.1%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 45Similar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 5
OPP 45
-3
66.2%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+11
66.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 11 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
66.2%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
66.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Nick Brossette for 5 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+7
66.6%
Joe Burrow run for 7 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
66.1%
Nick Brossette run for 3 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
60.7%
Joe Burrow run for 22 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1064% → 70%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
63.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 20 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
65.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
65.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
Q2 14:34
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+13
64.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 13 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
65.4%
Kellen Mond run for 20 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
65.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
66.0%
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds to the LSU 11Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+1
64.5%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
65.2%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 12Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
65.2%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
70.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 10 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7MISSED FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 4:5331% → 28%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
69.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 13 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
68.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 14 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
67.7%
Joe Burrow run for 5 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
67.6%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr ChaseSimilar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 5
OPP 43
-5
68.2%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 48Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+10
69.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 10 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
68.4%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Lanard Fournette for 19 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
67.1%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 24Similar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 15
OPP 24
-9
68.1%
Joe Burrow sacked by Daylon Mack for a loss of 9 yards to the TexAM 33Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 24
OPP 33
+2
68.9%
Joe Burrow run for 2 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 22
OPP 31
0
70.7%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Dee AndersonSimilar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 22
OPP 31
+49
72.3%
Cole Tracy 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:2572% → 77%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
71.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 12 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
73.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-2
73.5%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+36
72.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 36 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
74.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
74.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trevor WoodSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
73.6%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the LSU 16Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
76.7%
Seth Small 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9END OF HALF
14 plays · 36 yds · 1:4723% → 26%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
76.7%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Stephen SullivanSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
77.1%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+11
77.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 11 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
75.8%
Joe Burrow run for 7 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+6
74.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 6 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
74.4%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
74.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 4 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+7
74.5%
Joe Burrow run for 7 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
73.3%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Stephen SullivanSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
73.3%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Dee AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+1
74.9%
Joe Burrow run for 1 yd to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
74.0%
Cole Tracy 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4673% → 71%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
72.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
71.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q3 13:57
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-4
70.9%
Braden Mann punt for 59 yds , Jonathan Giles returns for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11TD
15 plays · 90 yds · 6:0528% → 47%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
72.2%
Nick Brossette run for 9 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+7
71.7%
Nick Brossette run for 7 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
72.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
50
0
69.5%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Lanard FournetteSimilar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
50
+6
70.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 6 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+8
70.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 8 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
69.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Nick Brossette for 2 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
68.3%
Joe Burrow run for no gain to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+12
70.2%
Joe Burrow run for 12 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
68.0%
Nick Brossette run for 9 yds to the TexAM 13Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 1
OPP 13
0
68.0%
Nick Brossette run for no gain to the TexAM 13Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
69.7%
Joe Burrow run for 2 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
68.1%
Nick Brossette run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 12Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+5
68.6%
Joe Burrow run for 5 yds to the TexAM 7Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
53.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 7 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2061% → 58%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
60.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
58.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
57.7%
Braden Mann punt for 46 yds , Jonathan Giles returns for no gain to the LSU 29 Jonathan Giles fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13TD
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:2966% → 80%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
65.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+6
65.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
65.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
65.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+8
64.2%
Kellen Mond run for 8 yds to the LSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
65.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 5Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
65.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 1Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3525% → 21%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-8
74.8%
Joe Burrow sacked by Debione Renfro for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 18Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 18
OWN 18
+7
75.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 7 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 11
OWN 25
-3
78.0%
Joe Burrow sacked by Tyree Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 22Similar
Q3 1:26
4TH & 14
OWN 22
+53
79.1%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 53 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2682% → 81%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
82.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 25Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
82.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron BuckleySimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-7
82.4%
Kellen Mond sacked by Rashard Lawrence for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 18Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 16
OWN 18
+3
81.3%
Braden Mann punt for 56 yds , Jonathan Giles returns for 3 yds to the LSU 21 LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the LSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:1123% → 18%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
77.5%
Nick Brossette run for 16 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
76.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 11 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
77.3%
Nick Brossette run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 6
50
-3
76.3%
Joe Burrow sacked by Daylon Mack for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 47Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 9
OWN 47
-3
79.2%
Joe Burrow sacked by Otaro Alaka for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 44Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 12
OWN 44
+22
81.8%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TEXASAM 19 LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the TexAM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:5685% → 66%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
85.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+4
86.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+18
86.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Cullen Gillaspia for 18 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+58
65.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for a loss of 2 yards for a TD Trayveon Williams fumbled, recovered by LSU Michael Divinity Jr. , return for 58 yds (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2060% → 57%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
60.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 19Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
59.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+5
57.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
56.5%
Braden Mann punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Giles at the LSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:4445% → 83%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+46
54.6%
Lanard Fournette run for 46 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
47.2%
Nick Brossette run for 9 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+7
45.5%
Nick Brossette run for 7 yds to the TexAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
16.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 14 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 41 yds · 3:5625% → 21%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
24.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 7 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
25.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
23.2%
Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+8
24.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 8 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
25.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
24.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 9 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
28.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
27.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 5 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
28.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
26.7%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the LSU 37Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+3
21.3%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the LSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:5890% → 94%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
10.5%
Nick Brossette run for 1 yd to the LSU 35Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
9.7%
Joe Burrow run for 5 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 4
OWN 40
-1
9.1%
Joe Burrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 39Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
5.7%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
12 plays · 78 yds · 1:2311% → 67%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
11.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron BuckleySimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
10.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+12
10.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 12 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
10.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 13 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
10.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-8
9.8%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 39 Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 18
OWN 39
0
8.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 18
OWN 39
+20
8.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 20 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
12.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+22
11.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 22 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
66.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 19 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23FG
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0060% → 71%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
40.5%
Justin Jefferson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
40.5%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Foster MoreauSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-5
43.1%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 27Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
-5
44.9%
Joe Burrow sacked by Otaro Alaka for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 32Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 17
OPP 32
+50
28.9%
Cole Tracy 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0041% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
41.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
35.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 12 yds to the LSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
41.3%
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds to the LSU 4Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+3
41.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
42.1%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 3Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
41.3%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 6Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
37.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
58.8%
Seth Small 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 82%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+17
64.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 17 yds to the LSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
64.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 3Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.3%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 52%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
80.4%
Joe Burrow run for 6 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+8
79.3%
Joe Burrow run for 8 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
80.4%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr ChaseSimilar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
80.4%
Joe Burrow run for 6 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+2
84.0%
Joe Burrow run for 2 yds to the TexAM 3Similar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
48.0%
Nick Brossette run for 3 yds for a TD Nick Brossette run for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 27TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
OT3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
13.1%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Dee Anderson for 25 yds for a TD (Joe Burrow pass to Justin Jefferson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 28TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0015% → 65%
OT3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
15.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
OT3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
64.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 25 yds for a TD (Kellen Mond pass to Kendrick Rogers for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 29FG
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
64.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 10 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
64.7%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 16Similar
OT4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+8
64.5%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Ausbon, Jhamon, PENALTY LSU personal foul 8 yards to the LSU8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
OT4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
64.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 4Similar
OT4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
64.7%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the LSU 4Similar
OT4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
62.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
OT4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
79.4%
Seth Small 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 30FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0029% → 49%
OT4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
70.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 17 yds to the TexAM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
70.9%
Lanard Fournette run for 2 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
OT4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
70.9%
Joe Burrow run for no gain to the TexAM 6Similar
OT4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
76.4%
Joe Burrow run for 3 yds to the TexAM 3Similar
OT4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
81.5%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 8Similar
OT4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
51.5%
Cole Tracy 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 31TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0012% → 48%
OT5 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
87.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Tory Carter for 12 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT5 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
87.6%
Nick Brossette run for 2 yds to the TexAM 11Similar
OT5 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
52.4%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire pass complete to Tory Carter for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 32TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0082% → 93%
OT5 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+21
82.1%
Kellen Mond run for 21 yds to the LSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT5 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
82.1%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 5Similar
OT5 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
82.1%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 6Similar
OT5 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
80.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
OT5 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 33TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
OT6 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
98.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 25 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 34TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:002% → 12%
OT6 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
98.4%
Joe Burrow run for 8 yds to the TexAM 17Similar
OT6 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
-4
98.2%
Nick Brossette run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 21Similar
OT6 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+17
98.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 17 yds to the TexAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT6 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
87.6%
Joe Burrow run for 4 yds for a TD (Joe Burrow pass to Dee Anderson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 35TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0012% → 48%
OT7 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
87.6%
Burrow, Joe pass incomplete to Anderson, Dee, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference 15 yards to the TEXASAM10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
OT7 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
52.4%
Joe Burrow run for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 36TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0082% → 98%
OT7 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
82.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 13 yds to the LSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT7 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
82.1%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 17Similar
OT7 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
77.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
OT7 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 17
+17
97.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 17 yds for a TD Timeout TEXAS A&M, clock 00:00 LSU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (2 Yards) to the LSU 1 LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the LSU 1 TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the LSU 5 (Kellen Mond pass to Kendrick Rogers for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
OT7 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.9%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (2 Yards) to the LSU 1Similar
OT7 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.9%
LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the LSU 1Similar
OT7 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
97.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the LSU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 19 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+51.4
TD · OT3 0:00
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 25 yds for a TD (Kellen Mond pass to Kendrick Rogers for Two-Point Conversion)
+49.4
TD · OT2 0:00
Nick Brossette run for 3 yds for a TD Nick Brossette run for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)
-36.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com