Try the model
ARK

Arkansas 0 at Missouri 38

MIZ
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2018 · Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadARK aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreARK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.1MIZ 99.8%Tucker McCann 42 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 38 · Q3 1:48
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:48 · Tucker McCann 42 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+16.6Home team on offense+31.7Score differential+27.9Blowout margin+14.2Garbage-time factor+10.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:11: Drew Lock run for 3 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. SACK · Q2 12:33: Ty Storey sacked by Jordan Elliott for a loss of 10 yards Ty Storey fumbled, recovered by Misso Akial Byers , return for 0 yards for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +2.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 5:21: Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 43 — MIZ win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:39: Tyler Badie run for 32 yds to the Ark 11 for a 1ST down — MIZ win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:35: Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 6 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 9ARK made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 10:47ARK 4th & 1 at ARK 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:57MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:14ARK 4th & 26 at ARK 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:48MIZ 4th & 2 at ARK 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.6%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:33ARK 4th & 9 at ARK 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:37MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 39, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:26ARK 4th & 5 at MIZ 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:21MIZ 4th & 2 at ARK 3, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:51ARK 4th & 6 at ARK 7, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00ARK 4th & 3 at ARK 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:42ARK 4th & 4 at MIZ 4, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:13ARK 4th & 5 at MIZ 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:21MIZ 4th & 1 at ARK 31, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:48MIZ 4th & 18 at ARK 24, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:48ARK 4th & 10 at ARK 25, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00MIZ 4th & 15 at ARK 49, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:38ARK 4th & 7 at ARK 29, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:12MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 24, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:15ARK 4th & 9 at ARK 48, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:03MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 24, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:26ARK 4th & 3 at ARK 45, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:54MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:11MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:35MIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:19MIZ Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0694% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 6 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
93.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
93.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
93.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
93.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
93.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 11 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
93.8%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Ark 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
93.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+4
93.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 4 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+18
93.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 18 yds to the Ark 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
93.3%
Drew Lock run for 9 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
93.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 3 yds to the Ark 23Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
93.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 28Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
93.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 29Similar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+41
93.2%
Reid Bauer punt for 41 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
92.9%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 28Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+8
92.9%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+2
92.9%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
92.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 44 yds, downed at the Ark 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
92.6%
De'Vion Warren run for 10 yds to the Ark 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
92.6%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 26Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
92.6%
Ty Storey pass incomplete, broken up by Brandon LeeSimilar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 12
OWN 26
-9
92.7%
Ty Storey sacked by Jordan Elliott for a loss of 9 yards to the Ark 17Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 21
OWN 17
-5
92.8%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 12Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 26
OWN 12
0
92.8%
Reid Bauer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
92.5%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
92.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+5
92.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 5 yds to the Ark 43Similar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
92.3%
Corey Fatony punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
92.1%
Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the Ark 14Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
92.1%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+5
92.2%
Ty Storey pass incomplete, PENALTY MU offside (Williams, Tre) 5 yards to the AR19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+11
92.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Deon Stewart for 11 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
92.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Deon Stewart for 42 yards to the MU28, PENALTY AR ineligible downfield on pass (Audry Horn) 5 yards to the AR25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+9
92.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 9 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
91.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Deon Stewart for 1 yd to the Ark 35Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
92.0%
Ty Storey pass intercepted Terez Hall return for no gain to the Ark 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:1892% → 94%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
91.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+4
91.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Ark 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+19
91.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 19 yds to the Ark 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
91.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
91.8%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Parker, Daniel, PENALTY AR pass interference (Michael Taylor) 3 yards to the AR2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
91.8%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 3Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.6%
Drew Lock run for 3 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -25 yds · 0:387% → 4%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
95.7%
Ty Storey sacked by Jordan Elliott for a loss of 10 yards Ty Storey fumbled, recovered by Misso Akial Byers , return for 0 yards for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.7%
Devwah Whaley run for 9 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-6
95.5%
Ty Storey run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 28 Ty Storey fumbled, recovered by Ark Ty StoreySimilar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
95.8%
Ty Storey sacked by Trajan Jeffcoat for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 26Similar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
95.8%
Reid Bauer punt for 40 yds, downed at the Misso 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
96.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 5 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
96.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall BlantonSimilar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
96.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+3
95.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 40 yds , Deon Stewart returns for 3 yds to the Ark 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11DOWNS
12 plays · 36 yds · 4:284% → 4%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
95.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 26Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-5
96.0%
Connor Noland run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 21 Connor Noland fumbled, recovered by Ark Connor NolandSimilar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+15
96.0%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to C. O'Grady, dropped pass, PENALTY MU pass interference (Holmes, Christi) 15 yards to the AR36, 1ST DOWN AR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.8%
Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Ark 36Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
95.9%
Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Ark 36Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+18
96.0%
Connor Noland pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 18 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
95.7%
Connor Noland pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 15 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
95.5%
Connor Noland pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 5 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
95.4%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to Chase HaydenSimilar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
95.6%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'Grady, broken up by Cale GarrettSimilar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 5
OPP 26
-14
96.1%
Connor Noland sacked by Terez Hall for a loss of 14 yards to the Misso 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 58 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
97.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+6
97.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 6 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+38
97.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 38 yds to the Ark 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
97.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kam ScottSimilar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
97.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 8Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+5
97.1%
Drew Lock run for 5 yds to the Ark 3Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+1
96.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Ark 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:423% → 3%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
96.8%
Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Ark 3Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
96.9%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to Jordan JonesSimilar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+4
96.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the Ark 7Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 6
OWN 7
0
96.8%
Reid Bauer punt for 36 yds, downed at the Ark 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:0498% → 99%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+32
97.7%
Tyler Badie run for 32 yds to the Ark 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
97.7%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+9
97.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 9 yds to the Ark 2Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+1
97.5%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Ark 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
97.7%
Drew Lock run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 6Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 6 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 27Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.1%
Connor Noland run for 8 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the Ark 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
98.8%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to Deon Stewart, broken up by DeMarkus AcySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Reid Bauer punt for 31 yds , Kendall Blanton returns for no gain to the Ark 47 Kendall Blanton fumbled, recovered by Ark De'Jon HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 49 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
99.3%
Connor Noland pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 17 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+26
99.3%
Devwah Whaley run for 26 yds to the Misso 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.3%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to Bumper PoolSimilar
Q3 13:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.3%
Connor Noland run for 6 yds to the Misso 4Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.2%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'GradySimilar
Q3 13:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.8%
Connor Noland pass incomplete, broken up by Cam Hilton ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18TD
9 plays · 96 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
99.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 8Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+5
99.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+6
99.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
99.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Daniel Parker for 9 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
99.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall BlantonSimilar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+67
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 67 yds for a TD ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+43
99.7%
Connor Noland pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 43 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to Michael WoodsSimilar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.7%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to Randy Ramsey, PENALTY MU offside (Elliott, Jordan) 5 yards to the MU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
99.6%
Chase Hayden run for no gain to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 5
OPP 30
-9
99.5%
Connor Noland sacked by Jordan Elliott for a loss of 9 yards to the Misso 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:33100% → 100%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+18
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 18 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Ark 35Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+3
99.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+1
99.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Ark 31Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+15
99.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 15 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.7%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Ark 16Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
99.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Ark 9Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 3
OPP 9
-15
99.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall Blanton MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kendall Blanton) to the Ark 24Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 18
OPP 24
+42
99.8%
Tucker McCann 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Connor Noland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24 Connor Noland fumbled, recovered by Ark Connor NolandSimilar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Connor Noland run for 1 yd to the Ark 25Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Reid Bauer punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:28100% → 100%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 8 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kam Scott for 4 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Ark 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-9
99.9%
Rountree, Larry rush for 1 yard to the AR41, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MU holding (Colon-Castillo,) 9 yards to the MU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Larry Rountree III, broken up by Dorian GeraldSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Ark 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Corey Fatony punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Deon Stewart at the Ark 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-4
99.9%
Connor Noland run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 11Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+15
99.9%
Connor Noland run for 15 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to Randy RamseySimilar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to Chase Hayden, broken up by Christian HolmesSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Reid Bauer punt for 53 yds, downed at the Misso 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Simi Bakare run for no gain to the Misso 18Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Barrett BanisterSimilar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Deon Stewart at the Ark 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
100.0%
Maleek Williams run for 14 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
Maleek Williams run for 6 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
99.9%
J.S. Jones run for no gain to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-5
100.0%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 48Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Connor Noland pass incomplete to La'Michael Pettway, broken up by Christian HolmesSimilar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Reid Bauer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jalen Knox at the Misso 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
100.0%
Dawson Downing run for 1 yd to the Misso 17Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+5
100.0%
Dawson Downing run for 5 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Corey Fatony punt for 38 yds, downed at the Ark 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
100.0%
Maleek Williams run for 6 yds to the Ark 44Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+1
100.0%
Maleek Williams run for 1 yd to the Ark 45Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
100.0%
De'Vion Warren run for no gain to the Ark 45Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+13
100.0%
De'Vion Warren pass complete to Matthew Phillips for 13 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SACK · Q2 12:33
Ty Storey sacked by Jordan Elliott for a loss of 10 yards Ty Storey fumbled, recovered by Misso Akial Byers , return for 0 yards for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q2 13:11
Drew Lock run for 3 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 0:35
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 6 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com