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MIZ

Missouri 50 at Tennessee 17

TENN
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFUMBLEFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:15 · Joe Doyle punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Home team on offense−2.0Score differential−0.6Pregame prior−12.3Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:39: Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 8 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann PAT BLOCKED) — MIZ win probability +8.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:15: Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 3 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +8.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:50: Ty Chandler run for 2 yds for a TD TENNESSEE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Misso 8 (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +10.6 pts (now 34%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:15: Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +12.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q3 9:15: Carlin Fils-aime run for 1 yd Carlin Fils-aime fumbled, forced by Nate Anderson, recovered by Misso Joshuah Bledsoe , return for 39 yds (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +9.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:34MIZ 4th & 9 at TENN 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:27TENN 4th & 19 at TENN 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:26MIZ 4th & 5 at TENN 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:31TENN 4th & 17 at TENN 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:15MIZ 4th & 5 at TENN 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:15TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00MIZ 4th & 18 at MIZ 39, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:36TENN 4th & 4 at MIZ 4, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−6.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:15TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 43, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:11TENN 4th & 12 at TENN 35, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:02MIZ 4th & 7 at TENN 22, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:02TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 27, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:54MIZ 4th & 4 at TENN 44, up 26
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q2 10:45TENN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:15MIZ Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:39MIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:15MIZ Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:50TENN Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:15MIZ Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:53MIZ Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:2666% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
34.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 10 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
34.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+30
34.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 30 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
34.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+8
34.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 8 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
34.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall (Alontae Taylor), PENALTY MU ineligible downfield on pass (Paul Adams) 5 yards to the UT23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+8
34.4%
Johnathon Johnson run for 8 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
34.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 12
-5
34.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Paul Adams) to the Tenn 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
34.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
35.5%
Tucker McCann 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
35.6%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 21Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-1
35.5%
Jordan Murphy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 11
OWN 20
-8
35.4%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Tyree Gillespie for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 12Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 19
OWN 12
0
35.3%
Joe Doyle punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
35.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Richaud FloydSimilar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
35.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall Blanton, broken up by Daniel BituliSimilar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+5
36.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 5 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
36.2%
Corey Fatony punt for 36 yds, downed at the Tenn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-10
36.3%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Walter Palmore for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 2Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 20
OWN 2
+2
36.1%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 4Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 18
OWN 4
+1
35.9%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 5Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 17
OWN 5
0
35.8%
Joe Doyle punt for 47 yds, downed at the Misso 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 5:2064% → 65%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
36.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
36.2%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+9
36.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 9 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
36.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall, PENALTY UT pass interference (Nigel Warrior) 15 yards to the UT23, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
36.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 4
OPP 17
-2
36.0%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 19Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+9
36.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Barrett Banister for 9 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
36.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Tenn 7Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
36.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
36.3%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
35.4%
Tucker McCann 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
36.2%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 24Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
35.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jordan MurphySimilar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
35.4%
Joe Doyle punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:1565% → 63%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
35.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 12 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
34.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
34.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall, broken up by Bryce ThompsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 48
-9
35.2%
Drew Lock sacked by Kyle Phillips for a loss of 9 yards to the Misso 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 39
+2
36.6%
Corey Fatony punt for 47 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 2 yds to the Tenn 41 MISSOURI Penalty, targeting (Tavon Ross) to the Tenn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:5037% → 47%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
36.6%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
37.3%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+41
36.2%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 41 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
39.1%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Jordan Murphy for 5 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+13
39.1%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Josh Palmer for 13 yds to the Misso 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
47.2%
Ty Chandler run for 6 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:2457% → 67%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
43.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 12 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
42.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Richaud Floyd, dropped pass, PENALTY MU ineligible downfield on pass (Nate Brown) 5 yards to the MU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+44
43.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kam Scott for 44 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
41.0%
Drew Lock run for 6 yds to the Tenn 9Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+5
41.0%
Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Tenn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
33.1%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10FG
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:3937% → 42%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+49
37.1%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 49 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
40.2%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Tim Jordan, PENALTY MU roughing passer (Walter Palmore) 8 yards to the MU8, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
40.2%
Keller Chryst run for 6 yds to the Misso 2Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
40.2%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Misso 2Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
39.0%
Keller Chryst sacked by Ronnell Perkins for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 4Similar
Q2 5:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
41.7%
Brent Cimaglia 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:5761% → 72%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
39.2%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 23Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
39.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 11 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
38.5%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
37.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
50
+9
37.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 9 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+1
37.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
37.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+18
37.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 18 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
36.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Tenn 19Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+5
36.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+3
37.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Tenn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
36.3%
Drew Lock run for 3 yds to the Tenn 8Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
28.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 8 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:3332% → 34%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+33
32.0%
Ty Chandler run for 33 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
35.5%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
35.5%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+76
33.8%
Keller Chryst pass intercepted DeMarkus Acy return for 76 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13TD
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:2973% → 85%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
26.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 2 yds to the Tenn 9Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+6
26.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 6 yds to the Tenn 3Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
15.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 3 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
20.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:0122% → 34%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+49
22.2%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 49 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
23.4%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Jordan Murphy for 6 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
23.4%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the Misso 3Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
22.8%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Ty Chandler (Terez Hall), PENALTY MU pass interference (Terez Hall) 1 yards to the MU2, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.5%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds for a TD TENNESSEE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Misso 8 (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:2972% → 86%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
28.2%
Drew Lock run for 16 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
26.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Richaud FloydSimilar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
27.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kam Scott for 4 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+21
27.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Badie for 21 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
26.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+24
26.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 24 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:0018% → 7%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.7%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
17.5%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+15
17.1%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, PENALTY MU pass interference (Jarvis Ware) 15 yards to the UT38, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+39
7.3%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 1 yd Carlin Fils-aime fumbled, forced by Nate Anderson, recovered by Misso Joshuah Bledsoe , return for 39 yds (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.9%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
6.9%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Jordan MurphySimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
6.8%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Josh Palmer for 10 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
7.2%
Ty Chandler run for 8 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 2
OWN 45
-2
7.6%
Keller Chryst run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 43 Keller Chryst fumbled, recovered by Tenn Keller ChrystSimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
7.4%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan ElliottSimilar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
7.3%
Joe Doyle punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 55 yds · 0:0095% → 96%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+20
4.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 20 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
4.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kam Scott, PENALTY UT roughing passer (Darrell Taylor) 15 yards to the MU43, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
4.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+9
4.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 9 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
4.6%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
4.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 5 yds Johnathon Johnson fumbled, forced by Baylen Buchanan, recovered by Tenn Baylen BuchananSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
4.8%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-2
4.7%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
4.6%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Jordan Murphy, broken up by DeMarkus AcySimilar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+39
4.6%
Joe Doyle punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the TENNESSEE 21 TENNESSEE Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards) to the Misso 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 6:1197% → 99%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
2.9%
PENALTY MU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY UT unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
3.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Daniel Parker for 9 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+5
3.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
3.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-5
3.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Trystan Colon-Castillo) to the Misso 42Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+16
3.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 16 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
3.0%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
2.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for no gain to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+15
2.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Badie for 15 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
2.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+1
2.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Tenn 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
2.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
0.9%
Tucker McCann 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.7%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
0.7%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Jordan MurphySimilar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
0.6%
Keller Chryst pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+2
0.6%
Joe Doyle punt for 40 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 2 yds to the Misso 29 TENNESSEE Penalty, targeting (Shanon Reid) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
50
+4
0.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
0.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
0.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
0.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.4%
Keller Chryst pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+22
0.4%
Keller Chryst pass intercepted DeMarkus Acy return for 7 yds to the Tenn 27 MISSOURI Penalty, targeting (Nate Anderson) to the Tenn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25TD
10 plays · 45 yds · 5:52100% → 100%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
0.4%
Simi Bakare run for 1 yd to the Tenn 44Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+15
0.4%
Simi Bakare run for 15 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
0.4%
Simi Bakare run for 7 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+5
0.4%
Simi Bakare run for 5 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
0.4%
Simi Bakare run for 2 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
0.4%
Simi Bakare run for 6 yds to the Tenn 9Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+1
0.4%
Simi Bakare run for 1 yd to the Tenn 8Similar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+4
0.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, offside defense (Paul Bain) to the Tenn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
0.4%
Simi Bakare run for 2 yds to the Tenn 2Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.1%
Simi Bakare run for 2 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 43 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
0.1%
Tim Jordan run for 18 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
0.1%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+22
0.1%
Ty Chandler run for 22 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:15
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)
-12.5
TD · Q3 12:50
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds for a TD TENNESSEE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Misso 8 (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+10.6
FUMBLE · Q3 9:15
Carlin Fils-aime run for 1 yd Carlin Fils-aime fumbled, forced by Nate Anderson, recovered by Misso Joshuah Bledsoe , return for 39 yds (Tucker McCann KICK)
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com