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RICE

Rice 10 at LSU 42

LSU
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:49 · Tae Provens run for 2 yds to the LSU 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:06: Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK) — RICE win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:06: Nick Brossette run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK) — LSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:01: Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 13 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK) — LSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:55: Haden Tobola 51 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +2.0 pts (now 2%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:32: Nick Brossette run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK) — LSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:06RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:07RICE 4th & 9 at LSU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:52RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:06RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:55RICE 4th & 14 at LSU 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 46, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:32RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 47, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:20LSU 4th & 7 at midfield, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 9 at LSU 41, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:00RICE 4th & 1 at LSU 15, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:06LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:52LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:06LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:01LSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:32LSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:00LSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:55RICE Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 3:4899% → 99%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 10 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 6 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+13
99.0%
Nick Brossette run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
50
0
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
50
+6
99.0%
Nick Brossette run for 6 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+16
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 16 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.0%
Nick Brossette run for 3 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+12
99.0%
Nick Brossette run for 12 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
99.0%
Joe Burrow run for 8 yds to the Rice 5Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+2
99.0%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 2 yds to the Rice 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.7%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
98.7%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
98.7%
Parker Towns sacked by Glen Logan for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+15
98.8%
Jack Fox punt for 58 yds , Jonathan Giles returns for 15 yds to the LSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
98.6%
Jontre Kirklin run for 4 yds to the LSU 35 Jontre Kirklin fumbled, forced by Dylan Silcox, recovered by Rice Prudy CalderonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4MISSED FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:262% → 2%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.5%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete, broken up by Rashard LawrenceSimilar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
98.5%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the LSU 35Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+1
98.5%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+52
98.4%
Jack Fox 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 1:1599% → 99%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
98.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 19 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
98.5%
Nick Brossette run for 9 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+38
98.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 38 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
98.6%
Shawn Stankavage run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 21Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
98.6%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the Rice 21Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+17
98.6%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 17 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
98.5%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
98.5%
Parker Towns pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-6
98.5%
Shawn Stankavage sacked by Jacob Phillips for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
98.6%
Jack Fox punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Giles at the LSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:1098% → 99%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
98.4%
Nick Brossette run for 1 yd to the LSU 22Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+17
98.4%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 17 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
98.4%
Nick Brossette run for 6 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
98.5%
Joe Burrow run for 2 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
98.3%
Nick Brossette run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
98.3%
Nick Brossette run for 3 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+16
98.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 16 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
98.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 15 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
98.4%
Nick Brossette run for 2 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+12
98.4%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Dee Anderson, PENALTY RICE pass interference (Collin Whitaker) 12 yards to the RICE2, 1ST DOWN LSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
Nick Brossette run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.8%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
98.8%
Shawn Stankavage run for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
98.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Jordan Myers for 4 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-2
98.8%
Jack Fox punt for 52 yds , Jonathan Giles returns for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 2:4599% → 100%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.8%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr ChaseSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+20
98.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 20 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
98.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 19 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 5 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
98.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 6 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.9%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Stephen SullivanSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+10
98.9%
Joe Burrow run for 10 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
98.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 16 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
98.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Derrick Dillon for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 13Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+13
99.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 13 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10FG
16 plays · 42 yds · 6:060% → 2%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Aston Walter run for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Jordan MyersSimilar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 8 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
99.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
99.5%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
99.5%
D' Angelo Ellis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+26
99.6%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to D' Angelo Ellis for 26 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
99.5%
Juma Otoviano run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 14
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 14
OPP 33
+5
99.6%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 10 yards to the LSU23 (Kary Vincent Jr.), PENALTY LSU offside (Michael Divinity Jr.) 5 yards to the LSU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-5
99.6%
Shawn Stankavage sacked by Tyler Shelvin for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+51
97.7%
Haden Tobola 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11END OF HALF
12 plays · 40 yds · 1:4398% → 99%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
98.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 17 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.6%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr., broken up by Prudy CalderonSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
98.6%
Joe Burrow pass intercepted by Brandon Douglas at the RICE42, Brandon Douglas return to the LSU44, out-of-bounds (Stephen Sullivan), PENALTY RICE offside (Anthony Ekpe) 5 yards to the LSU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+9
98.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 9 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.6%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
98.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 5 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+7
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 7 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Stephen SullivanSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-3
98.9%
Joe Burrow sacked by Blaze Alldredge for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.0%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.0%
Juma Otoviano run for 6 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
99.0%
Aston Walter run for 13 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.0%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
50
-4
99.0%
Parker Towns sacked by Devin White for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Devin WhiteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
99.1%
Jack Fox punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Giles at the LSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 1:4899% → 100%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.4%
Nick Brossette run for no gain to the LSU 10 LSU Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+18
99.4%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 18 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
99.4%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 10 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.5%
Nick Brossette run for 7 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+8
99.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 8 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+45
99.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 45 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Nick Brossette run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 10 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.7%
Aston Walter run for 12 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
99.7%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+3
99.7%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Jack Fox punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Foster MoreauSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
Lanard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+9
99.8%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Lanard Fournette for 9 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
99.8%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 16 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.8%
Lanard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
99.8%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Lanard Fournette for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 7
50
0
99.8%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Jontre KirklinSimilar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 7
50
+18
99.8%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the RICE 17 LSU Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Rice 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:490% → 0%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.8%
Aston Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+3
99.7%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
99.7%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+6
99.7%
Austin Walter rush for 1 yard to the RICE42 (Jacob Phillips;Glen Logan), PENALTY LSU offside (Neil Farrell Jr.) 6 yards to the RICE47, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to D' Angelo Ellis, broken up by Terrence AlexanderSimilar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 11 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the LSU 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the LSU 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Jack Fox punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
99.9%
Lanard Fournette run for 24 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Lanard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+39
99.9%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 39 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
Lanard Fournette run for 3 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+10
99.9%
Lanard Fournette run for 10 yds to the Rice 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Lanard Fournette run for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 8:050% → 0%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
100.0%
Juma Otoviano run for 8 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 36Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+27
100.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to D' Angelo Ellis for 27 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the LSU 37Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to D' Angelo EllisSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+13
100.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to D' Angelo Ellis for 13 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
99.9%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+4
100.0%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the LSU 15Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 4 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
100.0%
Aston Walter run for 6 yds to the LSU 5Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19END OF GAME
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
100.0%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the LSU 24Similar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 5
OWN 24
+13
100.0%
Tae Provens run for 13 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
100.0%
Tae Provens run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 33Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Tae Provens run for 2 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Tae Provens run for 2 yds to the LSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 1:55
Haden Tobola 51 yd FG GOOD
-2
TD · Q2 13:06
Nick Brossette run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q2 8:01
Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 13 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com