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LIB

Liberty 0 at Auburn 53

AUB
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:31 · Asa Martin run for 2 yds to the Liber 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 160Pregame prior+18.1Home team on offense+32.9Score differential+28.9Blowout margin+15.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.9Garbage-time factor+11.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:40: Anders Carlson 53 yd FG GOOD — LIB win probability +0.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:29: Stephen Calvert pass intercepted for a TD Darrell Williams return for 26 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:01: Jarrett Stidham run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:03: Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Sal Cannella for 22 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:19: Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 45 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 4 of 10LIB made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00LIB 4th & 4 at AUB 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:40AUB 4th & 7 at LIB 35, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:45LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:38AUB 4th & 4 at LIB 43, up 12
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:32LIB 4th & 6 at LIB 24, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:12AUB 4th & 3 at LIB 3, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00LIB 4th & 9 at LIB 19, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:01AUB 4th & 1 at LIB 1, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:01LIB 4th & 9 at AUB 44, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:42AUB 4th & 1 at LIB 35, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:04AUB 4th & 16 at LIB 31, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:19LIB 4th & 18 at LIB 17, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:25AUB 4th & 3 at LIB 18, up 39
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:25LIB 4th & 9 at LIB 21, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:09AUB 4th & 8 at LIB 43, up 46
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:29LIB 4th & 9 at LIB 9, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:31AUB 4th & 5 at LIB 9, up 53
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:16LIB 4th & 1 at LIB 36, down 53
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:07AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 49, up 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:29AUB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:01AUB Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:03AUB Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:19AUB Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:46AUB Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:13AUB Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1DOWNS
15 plays · 42 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 4 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
97.1%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
97.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 5 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.1%
Frankie Hickson run for no gain to the Liber 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.1%
Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+6
97.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 6 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
97.1%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+9
97.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 9 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
97.1%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
97.1%
Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Aub 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
97.1%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. FarrowSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+3
97.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Peytton Pickett for 3 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+6
97.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 6 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:2396% → 96%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
96.1%
Kam Martin run for 12 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
96.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 16 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
96.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chandler Cox for 3 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
96.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
96.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+53
96.0%
Anders Carlson 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:114% → 4%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Noah IgbinogheneSimilar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+26
96.4%
Stephen Calvert pass intercepted for a TD Darrell Williams return for 26 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4SF
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:444% → 4%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.4%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Jamel DeanSimilar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Marlon DavidsonSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Aidan Alves punt blocked by Jordyn Peters for a SAFETY blocked by Jordyn Peters for a SAFETY for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
96.7%
Jarrett Stidham run for 1 yd to the Liber 48Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
96.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-3
96.7%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 43 Team fumbled, recovered by Aub Jarrett StidhamSimilar
Q1 6:38
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
96.6%
Arryn Siposs punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:284% → 4%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
96.3%
Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Liber 24Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
96.3%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Jamel DeanSimilar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
96.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Noah IgbinogheneSimilar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
96.4%
Aidan Alves punt for 46 yds , Ryan Davis returns for no gain to the Aub 24 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive holding (Noah Igbinoghene) to the Aub 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7FG
13 plays · 77 yds · 4:0597% → 97%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
96.5%
Kam Martin run for 15 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
96.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
96.6%
Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+19
96.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 19 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
96.7%
Jarrett Stidham right screen pass complete to Ryan Davis for 5 yards to the LIBERTY25 (E. Benton), PENALTY LIBERTY substitution infraction 5 yards to the LIBERTY25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 5
OPP 25
+3
96.7%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the Liber 22Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+12
96.7%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 12 yds to the Liber 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
96.7%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Liber 6Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
96.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Liber 3Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.6%
Malik Miller run for no gain to the Liber 3Similar
Q1 0:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
96.5%
Anders Carlson 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:073% → 3%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
97.0%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
97.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
97.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs, broken up by Derrick BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
97.0%
Aidan Alves punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
97.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs, broken up by Derrick BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:3897% → 98%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
96.5%
Anthony Schwartz run for 1 yd to the Aub 29Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+14
96.4%
Kam Martin run for 14 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
96.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 14 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
96.6%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Liber 39Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+9
96.5%
Kam Martin run for 9 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
96.6%
Kam Martin run for 20 yds to the Liber 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
96.6%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Liber 6Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
96.6%
Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the Liber 1Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.5%
Kam Martin run for no gain to the Liber 1Similar
Q2 11:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Jarrett Stidham run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+30
97.6%
Frankie Hickson run for 30 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
97.2%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Aub 44Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
97.2%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
97.3%
Stephen Calvert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
97.3%
Aidan Alves punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the Aub 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11FG
17 plays · 55 yds · 6:3898% → 99%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
98.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 8 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 2
OWN 22
0
98.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 10 yds to the Aub 32 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive holding (Seth Williams) to the Aub 22Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+4
98.4%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Aub 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
98.4%
Kam Martin run for 8 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
98.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+5
98.4%
Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
98.4%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+13
98.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 13 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
98.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 7 yds to the Liber 37Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
98.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to JaTarvious WhitlowSimilar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
98.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+10
98.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 10 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
98.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 4 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
98.5%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Liber 19Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-5
98.4%
AUBURN Penalty, false start (Mike Horton) to the Liber 24Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-7
98.4%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by Brandon Tillmon for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 31Similar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 16
OPP 31
+49
98.6%
Anders Carlson 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Frankie Hickson run for no gain to the Liber 25Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.8%
Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
97.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Chris Barrett for 12 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.5%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Khaleb ColemanSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-7
97.5%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Big Kat Bryant for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 33 Stephen Calvert fumbled, recovered by Aub Derrick Brown , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:1699% → 100%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
98.8%
Anthony Schwartz run for 11 yds to the Liber 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Sal Cannella for 22 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Peytton Pickett run for no gain to the Liber 25Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the Liber 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:3899% → 100%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.4%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+16
99.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 16 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.5%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Liber 45Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+45
99.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 45 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.6%
Stephen Calvert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 24 Stephen Calvert fumbled, recovered by Liber Frankie HicksonSimilar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Jamel DeanSimilar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-7
99.7%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Marlon Davidson for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 17Similar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+16
99.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 41 , Ryan Davis returns for 16 yds to the Liber 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17MISSED FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.7%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+16
99.7%
Anthony Schwartz run for 16 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Anthony Schwartz, broken up by Jeremy PetersSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.7%
Malik Miller run for 5 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+2
99.7%
Jarrett Stidham run for 2 yds to the Liber 18Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
99.8%
Ian Shannon 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.7%
Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the Liber 21Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Noah IgbinogheneSimilar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+17
99.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 47 yds , Ryan Davis returns for 17 yds to the Aub 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
99.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
99.8%
Anthony Schwartz run for 9 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+5
99.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 25 yds for a TD (Ian Shannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 23Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Stephen Calvert pass intercepted Smoke Monday return for no gain to the Liber 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-1
99.9%
Malik Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 43Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Anthony Schwartz, broken up by Bejour WilsonSimilar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Arryn Siposs punt for 35 yds, fair catch by B.J. Farrow at the Liber 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
99.9%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 9Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Chris Barrett, broken up by Zakoby McClainSimilar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 34 ydsSimilar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Griffin King for 7 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+3
99.9%
C.J. Tolbert run for 3 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
99.9%
C.J. Tolbert run for 17 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Malik Willis run for 16 yds for a TD (Ian Shannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:130% → 0%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Frank Boyd run for 3 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+18
99.9%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 18 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
99.9%
Stephen Calvert sacked by T.D. Moultry for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 46 Stephen Calvert fumbled, recovered by Aub Gary Walker , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 47 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Asa Martin run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 6
50
+8
99.9%
Asa Martin run for 8 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
99.9%
Asa Martin run for 7 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+8
99.9%
Asa Martin run for 8 yds to the Liber 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
99.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 6 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+7
99.9%
Asa Martin run for 7 yds to the Liber 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the Liber 11Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
Asa Martin run for 2 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Asa Martin run for no gain to the Liber 9Similar
Q4 14:31
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Asa Martin run for 2 yds to the Liber 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
100.0%
Frank Boyd run for 7 yds to the Liber 14Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+13
100.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 13 yds to the Liber 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Frank Boyd run for no gain to the Liber 27Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
100.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Noah Frith for 9 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Frank Boyd run for no gain to the Liber 36Similar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+1
100.0%
Aidan Alves punt for 32 yds , Christian Tutt returns for 1 yd to the Aub 33 Christian Tutt fumbled, recovered by Aub Christian TuttSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 4:27100% → 100%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
100.0%
C.J. Tolbert run for 4 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
100.0%
C.J. Tolbert run for 4 yds to the Aub 41Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+6
100.0%
C.J. Tolbert run for 6 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Team run for no gain to the Aub 37 Team fumbled,Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+7
100.0%
C.J. Tolbert run for 7 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+5
100.0%
James Moss run for 5 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
100.0%
Arryn Siposs punt for 44 yds, fair catch by B.J. Farrow at the Liber 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
100.0%
Frank Boyd run for 2 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+3
100.0%
Frank Boyd run for 3 yds to the Liber 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:01
Jarrett Stidham run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 1:03
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Sal Cannella for 22 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q1 7:29
Stephen Calvert pass intercepted for a TD Darrell Williams return for 26 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com