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CIT

The Citadel 17 at Alabama 50

ALA
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadCIT aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreCIT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:05 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Jacob Godek 48 yd FG GOOD — CIT win probability +0.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: CIT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:26: Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 5 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — ALA win probability +1.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q3 10:14: Nkem Njoku run for a loss of 2 yards Nkem Njoku fumbled, recovered by Alab Anfernee Jennings , return for 18 yds (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — ALA win probability +1.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CIT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:16: Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 68 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas PAT MISSED) — ALA win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:24: Tua Tagovailoa run for 1 yd for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — ALA win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2CIT made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 7:52CIT 4th & 9 at ALA 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:31CIT 4th & 7 at ALA 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:52ALA 4th & 5 at ALA 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:06CIT 4th & 8 at CIT 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:59ALA 4th & 2 at CIT 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00CIT 4th & 9 at ALA 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:41CIT 4th & 7 at ALA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:09CIT 4th & 5 at CIT 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:11CIT 4th & 2 at CIT 33, down 20
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:06CIT 4th & 3 at CIT 32, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:55CIT 4th & 1 at CIT 45, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:34CIT 4th & 6 at ALA 44, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:08CIT 4th & 5 at ALA 41, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CIT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:29ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:42CIT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:26ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:16ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:24ALA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:27ALA Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:34CIT Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:25ALA Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CITDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 35 yds · 7:030% → 0%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Keyonte Sessions run for 4 yds to the Citad 29Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.8%
Brandon Rainey run for 3 yds to the Citad 32Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.8%
Lorenzo Ward run for 5 yds to the Citad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.8%
Brandon Rainey run for 6 yds to the Citad 43Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
99.8%
Lorenzo Ward run for 3 yds to the Citad 46Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
99.8%
Lorenzo Ward run for 1 yd to the Citad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.8%
Dante Smith run for 1 yd to the Citad 48Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
99.7%
Lorenzo Ward run for 3 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+8
99.7%
Brandon Rainey run for 8 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.7%
Lorenzo Ward run for no gain to the Alab 41Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.7%
Brandon Rainey run for 2 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 8
OPP 39
-1
99.7%
Brandon Rainey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 40Similar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Matthew Campbell punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:17100% → 100%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.7%
Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 21Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
99.6%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+29
99.6%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 29 yds to the Citad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.6%
Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Citad 47Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+16
99.5%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 16 yds to the Citad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
99.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 10 yds to the Citad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.6%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 21 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:450% → 1%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
99.6%
Keyonte Sessions run for 5 yds to the Citad 23Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+6
99.5%
Lorenzo Ward run for 6 yds to the Citad 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.5%
Brandon Rainey run for 1 yd to the Citad 30Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+2
99.5%
Keyonte Sessions run for 2 yds to the Citad 32Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+21
99.5%
Dante Smith run for 21 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.4%
Lorenzo Ward run for 3 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-2
99.4%
Keyonte Sessions run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 46Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+2
99.3%
Lorenzo Ward run for 2 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
99.3%
Matthew Campbell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3599% → 99%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs IIISimilar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-1
99.3%
Josh Jacobs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 9Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+6
99.2%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 6 yds to the Alab 15Similar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+4
99.2%
Mike Bernier punt for 34 yds , Lane Botkin returns for 4 yds to the Alab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 5TD
1 play · 45 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
98.8%
Dante Smith run for 45 yds for a TD (Jacob Godek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:3099% → 99%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 15 yds to the Citad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
99.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 13 yds Jerry Jeudy fumbled, forced by Russell Hubbs, recovered by Citad Ronald PeterkinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:521% → 1%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
98.8%
Brandon Rainey run for 1 yd to the Citad 38Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+2
98.7%
Nkem Njoku run for 2 yds to the Citad 40Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-1
98.7%
Brandon Rainey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 39Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
98.6%
Matthew Campbell punt for 52 yds, downed at the Alab 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8FG
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:5899% → 98%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+32
98.7%
Najee Harris run for 32 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tyrell ShaversSimilar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+12
98.6%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 12 yds to the Citad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
98.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Lester Cotton Sr.) to the Alab 43Similar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+22
98.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 22 yds to the Citad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
98.6%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 22 yds to the Citad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
98.5%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Citad 7Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
98.4%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Citad 5Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
98.2%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs IIISimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+23
98.3%
Joseph Bulovas 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 9END OF HALF
11 plays · 44 yds · 4:452% → 4%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.2%
Brandon Rainey run for 5 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
98.0%
Brandon Rainey run for 3 yds to the Citad 33Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
97.9%
Keyonte Sessions run for 4 yds to the Citad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
97.8%
Nkem Njoku run for 2 yds to the Citad 39Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+29
97.4%
Brandon Rainey run for 14 yds to the ALABAMA 47 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
97.2%
Brandon Rainey run for 2 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-4
96.9%
Brandon Rainey sacked by Anfernee Jennings for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 34Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+3
97.1%
Brandon Rainey run for 3 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
96.2%
Jacob Godek 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:095% → 5%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
95.5%
Dante Smith run for 3 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+5
95.2%
Brandon Rainey run for 5 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 2
OPP 23
0
95.1%
Lorenzo Ward run for no gain to the Alab 23Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 2
OPP 23
-5
95.1%
THE CITADEL Penalty, False Start (Haden Haas) to the Alab 28Similar
Q3 12:41
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
95.1%
Jacob Godek 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 2:0596% → 98%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
95.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 9 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+6
96.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 6 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+54
95.8%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 54 yds to the Citad 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
96.0%
Damien Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 5Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 5 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 12FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:123% → 2%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.9%
THE CITADEL Penalty, Delay of Game (Brandon Rainey) to the Citad 20Similar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+18
98.4%
Nkem Njoku run for a loss of 2 yards Nkem Njoku fumbled, recovered by Alab Anfernee Jennings , return for 18 yds (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:562% → 2%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.4%
Keyonte Sessions run for 2 yds to the Citad 27Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
98.3%
Brandon Rainey run for 3 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.2%
Brandon Rainey run for no gain to the Citad 30Similar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+55
98.2%
Matthew Campbell punt for 46 yds, downed at the ALABAMA 24 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (9 Yards) to the Alab 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:4498% → 100%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
98.4%
Josh Jacobs run for 4 yds to the Alab 19Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+7
98.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 7 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
98.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 6 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+68
99.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 68 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:591% → 1%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Dante Smith run for 1 yd to the Citad 26Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.4%
Brandon Rainey run for 5 yds to the Citad 31Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.3%
Keyonte Sessions run for 2 yds to the Citad 33Similar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.3%
Matthew Campbell punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:3699% → 100%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 9 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+17
99.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 17 yds to the Citad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.4%
Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+15
99.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 15 yds to the Citad 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
99.3%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 14 yds to the Citad 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 1 yd for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Brandon Rainey run for no gain to the Citad 25Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Clay Harris run for 5 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Brandon Rainey run for 2 yds to the Citad 32Similar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Matthew Campbell punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+73
99.9%
Damien Harris run for 73 yds to the Citad 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 19TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:460% → 0%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Clay Harris run for 5 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Clay Harris run for 2 yds to the Citad 32Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Brandon Rainey run for 4 yds to the Citad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Clay Harris run for 3 yds to the Citad 39Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
Brandon Rainey run for 5 yds to the Citad 44Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Brandon Rainey run for 1 yd to the Citad 45Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+7
99.9%
Brandon Rainey run for 7 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
100.0%
THE CITADEL Penalty, False Start (Raleigh Webb) to the Citad 47Similar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
Lorenzo Ward run for 4 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Raleigh WebbSimilar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+5
100.0%
Brandon Rainey run for 5 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 6
OPP 44
+44
100.0%
Dante Smith run for 44 yds for a TD THE CITADEL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alab 8 (Jacob Godek KICK)Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.9%
THE CITADEL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alab 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+16
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 16 yds to the Citad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
99.9%
Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Citad 27Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+8
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 8 yds to the Citad 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
99.9%
THE CITADEL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Citad 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Citad 2Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
100.0%
Dante Smith run for no gain to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Joshua McMillon) to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Raleigh WebbSimilar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
100.0%
Dante Smith run for 15 yds to the Alab 31 THE CITADEL Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Alab 46Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
Brandon Berry run for 3 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+2
100.0%
Keyonte Sessions run for 2 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Dante Smith run for no gain to the Alab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22Uncategorized
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
100.0%
ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Alab 26Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
100.0%
Ronnie Clark run for 7 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Ronnie Clark run for 2 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Ronnie Clark run for 5 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:26
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 5 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
+1.5
FUMBLE · Q3 10:14
Nkem Njoku run for a loss of 2 yards Nkem Njoku fumbled, recovered by Alab Anfernee Jennings , return for 18 yds (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q3 6:16
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 68 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas PAT MISSED)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com