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MISS

Ole Miss 24 at Texas A&M 38

TA&M
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadMISS aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreMISS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFUMBLETDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:28 · Mac Brown punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 6 , Roshauud Paul returns for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 6 Roshauud Paul fumbled,
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior+17.6Home team on offense−2.4Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:44: Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 21 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +9.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q3 11:34: Kellen Mond run for a loss of 2 yards Kellen Mond fumbled, forced by Willie Hibbler, recovered by Miss Zedrick Woods , return for 96 yds (Luke Logan KICK) — MISS win probability +15.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:04: Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 10 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +16.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:36: Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +15.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:39: Trayveon Williams run for 46 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +11.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 5MISS made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00MISS 4th & 19 at MISS 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:30TA&M 4th & 6 at MISS 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:08MISS 4th & 3 at MISS 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:51TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:48TA&M 4th & 17 at MISS 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:28MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:53MISS 4th & 9 at MISS 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−2.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:04MISS 4th & 8 at MISS 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:11TA&M 4th & 3 at MISS 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.5%−1.6
    60% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−12.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:11MISS 4th & 8 at MISS 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−1.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:11TA&M 4th & 14 at TA&M 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−4.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:18MISS 4th & 2 at TA&M 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−1.1
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−16.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:51MISS 4th & 6 at TA&M 7, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.5%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−2.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:15MISS 4th & 21 at TA&M 33, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MISS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:49TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:51MISS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:48MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:44TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:04TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:36TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:39TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
82.3%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 17 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
82.3%
Scottie Phillips run for no gain to the Miss 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
82.3%
Jordan Taamu pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-9
82.3%
Jordan Taamu sacked by Otaro Alaka for a loss of 9 yards to the Miss 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 33
0
82.3%
Mac Brown punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
81.9%
OLE MISS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 5
OWN 35
+4
82.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-7
82.0%
Quartney Davis run for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 32Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+15
81.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 15 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
82.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 45Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+6
82.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
82.0%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
81.9%
Braden Mann punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
81.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 1 yd to the Miss 6Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+3
81.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Miss 9Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+3
81.1%
Jordan Taamu run for 3 yds to the Miss 12Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 3
OWN 12
0
81.2%
Mac Brown punt for 59 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for no gain to the TexAM 29 Roshauud Paul fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
14 plays · 71 yds · 7:0081% → 82%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
80.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+7
80.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 7 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
80.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 14 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
80.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
80.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+15
80.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to J. Sternberger, PENALTY OM pass interference (Vernon Dasher) 15 yards to the OM27, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
81.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the Miss 22Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-2
81.0%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 24Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+9
80.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 9 yds to the Miss 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
81.0%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the Miss 13Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+10
81.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 10 yds to the Miss 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
81.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the Miss 1Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.0%
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the Miss 1Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.0%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5819% → 24%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.2%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to Octavious Cooley for 9 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
80.6%
Isaiah Woullard run for 4 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
80.9%
Isaiah Woullard run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 33Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+23
81.3%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to Octavious Cooley for 23 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
75.8%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 44 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
77.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
77.7%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-5
77.2%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (Jace Sternberger) to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+10
77.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 10 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 3
OWN 30
-2
77.2%
Braden Mann punt for 43 yds , Elijah Moore returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0224% → 33%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.2%
Isaiah Woullard run for 9 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
75.4%
Isaiah Woullard run for 3 yds to the Miss 40 Isaiah Woullard fumbled, forced by Larry Pryor, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
75.4%
Jordan Taamu run for 6 yds to the Miss 46Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+39
75.1%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 39 yds to the TexAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
74.4%
Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the TexAM 13Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+12
73.6%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 12 yds to the TexAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.3%
Jordan Taamu run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
69.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 11 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
70.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 8 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
71.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
71.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 8 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+1
71.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the Miss 43Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+1
71.4%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
71.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace Sternberger, broken up by Vernon DasherSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
71.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-7
70.7%
Kellen Mond sacked by Brenden Williams and Austrian Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the Miss 49Similar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 17
OPP 49
0
69.0%
Braden Mann punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Elijah Moore at the Miss 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 77 yds · 0:0034% → 38%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
65.9%
Isaiah Woullard run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 4Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+16
66.0%
Isaiah Woullard run for 16 yds to the Miss 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
65.1%
Isaiah Woullard run for 6 yds to the Miss 26Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+51
64.3%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 51 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
62.4%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to Eric Swinney for 8 yds to the TexAM 15Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
62.4%
Jordan Taamu run for no gain to the TexAM 15 Jordan Taamu fumbled, forced by Kingsley Keke, recovered by TexAM Kingsley KekeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:4863% → 77%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
63.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 16Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+22
63.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 22 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
64.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon, broken up by Jalen JuliusSimilar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
64.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
50
+8
66.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 8 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-5
66.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Miss 47Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+16
66.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 16 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
67.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 10 yds to the Miss 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
76.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 21 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:1630% → 31%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.1%
Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
69.1%
Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the Miss 29Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
69.2%
Jordan Taamu run for 5 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-3
69.2%
Mac Brown punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 6 , Roshauud Paul returns for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 6 Roshauud Paul fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
70.9%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:2673% → 60%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
73.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
74.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+29
73.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 29 yds to the Miss 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+21
75.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 21 yds to the Miss 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
75.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the Miss 3Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+96
59.9%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 2 yards Kellen Mond fumbled, forced by Willie Hibbler, recovered by Miss Zedrick Woods , return for 96 yds (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0055% → 58%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
54.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 10 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
55.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+8
57.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 8 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
58.2%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Ken Webster return for no gain to the Miss 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
51.5%
Isaiah Woullard run for 14 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
50.5%
Isaiah Woullard run for 3 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
50.1%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge, broken up by Myles JonesSimilar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-2
51.2%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 32Similar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
53.2%
Mac Brown punt for 40 yds, downed at the TexAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:0952% → 72%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
51.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+12
53.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
54.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
54.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron BuckleySimilar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+31
53.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 31 yds to the Miss 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
57.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the Miss 15Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+4
57.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Miss 11Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+1
55.5%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the Miss 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
71.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 10 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
64.0%
Isaiah Woullard run for 9 yds to the Miss 17Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 1
OWN 17
-2
63.1%
Isaiah Woullard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 15Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
65.0%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 14 yds to the Miss 29 OLE MISS Penalty, personal foul (-14 Yards) to the Miss 15Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 3
OWN 15
-5
65.0%
Isaiah Woullard run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 10Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
66.4%
Mac Brown punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the Miss 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:3670% → 76%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
70.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for 8 yds to the Miss 38 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Camron Buckley) to the Miss 48Similar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 12
OPP 48
+10
69.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 10 yds to the Miss 38Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+3
70.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
71.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the Miss 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
70.5%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+6
68.7%
Kellen Mond run for 6 yds to the Miss 28Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+46
75.7%
Seth Small 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0028% → 25%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.4%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to A.J. Brown, broken up by Donovan WilsonSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.7%
Eric Swinney run for 2 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
73.8%
Jordan Taamu sacked by Donovan Wilson for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 22Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+5
75.2%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, illegal procedure (5 Yards) to the Miss 27Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+50
74.8%
Mac Brown punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 22 , Roshauud Paul returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0075% → 72%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
74.9%
PENALTY TAMU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY OM unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
74.9%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 19Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 13
OWN 19
-9
74.5%
Kellen Mond rush for 6 yards to the TAMU25, out-of-bounds (Vernon Dasher), PENALTY TAMU holding (Carson Green) 9 yards to the TAMU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 22
OWN 10
+2
74.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 12Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 20
OWN 12
+6
73.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 14
OWN 18
+15
72.3%
Braden Mann punt for 63 yds , Elijah Moore returns for 15 yds to the Miss 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 21MISSED FG
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:2430% → 37%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+34
69.7%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to Octavious Cooley for 34 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
63.9%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 19 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
63.4%
Jason Pellerin run for 3 yds to the TexAM 10Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+5
63.4%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
65.4%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+22
63.4%
Luke Logan 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:4273% → 94%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
73.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 20 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
76.3%
Kellen Mond run for 16 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
77.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Miss 40Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+34
77.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 27 yds to the Miss 13 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, face mask (7 yards) (Mohamed Sanogo) to the Miss 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
78.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the Miss 5Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 23FG
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:458% → 17%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
92.0%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 13 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
90.4%
Jordan Taamu run for 4 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+10
90.1%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to Isaiah Woullard for 10 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
89.6%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to Elijah Moore for no gain to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+37
89.5%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 37 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
88.4%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to Myles HartsfieldSimilar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
88.4%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 4 yds to the TexAM 7Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
89.1%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to A.J. Brown, broken up by Myles JonesSimilar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
82.9%
Luke Logan 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
98.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 46 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 25DOWNS
18 plays · 57 yds · 1:244% → 2%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
95.8%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 12 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
95.3%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge, broken up by Debione RenfroSimilar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
95.3%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge, PENALTY TAMU pass interference (Debione Renfro) 10 yards to the OM47, 1ST DOWN OM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
95.3%
Isaiah Woullard run for 7 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
97.0%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to Elijah MooreSimilar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+5
97.3%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 5 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.1%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to Octavious CooleySimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
97.2%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to Jason PellerinSimilar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+4
97.3%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 4 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+15
97.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, personal foul (Myles Jones) to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
96.6%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to Elijah MooreSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
96.9%
Jordan Taamu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-11
97.1%
Jordan Taamu sacked by Daylon Mack for a loss of 11 yards to the TexAM 33Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 21
OPP 33
+15
97.6%
Jordan Taamu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 15 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
98.7%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:04
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 10 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+16.4
FUMBLE · Q3 11:34
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 2 yards Kellen Mond fumbled, forced by Willie Hibbler, recovered by Miss Zedrick Woods , return for 96 yds (Luke Logan KICK)
-15.5
TD · Q4 4:36
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com