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AUB

Auburn 10 at Georgia 27

UGA
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreAUB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+6.7UGA 83.4%Terry Godwin 38 Yd pass from JakeFromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)AWAY 10 - HOME 20 · Q2 0:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:21 · Terry Godwin 38 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Pregame prior+18.0Home team on offense+9.6Score differential+1.3Garbage-time factor+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:28: John Shenker 9 Yd pass from JaTarvious Whitlow (Anders Carlson Kick) — AUB win probability +2.3 pts (now 22%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:46: Anders Carlson 27 Yd Field Goal — AUB win probability +1.3 pts (now 30%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:47: Tyler Simmons 14 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +5.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:21: Terry Godwin 38 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +6.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:53: D'Andre Swift 77 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +7.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 6AUB made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:10AUB 4th & 13 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:01UGA 4th & 8 at AUB 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:13UGA 4th & 2 at AUB 2, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.4%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−4.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:46AUB 4th & 9 at UGA 9, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:00AUB 4th & 3 at AUB 25, down 3
    Close callPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:21UGA 4th & 3 at AUB 38, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%−0.3
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    75.1%
    38% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:06UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:21AUB 4th & 2 at UGA 44, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−2.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:44AUB 4th & 9 at UGA 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:52UGA 4th & 4 at AUB 39, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−1.4
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:53AUB 4th & 7 at AUB 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:04AUB 4th & 13 at AUB 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:20UGA 4th & 14 at AUB 14, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:41AUB 4th & 4 at UGA 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:28AUB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:47UGA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:21UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:53UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:3517% → 18%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
83.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 10 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
82.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 18 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-6
82.6%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for a loss of 6 yards to the Aub 47Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 16
OWN 47
-4
82.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to JaTarvious Whitlow for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 43Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 20
OWN 43
+7
82.4%
Jarrett Stidham run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 13
50
0
82.3%
Arryn Siposs punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2FG
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:5982% → 81%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
82.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for 11 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
82.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 7 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+3
82.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
81.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 25 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
82.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+22
81.8%
Elijah Holyfield run for 22 yds to the Aub 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
81.7%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Ridley, Riley, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference (Dean, Jamel) 15 yards to the AUBURN2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
81.7%
Elijah Holyfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 4Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
81.4%
Justin Fields sacked by Deshaun Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 8Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
81.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Isaac NautaSimilar
Q1 7:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
81.4%
Rodrigo Blankenship 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2219% → 22%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
81.3%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 14 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
80.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 9 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+2
80.5%
Jarrett Stidham run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
50
+4
80.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+9
80.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 9 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+21
80.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 6 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Deandre Baker) to the Geo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
79.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 7 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
77.7%
John Shenker 9 Yd pass from JaTarvious Whitlow (Anders Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4FG
18 plays · 73 yds · 8:0278% → 77%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
78.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+25
77.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 25 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
78.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 4 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
78.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 1 yd to the Aub 43Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+21
78.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 21 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
78.3%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Aub 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+7
78.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 7 yds Mecole Hardman fumbled, forced by Daniel Thomas, recovered by GeoSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+3
77.4%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the Aub 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
77.8%
Elijah Holyfield run for 1 yd to the Aub 9Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
77.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Jeremiah HollomanSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
76.8%
Fromm, Jake pass sacked for loss of 10 yards to the AUBURN19 (Williams, Darrell), PENALTY AUBURN personal foul (Bryant, Big Kat) 5 yards to the AUBURN4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA (Big Kat Bryant ejected for Targeting).Similar
Q2 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
77.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Aub 1Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
77.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Wilson) to the Aub 6Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
77.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Aub 3Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
76.1%
Jake Fromm run for 1 yd to the Aub 2Similar
Q2 11:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
76.6%
Rodrigo Blankenship 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 3:2225% → 30%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.0%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+20
75.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 20 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
73.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 7 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+15
72.5%
Stidham, Jarrett pass incomplete to Slayton, Darius, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Campbell, Tyson) 15 yards to the GEORGIA31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.Similar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
71.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 5
OPP 26
+10
71.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 10 yds to the Geo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
70.9%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+8
70.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 8 yds to the Geo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
70.3%
Jarrett Stidham run for 1 yd to the Geo 4Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
69.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to John ShenkerSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
69.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
71.0%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Bailey Sharp) to the Geo 9Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
69.6%
Anders Carlson 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:4372% → 78%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
72.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
72.3%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 1
50
+15
71.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 15 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
72.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Aub 34Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+14
72.4%
Brian Herrien run for 14 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
72.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Ahkil Crumpton for 7 yds to the Aub 13Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-1
71.7%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 14Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
77.6%
Tyler Simmons 14 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:4025% → 23%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
75.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 2
OWN 25
0
74.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
76.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to JaTarvious WhitlowSimilar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
77.3%
Arryn Siposs punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 1:3176% → 84%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+24
75.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 24 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
77.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 3 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
77.8%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+4
77.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 4 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+38
83.4%
Terry Godwin 38 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
83.5%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Aub 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Aub 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3984% → 83%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Elijah Holyfield for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
83.6%
Jake Fromm run for 4 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
83.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 27Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+13
83.4%
Jake Camarda punt for 38 yds , Ryan Davis returns for 13 yds to the Aub 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3417% → 16%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
83.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 8 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
82.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
82.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+18
83.8%
Arryn Siposs punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 11 AUBURN Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Marquis McClain) to the Geo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12INT
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:4185% → 87%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
84.7%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
84.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Jeremiah HollomanSimilar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 11
OWN 25
-5
84.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Geo 20Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 16
OWN 20
+32
84.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 32 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
86.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
86.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole HardmanSimilar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-5
85.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (James Cook) to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+10
85.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 10 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
86.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 11 yds to the Aub 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
86.6%
Jake Fromm pass intercepted Jamel Dean return for no gain to the Aub 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:2615% → 15%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
84.7%
Ryan Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 16 Ryan Davis fumbled, forced by Jonathan Ledbetter, recovered by AubSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+30
85.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 30 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
83.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 10 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
83.1%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Geo 44Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
83.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+1
83.9%
Jarrett Stidham run for 1 yd to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
85.1%
Arryn Siposs punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:4386% → 86%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
85.8%
Elijah Holyfield run for 5 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-5
86.0%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Geo 20Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+17
85.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 17 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
86.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 18 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
87.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 49 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Geo Jake FrommSimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+10
86.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 10 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
87.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Tyler SimmonsSimilar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
86.0%
Jake Camarda punt for 38 yds, downed at the Aub 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:4714% → 10%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
86.0%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Aub 2Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+10
88.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 10 yds to the Aub 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
87.7%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 5 yds to the Aub 17Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
87.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds to the Aub 21Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+8
88.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 8 yds to the Aub 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
87.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 3 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
88.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Chandler CoxSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
89.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to JaTarvious Whitlow for no gain to the Aub 32Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
89.8%
Arryn Siposs punt for 43 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3788% → 97%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
88.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Lamont Gaillard) to the Geo 23Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+77
96.5%
D'Andre Swift 77 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:364% → 4%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.8%
Jarrett Stidham run for 10 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
95.7%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 30Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+2
96.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 2 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
96.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
96.3%
Arryn Siposs punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18DOWNS
17 plays · 59 yds · 8:3597% → 99%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
97.0%
Brian Herrien run for 7 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+2
97.1%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+4
97.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.3%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+17
97.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 17 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
97.6%
Justin Fields run for 4 yds to the Aub 36Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+19
97.7%
Justin Fields pass complete to Riley Ridley for 19 yds to the Aub 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
97.8%
Justin Fields run for 1 yd to the Aub 16Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+4
98.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds to the Aub 12Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+10
98.2%
Fields, Justin pass incomplete to Holloman, Jeremiah, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference (Monday, Smoke) 10 yards to the AUBURN2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q4 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-16
98.3%
Justin Fields sacked by Andrew Williams for a loss of 16 yards to the Aub 18Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+5
98.3%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the Aub 13Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
-5
98.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Aub 18Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+9
98.5%
Brian Herrien run for 9 yds to the Aub 9Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
98.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Aub 14Similar
Q4 3:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
0
98.5%
Rodrigo Blankenship pass incomplete to Isaac NautaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:192% → 2%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
98.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 1 yd to the Aub 15Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+10
98.1%
Stidham, Jarrett pass incomplete to Slayton, Darius, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Baker, Deandre) 10 yards to the AUBURN25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.Similar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 6 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
98.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Malik Miller for 1 yd to the Aub 32Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
98.0%
Jarrett Stidham run for 15 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
98.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Malik Miller for 12 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
97.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 3 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
97.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+3
97.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 3 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q4 0:41
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
98.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:53
D'Andre Swift 77 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
+7.9
TD · Q2 0:21
Terry Godwin 38 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
+6.7
TD · Q2 2:47
Tyler Simmons 14 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com