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CLT

Charlotte 3 at Tennessee 14

TENN
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:11 · Kyle Corbett punt for 75 yds, downed at the Tenn 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Pregame prior+10.5Home team on offense+15.8Garbage-time factor+2.6Score differential+5.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:17: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 16 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +1.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:43: Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 00:43 — CLT win probability +1.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:51: Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, PENALTY CHA pass interference (Nafees Lyon) 15 yards to the UT18, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY. — TENN win probability +1.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:13: Jeremy Banks run for 6 yds to the Tenn 34 — TENN win probability +3.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:53: Timeout CHARLOTTE, clock 02:53 — TENN win probability +2.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:42CLT 4th & 16 at CLT 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:35CLT 4th & 5 at TENN 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:26TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:22CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 18, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:17TENN 4th & 3 at CLT 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:17CLT 4th & 3 at TENN 3, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 5 at midfield, down 11
    Close callPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:13TENN 4th & 3 at CLT 16, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−4.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:13CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:46TENN 4th & 16 at TENN 36, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:27CLT 4th & 30 at CLT 1, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−2.1
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:14TENN 4th & 3 at CLT 37, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−0.9
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:11CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:51TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 17, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:53CLT 4th & 1 at TENN 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−1.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−3.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:47TENN 4th & 13 at TENN 40, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:17TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
90.7%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
-10
90.7%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Alex Highsmith and Jeff Gemmell for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 24
+20
90.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 20 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
90.7%
Jeremy Banks run for no gain to the Tenn 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
90.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-Anderson, broken up by Ben DeLucaSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
90.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Tim Jordan TENNESSEE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+10
90.7%
Joe Doyle punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 21 , Mark Quattlebaum returns for 10 yds to the Charl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
11 plays · 25 yds · 4:0210% → 10%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
89.8%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
89.8%
Evan Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+15
89.9%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Rico Arnold for 15 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
89.8%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+4
89.7%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
89.7%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+2
89.7%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 6
OPP 44
-5
89.7%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Benny LeMay) to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
89.8%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Kyle PhillipsSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 11
OPP 49
-5
89.9%
Kyle Corbett punt 43 yards to the UT6, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CHA illegal formation 5 yards to the CHA46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 16
OWN 46
+82
89.8%
Kyle Corbett punt for 36 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 82 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:0010% → 11%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
89.7%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Rico Arnold for 13 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
89.6%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+21
89.6%
Evan Shirreffs run for 6 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, player disqualification (Alontae Taylor) to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
89.4%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 6 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 4
OPP 36
-5
89.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Nate Davis) to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
89.4%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Rico Arnold, broken up by Kyle PhillipsSimilar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+4
89.5%
Evan Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
89.5%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 3:2289% → 91%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
89.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 12 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
89.5%
Jeremy Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+33
89.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 33 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
89.6%
Jeremy Banks run for no gain to the Charl 20Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
89.6%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+16
91.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 16 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0910% → 9%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
90.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, delay of game (Evan Shirreffs) to the Charl 13Similar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+6
90.5%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 6 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+6
90.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 6 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 25
-2
90.4%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
90.6%
Kyle Corbett punt for 47 yds, downed at the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
91.1%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
91.0%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 10 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
91.4%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-2
91.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 37Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+3
90.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 3 yds to the Tenn 40 TENNESSEE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
90.8%
Joe Doyle punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
90.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Marquavis Gibbs) to the Charl 10Similar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
90.4%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+3
90.4%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+2
90.5%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Rico Arnold for 2 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
90.5%
Kyle Corbett punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
50
0
91.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Carlin Fils-aime for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 10
50
-4
91.5%
Josh Palmer run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 46Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+11
91.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 11 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
91.0%
Joe Doyle punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9FG
16 plays · 87 yds · 5:5710% → 12%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
90.5%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+2
90.5%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+17
90.6%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Rico Arnold for 17 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
90.3%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 28 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
89.9%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+12
89.3%
Benny LeMay run for 12 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
89.3%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the Tenn 19Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-3
89.3%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+15
89.9%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, PENALTY UT pass interference (Marquill Osborne) 15 yards to the UT7, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
89.3%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 8Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
88.1%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Tenn 3Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
90.1%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Chris PhillipsSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
88.2%
Jonathan Cruz 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
89.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.1%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
89.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Jaelin Fisher) to the Charl 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
89.3%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Benny LeMay for 6 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
89.5%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 18 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
88.4%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
50
0
88.0%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
50
0
88.2%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
50
0
89.0%
Kyle Corbett punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12MISSED FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:5089% → 89%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Tim JordanSimilar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
89.3%
Jeremy Banks run for no gain to the Tenn 20Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+12
88.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 12 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+45
89.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 45 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
90.2%
Jeremy Banks run for 7 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+1
90.2%
Jeremy Banks run for 1 yd to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 2
OPP 15
-1
89.8%
Jeremy Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 16Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+33
89.2%
Brent Cimaglia 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.7%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Chris PhillipsSimilar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 3 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+14
89.3%
Evan Shirreffs run for 14 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
88.3%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
88.4%
Evan Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
89.1%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+6
89.5%
Kyle Corbett punt for 39 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 6 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Carlin Fils-aime for no gain to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
90.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Madre London for 4 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+8
89.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 8 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
90.7%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 28 Jarrett Guarantano fumbled, recovered by Tenn Jarrett Guarantano , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 24
OWN 28
+8
89.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jordan Murphy for 8 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 16
OWN 36
0
89.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 16
OWN 36
0
88.9%
Joe Doyle punt for 43 yds , Mark Quattlebaum returns for no gain to the Charl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -20 yds · 1:4210% → 9%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
89.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Darren Drake) to the Charl 16Similar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 15
OWN 16
-3
90.0%
Evan Shirreffs sacked by John Mincey for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 13Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 18
OWN 13
-3
90.2%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 10
-9
90.7%
Evan Shirreffs sacked by Kyle Phillips for a loss of 9 yards to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 14:27
4TH & 30
OWN 1
+10
90.7%
Kyle Corbett punt for 43 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 10 yds to the Charl 11 TENNESSEE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Charl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0092% → 90%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
91.5%
Jeremy Banks run for 4 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
91.5%
Jeremy Banks run for no gain to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+3
91.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eli Wolf for 3 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
90.4%
Joe Doyle punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
90.1%
Benny LeMay run for 8 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+4
89.6%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
89.7%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 11
OWN 20
-6
90.0%
Evan Shirreffs sacked by Bryce Thompson for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 14Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+8
90.7%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Rico Arnold for 8 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
91.0%
Kyle Corbett punt for 75 yds, downed at the Tenn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+15
92.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, PENALTY CHA pass interference (Nafees Lyon) 15 yards to the UT18, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
92.8%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the Tenn 18Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-1
92.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 17Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
92.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
91.7%
Joe Doyle punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
90.9%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Calvin Camp for 18 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
90.5%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+2
89.0%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
90.0%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Tenn 28Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
90.7%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Tenn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 1:2694% → 97%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
94.3%
Jeremy Banks run for 6 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+9
95.0%
Jeremy Banks run for 9 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
95.4%
Jeremy Banks rush for 9 yards to the CHA48 (Ben Deluca), PENALTY UT face mask (Jahmir Johnson) 15 yards to the UT28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 25
OWN 28
+9
94.7%
Tim Jordan run for 9 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 16
OWN 37
-2
96.9%
Madre London run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+5
96.9%
Madre London run for 5 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
96.8%
Joe Doyle punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
97.4%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 7 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
97.1%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Jordan AllenSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+8
97.3%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Chris Phillips for 8 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.2%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Darrin Kirkland Jr.Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+18
97.3%
Evan Shirreffs pass intercepted Bryce Thompson return for 18 yds to the Charl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 12
OPP 40
-2
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:13
Jeremy Banks run for 6 yds to the Tenn 34
+3.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+2.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:53
Timeout CHARLOTTE, clock 02:53
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com