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South Carolina 48 at Ole Miss 44

MISS
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-5.2MISS 36.1%Parker White 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 27 - HOME 20 · Q2 2:01
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:01 · Parker White 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Home team on offense−8.6Garbage-time factor−2.7Score differential−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:05: Jake Bentley pass complete to Josh Vann for 5 yds for a TD OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +13.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:50: Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK) — MISS win probability +17.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:15: Isaiah Woullard run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Logan KICK) — MISS win probability +14.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:01: A.J. Turner run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +21.0 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 5:50: Jake Bentley run for 4 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +35.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 10 of 10SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:15MISS 4th & 8 at SC 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:38SC 4th & 3 at MISS 3, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    45.9%−3.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:42SC 4th & 7 at SC 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:34MISS 4th & 6 at SC 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    50.0%−1.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:52MISS 4th & 9 at SC 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−6.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:01SC 4th & 6 at MISS 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:56MISS 4th & 7 at SC 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−8.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:05MISS 4th & 5 at MISS 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:33SC 4th & 7 at SC 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:32MISS 4th & 1 at SC 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−6.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−4.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:45SC 4th & 1 at SC 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.1%−2.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:01MISS 4th & 12 at MISS 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−6.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:58SC 4th & 11 at SC 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−2.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:02MISS 4th & 8 at MISS 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−2.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:50MISS 4th & 24 at MISS 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−5.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:11SC 4th & 16 at SC 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−6.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:17MISS 4th & 4 at MISS 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.7%−6.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 9:12SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:46MISS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:41SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:22MISS Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:10MISS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:05SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:50MISS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:15MISS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:01SC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.5%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.9%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:50SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 2FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 3:2250% → 50%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
49.8%
Scottie Phillips rush for 3 yards to the OM30 (Greene,Sherrod;Wonnum,D.J.), PENALTY OM holding (Sean Rawlings) 10 yards to the OM17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+26
49.8%
Scottie Phillips run for 26 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
49.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 9 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+5
49.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
49.8%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 9 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+2
49.8%
Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
49.8%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 11 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
49.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete, broken up by Keisean NixonSimilar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+12
49.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 12 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
49.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
49.8%
Scottie Phillips run for 1 yd to the SCaro 8Similar
Q1 14:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
49.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
50.1%
Luke Logan 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0350% → 52%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
49.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 8 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
49.8%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
49.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
49.6%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
49.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+50
49.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 50 yds to the Miss 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
47.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 4FUMBLE
10 plays · 53 yds · 1:5548% → 48%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
48.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 13 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
48.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 8 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+23
48.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 23 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
49.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. Brown, PENALTY SC pass interference (Fenton,Rashad) 15 yards to the SC18, 1ST DOWN OM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
49.2%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 9 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 1
OPP 9
-1
48.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 10Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 2
OPP 10
-5
47.7%
OLE MISS Penalty, false start (A.J. Brown) to the SCaro 15Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 7
OPP 15
-7
47.7%
Scottie Phillips run for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 24 Scottie Phillips fumbled, recovered by SCaro D.J. WonnumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5FG
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:2554% → 59%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
46.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+24
46.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 24 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
45.7%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 48Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+3
45.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 3 yds to the Miss 45Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+38
45.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 38 yds to the Miss 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
45.5%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the Miss 5Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
45.5%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
45.6%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the Miss 3Similar
Q1 2:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
40.8%
Parker White 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5241% → 47%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 6 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
41.7%
Jordan Ta'amu run for no gain to the Miss 31Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-9
41.4%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 1 yd to the Miss 32 OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Miss 22Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+15
41.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Octavious Cooley for 15 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
41.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 23 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
42.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 10 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
42.7%
Elijah Moore run for 6 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+6
42.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 6 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
41.2%
Scottie Phillips run for 7 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+2
41.2%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 2 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+9
46.8%
Scottie Phillips run for 9 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
44.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for no gain to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
44.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob August for 4 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+6
44.3%
Jake Bentley run for 6 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
43.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-1
43.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Josh Vann for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
43.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, broken up by Keidron SmithSimilar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
44.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Elijah Moore at the Miss 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 8FG
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:4244% → 48%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
44.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for no gain to the Miss 11Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+26
43.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 26 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
44.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 21 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
46.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
46.2%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 4 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
46.1%
Jordan Ta'amu run for no gain to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+12
44.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 12 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
47.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 17 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
47.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Elijah Moore, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
47.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
46.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q2 7:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
48.3%
Luke Logan 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
37.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 75 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1937% → 51%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
36.9%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 9 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
37.4%
Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+46
37.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 46 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
50.9%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 17 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:1454% → 64%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
46.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 8 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+4
44.8%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
45.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+31
46.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 31 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
43.7%
A.J. Turner run for 11 yds to the Miss 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
42.6%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 27Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+21
43.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 21 yds to the Miss 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
42.6%
Jake Bentley sacked by Qaadir Sheppard and Victor Evans for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 11Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-10
40.5%
Turner,A.J. rush for 11 yards to the OM0, clock 02:36, PENALTY SC holding (August,Jacob) 10 yards to the OM21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
+15
40.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 15 yds to the Miss 6Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
41.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q2 2:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
36.1%
Parker White 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:5139% → 57%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
39.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Scottie Phillips for 9 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+37
41.1%
Scottie Phillips run for 37 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
44.0%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 3 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-2
44.1%
Jordan Ta'amu run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+10
42.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 10 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
44.1%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 13 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
44.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete, broken up by Daniel FennellSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
44.1%
Scottie Phillips run for 4 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
49.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 3:0455% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
54.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 6 yards to the OM31, out-of-bounds (Greene,Sherrod), PENALTY OM holding (DaMarkus Lodge) 10 yards to the OM15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+19
54.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Scottie Phillips for 19 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
56.4%
Scottie Phillips run for 5 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
55.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 21 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
59.5%
Jordan Ta'amu run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+24
59.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 24 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
60.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+7
60.5%
Scottie Phillips run for 7 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 3
OPP 10
-4
59.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 14 OLE MISS Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
62.2%
Luke Logan 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 1:4941% → 59%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
59.3%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+35
58.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 35 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
54.9%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Miss 28Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
54.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Myles HartsfieldSimilar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+14
56.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 14 yds to the Miss 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
54.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 9 yds to the Miss 5Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
40.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Josh Vann for 5 yds for a TD OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
46.8%
Scottie Phillips run for 9 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
49.4%
Isaiah Woullard run for 6 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
49.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 4 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
50.0%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 4 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-3
49.7%
Jordan Ta'amu run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 45Similar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+49
46.7%
Mac Brown punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the OLEMISS 12 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Shameik Blackshear) to the SCaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
46.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+3
46.5%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 7
OWN 9
0
47.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 7
OWN 9
+12
48.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 57 yds , Elijah Moore returns for 12 yds to the Miss 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:4249% → 70%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
48.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
46.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Elijah Moore, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+9
45.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Floyd Allen for 9 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+5
47.8%
Scottie Phillips run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
49.7%
Scottie Phillips run for 4 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+19
49.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 19 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
52.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 19Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+12
52.1%
Scottie Phillips run for 12 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
52.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 5 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.5%
Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
63.2%
Mon Denson run for 5 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+3
62.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 3 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+1
62.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Mon Denson for 1 yd to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
64.0%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the SCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 2:2070% → 85%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
70.0%
Isaiah Woullard run for 7 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+14
70.0%
Isaiah Woullard run for 14 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
70.1%
Isaiah Woullard run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
70.7%
Isaiah Woullard run for 1 yd to the SCaro 1Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.3%
Isaiah Woullard run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:0618% → 40%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
82.0%
Mon Denson run for 5 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
81.8%
Mon Denson run for 4 yds to the Miss 38Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
82.1%
Mon Denson run for 5 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
81.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 17 yds to the Miss 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
80.8%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the Miss 13Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+9
80.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Josh Vann for 9 yds to the Miss 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
80.8%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd to the Miss 3Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.9%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0071% → 68%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 1 yd to the Miss 26Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-4
70.7%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Rick Sandidge and T.J. Brunson for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 22Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+1
68.8%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 1 yd to the Miss 23Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
68.0%
Mac Brown punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0033% → 30%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
67.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-1
67.6%
Jake Bentley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
69.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Chavis DawkinsSimilar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
70.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 46 yds , Elijah Moore returns for no gain to the Miss 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0073% → 70%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
73.1%
Matt Corral pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
72.3%
Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds to the Miss 30Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
70.9%
Matt Corral pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
69.9%
Mac Brown punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:1434% → 78%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+69
66.0%
Mon Denson run for 69 yds to the Miss 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
58.2%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the Miss 4Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
58.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, broken up by Ken WebsterSimilar
Q4 5:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
22.5%
Jake Bentley run for 4 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:0037% → 33%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
36.6%
Scottie Phillips run for 8 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
39.8%
Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
37.9%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Javon Kinlaw for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 31Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 15
OWN 31
-1
35.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 30Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 16
OWN 30
-8
33.9%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by T.J. Brunson for a loss of 8 yards to the Miss 22Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 24
OWN 22
0
32.5%
Mac Brown punt for 37 yds, downed at the SCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0583% → 81%
Q4 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+4
16.6%
Mon Denson run for 4 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-7
14.7%
Jake Bentley sacked by Mohamed Sanogo for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 11
OWN 40
-5
18.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 35Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 16
OWN 35
+1
19.1%
Joseph Charlton punt for 37 yds , Elijah Moore returns for 1 yd to the Miss 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0026% → 27%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
26.2%
Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Miss 32Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+10
26.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 10 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
29.2%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 6 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
30.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
29.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. Brown, broken up by Rashad FentonSimilar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
26.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Floyd AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:1493% → 94%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
7.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 13
OWN 49
-2
5.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 15
OWN 47
-2
6.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:50
Jake Bentley run for 4 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)
-35.7
TD · Q4 11:01
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)
-21
TD · Q3 2:50
Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)
+17.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com