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UGA

Georgia 34 at Kentucky 17

UK
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:22 · TEAM run for no gain to the Geo 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:28: D'Andre Swift run for 20 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +6.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:20: Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +9.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:56: D'Andre Swift run for 83 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +7.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:45: Benny Snell Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +9.4 pts (now 11%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:01: Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 31 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +7.2 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:41UK 4th & 6 at UK 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:52UK 4th & 13 at UK 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:58UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 22, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:24UK 4th & 14 at UGA 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−4.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:22UK 4th & 2 at UK 33, down 11
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:49UK 4th & 6 at UK 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:44UGA 4th & 5 at UK 5, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q4 3:32UGA 4th & 12 at UK 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:30UK 4th & 1 at UGA 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:37UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:28UGA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:20UGA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:56UGA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:45UK Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:01UK Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:1319% → 20%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
19.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
19.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
19.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 1 yd to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
19.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+65
20.0%
Max Duffy punt for 48 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 65 yds to the Kent 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:5780% → 80%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
19.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 15 yds to the Kent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
20.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 1 yd to the Kent 7Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
20.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Kent 4Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
19.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 4 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:3920% → 21%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
20.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
20.3%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 3 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
20.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
20.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 11 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
20.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to David Bouvier for 5 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
21.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the Geo 43Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 5
OPP 43
-8
21.3%
Terry Wilson sacked by Brenton Cox for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
20.7%
Max Duffy punt for 38 yds, downed at the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4579% → 78%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
20.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+5
21.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 1
OWN 22
0
21.1%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Geo 22Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
21.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 55 yds, fair catch by David Bouvier at the Kent 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:4021% → 23%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
21.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+1
21.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 32Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+1
21.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
21.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Zy'Aire Hughes for 14 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
22.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
22.4%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+16
21.9%
Wilson, Terry pass incomplete to Wagner, Ahmad, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Campbell, Tyson) 16 yards to the GEORGIA37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.Similar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-11
23.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 4 yds C.J. Conrad fumbled, forced by Juwan Taylor, recovered by Geo Tyson Campbell KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Logan Stenberg) to the Geo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:4679% → 79%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
21.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 6 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
20.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Jeremiah HollomanSimilar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+20
21.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 20 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
20.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Jeremiah HollomanSimilar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-8
20.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kent Josh AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7FG
17 plays · 50 yds · 7:4622% → 28%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
22.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+8
22.8%
Terry Wilson run for 8 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
23.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+4
23.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+9
23.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 9 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
24.0%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
23.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+5
24.1%
Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
25.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
25.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+14
24.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 14 yds to the Geo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
25.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Geo 8Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+2
25.9%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Geo 6Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 4
OPP 6
-5
25.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Luke Fortner) to the Geo 11Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-5
25.9%
Terry Wilson sacked by Channing Tindall for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 16Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+34
27.6%
Chance Poore 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:4773% → 80%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
27.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
26.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for no gain to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
27.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
26.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+16
27.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 16 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
25.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 11 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
25.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+6
25.8%
Justin Fields run for 6 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
25.9%
Justin Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 26Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+9
26.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 9 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+4
26.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 4 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
25.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Jayson StanleySimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
25.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Kent 10 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mecole Hardman) to the Kent 20Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 17
OPP 20
+20
19.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 20 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:5720% → 20%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
20.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
20.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to David Bouvier for 5 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
20.1%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
19.9%
Max Duffy punt for 52 yds, downed at the Geo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10FUMBLE
9 plays · 56 yds · 1:0181% → 83%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
19.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 9 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+17
18.6%
Jake Fromm run for 2 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Phil Hoskins) to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
18.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 4 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+17
17.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 17 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
17.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 8 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+3
17.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 3 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
17.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
17.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-2
17.2%
Jake Fromm run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 29 Jake Fromm fumbled, recovered by KentSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
20.2%
Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:2181% → 92%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
19.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+17
19.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 17 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+30
18.3%
Elijah Holyfield run for 30 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
18.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Kent 28Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+14
17.7%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Darius West) to the Kent 14 for a 1ST down, Darius West ejected for targetingSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
17.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Kent 8Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+2
17.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Kent 6Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+2
17.4%
Jake Fromm run for 2 yds to the Kent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
8.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2511% → 10%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-7
10.5%
Terry Wilson sacked by Jonathan Ledbetter for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 18 KENTUCKY Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Terry Wilson) to the Kent 18Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+5
10.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 5 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
10.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 6 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
10.0%
Max Duffy punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:4591% → 98%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
8.9%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+83
1.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 83 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:012% → 11%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
1.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 9 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
1.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
1.4%
Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+9
1.4%
Terry Wilson run for 9 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
1.4%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to C.J. Conrad, broken up by Natrez PatrickSimilar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
1.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Geo 48Similar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+15
1.3%
Wilson, Terry pass incomplete to Wagner, Ahmad, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Baker, Deandre) 15 yards to the GEORGIA33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.Similar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
1.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 19 yds to the Geo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
1.4%
Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
10.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 6:4595% → 98%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
5.3%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+16
5.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 16 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
4.9%
Justin Fields run for 8 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+10
4.6%
Elijah Holyfield run for 10 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
4.2%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+4
4.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 4 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
4.1%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
3.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 3 yds to the Kent 11Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+7
3.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the Kent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
3.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Kent 1Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
3.7%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Kent 1Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
3.8%
Jake Fromm run for no gain to the Kent 1Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
4.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Jamaree Salyer) to the Kent 5Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
2.0%
Rodrigo Blankenship 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:352% → 10%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.4%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
2.3%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
2.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 15 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-13
2.5%
Terry Wilson sacked by Monty Rice for a loss of 13 yards to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 23
OWN 38
+18
2.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 18 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+13
2.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 13 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
9.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 31 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 5:2094% → 98%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
5.6%
Elijah Holyfield run for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
5.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+34
5.0%
Jayson Stanley run for 34 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
4.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
4.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Jeremiah Holloman, broken up by Mike EdwardsSimilar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+9
3.5%
Justin Fields run for 9 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
3.2%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+1
3.0%
Justin Fields run for 1 yd to the Kent 19Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-2
2.6%
Elijah Holyfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 21Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+38
1.9%
Rodrigo Blankenship 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19FUMBLE
10 plays · 38 yds · 1:503% → 3%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
2.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to David Bouvier for 5 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+12
2.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 12 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
2.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 3 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
2.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+9
2.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 9 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
2.8%
Terry Wilson run for 9 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
2.8%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to C.J. ConradSimilar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
2.7%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 1
OPP 22
-4
2.5%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 26 Asim Rose fumbled, forced by Jonathan Ledbetter, recovered by Geo Tyler ClarkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
1.2%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 31
-1
1.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
1.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:45
Benny Snell Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)
+9.4
TD · Q3 10:20
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
-9.3
TD · Q4 9:01
Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 31 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com