Try the model
TA&M

Texas A&M 24 at Auburn 28

AUB
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:27 · Seth Small 36 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Home team on offense−21.9Pregame prior+1.8Score differential−9.4Garbage-time factor−10.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:03: Seth Williams 11 Yd pass from Jarrett Stidham (Anders Carlson Kick) — AUB win probability +7.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:09: Trayveon Williams 14 Yd pass from Kellen Mond (Seth Small Kick) — TA&M win probability +14.5 pts (now 51%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:27: Trayveon Williams 1 Yd Run (Seth Small Kick) — TA&M win probability +11.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:14: Chandler Cox 1 Yd Run (Anders Carlson Kick) — AUB win probability +30.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 1:41: Seth Williams 11 Yd pass from Jarrett Stidham (Anders Carlson Kick) — AUB win probability +57.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:19AUB 4th & 17 at AUB 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:10TA&M 4th & 8 at AUB 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:14AUB 4th & 1 at TA&M 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    58.6%−1.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:02AUB 4th & 4 at AUB 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:31TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 45, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:23AUB 4th & 7 at AUB 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:37TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:59AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:36TA&M 4th & 16 at AUB 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−3.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    69.6%−2.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:37AUB 4th & 11 at AUB 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−3.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:00TA&M 4th & 22 at TA&M 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−5.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:09AUB 4th & 2 at AUB 10, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:27TA&M 4th & 9 at AUB 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−9.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:40AUB 4th & 25 at AUB 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−3.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:04TA&M 4th & 15 at TA&M 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−5.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:30TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.6%−5.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:37AUB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:19TA&M Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:03AUB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:09TA&M Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:27TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:14AUB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.1 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.0%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:41AUB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3661% → 61%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
60.7%
Anthony Schwartz run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 22Similar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-8
60.7%
Anthony Schwartz run for a loss of 8 yards to the Aub 14Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+4
60.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds to the Aub 18Similar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
60.6%
Arryn Siposs punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 6:0039% → 40%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
60.7%
Kellen Mond run for 11 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
60.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+7
60.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
60.4%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
60.3%
Quartney Davis run for 9 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
60.2%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
60.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+3
59.9%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+3
60.0%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the Aub 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
59.6%
Jace Sternberger run for 4 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-8
59.8%
Kellen Mond sacked by Montavious Atkinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Aub 23 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Aub 23Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+6
60.2%
Kellen Mond run for 6 yds to the Aub 17Similar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
59.8%
Seth Small 35 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:4460% → 60%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
60.0%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by Buddy Johnson and Daylon Mack for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 22Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+9
59.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 9 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+16
59.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Malik Miller for 16 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
60.5%
Malik Miller run for no gain to the Aub 47Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
60.3%
Jarrett Stidham run for no gain to the Aub 47Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+9
59.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 9 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
60.0%
Arryn Siposs punt for 41 yds, downed at the TexAM 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:0840% → 41%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
59.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+19
59.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 19 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
58.9%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 20 Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by Aub Jamel DeanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
64.3%
Sal Cannella 20 Yd pass from Ryan Davis (Anders Carlson Kick)Similar
Q1 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
64.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (1 Yards) to the TexAM 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0837% → 43%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
63.0%
Kellen Mond run for 17 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
62.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 10 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
61.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+38
56.6%
Trayveon Williams 38 Yd Run (Seth Small Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0659% → 58%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.7%
Jarrett Stidham run for 3 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
58.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
58.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
58.0%
Arryn Siposs punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:2442% → 43%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
57.8%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+12
57.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 12 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
57.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
57.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 5 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
56.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 4 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
57.0%
Braden Mann punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the Aub 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5858% → 56%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
58.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+3
57.9%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds to the Aub 13Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
56.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:23
4TH & 7
OWN 13
-6
56.3%
Arryn Siposs punt for 54 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 27 Roshauud Paul fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3743% → 43%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
56.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 28Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-10
56.8%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 18Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 19
OWN 18
+11
57.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 11 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
56.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
57.4%
Braden Mann punt for 51 yds , Ryan Davis returns for no gain to the Aub 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:2257% → 68%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
56.8%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 5 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
57.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 7 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
57.0%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 30Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+34
56.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 34 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
59.3%
Malik Miller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+15
60.6%
Anthony Schwartz run for 15 yds to the TexAM 19 Anthony Schwartz fumbled, recovered by AubSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
60.6%
Shaun Shivers run for 8 yds to the TexAM 11Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 2
OPP 11
0
60.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+11
67.8%
Seth Williams 11 Yd pass from Jarrett Stidham (Anders Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4432% → 51%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
67.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 16 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
66.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for 18 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
65.2%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Noah Igbinoghene) to the Aub 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-6
63.8%
Kellen Mond sacked by Christian Tutt for a loss of 6 yards to the Aub 32Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 16
OPP 32
+18
65.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 18 yds to the Aub 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
63.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
48.7%
Trayveon Williams 14 Yd pass from Kellen Mond (Seth Small Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:3554% → 54%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-6
54.4%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by Kingsley Keke for a loss of 6 yards to the Aub 11Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 16
OWN 11
+6
53.9%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 6 yds to the Aub 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0549% → 66%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
51.4%
Jashaun Corbin run for 9 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
50.0%
Jashaun Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+42
50.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 42 yds to the Aub 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
47.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the Aub 25Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+15
47.2%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (10 Yards) to the Aub 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
46.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the Aub 5Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
46.4%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
47.8%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (3 Yards) to the Aub 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
46.3%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the Aub 1Similar
Q3 10:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.4%
Trayveon Williams 1 Yd Run (Seth Small Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:1835% → 33%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
35.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 18 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
36.9%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Aub 48Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+1
36.2%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Aub 49Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
34.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
33.3%
Arryn Siposs punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:1165% → 70%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
34.7%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the TexAM 20Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
33.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+18
34.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 18 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
30.2%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+7
29.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
50
0
29.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
50
+12
29.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 12 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
27.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 41Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 13
OPP 41
-3
27.0%
Kellen Mond sacked by Jamel Dean for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 44Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 16
OPP 44
0
27.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 16
OPP 44
0
29.8%
Braden Mann punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the Aub 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3728% → 25%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
28.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 14Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 11
OWN 14
0
27.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
25.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Anthony SchwartzSimilar
Q3 2:37
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
24.8%
Arryn Siposs punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:2973% → 72%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
26.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 18 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
25.0%
Jashaun Corbin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 47Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 12
OPP 47
-5
24.8%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Erik McCoy) to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 17
OWN 48
-5
25.3%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 0:08
3RD & 22
OWN 43
0
26.1%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 22
OWN 43
0
27.8%
Braden Mann punt for 55 yds , Ryan Davis returns for no gain to the Aub 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4025% → 22%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
24.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the Aub 10Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 2
OWN 10
0
24.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 2
OWN 10
0
23.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Anthony SchwartzSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
21.8%
Arryn Siposs punt for 47 yds, downed at the TexAM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:3376% → 80%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
24.4%
Jashaun Corbin run for 6 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+9
23.2%
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
22.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 8 yds to the Aub 34 Trayveon Williams fumbled, recovered by TexAM Erik McCoySimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+4
19.6%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
19.2%
Kellen Mond run for 10 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
17.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the Aub 19Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
16.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
17.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
19.7%
Seth Small 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:3918% → 14%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
17.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-6
16.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for a loss of 6 yards to the Aub 14Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-9
15.5%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by Larry Pryor for a loss of 9 yards to the Aub 5Similar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 25
OWN 5
+13
13.6%
Arryn Siposs punt for 52 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 13 yds to the Aub 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:1686% → 87%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
13.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-1
13.1%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 43Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
12.7%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Noah Igbinoghene return for no gain to the Aub 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 1:4615% → 49%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
15.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 9 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+15
16.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to JaTarvious Whitlow for 15 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
15.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 8 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
16.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+3
16.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
15.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 14 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
17.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 21 yds to the TexAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.8%
Chandler Cox 1 Yd Run (Anders Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 3:0270% → 77%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
30.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 11 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
27.2%
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 36Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
26.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Cullen Gillaspia for 9 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
22.6%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
50
-3
21.2%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 47Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 13
OWN 47
-2
20.4%
Kellen Mond sacked by Derrick Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 45 Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
21.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 15
OWN 45
+28
23.5%
Braden Mann punt for 41 yds , Christian Tutt returns for 28 yds to the Aub 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 25TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:1935% → 93%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+47
35.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 47 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
92.9%
Seth Williams 11 Yd pass from Jarrett Stidham (Anders Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26Uncategorized
9 plays · 26 yds · 1:0015% → 13%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+19
85.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 19 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
84.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 8 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 2
OWN 44
-5
81.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
83.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+2
85.2%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+10
90.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 10 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Touching ( Yards) to the Aub 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:41
Seth Williams 11 Yd pass from Jarrett Stidham (Anders Carlson Kick)
+57.9
TD · Q4 5:14
Chandler Cox 1 Yd Run (Anders Carlson Kick)
+30.9
TD · Q2 1:09
Trayveon Williams 14 Yd pass from Kellen Mond (Seth Small Kick)
-14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com