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TENN

Tennessee 24 at South Carolina 27

SC
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Joseph Charlton punt for 45 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+28.4Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:11: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 6 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +17.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:02: Carlin Fils-aime run for 14 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +19.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:05: Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +14.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. FG · Q3 1:47: Brent Cimaglia 45 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +15.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:05: Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (J. Bentley Run For Two-point Conversion) — SC win probability +27.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 4TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 2 at SC 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:58TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:37SC 4th & 2 at TENN 2, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.9%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−4.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 38, up 4
    Close callPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:42SC 4th & 12 at SC 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 1:47TENN 4th & 23 at SC 28, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−6.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−12.6
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:07TENN 4th & 7 at SC 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    43.4%−1.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 5:52SC 4th & 3 at TENN 8, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.4%−2.9
    90% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−25.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:52TENN 4th & 10 at SC 49, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:53TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:11TENN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:49SC Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:02TENN Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:05SC Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:05SC Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    54.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
78.4%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
78.4%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+5
78.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 5 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
78.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
77.9%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+5
77.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 5 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-5
77.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
77.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
78.0%
Joe Doyle punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0077% → 78%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
77.4%
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+7
77.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
77.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 15 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
77.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Alontae TaylorSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
77.6%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Shy Tuttle return for no gain to the SCaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4TD
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:4223% → 28%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
76.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+6
76.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 6 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-5
76.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+5
76.7%
Guarantano,J. pass complete to Chandler,T. for 5 yards to the SC34 (Sherrod Greene), PENALTY SC offside (Allen-Williams) 5 yards to the SC34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+6
76.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 6 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
76.5%
Tim Jordan run for 10 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
75.1%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 9 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+4
75.1%
Chandler,T. rush for no gain to the SC9 (Allen-Williams), PENALTY SC offside (Keir Thomas) 4 yards to the SC5, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
71.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eli Wolf for 5 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:1673% → 73%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
73.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
73.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
73.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 16 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
73.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+5
73.9%
Deebo Samuel run for 5 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
74.3%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+25
74.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 25 yds to the Tenn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
74.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for no gain to the Tenn 5Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
74.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Tenn 2Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
73.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Baylen BuchananSimilar
Q1 0:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
73.4%
Parker White 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:3728% → 28%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
72.5%
Tim Jordan run for 7 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 36
-3
71.8%
Carlin Fils-aime run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+5
72.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 5 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
72.1%
Joe Doyle punt for 48 yds, downed at the SCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:5572% → 71%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
71.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+5
71.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+3
71.4%
Deebo Samuel run for 3 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
71.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-8
71.5%
Jake Bentley sacked by Kyle Phillips and Alexis Johnson Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+7
70.8%
Joseph Charlton punt for 55 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 7 yds to the Tenn 30 TENNESSEE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8TD
17 plays · 71 yds · 7:5330% → 50%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
69.8%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+1
69.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 1 yd to the Tenn 34Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 5
OWN 34
-5
69.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+11
70.5%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 11 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
68.8%
Ty Chandler run for 12 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
68.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
68.4%
Tim Jordan run for 8 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
68.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 4 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
68.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-5
68.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+4
68.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tim Jordan for 4 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 11
OPP 37
+16
68.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 16 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
67.9%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
67.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+12
68.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 12 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
67.9%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 6Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
50.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 6 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 1:2254% → 67%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
54.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
53.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kiel Pollard for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
50
+5
55.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 5 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
55.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Ty'Son WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+16
55.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 16 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
57.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+21
57.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 21 yds to the Tenn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 3 yds for a TD (Parker White PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10Uncategorized
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0740% → 41%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.3%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
59.5%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
59.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5843% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
57.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 6 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
56.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 11 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
55.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 20 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
54.9%
Ty Chandler run for 8 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+5
53.8%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
53.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tim Jordan for 6 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
53.8%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
54.9%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 2 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
35.8%
Carlin Fils-aime run for 14 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 1:5741% → 59%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
41.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 15 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
42.7%
Jake Bentley run for 22 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
44.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 8 yds to the Tenn 21Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+9
44.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 9 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
44.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 11 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for no gain to the Tenn 1Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 6:1849% → 66%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
51.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 9 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
50.2%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
49.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
50.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 16 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
47.8%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+7
47.4%
Tim Jordan run for 7 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
46.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 3 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+15
46.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 15 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
46.3%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 16Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 11
OPP 16
-16
46.7%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 17 TENNESSEE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Marquez Callaway) to the SCaro 32Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 27
OPP 32
+4
50.1%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 23
OPP 28
+45
34.5%
Brent Cimaglia 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4233% → 67%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+73
33.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 73 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
40.0%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the Tenn 1Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.0%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Tenn 1Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (J. Bentley Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15DOWNS
15 plays · 40 yds · 1:5841% → 45%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.6%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
58.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tim Jordan for 11 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
56.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
56.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tim Jordan for 8 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-5
54.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+8
55.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 8 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
52.2%
Tim Jordan run for 6 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
50.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+7
52.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 7 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
51.6%
Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+2
51.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 2 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
52.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
55.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete, broken up by Javon KinlawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:5561% → 76%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
60.7%
Mon Denson run for 9 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
65.0%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
65.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi Smith, PENALTY UT pass interference (Buchanan,B.) 15 yards to the UT36, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
65.9%
Mon Denson run for 9 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
67.1%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the Tenn 27Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+12
65.3%
Mon Denson run for 12 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
67.1%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the Tenn 14Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 9
OPP 14
-1
67.1%
Mon Denson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+7
65.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Josh Vann for 7 yds to the Tenn 8Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
76.3%
Parker White 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 22 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.3%
Tim Jordan run for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
64.1%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
66.0%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
66.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 4 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
63.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+12
66.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 12 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
61.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
62.8%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
61.7%
Jarrett Guarantano run for no gain to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 5
OPP 44
-5
64.0%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Nathan Niehaus) to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 10
OPP 49
-4
67.9%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18END OF GAME
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:2292% → 93%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
91.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the Tenn 46Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+30
92.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 30 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
92.9%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-4
92.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 18Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 12
OPP 18
-8
93.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:05
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (J. Bentley Run For Two-point Conversion)
+27.2
TD · Q3 10:02
Carlin Fils-aime run for 14 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
-19.1
TD · Q2 2:11
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 6 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
-17.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com