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UK

Kentucky 15 at Missouri 14

MIZ
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:09 · Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Misso 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior+13.5Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Time remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:49: Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +6.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. PUNT · Q4 5:18: Corey Fatony punt for 57 yds , Lynn Bowden Jr. returns for 67 yds for a TD — UK win probability +8.4 pts (now 16%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:38: Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Misso 22 — MIZ win probability +6.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:24: Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 13 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST down — UK win probability +6.4 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:09: Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 00:09 — MIZ win probability +7.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 10UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:12UK 4th & 7 at MIZ 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:21MIZ 4th & 6 at UK 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:07UK 4th & 2 at MIZ 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.7%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:01UK 4th & 4 at MIZ 45, down 4
    Close callPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:08MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:09UK 4th & 1 at MIZ 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.1%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:53MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:11UK 4th & 4 at UK 43, down 11
    Close callPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:43MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:29UK 4th & 10 at UK 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:05MIZ 4th & 16 at MIZ 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:34UK 4th & 13 at MIZ 34, down 11
    Close callPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:06MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 29, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%−1.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00UK 4th & 23 at UK 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−2.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:05MIZ 4th & 12 at UK 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:36UK 4th & 2 at MIZ 3, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−4.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:18MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 10, up 11
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:18MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 34, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%−3.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:41MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 26, up 5
    Close callPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:01MIZ Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:49MIZ Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:4827% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
73.3%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 10 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+45
73.3%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 45 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
73.3%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 1 yd to the Misso 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
73.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Misso 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+2
73.3%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+31
72.2%
Chance Poore 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:5172% → 71%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
72.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 2 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
72.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 5 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
72.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+10
72.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 10 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
72.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kam Scott for 32 yds to the MISSOURI 19 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
72.8%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
72.8%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 30Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+5
72.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 5 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
71.4%
Tucker McCann 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Darius West Derrick Baity Jr. return for no gain to the Kent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:1429% → 31%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
70.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+10
70.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 10 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
70.5%
Terry Wilson run for 9 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+2
70.4%
Danny Clark run for 2 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
70.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 4 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+2
70.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+2
70.5%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+1
68.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:0069% → 73%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+29
68.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 29 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
70.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
70.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+9
70.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 9 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
70.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 20 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
70.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Kent 7 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Darius West) to the Kent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-7
70.6%
Jalen Knox run for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
69.7%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
69.1%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Floyd, Richaud, PENALTY UK pass interference (Kash Daniel) 8 yards to the UK2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
69.8%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the Kent 2Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0029% → 30%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
70.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 7 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
70.3%
Terry Wilson sacked by Terry Beckner Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 36Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+13
71.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 13 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
69.6%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by DeMarkus AcySimilar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
69.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 9
50
+5
70.3%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian Baker, PENALTY MU offside (Williams, Tre) 5 yards to the MU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
69.8%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
70.4%
Max Duffy punt for 40 yds, downed at the Misso 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
70.7%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+1
70.9%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 14Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+4
70.3%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
71.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
70.9%
Drew Lock run for 1 yd to the Misso 19Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+5
70.3%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Johnson, Johnat (D. Robinson), PENALTY UK offside (Josh Allen) 5 yards to the MU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+15
70.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 15 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
72.0%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 40Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
71.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
71.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
70.3%
Corey Fatony punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:1530% → 30%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
70.4%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 19Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+12
70.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 12 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
69.8%
Asim Rose run for 11 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
68.8%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
68.0%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Tavin Richardson, broken up by DeMarkus AcySimilar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+7
68.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 7 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
70.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Misso 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8TD
14 plays · 51 yds · 3:1574% → 82%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
74.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+23
73.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 23 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
74.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+14
74.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 14 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
74.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+4
74.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Kent 6Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+2
73.7%
Drew Lock run for 2 yds to the Kent 4Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
73.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (2 Yards) to the Kent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
75.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert Okwuegbunam, broken up by Darius WestSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
75.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Kent 1Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
83.6%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
84.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0083% → 81%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
82.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Brendan Scales for 1 yd to the Misso 43Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-4
82.6%
Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 39Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+4
81.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 4 yds to the Misso 43 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
80.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 53 yds, downed at the Kent 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
81.8%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 4
0
82.0%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 10
OWN 4
+10
82.7%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete, QB hurry by Beckner, Terry, PENALTY MU holding (Holmes, Christi) 10 yards to the UK14, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
81.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 15Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+9
81.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
81.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 6 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+7
80.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
80.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 9 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-3
79.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 43Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
80.5%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
81.8%
Max Duffy punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
83.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+4
83.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 2
OWN 22
0
82.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen Knox, broken up by Derrick Baity Jr.Similar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
82.0%
Corey Fatony punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 16%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
82.5%
Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to C.J. ConradSimilar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
82.8%
Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Tavin RichardsonSimilar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
83.5%
Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Dorian Baker, broken up by Christian HolmesSimilar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
84.1%
Max Duffy punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0085% → 83%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
85.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Damarea CrockettSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
85.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 5 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-11
84.5%
Drew Lock sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 11 yards to the Misso 49 Drew Lock fumbled, recovered by Misso Yasir Durant , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 16
OWN 49
0
82.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
83.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+15
82.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 15 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
82.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-1
81.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+28
82.9%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 28 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
80.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
80.2%
Gunnar Hoak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-4
81.4%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 13
OPP 34
0
84.2%
Max Duffy punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
86.7%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Knox, Jalen, PENALTY MU holding (Colon-Castillo,) 10 yards to the MU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+10
86.5%
Damarea Crockett run for 10 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
86.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Badie for 9 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
86.1%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
85.6%
Corey Fatony punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:1014% → 12%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-12
86.5%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for no gain to the Kent 24 KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Benny Snell Jr.) to the Kent 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 12
-1
86.9%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 11
0
87.6%
Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Dorian Baker, broken up by Joshuah BledsoeSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 23
OWN 11
+16
88.1%
Max Duffy punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 39 , Johnathon Johnson returns for 16 yds to the Kent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
89.2%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Albert Okwuegbunam) to the Kent 44Similar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 15
OPP 44
-6
89.0%
Drew Lock sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard line Drew Lock fumbled, recovered by Misso Yasir Durant , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 21
50
+2
88.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 19
OPP 48
+7
88.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 7 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
87.5%
Corey Fatony punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:1612% → 10%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.8%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
88.0%
Terry Wilson run for 8 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
87.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 4 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+43
86.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 43 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
83.1%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Misso 23Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+12
83.1%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr., PENALTY MU personal foul (Turner, Chris) 12 yards to the MU11, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
83.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 4 yds to the Misso 7Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+4
83.1%
Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
84.5%
Terry Wilson run for no gain to the Misso 3Similar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 2
OPP 3
0
90.2%
Asim Rose run for no gain to the Misso 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:1393% → 84%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
92.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 7Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+2
92.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 9Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+1
92.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 10Similar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 3
OWN 10
+67
83.8%
Corey Fatony punt for 57 yds , Lynn Bowden Jr. returns for 67 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson, broken up by Mike EdwardsSimilar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson, broken up by Kash DanielSimilar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 9 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-4
85.2%
Corey Fatony punt for 56 yds , Lynn Bowden Jr. returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
82.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 7Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+8
82.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 8 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 1
OWN 15
-1
82.6%
Terry Wilson pass intercepted DeMarkus Acy return for a loss of 10 yards to the Misso 5 MISSOURI Penalty, illegal block (9 Yards) to the Misso 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5789% → 92%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
89.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
89.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
93.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
92.4%
Corey Fatony punt for 55 yds, downed at the Kent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 24Uncategorized
9 plays · 79 yds · 1:1512% → 20%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-7
87.7%
Terry Wilson sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 12Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 17
OWN 12
+12
88.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 12 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+16
88.3%
Terry Wilson pass complete to David Bouvier for 16 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
84.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to David Bouvier for 27 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
78.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 13 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-7
76.5%
Terry Wilson sacked by Terez Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 17
OPP 27
+17
83.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 17 yds to the Misso 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
80.2%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Ahmad Wagner, PENALTY MU pass interference (Acy, DeMarkus) 8 yards to the MU2, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-80.2
PUNT · Q4 5:18
Corey Fatony punt for 57 yds , Lynn Bowden Jr. returns for 67 yds for a TD
-8.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:09
Timeout KENTUCKY, clock 00:09
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com