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MEM

Memphis 33 at Missouri 65

MIZ
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:13 · Adam Williams punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Home team on offense+33.4Pregame prior+8.8Score differential+28.0Garbage-time factor+9.2Blowout margin+14.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:01: Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +6.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:52: Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 30 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +6.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:47: Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 58 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann PAT MISSED) — MIZ win probability +5.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:28: Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 44 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +11.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:55: Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +4.7 pts (now 6%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00MEM 4th & 9 at MEM 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:18MEM 4th & 9 at MEM 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:55MEM 4th & 10 at MIZ 32, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.6%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    18.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:15MEM 4th & 3 at MIZ 9, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.9%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:15MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:01MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:16MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    71.1%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:22MEM 4th & 12 at MEM 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−1.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:41MEM 4th & 6 at MIZ 35, down 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.9%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:39MEM 4th & 2 at MEM 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.6
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:51MIZ 4th & 5 at MEM 15, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:21MEM 4th & 13 at MEM 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:13MEM 4th & 7 at MEM 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:27MIZ 4th & 8 at MEM 19, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:32MIZ 4th & 13 at MEM 29, up 32
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 9 of 9MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:55MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:18MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:55MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:01MEM Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:52MEM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:47MIZ Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 8:28MIZ Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 5:27MIZ Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 1:07MIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 8:55MEM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 4:26MIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 3:13MIZ Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 8:32MEM Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 8 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
77.6%
Brady White run for 1 yd to the Memph 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
77.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
77.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-2
77.6%
Brady White sacked by Rashad Brandon for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
77.6%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
77.6%
Adam Williams punt blocked by TEAM blocked by TEAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2TD
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:5777% → 78%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
77.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 15
OPP 32
0
77.3%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+19
77.2%
Drew Lock run for 19 yds to the Memph 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
77.3%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Knox, Jalen, PENALTY MEM pass interference (CARTER, T.J.) 11 yards to the MEM2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3INT TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:3122% → 21%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
77.7%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 6 yds to the Memph 17Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+2
77.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 19Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+20
77.7%
Brady White pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 20 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
77.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-5
77.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 43 Patrick Taylor Jr. fumbled, recovered by Memph Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+42
79.0%
Brady White pass intercepted for a TD Christian Holmes return for 42 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
79.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 26Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
79.1%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+50
79.2%
Adam Williams punt for 40 yds, downed at the MISSOURI 34 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Misso 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:5780% → 84%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
80.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 1 yd to the Misso 25Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+41
80.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 41 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
80.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 11 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
80.5%
Drew Lock run for 9 yds to the Memph 14Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+14
83.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 14 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 3:4017% → 18%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
83.2%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 15 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
83.0%
Brady White run for 1 yd to the Memph 41Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
83.1%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+15
83.1%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to MAGNIFICO, Joey, PENALTY MU personal foul (Williams, Tre) 15 yards to the MU44, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
82.8%
Tony Pollard run for 6 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+6
82.4%
Tony Pollard run for 6 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
82.3%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
82.3%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
82.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony Pollard, broken up by Christian HolmesSimilar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+16
82.9%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 16 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
83.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Misso 16Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
83.8%
Tony Pollard run for 7 yds to the Misso 9Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
84.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
82.3%
Riley Patterson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
83.1%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
82.8%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
82.5%
Corey Fatony punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:1716% → 23%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
83.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-10
83.3%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to POLLARD, Tony, PENALTY MEM holding (JOSEPH, Roger) 10 yards to the MEM15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+16
83.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 16 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
83.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 21 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
82.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (DeMarkus Acy) to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
82.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+15
82.8%
Tony Pollard run for 15 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
82.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Misso 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
82.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+3
83.0%
WHITE, Brady pass complete to TAYLOR, Patrick for 2 yards to the MU5, out-of-bounds (Garrett, Cale), PENALTY MU offside (Byers, Akial) 3 yards to the MU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
83.8%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 3 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
80.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
80.0%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+6
79.5%
Corey Fatony punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 48 MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Misso 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
2 plays · 38 yds · 0:4123% → 29%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
77.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 8 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+30
71.0%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 30 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0575% → 80%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
73.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 8 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+8
73.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 8 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
79.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 58 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
79.5%
MEMPHIS Penalty, delay of game (Brady White) to the Memph 15Similar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
79.6%
Brady White pass intercepted Adam Sparks return for no gain to the Memph 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
91.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 44 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
86.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, delay of game (Brady White) to the Memph 15Similar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+5
86.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
86.8%
Brady White sacked by Terez Hall for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 18Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
86.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
87.0%
Adam Williams punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:5891% → 94%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
90.5%
Rountree, Larry rush for loss of 1 yard to the MU34 (FRANCIS, Jacobi), PENALTY MEM offside (DORCEUS, J.) 5 yards to the MU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+6
90.8%
Drew Lock run for 6 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+44
90.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 44 yds to the Memph 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
90.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
89.9%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Okwuegbunam, Al, PENALTY MEM pass interference (CARTER, T.J.) 4 yards to the MEM2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16FG
14 plays · 40 yds · 2:468% → 8%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.7%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
91.7%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 16 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
91.2%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
91.3%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to COXIE, Damonte, PENALTY MU holding (Holmes, Christi) 10 yards to the MU49, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
90.9%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
91.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+7
91.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 7 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
90.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Adam SparksSimilar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-10
90.7%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete, QB hurry by Beckner, Terry, PENALTY MEM holding (ELLIS, Isaac) 10 yards to the MU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 20
OPP 49
0
91.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony Pollard, broken up by Tyree GillespieSimilar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 20
OPP 49
+9
91.7%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 9 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 11
OPP 40
+5
91.3%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete, QB hurry by Jeffcoat, Traja, PENALTY MU offside (Elliott, Jordan) 5 yards to the MU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:41
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+52
91.8%
Riley Patterson 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3494% → 98%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 8 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
94.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 9 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
94.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 6 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
94.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 3 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
94.3%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
98.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 47 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:282% → 2%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.1%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 9 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
97.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 33Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
97.9%
Adam Williams punt for 58 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for 1 yd to the Misso 34 MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (Adam Sparks) to the Misso 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20MISSED FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:0999% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 13 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
98.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Badie for 4 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+7
98.6%
Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
98.6%
Jalen Knox run for 12 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
98.6%
Drew Lock run for 2 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+17
98.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 17 yds to the Memph 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Richaud FloydSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
98.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 5 yds to the Memph 15Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
98.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
99.0%
Tucker McCann 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:561% → 6%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
98.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
98.8%
Tony Pollard run for 5 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
98.9%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to COXIE, Damonte, PENALTY MU pass interference (Oliver, Khalil) 15 yards to the MEM49, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
98.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 11 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+20
98.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 20 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
98.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
98.8%
John Pop Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+7
98.9%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 7 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
94.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2996% → 100%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-14
96.1%
Lock, Drew pass complete to Okwuegbunam, Al for 11 yards to the MU40 (LINDSEY, Tyrez), PENALTY MU personal foul (Blanton, Kendal) 14 yards to the MU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+19
96.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 19 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Richaud FloydSimilar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
96.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 7 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+4
96.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 4 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
96.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 7 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+4
96.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
96.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 4 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (T.J. Carter) to the Memph 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 23 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 0%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-3
99.6%
Brady White sacked by Cam Hilton for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 17Similar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+1
99.6%
Adam Williams punt for 43 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for 1 yd to the Misso 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24TD
1 play · 59 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
99.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 59 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
99.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 28Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Adam Williams punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:35100% → 100%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
99.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+6
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 6 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+12
99.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 12 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
99.7%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+23
99.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 23 yds to the Memph 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Memph 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+1
99.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Memph 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+37
99.8%
Tucker McCann 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Tony Pollard run for 7 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+21
99.9%
Tony Pollard run for 21 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.9%
Tony Pollard run for 8 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+4
99.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
99.8%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 14 yds to the Misso 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 20Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 20 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 28DOWNS
12 plays · 6 yds · 7:04100% → 100%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Micah Wilson run for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
99.9%
Micah Wilson run for 12 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
99.9%
Tyler Badie run for 12 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.9%
Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Micah Wilson run for 1 yd to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+12
99.9%
Tyler Badie run for 12 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-6
99.9%
Micah Wilson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 32 Micah Wilson fumbled, recovered by Misso Micah WilsonSimilar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 16
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Micah Wilson run for no gain to the Memph 32 MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 16
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 13
OPP 29
-17
99.9%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 31 MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 30
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Misso 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:28
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 44 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)
+11.5
TD · Q2 13:01
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-6.5
TD · Q2 10:52
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 30 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com