Try the model
VAN

Vanderbilt 7 at Kentucky 14

UK
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Kroger Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:01 · Parker Thome punt for 36 yds, fair catch by David Bouvier at the Kent 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+3.3Home team on offense+14.4Garbage-time factor+2.0Score differential+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.3Time remaining+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:28: Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +10.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:55: Ja'Veon Marlow run for 6 yds to the Kent 19 — VAN win probability +6.8 pts (now 46%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:43: Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 21 — UK win probability +7.8 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:04: Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +20.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:04: Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 46 — UK win probability +6.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 6VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00VAN 4th & 27 at VAN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:10VAN 4th & 8 at UK 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:31UK 4th & 5 at UK 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:22VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UK 4th & 7 at UK 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:17VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:28VAN 4th & 3 at UK 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−1.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:59UK 4th & 6 at UK 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:56VAN 4th & 3 at UK 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:47UK 4th & 7 at UK 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:33VAN 4th & 4 at UK 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.1%−0.4
    85% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−10.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:55UK 4th & 9 at VAN 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−9.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:48VAN 4th & 1 at UK 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.6%−4.7
    81% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−19.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:01VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−2.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:55UK 4th & 2 at midfield, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:54VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:28UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:04UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 1 yd to the Vandy 33 Jamauri Wakefield fumbled, forced by Lonnie Johnson Jr., recovered by Vandy Bruno Reagan , return for 4 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
74.3%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 11 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
74.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jamauri Wakefield for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
50
+9
74.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 9 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
74.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 6 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-8
74.3%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 43
-15
74.3%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Adrian Middleton for a loss of 15 yards to the KENTUCKY 42 VANDERBILT Penalty, intentional grounding (Kyle Shurmur) to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 27
OWN 42
0
74.3%
Parker Thome punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
73.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 19Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+13
73.5%
Terry Wilson run for 13 yds to the Kent 44 Terry Wilson fumbled, forced by LaDarius Wiley, recovered by Vandy Jordan GriffinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:3127% → 31%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
72.8%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 7 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+2
72.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 2 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
72.9%
Josh Crawford run for 3 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
72.8%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 3 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
72.7%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 5 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 2
OPP 24
-5
72.9%
[SHOT], PENALTY VANDY delay of game 5 yards to the UK29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+29
69.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 29 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0070% → 71%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
69.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 15 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
70.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 40 Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, recovered by Vandy Jordan GriffinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
68.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
68.6%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 2 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
68.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Derrick Baity Jr.Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
69.0%
Parker Thome punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
69.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-3
69.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 20Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
68.7%
Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+8
68.6%
Max Duffy punt for 51 yds , Trey Ellis returns for 8 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
67.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 4 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-5
66.9%
[SHOT], PENALTY VANDY false start (Devin Cochran) 5 yards to the VANDY31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+2
67.6%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 2 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+7
67.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 7 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
67.3%
Parker Thome punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:4366% → 65%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
65.8%
Terry Wilson run for 22 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
66.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+2
66.3%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 2 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
65.9%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr., broken up by Jordan GriffinSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
65.1%
Max Duffy punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
64.9%
Khari Blasingame run for 2 yds to the Vandy 10Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-3
64.8%
Khari Blasingame run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 7Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+2
65.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 2 yds to the Vandy 9Similar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 9
OWN 9
+1
65.8%
Parker Thome punt for 40 yds , David Bouvier returns for 1 yd to the Vandy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10TD
13 plays · 48 yds · 5:3165% → 71%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
65.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+5
65.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
66.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 9 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
66.1%
Terry Wilson run for no gain to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+5
65.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
66.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+4
66.1%
Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+3
65.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
66.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 8Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
63.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
70.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:0034% → 35%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
66.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 12 yds to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
66.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 33 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
63.7%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+3
63.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 3 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
63.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Josh AllenSimilar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
65.2%
Parker Thome punt for 22 yds, downed at the Kent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
68.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-1
68.5%
Terry Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 22Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
67.1%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by Dare OdeyingboSimilar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
66.5%
Max Duffy punt for 34 yds, downed at the Vandy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4038% → 38%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
62.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+5
63.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 5 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+4
63.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 4 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
62.0%
Parker Thome punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
66.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+6
66.9%
Asim Rose run for 6 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
67.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
67.0%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Tavin Richardson, broken up by Jordan Griffin KENTUCKY Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
65.7%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian Baker, broken up by Donovan SheffieldSimilar
Q3 14:47
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+11
65.0%
Max Duffy punt for 47 yds , Trey Ellis returns for 11 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:1139% → 39%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
61.1%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 7 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+10
60.2%
[SHOT], Kyle Shurmur pass intercepted by Derrick Baity at the UK28, Derrick Baity return to the UK48, PENALTY UK holding (Derrick Baity) 10 yards to the UK41, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
60.1%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 1 yd to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+4
60.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 4 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+17
60.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 17 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
59.0%
Josh Crawford run for 2 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-1
59.0%
Kalija Lipscomb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 18Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+5
60.7%
[SHOT], Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb (Derrick Baity), QB hurry by Josh Allen, PENALTY UK offside defense (Jamar Watson) 5 yards to the UK13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
60.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
60.7%
Ryley Guay 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17MISSED FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 6:3865% → 66%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
65.2%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to C.J. ConradSimilar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
65.0%
Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
65.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
66.8%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-3
66.7%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+11
64.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 11 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
68.4%
Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 48 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Lynn Bowden Jr.) to the Kent 38Similar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 13
OWN 38
+12
67.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 1
50
+5
69.8%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+23
69.9%
Terry Wilson run for 23 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
71.2%
Terry Wilson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 27 Terry Wilson fumbled, recovered by Kent Terry WilsonSimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 15
OPP 27
0
69.7%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to David Bouvier, broken up by Allan GeorgeSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+6
67.9%
Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q3 2:55
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
66.0%
Miles Butler 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18FUMBLE
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:0740% → 43%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
60.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 6 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-5
59.1%
[SHOT], PENALTY VANDY false start (Jared Pinkney) 5 yards to the VANDY22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+4
60.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 4 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+49
60.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 49 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
54.1%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 6 yds to the Kent 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
52.5%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 3 yds to the Kent 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
54.3%
Jamauri Wakefield run for no gain to the Kent 16Similar
Q4 13:48
4TH & 1
OPP 16
-1
56.6%
Jamauri Wakefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 20 Jamauri Wakefield fumbled, forced by Kash Daniel, recovered by Kent Quinton BohannaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:3964% → 92%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
64.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 21Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
64.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+22
63.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 22 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
68.3%
Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+10
69.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 10 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
64.4%
PENALTY UK unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY VANDY unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
69.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 11 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
71.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+4
71.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+3
69.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
71.1%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Vandy 15Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+8
71.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Vandy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
87.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 11 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
86.5%
[SHOT], Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 10 yards to the VANDY45, PENALTY VANDY holding (Justin Skule) 10 yards to the VANDY25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+8
87.4%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 8 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
87.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. BolarSimilar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
88.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney, broken up by Davonte RobinsonSimilar
Q4 8:01
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
88.5%
Parker Thome punt for 36 yds, fair catch by David Bouvier at the Kent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
92.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+8
91.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
92.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
92.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+1
92.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:55
4TH & 2
50
0
91.8%
Max Duffy punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:008% → 10%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
92.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+21
92.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 21 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-9
91.4%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 26Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+20
92.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Donaven Tennyson for 20 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
90.7%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 44 Kyle Shurmur fumbled, recovered by Kent Mike Edwards , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
90.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney, broken up by Mike EdwardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
96.8%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
96.7%
Team run for no gain to the Vandy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:04
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)
+20.5
TD · Q2 6:28
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)
+10.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:43
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 21
+7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com