Try the model
TA&M

Texas A&M 26 at South Carolina 23

SC
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Williams-Brice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:12 · Joseph Charlton punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the SOCAROLINA 32 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Derrick Tucker) to the TexAM 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense−6.8Score differential−1.6Garbage-time factor−4.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Pregame prior−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 8:36: Seth Small 32 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +9.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:54: Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 22 yds for a TD (Jake Bentley pass to Bryan Edwards for Two-Point Conversion) — SC win probability +10.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:24: Jake Bentley pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 33 yds for a TD (Jake Bentley pass to Bryan Edwards for Two-Point Conversion) — SC win probability +33.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:16: Seth Small 39 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +12.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:48: Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 6 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +29.5 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 8 at TA&M 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:32TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:39SC 4th & 5 at SC 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:38TA&M 4th & 21 at TA&M 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:31TA&M 4th & 8 at SC 35, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 1 at SC 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:11TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 21, up 3
    Close callPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:42TA&M 4th & 5 at SC 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:42SC 4th & 18 at SC 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−2.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:19SC 4th & 2 at SC 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00TA&M 4th & 2 at SC 2, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−7.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:36TA&M 4th & 9 at SC 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−8.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:29SC 4th & 8 at TA&M 40, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:49TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 49, up 8
    Close callPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:16TA&M 4th & 14 at SC 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−6.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−19.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:12SC 4th & 20 at SC 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−6.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 3TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 4:19TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:54SC Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    27.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:24SC Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    46.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:36TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:48SC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.4%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.9%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+26
46.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 26 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
46.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 1 yd to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
46.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the TexAM 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
46.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
46.9%
Joseph Charlton punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
47.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 3 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+8
47.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 8 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
47.2%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+4
47.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 4 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
47.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis, broken up by Keisean NixonSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
47.3%
Braden Mann punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
47.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
47.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 2 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
47.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
47.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:0452% → 51%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
47.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 6 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
47.8%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
48.0%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-10
48.6%
Kellen Mond sacked by Aaron Sterling for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 21
OWN 25
+3
49.0%
Braden Mann punt for 50 yds , Bryan Edwards returns for 3 yds to the SCaro 28 TEXAS A&M Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SCaro 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5INT
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:0049% → 50%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
49.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for 14 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+27
49.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for 27 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
49.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
49.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q1 7:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
49.8%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted, touchback. Charles Oliver return for no gainSimilar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
49.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, PENALTY TAMU personal foul (Debione Renfro) 8 yards to the TAMU8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+3
49.8%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:3851% → 52%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
49.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 22 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
48.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 7 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+3
48.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
47.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
48.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+9
48.2%
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
47.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
47.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete, broken up by Rashad FentonSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
48.1%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+52
48.1%
Seth Small 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:3148% → 48%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
48.2%
PENALTY TAMU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY SC personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, broken up by Myles JonesSimilar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
48.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
48.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kiel Pollard for 3 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
48.0%
Joseph Charlton punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
47.9%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the TexAM 17Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 17
-5
47.8%
Kellen Mond sacked by Brad Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 12Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+9
48.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 9 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+32
48.7%
Braden Mann punt for 52 yds , Bryan Edwards returns for 32 yds to the TexAM 42 Bryan Edwards fumbled, forced by Braden Mann, recovered by TexAM Tyrel DodsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9MISSED FG
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:0553% → 53%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+29
46.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 29 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
45.6%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
45.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+3
45.8%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+42
46.7%
Seth Small 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
47.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
47.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
47.6%
Jake Bentley run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
47.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
47.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 15
OWN 31
-3
46.8%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 18
OWN 28
0
45.8%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 18
OWN 28
0
45.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 61 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for no gain to the TexAM 28 TEXAS A&M Penalty, illegal block (5 Yards) to the TexAM 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
6 plays · 94 yds · 3:1254% → 66%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
46.3%
T. Williams rush for 19 yards to the TAMU25 (Jaycee Horn), PENALTY TAMU holding (Ryan McCollum) 3 yards to the TAMU3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 13
OWN 3
+6
46.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 6 yds to the TexAM 9Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+30
46.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 30 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+53
44.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 53 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
42.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, broken up by Deshawn Capers-SmithSimilar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
35.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Daylon MackSimilar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
34.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+15
35.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 57 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 15 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 3:2164% → 76%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.9%
Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
35.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for 9 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
34.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 23 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
34.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis, PENALTY SC pass interference (Keisean Nixon) 15 yards to the SC24, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
33.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Cullen GillaspiaSimilar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+17
34.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 17 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
33.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis, PENALTY SC holding (R.J. Roderick) 4 yards to the SC3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
33.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
31.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace Sternberger, broken up by Sherrod GreeneSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
31.4%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
24.3%
Seth Small 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 6:2472% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
28.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 11 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
27.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+16
27.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 16 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
26.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 5 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+12
26.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 12 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
26.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+11
26.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 11 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
26.6%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+3
26.7%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
27.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+32
17.8%
Seth Small 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 3:3520% → 34%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
19.9%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 18Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+36
19.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 21 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, personal foul (Donovan Wilson) to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
22.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 45Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 9
OPP 45
-12
22.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 42 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Shi Smith) to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 21
OWN 43
+15
20.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, PENALTY TAMU pass interference (Myles Jones) 15 yards to the TAMU42, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
22.5%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
22.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 2 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
21.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 8
OPP 40
+9
21.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 9 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
23.0%
Jake Bentley run for 9 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+22
33.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 22 yds for a TD (Jake Bentley pass to Bryan Edwards for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
27.6%
Kellen Mond run for 15 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
26.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
26.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
26.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron Buckley, broken up by Steven MontacSimilar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
27.8%
Braden Mann punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 2:4327% → 61%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
26.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 11 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
26.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
26.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+8
25.7%
Jake Bentley run for 8 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
27.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+32
27.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 32 yds to the SOCAROLINA 33 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
61.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 33 yds for a TD (Jake Bentley pass to Bryan Edwards for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 6:0249% → 64%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
50.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 12 yards to the TAMU35 (Steven Montac;T.J. Brunson), PENALTY TAMU ineligible downfield on pass (Dan Moore) 5 yards to the TAMU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+2
51.1%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+7
51.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 7 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+11
52.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 11 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
48.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 15 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
46.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 8 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+5
45.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
44.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 16 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
44.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
44.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 17
-5
46.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 22
0
48.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron Buckley, broken up by Rashad FentonSimilar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+39
36.5%
Seth Small 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 36%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
39.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 8 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+5
40.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
40.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
39.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Chavis Dawkins SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-10
37.7%
Jake Bentley sacked by Landis Durham for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 20
OWN 16
+62
35.9%
Joseph Charlton punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the SOCAROLINA 32 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Derrick Tucker) to the TexAM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 5:4568% → 96%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
31.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+9
31.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 9 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
30.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-3
28.8%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 38Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+23
30.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 23 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
27.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 7 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+6
26.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 6 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
26.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+17
12.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 17 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
13.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 0:485% → 38%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+27
4.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 27 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
6.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Kiel PollardSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
6.0%
Jake Bentley sacked for loss of 4 yards to the SC48 (J. Madubuike;Kingsley Keke), PENALTY TAMU face mask (J. Madubuike) 15 yards to the TAMU33, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
7.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob August for 6 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+15
8.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, PENALTY TAMU pass interference (Jalen Preston) 15 yards to the TAMU12, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
8.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, PENALTY TAMU personal foul (Donovan Wilson) 6 yards to the TAMU6, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
37.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 6 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · -19 yds · 0:0594% → 93%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
6.3%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 13
OPP 45
-7
6.0%
Team run for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 20
OWN 48
-9
7.4%
Team run for a loss of 9 yards to the TexAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:24
Jake Bentley pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 33 yds for a TD (Jake Bentley pass to Bryan Edwards for Two-Point Conversion)
+33.9
TD · Q4 0:48
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 6 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)
+29.5
FG · Q4 9:16
Seth Small 39 yd FG GOOD
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com