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UK

Kentucky 14 at Texas A&M 20

TA&M
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:24 · Braden Mann punt for 41 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 107Pregame prior+6.0Home team on offense+1.4Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Time remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 10:13: Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 46 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +23.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q4 4:17: Kellen Mond run for a loss of 3 yards Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by Kent Darius West , return for 40 yds, (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +29.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:17: Grant McKinniss kickoff for 49 yds , Roshauud Paul return for 12 yds to the TexAM 28 — UK win probability +12.6 pts (now 52%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 4 yds to the TexAM 21 — UK win probability +22.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Trayveon Williams run for 10 yds for a TD — TA&M win probability +21.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UK made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:18UK 4th & 18 at UK 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:12TA&M 4th & 13 at TA&M 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:06UK 4th & 5 at UK 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:32TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 23, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:20TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.4%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:50TA&M 4th & 1 at UK 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.2%−2.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:41UK 4th & 3 at UK 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:33TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:57UK 4th & 8 at UK 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−1.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:26UK 4th & 15 at UK 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−2.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:21TA&M 4th & 14 at UK 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−3.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−9.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:11UK 4th & 9 at UK 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−2.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:24TA&M 4th & 12 at UK 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    58.6%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:13UK 4th & 3 at UK 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:07UK 4th & 17 at UK 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−7.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:59UK 4th & 4 at UK 31, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:13TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−6.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:08UK 4th & 21 at UK 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−17.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:10UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:14TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:13TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 4:3830% → 31%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.6%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
69.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 16 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
69.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 7 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
69.2%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 1
50
+2
69.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
69.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Logan Stenberg) to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+3
69.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 12
50
-1
68.9%
Terry Wilson sacked by Landis Durham and Tyrel Dodson for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 13
OWN 49
-5
68.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 44Similar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 18
OWN 44
0
69.0%
Max Duffy punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:5369% → 68%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
68.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 3
OWN 20
-1
68.9%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 19Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+13
68.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 13 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
68.6%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-5
68.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Keaton Sutherland) to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
68.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 13
OWN 29
0
67.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 13
OWN 29
+68
67.7%
Braden Mann punt for 65 yds, downed at the TEXASAM 6 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chris Westry) to the Kent 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:5832% → 32%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
68.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 8Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+10
68.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
67.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 5 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
67.8%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
68.1%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
68.4%
Max Duffy punt for 63 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for no gain to the TexAM 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2668% → 67%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
67.8%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 13Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
67.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+10
67.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 10 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 1
OWN 23
+5
66.9%
Braden Mann punt for 50 yds , David Bouvier returns for 5 yds to the Kent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:1033% → 39%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
67.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 3 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+6
66.9%
Asim Rose run for 6 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
65.9%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
65.7%
Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+54
60.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 54 yds for a TD, (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:5362% → 60%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
61.8%
Kellen Mond sacked by Phil Hoskins for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 18Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+15
61.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 15 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
61.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 14:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
60.6%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
61.2%
Kellen Mond run for 16 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
62.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 12 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
62.0%
Jashaun Corbin run for 6 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
62.4%
Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the Kent 30Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+3
61.2%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 1
OPP 27
0
60.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the Kent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5642% → 43%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
58.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-2
57.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 30 Benny Snell Jr. fumbled, recovered by Kent Benny Snell Jr.Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+4
57.5%
Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
57.0%
Max Duffy punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0257% → 54%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
56.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
55.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-2
54.6%
Kellen Mond sacked by Chris Oats for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 18Similar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
53.9%
Braden Mann punt for 82 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3145% → 45%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
54.8%
Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-2
53.5%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 22 Asim Rose fumbled, forced by Justin Madubuike, recovered by Kent Luke FortnerSimilar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
54.8%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
55.5%
Max Duffy punt for 48 yds, downed at the TexAM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 4:3355% → 67%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
54.5%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+32
53.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 32 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
56.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 6 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
57.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+7
56.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 7 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
57.3%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
57.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+15
54.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 15 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
55.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the Kent 2Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
55.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Jace Sternberger) to the Kent 7Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
55.1%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Roughing Passer (Josh Allen) to the Kent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
55.1%
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the Kent 3Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
54.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 3 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:2439% → 37%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
60.6%
Terry Wilson sacked by Daylon Mack for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 23Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
60.9%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-3
61.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 20Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
63.0%
Max Duffy punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:1564% → 63%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
64.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 2 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
64.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+21
62.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 21 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:3265% → 62%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
64.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 18 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
66.7%
Kellen Mond sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 38Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+29
65.9%
Kellen Mond run for 14 yds to the TEXASAM 48 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Adrian Middleton) to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
68.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-5
68.1%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Jared Hocker) to the Kent 34Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+6
67.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 6 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+9
66.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 9 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-11
67.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the Kent 30 Erik McCoy fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 21
OPP 30
+4
65.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 4 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 17
OPP 26
+3
64.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 3 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+40
61.8%
Seth Small 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:0340% → 39%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
59.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+2
57.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 2 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
58.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
56.9%
Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-5
56.4%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Logan Stenberg) to the Kent 36Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+4
59.3%
Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 4
OWN 40
-5
59.8%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Zach Johnson) to the Kent 35Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+11
61.1%
Max Duffy punt for 49 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 11 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:3763% → 60%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
62.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 18 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
65.4%
Jashaun Corbin run for 16 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
66.1%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 42 Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by TexAM Kellen MondSimilar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+1
64.0%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
63.0%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
60.1%
Braden Mann punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:1142% → 41%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
57.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Touching (Travon Fuller) to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
58.7%
Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+11
59.1%
Max Duffy punt for 58 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 11 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17INT
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:0361% → 64%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
60.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 9 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+3
63.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
61.4%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+19
61.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 19 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
65.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-3
65.6%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 46Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+19
63.6%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Darius West return for 19 yds to the Kent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3549% → 42%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
51.2%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Benny Snell Jr.Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-10
52.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (E.J. Price) to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+3
55.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 3 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 17
OWN 42
0
55.5%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Benny Snell Jr.Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 17
OWN 42
+43
57.7%
Max Duffy punt for 49 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 43 yds to the Kent 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19TD
2 plays · 48 yds · 0:4165% → 88%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
65.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+46
88.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 46 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:1418% → 16%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
82.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Bunchy Stallings) to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
82.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 21Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-2
82.4%
Terry Wilson sacked by Kingsley Keke for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 19Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+12
83.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 12 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
83.7%
Max Duffy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:3087% → 61%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
87.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+7
88.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 7 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+2
88.4%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
90.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
91.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+40
60.7%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 3 yards Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by Kent Darius West , return for 40 yds, (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:3756% → 51%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-13
56.3%
Kellen Mond sacked by Jordan Jones for a loss of 13 yards to the TexAM 15 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kellen Mond) to the TexAM 15Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 23
OWN 15
+4
55.9%
Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 19
OWN 19
-5
53.1%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Ryan McCollum) to the TexAM 14Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 24
OWN 14
+13
53.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 13 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 11
OWN 27
-4
50.6%
Braden Mann punt for 60 yds , David Bouvier returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:5950% → 47%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
49.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
48.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 8 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+11
45.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
44.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 2 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-3
43.6%
Terry Wilson sacked by Justin Madubuike for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 11
OWN 38
-10
48.4%
Terry Wilson sacked by Otaro Alaka for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 28 Terry Wilson fumbled, recovered by Kent Benny Snell Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 21
OWN 28
0
53.1%
Max Duffy punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:0259% → 63%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
59.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 15 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
63.1%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 47%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
40.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 4 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
40.5%
Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
-8
42.7%
Terry Wilson sacked by Kingsley Keke for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 25Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
52.7%
Miles Butler 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
64.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 9 yds to the Kent 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+2
64.7%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
64.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Kent 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
85.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 10 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q4 4:17
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 3 yards Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by Kent Darius West , return for 40 yds, (Miles Butler KICK)
-29.5
TD · Q4 10:13
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 46 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)
+23.2
KEY PLAY · OT 0:00
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 4 yds to the TexAM 21
-22.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com