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MIZ

Missouri 35 at South Carolina 37

SC
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:35 · Bailey Hart run for 5 yds to the Misso 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 192Home team on offense+8.5Garbage-time factor+3.3Score differential+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Pregame prior+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:00: Drew Lock pass intercepted for a TD Sherrod Greene return for 12 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +17.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:54: Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD Timeout SOUTH CAROLINA, clock 13:54 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MIZ win probability +24.4 pts (now 49%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 6:23: Parker White 42 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +16.9 pts (now 70%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:18: Tucker McCann 57 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +33.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:02: Parker White 33 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +57.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 11MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 9 at SC 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:02MIZ 4th & 13 at MIZ 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:40SC 4th & 3 at SC 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:25SC 4th & 10 at SC 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53MIZ 4th & 2 at SC 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:57MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:50SC 4th & 5 at MIZ 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−0.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:16MIZ 4th & 7 at SC 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−5.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:16SC 4th & 4 at SC 46, down 6
    Close callPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:23MIZ 4th & 3 at SC 3, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.3%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    55.2%−6.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 29, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:19SC 4th & 3 at MIZ 40, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    35.5%−2.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:15SC 4th & 5 at MIZ 25, down 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.5%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−13.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:14MIZ 4th & 7 at SC 7, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−14.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00SC 4th & 11 at SC 33, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−4.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:54SC 4th & 12 at SC 27, up 2
    Numbers favored punt by 4.8 ptsWent for it · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.0%−4.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:01MIZ 4th & 4 at SC 26, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−11.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:23SC 4th & 8 at MIZ 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−6.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−19.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:35SC 4th & 7 at MIZ 34, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−1.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−4.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:18MIZ 4th & 10 at SC 38, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−7.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%
    38% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−13.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:58MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:02SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:25MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:57SC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:34SC Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:00SC Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:54MIZ Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    41.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
52.1%
Deebo Samuel run for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+5
52.1%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Kiel Pollard for 5 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+36
52.1%
Joseph Charlton punt for 41 yds SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Misso 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:1648% → 49%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
52.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
52.2%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+11
52.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 11 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+44
52.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 44 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:5652% → 53%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+32
51.8%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 32 yds to the Misso 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
51.8%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Misso 5Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
53.3%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 5 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
52.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 12 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
52.4%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-4
52.2%
Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-3
52.7%
Drew Lock sacked by Bryson Allen-Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 13
OWN 34
-2
52.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 54 yds , Bryan Edwards returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
52.8%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the SCaro 10Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+10
52.7%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Shi Smith for 10 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
52.8%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
52.8%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-1
52.6%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
52.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 35 yds, downed at the Misso 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:1548% → 52%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
52.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+18
52.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 18 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
52.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+25
51.8%
Tyler Badie run for 25 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
51.8%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Scott, Kam (Rashad Fenton), PENALTY SC pass interference (Rashad Fenton) 6 yards to the SC2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
51.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the SCaro 1Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
49.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 16Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+4
49.1%
Michael Scarnecchia run for 4 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
48.7%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete, broken up by Terry Beckner Jr. SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
48.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:0052% → 54%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
48.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 6 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+7
47.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Badie for 7 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
47.5%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+15
47.4%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Gicinto, Domini (Steven Montac), PENALTY SC pass interference (Steven Montac) 15 yards to the SC36, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
47.3%
Damarea Crockett run for 9 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+15
47.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 15 yds to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
47.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 7 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+1
47.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the SCaro 4Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 4
0
45.9%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+22
46.0%
Tucker McCann 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:5646% → 54%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
45.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
45.9%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+37
45.7%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 37 yds to the SOCAROLINA 25 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
47.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 8 yds to the Misso 17Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+17
54.4%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 17 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
51.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
50.6%
Drew Lock run for 7 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
50.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 0
0
48.9%
PENALTY MU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY SC unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
50.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 7 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-5
50.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Albert Okwuegbunam) to the Misso 39Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
50.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert Okwuegbunam, broken up by Keisean NixonSimilar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
51.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:0052% → 53%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
51.5%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Shi Smith for 2 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (Cale Garrett) to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
52.4%
Ty'Son Williams run for 20 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
53.9%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-3
54.0%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 41Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+5
53.1%
M. Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, PENALTY MU offside (Anderson, Nate) 5 yards to the MU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
53.7%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, broken up by Christian HolmesSimilar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
52.5%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Rico Dowdle, broken up by Terez HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:3850% → 57%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
49.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 37Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
49.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 2 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+44
49.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 29 yds to the SOCAROLINA 32 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Keisean Nixon) to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
47.9%
Badie, Tyler rush for 7 yards to the SC10, out-of-bounds (Jaycee Horn), PENALTY MU holding (Cook, Case) 10 yards to the SC27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+13
48.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Badie for 13 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
47.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall Blanton, broken up by Steven MontacSimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
48.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson, broken up by Jamyest WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+32
43.3%
Tucker McCann 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
47.4%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
47.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
47.1%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Christian HolmesSimilar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
46.1%
Joseph Charlton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14FG
18 plays · 82 yds · 4:3056% → 65%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
43.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 17Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
43.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+6
44.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 6 yds to the Misso 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
43.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 9 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+12
42.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kam Scott for 12 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
41.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 1 yd to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+7
41.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kam Scott for 7 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+9
41.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 9 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
37.1%
Tyler Badie run for 9 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
36.6%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
36.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Samson Bailey for 21 yds to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
37.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
37.0%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the SCaro 3Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
38.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen Knox, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+22
35.1%
Tucker McCann 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
38.5%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Rico Dowdle for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
36.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
37.2%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
38.4%
Corey Fatony punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:4538% → 56%
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
38.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
38.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+11
39.2%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 11 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
40.6%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
40.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-6
40.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Blake Camper) to the Misso 49Similar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+9
38.7%
Michael Scarnecchia run for 9 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 14:19
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+8
39.0%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 8 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
42.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+3
42.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+20
40.5%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Shi Smith for 20 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
42.1%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, broken up by DeMarkus AcySimilar
Q3 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
56.0%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 8 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+59
47.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 59 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-4
43.8%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Albert Okwuegbunam) to the SCaro 15Similar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 14
OPP 15
-15
44.2%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the SCaro 15 MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Damarea Crockett) to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 29
OPP 30
0
45.5%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 29
OPP 30
-5
47.7%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 35Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 34
OPP 35
+1
47.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 33
OPP 34
0
50.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the SCaro 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Misso Corey Fatony , return for no gain to the SCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:0054% → 62%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
53.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 49 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Bryan Edwards) to the SCaro 39Similar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 17
OWN 39
+12
50.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 12 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+6
54.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
54.8%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+11
54.7%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 11 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+2
49.9%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the Misso 28 MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+3
56.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
54.3%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
62.1%
Parker White 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20INT TD
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:1540% → 22%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
59.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen Knox, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-2
60.0%
Drew Lock run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 17Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+12
77.6%
Drew Lock pass intercepted for a TD Sherrod Greene return for 12 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21MISSED FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 2:4626% → 22%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+41
74.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 41 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
70.8%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the SCaro 17Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
71.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+11
72.6%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Okwuegbunam, Al, PENALTY SC pass interference (J. Charleston) 11 yards to the SC2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
70.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 7 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Misso Larry Rountree IIISimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
70.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen Knox, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
72.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q3 2:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
78.4%
Tucker McCann 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:1482% → 81%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
81.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
81.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+9
80.9%
Deebo Samuel run for 9 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
81.9%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+2
81.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 33
0
82.0%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
81.1%
Joseph Charlton punt blocked by Tavon Ross blocked by Tavon RossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:4624% → 49%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
75.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 9 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+10
75.8%
Drew Lock run for 10 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
51.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD Timeout SOUTH CAROLINA, clock 13:54 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0062% → 58%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
61.8%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 27Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
60.8%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Ty'Son WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
58.8%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by DeMarkus AcySimilar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 12
OWN 27
+4
57.8%
Joseph Charlton run for 4 yds to the SCaro 32 Joseph Charlton fumbled, forced by Finis Stribling IV, recovered by Misso Jacob TrumpSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5547% → 57%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
53.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
52.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 2
OPP 24
-2
54.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
43.3%
Tucker McCann 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26FG
13 plays · 40 yds · 4:3848% → 70%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
48.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
51.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+9
50.7%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
50
+5
53.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
54.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
54.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-2
53.8%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+11
51.6%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 11 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
55.8%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
55.8%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
53.1%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Walter PalmoreSimilar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
70.1%
Parker White 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 27INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
62.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 6
OWN 13
0
62.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 6
OWN 13
0
64.4%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Jamyest Williams return for no gain to the Misso 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0074% → 70%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-9
74.3%
Michael Scarnecchia sacked by Terez Hall for a loss of 9 yards to the Misso 46 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, intentional grounding (Michael Scarnecchia) to the Misso 46Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 19
OPP 46
+1
71.8%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 18
OPP 45
+11
69.7%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 11 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+5
70.0%
Bailey Hart run for 5 yds to the Misso 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 29FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:4837% → 74%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
63.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Barrett Banister for 18 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
58.7%
Drew Lock run for 2 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+13
57.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 13 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
57.2%
Crockett, Damar rush for 8 yards to the SC30 (Kobe Smith), PENALTY MU holding (Cook, Case) 10 yards to the SC48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+6
60.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 6 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+4
61.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
59.7%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+57
25.8%
Tucker McCann 57 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 30FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 1:1645% → 95%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
44.5%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 6 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
48.1%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+9
45.9%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Kiel Pollard for 9 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
49.2%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+27
46.0%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Kyle Markway for 27 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
55.3%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
55.1%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 28Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+12
44.5%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 12 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+33
95.4%
Parker White 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
76.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen Knox, broken up by Bryan EdwardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:02
Parker White 33 yd FG GOOD
+57.3
FG · Q4 1:18
Tucker McCann 57 yd FG GOOD
-33.9
TD · Q4 13:54
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD Timeout SOUTH CAROLINA, clock 13:54 (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-24.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com