Try the model
ULM

UL Monroe 21 at Ole Miss 70

MISS
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:59 · Mac Brown punt for 44 yds , Marcus Green returns for 71 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior+18.6Home team on offense+30.5Score differential+27.1Blowout margin+14.1Garbage-time factor+10.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:49: Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 20 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK) — MISS win probability +0.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:18: Jordan Ta'amu run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Logan KICK) — MISS win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:13: Jordan Ta'amu run for 39 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK) — MISS win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:35: Derrick Gore run for 11 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +2.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:07: Scottie Phillips run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Logan KICK) — MISS win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ULM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00ULM 4th & 4 at MISS 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:58ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ULM 4th & 20 at ULM 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:13MISS 4th & 3 at ULM 39, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:07ULM 4th & 1 at MISS 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−1.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:07ULM 4th & 6 at MISS 26, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:43ULM 4th & 10 at midfield, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:44ULM 4th & 18 at ULM 34, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:54ULM 4th & 5 at MISS 15, down 56
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:59MISS 4th & 5 at MISS 27, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:29MISS 4th & 8 at ULM 43, up 56
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:32ULM 4th & 5 at MISS 36, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 10 of 10ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:58MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:49MISS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:18MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:13MISS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:35ULM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:07MISS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:43MISS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:04MISS Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 13:51MISS Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 10:04MISS Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 12:38MISS Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:25ULM Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 53 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
93.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 16 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
93.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 31 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
93.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+5
93.0%
Markis McCray run for 5 yds to the Miss 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+6
93.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 6 yds to the Miss 22Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 22
0
93.0%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 2TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:3592% → 93%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
92.4%
Scottie Phillips run for 1 yd to the Miss 23Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+51
92.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 51 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
92.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 9 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+15
92.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 15 yds to the LaMon 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
92.5%
Scottie Phillips run for no gain to the LaMon 2Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.6%
Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.4%
Derrick Gore run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
92.4%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
92.4%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
92.5%
Jared Porter punt for 32 yds, downed at the Miss 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 4TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:1392% → 93%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
92.4%
Scottie Phillips run for 5 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+26
92.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 26 yds to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
92.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 4 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+5
92.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 1
OPP 21
-5
92.4%
OLE MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+5
92.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge, PENALTY ULM offside (Veasley,Jaylen) 5 yards to the ULM21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+1
92.4%
Scottie Phillips run for 1 yd to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
93.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 20 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5FUMBLE
11 plays · 79 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
92.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Austin Vaughn for 15 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
92.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 18 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
92.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 8 yds to the Miss 41Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 2
OPP 41
-2
92.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 43Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+21
92.6%
Caleb Evans run for 21 yds to the Miss 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
92.4%
Derrick Gore run for 5 yds to the Miss 17Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
92.4%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+10
92.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 10 yds to the Miss 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.4%
Austin Vaughn run for no gain to the Miss 7Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
92.4%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the Miss 3 Caleb Evans fumbled, forced by Myles Hartsfield, recovered by Miss Donta EvansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 6TD
10 plays · 97 yds · 3:0993% → 95%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
92.8%
Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds to the Miss 5Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+31
92.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 31 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
92.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 24 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
93.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf, broken up by Corey StraughterSimilar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
93.1%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 7 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+6
93.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 6 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
93.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 14 yds to the LaMon 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
93.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 5 yds to the LaMon 8Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+7
93.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 7 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.9%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:135% → 5%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
94.6%
Kayin White run for no gain to the LaMon 33Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
94.7%
Caleb Evans run for no gain to the LaMon 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-10
95.0%
Caleb Evans sacked by Armani Linton for a loss of 10 yards to the LaMon 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 23
+4
95.0%
Jared Porter punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 34 , Elijah Moore returns for 4 yds to the Miss 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 8TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:0095% → 98%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
95.2%
Scottie Phillips run for 20 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
95.4%
Scottie Phillips run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 48Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+6
95.3%
Scottie Phillips run for 6 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+3
95.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 3 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+39
97.5%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 39 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:382% → 5%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 11 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
97.6%
Caleb Evans run for 18 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
97.5%
Derrick Gore run for 20 yds to the Miss 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
97.3%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the Miss 24Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-1
97.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 25Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+14
97.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for 2 yds to the Miss 23 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, roughing passer (Mohamed Sanogo) to the Miss 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
95.1%
Derrick Gore run for 11 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 10TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:2196% → 98%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
96.3%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 11 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
96.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
96.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 7 yds to the Miss 46Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+9
96.3%
Scottie Phillips run for 9 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+33
96.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 33 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
96.4%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 5 yds to the LaMon 7Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+6
96.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 6 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Scottie Phillips run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11DOWNS
13 plays · 49 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.5%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
98.5%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
98.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 14 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
98.4%
Caleb Evans run for 15 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-7
98.4%
Caleb Evans sacked by Qaadir Sheppard for a loss of 7 yards to the Miss 45 Caleb Evans fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+14
98.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to D'Marius Gillespie for 14 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
98.3%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the Miss 31Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+1
98.2%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the Miss 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.3%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
98.3%
Caleb Evans run for 4 yds to the Miss 26Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
98.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 6
OPP 26
0
98.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to D'Marius Gillespie, broken up by Ken WebsterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 12TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:3099% → 99%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
98.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 12 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
99.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 62 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.2%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+20
99.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
50
0
99.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Kayin WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
50
0
99.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to D'Marius GillespieSimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 10
50
0
99.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus Green, broken up by Zedrick WoodsSimilar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 10
50
0
99.2%
Jared Porter punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14TD
6 plays · 98 yds · 1:0399% → 100%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
99.1%
Isaiah Woullard run for 8 yds to the Miss 10Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+46
99.2%
Isaiah Woullard run for 46 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
99.2%
Jordan Ta'amu run for no gain to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive holding (Collin Turner) to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
99.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 18 yds to the LaMon 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf, broken up by Floyd ConnellSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 16 yds for a TD OLE MISS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (D.K. Metcalf) to the LaMon 18 (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0999% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
99.4%
Scottie Phillips run for 29 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.5%
Matt Corral pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+30
99.5%
Matt Corral pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 30 yds to the LaMon 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.6%
Matt Corral pass complete to Scottie Phillips for 11 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
99.6%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 21Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+6
99.6%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+15
99.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 15 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
99.6%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 37Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 15
OWN 37
-3
99.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 18
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Tyler LammSimilar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 18
OWN 34
-2
99.6%
Jared Porter punt for 49 yds , Elijah Moore returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 32 OLE MISS Penalty, illegal block (7 Yards) to the Miss 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18TD
2 plays · 92 yds · 0:29100% → 100%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+31
99.7%
Matt Corral pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 31 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
99.7%
Matt Corral run for 61 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.7%
Josh Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+35
99.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 35 yds to the Miss 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.7%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the Miss 18Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-4
99.7%
Caleb Evans sacked by Markel Winters and Ryder Anderson for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 22Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+7
99.7%
Markis McCray run for 7 yds to the Miss 15Similar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 5
OPP 15
-7
99.7%
Caleb Evans sacked by Brenden Williams and Ross Donelly for a loss of 7 yards to the Miss 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
99.7%
Eric Swinney run for 1 yd to the Miss 23Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+4
99.7%
Eric Swinney run for 4 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Matt Corral pass complete to Alex Weber for no gain to the Miss 27Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+71
99.8%
Mac Brown punt for 44 yds , Marcus Green returns for 71 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 7:21100% → 100%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.8%
Matt Corral sacked by David Griffith and Donald Louis Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 21Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
99.8%
Eric Swinney run for 3 yds to the Miss 24Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+13
99.8%
Matt Corral pass complete to Elijah Moore for 13 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.8%
Matt Corral pass complete to Eric Swinney for 1 yd to the Miss 38Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-3
99.8%
Eric Swinney run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 35Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+16
99.8%
Matt Corral pass complete to Elijah Moore for 16 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Eric Swinney run for no gain to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.9%
Matt Corral run for 11 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Matt Corral run for 2 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+12
99.9%
Matt Corral pass complete to Miles Battle for 12 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.9%
Matt Corral pass complete to Elijah Moore for 24 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22FUMBLE
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Colby Suits pass complete to Darius Rodrigue for 7 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+9
99.9%
Colby Suits run for 9 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+38
99.9%
Colby Suits pass complete to Perry Carter Jr. for 38 yds to the Miss 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Devin Jackson Jr.Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the Miss 15Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+10
99.9%
Colby Suits sacked by Ryder Anderson and Zedrick Woods for a loss of 13 yards to the Miss 45 Colby Suits fumbled, recovered by Miss Kevontae' Ruggs , return for 0 yards , return for 10 yds to the Miss 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
99.9%
Eric Swinney run for 8 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-8
99.9%
Eric Swinney run for 2 yds to the Miss 45 OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Miss 45Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Eric Swinney run for 4 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Matt Corral run for 6 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Mac Brown punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Perry Carter Jr. at the LaMon 14Similar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
99.9%
KeShun Wells run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
KeShun Wells run for 3 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Matt Corral run for 2 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 4:070% → 0%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
100.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Perry Carter Jr. for 17 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+12
100.0%
Colby Suits run for 12 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
100.0%
Javin Myers run for 9 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+7
100.0%
Javin Myers run for 7 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
100.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Darius Rodrigue for 9 yds to the Miss 32Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 1
OPP 32
-4
100.0%
Javin Myers run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 36Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+7
100.0%
Colby Suits run for 7 yds to the Miss 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
100.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Zachari Jackson for 12 yds to the Miss 17 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, roughing passer (James Coley) to the Miss 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Zachari Jackson for 8 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
KeShun Wells run for 11 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
100.0%
KeShun Wells run for 10 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:35
Derrick Gore run for 11 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)
-2.4
TD · Q2 12:13
Jordan Ta'amu run for 39 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q1 1:18
Jordan Ta'amu run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com