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ALA

Alabama 65 at Arkansas 31

ARK
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadALA aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreALA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:05 · TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:24: Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 8 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK) — ARK win probability +0.8 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:12: Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 42 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — ALA win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:09: Cole Kelley pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK) — ARK win probability +1.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:49: Damien Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas PAT MISSED) — ALA win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:38: Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 60 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — ALA win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:29ARK 4th & 6 at ARK 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:34ALA 4th & 1 at ALA 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:50ARK 4th & 6 at ARK 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:30ARK 4th & 3 at ARK 32, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:01ARK 4th & 1 at ARK 45, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:47ALA 4th & 1 at ARK 1, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:26ARK 4th & 13 at ALA 23, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:37ALA 4th & 9 at ARK 9, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ALA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 14:39ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:38ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:24ARK Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:12ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:09ARK Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:49ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:38ALA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:47ALA Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:15ALA Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:58ARK Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:59ALA Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:13ARK Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
1.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 76 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 2FUMBLE
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:442% → 2%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.7%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'GradySimilar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 8 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
1.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 10 yds to the Ark 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
1.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
-1
1.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 47Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+8
1.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Austin Cantrell for 8 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
2.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Michael Woods for 4 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
2.1%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jordan JonesSimilar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-4
2.1%
Ty Storey sacked by Isaiah Buggs for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 45 Ty Storey fumbled, forced by Isaiah Buggs, recovered by Alab Isaiah Buggs , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:5098% → 98%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
2.1%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 40Similar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+1
2.1%
Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 41Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+12
2.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 47 yds, fumble recovered by Henry Ruggs III , for a 12 yd TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:312% → 2%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
2.1%
Ty Storey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 23Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
2.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 6 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
2.2%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jordan JonesSimilar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
2.2%
Matthew Phillips punt for 47 yds, downed at the Alab 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:3798% → 98%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
2.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+27
2.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 27 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
2.2%
Damien Harris run for 13 yds to the Ark 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
2.2%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for 13 yds to the Ark 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
2.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Irv Smith Jr.Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+15
2.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 15 yds to the Ark 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
2.3%
Josh Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Ark 1Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.9%
Josh Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:062% → 3%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.0%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the Ark 25Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
2.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 21 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
2.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 6
50
+11
2.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 11 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
2.2%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Deon StewartSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+16
2.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Deon Stewart for 16 yds to the Alab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
2.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 24Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+16
2.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 16 yds to the Alab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
2.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for no gain to the Alab 8Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
2.3%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Grayson GunterSimilar
Q1 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
3.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 8 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4697% → 97%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
2.9%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
2.9%
Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
3.0%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
3.1%
Damien Harris run for no gain to the Alab 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 38 yds · 1:234% → 4%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
3.5%
Ty Storey run for 6 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+32
3.6%
Rakeem Boyd run for 32 yds to the Alab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
3.8%
Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the Alab 1 Ty Storey fumbled, recovered by Alab Deionte ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
5 plays · 99 yds · 1:4897% → 98%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+11
3.4%
Damien Harris run for 11 yds to the Alab 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+21
3.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 21 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
3.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 18 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
3.3%
Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Ark 42Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+42
2.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 42 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:012% → 5%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
2.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 23Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+20
2.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Chase Hayden for 20 yds to the Ark 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+37
2.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Deon Stewart for 37 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
2.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Michael Woods for 2 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+6
2.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Chase Hayden for 6 yds to the Alab 12Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+6
2.9%
Boyd, Rakeem rush for loss of 1 yard to the ALABAMA13, PENALTY ALABAMA face mask (Davis, Raekwon) 6 yards to the ALABAMA6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.Similar
Q2 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
3.0%
Cole Kelley run for 3 yds to the Alab 3Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.6%
Cole Kelley pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:1196% → 98%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
4.0%
Damien Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+11
4.1%
Damien Harris run for 11 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
4.0%
Damien Harris run for 16 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
4.0%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+17
4.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 17 yds to the Ark 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
4.1%
Tua Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+13
4.1%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 13 yds to the Ark 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
2.4%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:533% → 3%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.2%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'GradySimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
3.2%
Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
3.2%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Chase HaydenSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
3.2%
Reid Bauer punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13TD
1 play · 60 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
1.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 60 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:054% → 2%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
3.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 7 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
2.4%
Storey, Ty pass complete to Woods, Michael for 9 yards to the ARKANSAS41, PENALTY ARKANSAS ineligible downfield on pass (Warren, De'Vion) 5 yards to the ARKANSAS27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
1.6%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
1.5%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to De'Vion WarrenSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
1.5%
Reid Bauer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0899% → 99%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
1.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
1.5%
Josh Jacobs run for 9 yds to the Alab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:541% → 1%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
1.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 23Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
1.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Austin Cantrell for 13 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
1.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 37Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
1.3%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the Ark 39Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+6
1.3%
Ty Storey run for 6 yds to the Ark 45Similar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
1.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the Ark 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:0899% → 99%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
1.1%
Damien Harris run for 18 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
1.1%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta SmithSimilar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+19
1.1%
Damien Harris run for 19 yds to the Ark 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
1.0%
Damien Harris run for no gain to the Ark 7Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
1.0%
Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Ark 2Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.9%
Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Ark 1Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.8%
Damien Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:041% → 1%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 4 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
0.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 4 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+19
0.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 4 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Quinnen Williams) to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
0.8%
Chase Hayden run for 17 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
0.8%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Chase Hayden, broken up by Deionte ThompsonSimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
0.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 9 yds to the Alab 22Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
0.7%
Cole Kelley run for 2 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
0.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 21Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
0.9%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to La'Michael Pettway, broken up by Xavier McKinneySimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 11
OPP 21
-2
0.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for a loss of 2 yards Rakeem Boyd fumbled, recovered by ArkSimilar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+41
0.8%
Connor Limpert 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:43100% → 100%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
0.5%
Josh Jacobs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 31Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+14
0.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 14 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.5%
Josh Jacobs run for no gain to the Alab 45Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
0.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 3 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+16
0.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 16 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+26
0.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 26 yds to the Ark 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
0.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Ark 8Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
0.3%
Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Ark 4Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jaylen WaddleSimilar
Q4 13:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
0.4%
ALABAMA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Ark 9Similar
Q4 13:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
0.3%
Joseph Bulovas 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20INT TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:050% → 0%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for 9 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
0.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.2%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+44
0.2%
Ty Storey pass intercepted for a TD Shyheim Carter return for 44 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:070% → 0%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.2%
Jordan Jones run for 9 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
0.1%
Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+31
0.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 31 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
0.1%
Ty Storey run for 11 yds to the Alab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
0.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Alab 17Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+17
0.1%
De'Vion Warren 17 Yd pass from Ty Storey (Connor Limpert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 6:46100% → 100%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
0.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Alab 29Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+9
0.2%
Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
0.1%
Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+10
0.1%
Najee Harris run for 10 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
0.1%
Najee Harris run for 23 yds to the Ark 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
0.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ark 22Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+7
0.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+6
0.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Ark 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
0.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 10Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
0.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Ark 5Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 23TD
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
0.1%
Maleek Williams run for 1 yd to the Alab 21Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
0.1%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Grayson GunterSimilar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+11
0.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Tyson Morris for 11 yds to the Alab 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
0.1%
Ty Storey run for 9 yds to the Alab 1Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.1%
Storey, Ty pass incomplete to Pettway, La'Michael, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Smith, Saivion) 0 yards to the ALABAMA1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.Similar
Q4 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Cole Kelley run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24Uncategorized
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:49
Damien Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas PAT MISSED)
-1.8
TD · Q2 6:09
Cole Kelley pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q2 1:38
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 60 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
-1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com