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South Carolina 10 at Kentucky 24

UK
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:52 · Max Duffy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the KENTUCKY 8 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (6 Yards) to the SCaro 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Home team on offense+20.0Score differential+9.1Pregame prior−3.1Garbage-time factor+9.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:21: Terry Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +5.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:15: Asim Rose run for 24 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +8.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:53: Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +17.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:45: Asim Rose run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 20 — UK win probability +4.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:37: Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 58 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +13.1 pts (now 21%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 7 of 7SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:56SC 4th & 9 at SC 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:12UK 4th & 5 at UK 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:06UK 4th & 11 at SC 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:07SC 4th & 4 at UK 12, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:31SC 4th & 1 at SC 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:53SC 4th & 8 at UK 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−4.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:28UK 4th & 2 at SC 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:21UK 4th & 11 at SC 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:01UK 4th & 8 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:52UK 4th & 11 at UK 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:07SC 4th & 10 at SC 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:21SC 4th & 1 at SC 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.8%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:58SC 4th & 10 at UK 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:06UK 4th & 7 at UK 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:47SC 4th & 7 at UK 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:21UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:15UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:53UK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:37SC Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5761% → 61%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
39.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
39.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 49 yds, fair catch by David Bouvier at the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3839% → 40%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
39.6%
Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-3
39.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 30Similar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-2
39.7%
Max Duffy punt for 51 yds , Bryan Edwards returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:0660% → 60%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
39.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 12Similar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 15
OWN 12
-5
40.0%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 7 Rico Dowdle fumbled, forced by Jordan Jones, recovered by Kent Jordan JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4FG
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:5041% → 41%
Q1 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
40.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
40.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 1Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
40.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 6Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
41.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 11Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
41.1%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q1 10:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
41.3%
Miles Butler 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 4:4359% → 59%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
41.3%
Mon Denson run for 4 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+8
41.4%
Mon Denson run for 8 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
41.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+21
41.3%
Mon Denson run for 6 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
41.2%
Mon Denson run for 8 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+3
41.4%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
41.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Chavis DawkinsSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
41.6%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-5
41.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 38Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+20
42.4%
Jake Bentley run for 20 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
41.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
41.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+3
42.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 3 yds to the Kent 12Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
41.5%
Parker White 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:3642% → 52%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
42.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 7 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+13
42.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 13 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
43.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 7
50
+11
44.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 11 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
44.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 8 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+4
45.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
45.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 14 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
46.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+4
46.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.6%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4250% → 50%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
49.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
49.1%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
50.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:0851% → 63%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
50.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 17 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
51.9%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
51.7%
Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+20
52.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 20 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
54.3%
Asim Rose run for 9 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+6
55.0%
Asim Rose run for 6 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
63.2%
Asim Rose run for 24 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5240% → 39%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-3
60.7%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Derrick Baity Jr. return for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:0763% → 84%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
62.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 16 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
63.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+21
64.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to David Bouvier for 21 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
64.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 22Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+13
64.8%
Terry Wilson run for 13 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
66.0%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (5 Yards) to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
83.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:4322% → 19%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
78.5%
Jake Bentley run for 11 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
79.8%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+11
79.9%
A.J. Turner run for 11 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
79.4%
A.J. Turner run for 19 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
78.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kiel Pollard for 2 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
78.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
80.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
80.9%
Parker White 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12END OF HALF
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:3886% → 89%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
85.8%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 20Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+16
86.2%
Terry Wilson run for 16 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
87.8%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 37Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
88.4%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+15
89.3%
Terry Wilson run for 15 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
90.2%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
90.0%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 49Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 15
OPP 49
-10
89.4%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 5:3488% → 92%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
88.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 9 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
89.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 13 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
90.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 9
50
+14
90.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 14 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
91.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
91.6%
Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+1
92.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 28Similar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+4
91.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
92.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
93.0%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to C.J. ConradSimilar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
92.9%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Tavin RichardsonSimilar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+43
92.3%
Miles Butler 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:368% → 21%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
91.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 17 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
91.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+3
91.8%
Jake Bentley run for 3 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+2
92.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+58
79.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 58 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 2:0384% → 84%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
84.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 20
OPP 48
-15
83.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Kent 37Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 35
OWN 37
+2
83.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 33
OWN 39
+11
83.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 8
50
+21
84.2%
Max Duffy punt for 42 yds , Bryan Edwards returns for 21 yds to the KENTUCKY 29 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (Damani Staley) to the SCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3818% → 17%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
82.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Josh Vann for 7 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+3
81.5%
Jake Bentley run for 3 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
82.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kiel Pollard for 4 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
82.6%
Jake Bentley run for 2 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+32
83.4%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Darius West return for 17 yds to the KENTUCKY 48 KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Kent 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0887% → 88%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
87.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 1 yd to the Kent 49Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
89.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
89.2%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 6
OPP 48
-5
88.4%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Kent 47Similar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 11
OWN 47
+51
88.2%
Max Duffy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the KENTUCKY 8 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (6 Yards) to the SCaro 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2314% → 11%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-3
86.4%
Jake Bentley sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 1Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 13
OWN 1
+3
87.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 0:19
3RD & 10
OWN 4
0
87.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Kiel PollardSimilar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 10
OWN 4
+7
88.6%
Joseph Charlton punt for 40 yds , David Bouvier returns for 7 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19INT
9 plays · -13 yds · 3:3392% → 93%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
91.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-1
91.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+12
91.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
92.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 12
OPP 22
-5
92.2%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 27Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 17
OPP 27
+2
92.3%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 15
OPP 25
-10
92.8%
Wilson, Terry rush for 12 yards to the SOCAROLINA13, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 25
OPP 35
-15
92.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 40
50
0
92.5%
Terry Wilson pass intercepted Rashad Fenton return for no gain to the SCaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20INT
22 plays · 71 yds · 7:1610% → 7%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
90.3%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 7Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 12
OWN 7
0
90.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to A.J. TurnerSimilar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 12
OWN 7
+11
91.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 11 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+2
90.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
90.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 10 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
89.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
89.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+9
90.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 9 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
89.6%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
89.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 3 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
90.3%
Jake Bentley run for 7 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Kiel PollardSimilar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
90.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-6
91.5%
Jake Bentley sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 45Similar
Q4 5:58
4TH & 10
OPP 45
+13
92.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 13 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
91.0%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-10
91.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 44Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 22
OPP 44
+4
92.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 18
OPP 40
+20
94.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 20 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
93.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-2
93.1%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Mike Edwards return for 13 yds to the Kent 7 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Kent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3297% → 98%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
97.1%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-1
97.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 29Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+2
97.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
97.7%
Max Duffy punt for 52 yds, downed at the SCaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 1:133% → 2%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
97.2%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Shi Smith for 12 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.1%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+11
97.2%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 11 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
97.2%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to Josh Vann for 13 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
97.1%
Michael Scarnecchia pass complete to A.J. Turner for 9 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 1
OPP 38
-7
96.7%
Michael Scarnecchia sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 44 Michael Scarnecchia fumbled, forced by Jamar Watson, recovered by SCaro Michael Scarnecchia , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-4
97.4%
Michael Scarnecchia sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 44 Michael Scarnecchia fumbled, forced by Josh Allen, recovered by SCaro Zack Bailey , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
98.5%
Michael Scarnecchia pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23Uncategorized
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:1599% → 99%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
98.8%
TEAM run for 1 yd to the Kent 45Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
98.8%
TEAM run for no gain to the Kent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:53
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)
+17.5
TD · Q3 7:37
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 58 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)
-13.1
TD · Q2 9:15
Asim Rose run for 24 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com