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TENN

Tennessee 12 at Georgia 38

UGA
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:32 · Joe Doyle punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Pregame prior+46.2Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:30: D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +2.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:52: Justin Fields run for 12 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:14: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 37 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TENN win probability +1.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:10: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 35 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TENN win probability +5.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:31: D'Andre Swift run for 14 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:32TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:35TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:39UGA 4th & 12 at UGA 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:12TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 25, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:57UGA 4th & 15 at TENN 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:59TENN 4th & 7 at TENN 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:37UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:37TENN 4th & 12 at TENN 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:57UGA 4th & 1 at TENN 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.2%−0.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:30UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 47, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:43TENN 4th & 9 at midfield, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:34UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 16, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:44TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 30, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:52UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:30UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:52UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:14TENN Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:10TENN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.1%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:31UGA Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:41UGA Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:133% → 3%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
97.1%
Ty Chandler run for 17 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for no gain to the Tenn 42Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
96.9%
Josh Palmer run for 3 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+4
96.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 4 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 12:39
4TH & 3
OWN 49
-5
96.7%
Doyle, Joe punt 39 yards to the GEORGIA12, fair catch by Godwin, Terry, PENALTY TENNESSEE illegal formation 5 yards to the TENNESSEE44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
96.7%
Joe Doyle punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 3:2797% → 97%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
96.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 9 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+13
96.6%
Elijah Holyfield run for 13 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
96.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 8 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
96.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+22
96.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 22 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
96.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
96.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+31
96.5%
Jake Fromm sacked for 0 yds by Darrell Taylor, fumbled, recovered by Isaac Nauta, runs 31 Yds for TD (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:084% → 4%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
96.3%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Madre London run for no gain to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 6:46
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
96.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+66
96.2%
Joe Doyle punt for 71 yds for a touchback TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Batting (-5 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:4896% → 96%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
96.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 7 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
96.0%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
95.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to James Cook for 5 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-2
95.9%
Jake Fromm run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
95.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to D'Andre SwiftSimilar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 7
OWN 40
-5
95.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
95.5%
Jake Camarda punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:164% → 5%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
95.6%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 16Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
95.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 9 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 1
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Austin PopeSimilar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Joe Doyle punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 5:1096% → 95%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
95.6%
Elijah Holyfield run for 7 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-1
95.6%
Elijah Holyfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 0:42
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+16
95.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 16 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
95.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+15
95.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 15 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
95.2%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+7
95.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
-5
94.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-9
94.8%
Jake Fromm sacked by Darrell Taylor for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 25 Jake Fromm fumbled, forced by Darrell Taylor, recovered by Geo Lamont Gaillard , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+43
94.5%
Rodrigo Blankenship 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:505% → 5%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.8%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
94.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
94.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 12 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
94.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Drew Richmond) to the Tenn 37Similar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+8
94.5%
Ty Chandler run for 8 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
94.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-AndersonSimilar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
94.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-AndersonSimilar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
94.6%
Joe Doyle punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:1294% → 94%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
94.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+23
94.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 23 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
94.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole HardmanSimilar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
94.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Jeremiah HollomanSimilar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
93.9%
Jake Camarda punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:516% → 6%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
94.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 8 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
94.1%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
94.1%
Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the Tenn 31Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-6
94.0%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by D'Andre Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 15
OWN 25
-2
94.2%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 23Similar
Q2 5:45
4TH & 17
OWN 23
+5
94.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Eric Stokes) to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
94.2%
Joe Doyle punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 4:5994% → 97%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
93.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 5 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
94.0%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
94.1%
Justin Fields pass complete to Riley Ridley for 5 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+13
94.0%
Justin Fields run for 13 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
94.0%
GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 46Similar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
94.0%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Jayson StanleySimilar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+9
93.9%
Brian Herrien run for 9 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+5
93.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
93.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for no gain to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+6
94.1%
Brian Herrien run for 6 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
94.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 12 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
94.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 12 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.6%
Team fumbled, recovered by Elijah Holyfield, run for 1 yd to the Tenn 1Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:0196% → 99%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
96.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 11 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
96.2%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+17
96.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 17 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
96.2%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
96.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 4 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+7
96.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for 7 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
97.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 8 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+6
97.0%
Brian Herrien run for 6 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.6%
Justin Fields run for 12 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:312% → 3%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.4%
Jeremy Banks run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
98.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 13 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
98.4%
Jeremy Banks run for no gain to the Geo 40 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (D'Andre Walker) to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
98.4%
Josh Palmer run for 1 yd to the Geo 44Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+5
98.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 5 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-1
98.4%
Jeremy Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+5
98.5%
Guarantano, Jarrett pass incomplete to Palmer, Josh, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Campbell, Tyson) 5 yards to the GEORGIA35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
98.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+37
96.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 37 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:3897% → 98%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+16
97.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 16 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
97.7%
Elijah Holyfield run for 1 yd to the Geo 44Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-6
97.7%
Jake Fromm sacked by Darrell Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 15
OWN 38
+9
97.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 9 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
97.5%
Jake Camarda punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:333% → 3%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
96.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 7 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+10
97.0%
Jeremy Banks run for 10 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
97.1%
Jeremy Banks run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 9
50
0
97.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Tyler ByrdSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 9
50
0
96.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 9
50
0
96.9%
Joe Doyle punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5999% → 99%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
98.9%
Jake Fromm run for 3 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-2
99.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 16Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
99.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole HardmanSimilar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
98.8%
Jake Camarda punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 2:163% → 8%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
97.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 10 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
96.9%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+10
97.0%
Tim Jordan run for 10 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
96.9%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Julian Rochester and Tyler Clark for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 35Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+35
91.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 35 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:3396% → 100%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
96.2%
Demetris Robertson run for 2 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
96.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 10 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
96.6%
Justin Fields run for 6 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+2
96.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+4
96.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
96.7%
James Cook run for 4 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+11
97.0%
Brian Herrien run for 11 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
97.2%
Justin Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 33 Justin Fields fumbled, recovered by Geo Justin FieldsSimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+9
97.2%
Brian Herrien run for 9 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+6
97.1%
Brian Herrien run for 6 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
97.5%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
99.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 14 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.2%
Jeremy Banks run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31 Jeremy Banks fumbled, forced by D'Andre Walker, recovered by Geo Juwan TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
99.6%
Elijah Holyfield run for 16 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Justin Fields run for 15 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 24Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Madre London run for 1 yd to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Madre London run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Joe Doyle punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:10
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 35 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-5.4
TD · Q2 0:30
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q4 3:31
D'Andre Swift run for 14 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com