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ARK

Arkansas 17 at Texas A&M 24

TA&M
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadARK aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreARK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:26 · Braden Mann punt for 49 yds, downed at the Ark 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Pregame prior+15.3Home team on offense+11.6Garbage-time factor+5.6Score differential+2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Blowout margin−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:35: Cole Kelley run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Limpert KICK) — ARK win probability +4.0 pts (now 12%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 11:16: Connor Limpert 47 yd FG GOOD — ARK win probability +2.4 pts (now 15%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:03: Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +4.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:16: Ty Storey pass complete to Michael Woods for 29 yds for a TD (Connor Limpert KICK) — ARK win probability +12.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:09: Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 25 — TA&M win probability +6.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ARK made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:26ARK 4th & 8 at ARK 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:08ARK 4th & 17 at ARK 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:28ARK 4th & 4 at TA&M 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:43TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:12ARK 4th & 14 at ARK 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:36TA&M 4th & 3 at ARK 13, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    88.4%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:15TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.2%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:45ARK 4th & 10 at ARK 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:16ARK 4th & 5 at TA&M 29, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:19TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:01ARK 4th & 6 at ARK 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−1.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:26TA&M 4th & 6 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:48ARK 4th & 6 at ARK 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:33TA&M 4th & 9 at ARK 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    80.2%−8.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:34ARK 4th & 9 at ARK 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:51TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ARK made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:36TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:35ARK Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:03TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:16ARK Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:099% → 9%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the Ark 25Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 27Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
91.3%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jeremy PattonSimilar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-2
91.3%
Reid Bauer punt for 50 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:2391% → 92%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
91.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 13 yds to the TexAM 34 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 24Similar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 7
OWN 24
+2
91.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+5
91.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 5 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
91.0%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 36Similar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 5
OWN 36
+15
91.0%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Rogers, Kendrick, PENALTY ARKANSAS pass interference (McClellion, Jarques) 15 yards to the ARKANSAS49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
91.1%
Kellen Mond run for 12 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
91.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+13
91.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 13 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+19
90.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 19 yds to the Ark 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:129% → 8%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
91.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 10Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 11
OWN 10
0
91.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jordan JonesSimilar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 11
OWN 10
-6
91.4%
Ty Storey sacked by Landis Durham for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 4Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 17
OWN 4
+1
91.6%
Reid Bauer punt for 47 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 1 yd to the TexAM 5 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the TexAM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:3492% → 92%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
91.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
91.8%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Dre Greenlaw return for no gain to the Ark 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:389% → 9%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
91.1%
T.J. Hammonds run for 4 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
91.1%
Ty Storey run for 5 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
-3
90.9%
T.J. Hammonds run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 45Similar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
91.1%
Reid Bauer punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:3792% → 91%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
91.6%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 24Similar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 5
OWN 24
+3
91.7%
Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+2
91.7%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
91.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
91.5%
Jashaun Corbin run for 6 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
91.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q1 1:43
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
91.3%
Braden Mann punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:149% → 9%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
91.0%
Ty Storey sacked by Daylon Mack for a loss of 9 yards to the Ark 11Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+5
91.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 5 yds to the Ark 16Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 14
OWN 16
0
91.1%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q1 0:12
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
91.2%
Reid Bauer punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:2492% → 93%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
91.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+23
91.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 23 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
91.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 16 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
91.9%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the Ark 18Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
92.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jace SternbergerSimilar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+5
91.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 5 yds to the Ark 13Similar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+30
93.1%
Seth Small 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:507% → 12%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
92.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 36 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
92.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 16 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
92.0%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the TexAM 23Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+17
92.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 17 yds to the TexAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
92.0%
Cole Kelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
92.1%
T.J. Hammonds run for 5 yds to the TexAM 1Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.1%
Cole Kelley run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11INT
12 plays · 44 yds · 5:5589% → 89%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 9 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
89.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
89.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
89.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
88.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
88.4%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+26
89.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 26 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
89.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Ark 23Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-10
89.4%
Mond, Kellen rush for 5 yards to the ARKANSAS18, PENALTY TEXASAM holding 10 yards to the ARKANSAS32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+2
89.0%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the Ark 30Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+5
88.8%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Dre Greenlaw return for 5 yds to the Ark 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0512% → 11%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
88.5%
Ty Storey sacked by Justin Madubuike for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 19Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 14
OWN 19
-2
88.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jordan Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 17Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 16
OWN 17
+6
89.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 6 yds to the Ark 23Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 10
OWN 23
+50
88.9%
Reid Bauer punt for 50 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 1:3488% → 89%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
88.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+8
88.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 8 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
88.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 9 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+10
89.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 10 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
89.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 13 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
89.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
89.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+10
88.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 10 yds to the Ark 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+36
89.1%
Seth Small 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
87.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:4012% → 15%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.0%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Austin CantrellSimilar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
88.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
50
+2
86.7%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
87.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+11
87.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 11 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
86.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Deon Stewart for 6 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+1
86.4%
Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-2
87.0%
Ty Storey sacked by Kingsley Keke and Landis Durham for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 29Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+47
84.6%
Connor Limpert 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 4:4486% → 86%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
86.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+6
86.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 6 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
87.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
87.8%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+3
87.1%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 12
OWN 42
-4
87.7%
Kellen Mond sacked by Armon Watts for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 38Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 16
OWN 38
-5
86.8%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 21
OWN 33
+10
86.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 10 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
85.8%
Braden Mann punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Deon Stewart at the Ark 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0916% → 14%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
84.4%
Ty Storey sacked by Kingsley Keke for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 3Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 14
OWN 3
+10
84.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 10 yds to the Ark 13Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 4
OWN 12
-5
85.1%
ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 7Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+4
85.4%
Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the Ark 11Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
85.6%
Reid Bauer punt for 43 yds, downed at the TexAM 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1288% → 87%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-9
87.7%
Kellen Mond sacked by De'Jon Harris for a loss of 9 yards to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 19
OWN 37
0
86.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 19
OWN 37
+13
85.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 6
50
0
86.5%
Braden Mann punt for 49 yds, downed at the Ark 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:2616% → 14%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
83.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 2Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+1
84.0%
TEAM run for 1 yd to the Ark 3 Ty Clary fumbled, recovered by Ark Ty Storey pass incomplete to Michael WoodsSimilar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+21
85.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Michael Woods for 21 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
84.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+5
84.5%
Ty Storey run for 5 yds to the Ark 28Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
84.8%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
85.6%
Reid Bauer punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20MISSED FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:5789% → 89%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
88.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the TexAM 28Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 23
-5
88.6%
Kellen Mond sacked by TEAM for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 23 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the TexAM 23Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 14
OWN 23
+15
87.7%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete, PENALTY ARKANSAS personal foul 15 yards to the TEXASAM38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
89.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 9 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+9
90.4%
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
90.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 15 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
90.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 6 yds to the Ark 23Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+7
90.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 7 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
90.7%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 17Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+1
90.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the Ark 16Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+1
90.1%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the Ark 15Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+33
89.0%
Seth Small 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3815% → 13%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
85.1%
Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the Ark 21Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
85.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'GradySimilar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
86.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Michael WoodsSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
87.1%
Reid Bauer punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:1790% → 97%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
90.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 7 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+9
90.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 9 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
90.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 15
50
+8
91.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 8 yds to the Ark 42Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+16
91.6%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the Ark 41 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Ark 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
91.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the Ark 24Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+20
92.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 20 yds to the Ark 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:365% → 18%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 11 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.6%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
95.5%
Ty Storey run for 11 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Michael WoodsSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+24
95.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 24 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
82.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Michael Woods for 29 yds for a TD (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 1:1893% → 95%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
94.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 16 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
95.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
95.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 43Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
95.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
95.1%
Braden Mann punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Deon Stewart at the Ark 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 25INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:357% → 8%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
92.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jordan Jones for 8 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+11
91.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 11 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
91.9%
Ty Storey pass intercepted Donovan Wilson return for no gain to the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3597% → 96%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-1
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:16
Ty Storey pass complete to Michael Woods for 29 yds for a TD (Connor Limpert KICK)
-12.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:09
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 25
+6.3
TD · Q4 5:03
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com