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SC

South Carolina 37 at Vanderbilt 14

VAN
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:02 · Parker Thome punt for 52 yds, downed at the SCaro 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Home team on offense−25.1Score differential−12.0Pregame prior−2.1Garbage-time factor−9.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:40: Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +8.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:22: Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +4.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:23: Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +7.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Parker White 35 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +5.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:06: Mon Denson run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +12.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 10SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 14:05VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:21SC 4th & 1 at VAN 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45SC 4th & 3 at VAN 16, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:54SC 4th & 7 at SC 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:22VAN 4th & 13 at VAN 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:55VAN 4th & 1 at SC 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%−1.0
    84% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:23SC 4th & 4 at SC 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:53VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 45, down 6
    Close callPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:16SC 4th & 3 at VAN 19, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%−0.9
    77% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−9.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:16VAN 4th & 16 at VAN 16, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−3.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:33SC 4th & 7 at VAN 44, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−1.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:06VAN 4th & 6 at SC 32, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.3%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:02VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 15, down 16
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:38VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 48, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.1%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:38VAN 4th & 10 at SC 45, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−1.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    7.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:05SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:40VAN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:22SC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:23VAN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:06SC Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:04SC Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5560% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
40.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 15 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
40.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 14 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
40.4%
[SH], Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards (J. Williams), PENALTY VANDY personal foul (J. Williams) 8 yards to the VANDY38, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
40.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 38 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
40.4%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
40.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
40.4%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 2 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-1
40.5%
Jamauri Wakefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
40.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Cam Johnson, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+5
40.4%
Parker Thome punt for 43 yds , Bryan Edwards returns for 5 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 5:3660% → 61%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
40.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 20 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
40.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 11 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
39.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to A.J. Turner, QB hurry by Louis Vecchio, PENALTY SC ineligible downfield on pass (S. Hutcherson) 5 yards to the VANDY49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+1
40.0%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the Vandy 48Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+9
40.1%
A.J. Turner run for 9 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+5
40.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
39.9%
[SH], Rico Dowdle rush for 7 yards to the VANDY27 (Jordan Griffin), PENALTY SC holding (Blake Camper) 10 yards to the VANDY44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+7
40.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+6
39.9%
Jake Bentley run for 6 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+5
40.0%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Vandy 26Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
39.9%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
40.1%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
39.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the Vandy 16Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 3
OPP 16
0
39.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 3
OPP 16
0
39.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+33
38.9%
Parker White 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
39.6%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 5 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
39.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass intercepted Rashad Fenton return for no gain to the SCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
39.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-5
39.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 12 yards to the SC32 (LaDarius Wiley), PENALTY SC ineligible downfield on pass (Zack Bailey) 5 yards to the SC15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
39.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
39.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Joejuan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
39.6%
Joseph Charlton punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
38.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 9 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+9
38.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 9 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
38.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 43Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
38.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn, broken up by Javon KinlawSimilar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 13
OWN 43
0
38.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
37.7%
Parker Thome punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
37.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
38.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
38.2%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Dare Odeyingbo return for 7 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:2039% → 47%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
38.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the SCaro 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+7
38.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 7 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
38.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the SCaro 14Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+3
37.6%
Kyle Shurmur run for 3 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
39.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 9 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
47.3%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:1857% → 65%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
43.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
42.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 6 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+52
42.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 52 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
34.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5935% → 45%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
34.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 14 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
35.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 14 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
36.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
36.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 2 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+11
36.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 11 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
37.5%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 9 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+10
37.5%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 10 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
37.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 11 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
37.5%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 2 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
37.5%
Jamauri Wakefield run for no gain to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
44.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
41.9%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
42.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+13
43.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 13 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
41.0%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
40.7%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
40.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
42.3%
Joseph Charlton punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
41.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+4
41.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
40.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
39.9%
Parker Thome punt for 36 yds, downed at the SCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 1:1061% → 68%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
38.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+16
40.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 16 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
37.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 9 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+10
36.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 10 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
36.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 10 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
37.4%
Jake Bentley sacked by Tae Daley for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 13Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 11
OPP 13
-5
37.6%
[SH], Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, PENALTY SC ineligible downfield on pass (Donell Stanley) 5 yards to the VANDY18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 18
+35
31.8%
Parker White 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0038% → 39%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
38.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 16 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
38.8%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
40.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+4
39.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 4 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
38.6%
Parker Thome punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 2:4065% → 71%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
35.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 11 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
34.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
34.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+13
33.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
50
+9
32.4%
A.J. Turner run for 9 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+15
32.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 15 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
32.0%
A.J. Turner run for 7 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 3
OPP 19
0
32.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Jamyest WilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 3
OPP 19
0
32.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, broken up by Donovan SheffieldSimilar
Q3 10:16
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+36
29.5%
Parker White 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
30.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-2
30.0%
Khari Blasingame run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 20Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 12
OWN 20
-7
28.7%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Javon Kinlaw for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 16 Kyle Shurmur fumbled, recovered by Vandy Bruno Reagan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 10:16
4TH & 16
OWN 16
0
28.1%
Parker Thome punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
28.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+6
27.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
27.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 9 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+6
26.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
26.7%
Jake Bentley run for 3 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
26.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Randrecous DavisSimilar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+5
27.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 5 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-5
28.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Donell Stanley) to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
28.0%
Joseph Charlton punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
27.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 17 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
28.7%
Khari Blasingame run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
28.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trey EllisSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+13
26.8%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Javon Kinlaw for a loss of 11 yards to the Vandy 6 Kyle Shurmur fumbled, recovered by SCaro Aaron Sterling , return for 0 yards , return for 13 yds to the Vandy 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3076% → 89%
Q3 4:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
24.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 5 yds to the Vandy 1Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.5%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
15.6%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 6 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+7
16.3%
Kalija Lipscomb run for 7 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+27
16.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 27 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
17.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
18.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Josh Crawford, broken up by Steven MontacSimilar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
18.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney, broken up by Steven MontacSimilar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 6
OPP 32
0
17.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 67 yds · 1:2590% → 92%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
9.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
9.7%
Jake Bentley run for 2 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+12
9.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kiel Pollard for 12 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
9.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 21 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
8.3%
Jake Bentley run for 19 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
8.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the Vandy 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
8.1%
Jake Bentley run for 2 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+3
8.2%
[SH], Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jacob August (Jordan Griffin), PENALTY VANDY pass interference (Jordan Griffin) 3 yards to the VANDY2, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+7
8.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the Vandy 8 Rico Dowdle fumbled, forced by Dayo Odeyingbo, recovered by Vandy Dare Odeyingbo , return for 7 yds to the Vandy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
11.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney, broken up by Keisean NixonSimilar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+7
11.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 7 yds to the Vandy 15Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
11.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trey Ellis VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
11.5%
Parker Thome punt for 52 yds, downed at the SCaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23FUMBLE
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
7.3%
[SH], A.J. Turner rush for 3 yards to the SC36 (Tae Daley), PENALTY SC illegal formation 5 yards to the SC28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+19
7.2%
A.J. Turner run for 19 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
6.7%
Jake Bentley run for 8 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+4
6.6%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
6.6%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd to the Vandy 40Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+15
6.7%
A.J. Turner run for 15 yds to the Vandy 25 A.J. Turner fumbled, forced by Allan George, recovered by Vandy Zaire JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24DOWNS
15 plays · 24 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
7.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 15 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
7.8%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 9 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
8.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-1
8.2%
Jamauri Wakefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 48Similar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+7
7.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 7 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
8.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
8.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
7.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney, broken up by Steven MontacSimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 10
OPP 45
+13
7.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 13 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
9.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+15
8.1%
[SH], Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, PENALTY SC pass interference (Keisean Nixon) 15 yards to the SC22, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
9.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Keisean NixonSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
8.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 3 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
8.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the Vandy 49 TEAM fumbled, recovered by VandySimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 39
OWN 49
0
7.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Chris PierceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25TD
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:5096% → 100%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
4.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 10 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
4.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+7
4.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 7 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
2.8%
Ty'Son Williams run for no gain to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
2.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+22
2.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 22 yds to the Vandy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
2.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the Vandy 1Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 26END OF GAME
10 plays · 68 yds · 1:471% → 0%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
0.7%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 7 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+12
0.7%
Mo Hasan pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 12 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
0.7%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 11 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
0.7%
Mo Hasan run for 14 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.8%
Mo Hasan pass incomplete to Sam DobbsSimilar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
0.8%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 8 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+4
0.2%
[SH], Mo Hasan pass complete to J. Wakefield for 3 yards to the SC18 (T.J. Brunson), PENALTY SC offside 4 yards to the SC17, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
0.3%
Mo Hasan run for 12 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:06
Mon Denson run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q2 11:40
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)
+8.3
TD · Q2 5:23
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com