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UGA

Georgia 43 at Missouri 29

MIZ
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:08 · Rodrigo Blankenship 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Walter Palmore
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior−4.6Home team on offense−30.8Score differential−12.2Garbage-time factor−11.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:50: Damarea Crockett 5 Yd Run (Tucker McCann Kick) — MIZ win probability +9.7 pts (now 18%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:59: Jeremiah Holloman 61 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — UGA win probability +7.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:46: Tyler Badie 3 Yd Run (Drew Lock Pass to Albert Okwuegbunam for Two-Point Conversion) — MIZ win probability +10.0 pts (now 19%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:52: Mecole Hardman 54 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +9.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:47: Drew Lock 11 Yd Run (Tucker McCann Kick) — MIZ win probability +11.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q2 13:51UGA 4th & 4 at MIZ 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.5%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−2.0
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:07UGA 4th & 4 at MIZ 4, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.5%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−3.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:45MIZ 4th & 10 at MIZ 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:17UGA 4th & 5 at MIZ 32, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.5%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:45MIZ 4th & 15 at MIZ 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:00UGA 4th & 1 at MIZ 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.1%−1.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:58MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 37, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:50MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 33, down 19
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:54UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 14, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:12MIZ 4th & 1 at midfield, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.7%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:08UGA 4th & 5 at MIZ 18, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−3.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:58MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.7%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:41UGA 4th & 18 at MIZ 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.7
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:18MIZ 4th & 10 at MIZ 25, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:01UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:03MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:45UGA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:29UGA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:50MIZ Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:59UGA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:46MIZ Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    11.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:52UGA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:47MIZ Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1INT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:4686% → 85%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
13.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 7 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+9
14.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
50
-1
14.3%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+10
14.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to James Cook for 10 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
14.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
15.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole HardmanSimilar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
15.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for no gain to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
15.4%
Jake Fromm pass intercepted Christian Holmes return for no gain to the Misso 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:0816% → 16%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
15.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 5 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+25
16.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Badie for 25 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
16.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
16.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-64
15.8%
Tyson Campbell 64 Yd Fumble Return (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3MISSED FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:4116% → 16%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
15.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 16 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
16.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+7
16.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 7 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
16.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Geo 23Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
16.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall BlantonSimilar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
16.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Damarea CrockettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4384% → 83%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
15.8%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+3
15.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-5
16.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Tyler Simmons) to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
16.4%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 9
OWN 24
-5
16.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Tyler Simmons) to the Geo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:3917% → 22%
Q1 4:42
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+5
17.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
17.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+8
17.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 8 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
18.1%
Drew Lock run for 10 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
18.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 9 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+7
18.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Geo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
18.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q1 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
21.8%
Larry Rountree III 7 Yd Run (Tucker McCann Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:1280% → 80%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
20.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 15 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
19.7%
Elijah Holyfield run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
50
+17
19.6%
Elijah Holyfield run for 17 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
19.8%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Misso 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
19.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 14:36
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+3
20.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 3 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+44
20.3%
Rodrigo Blankenship 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:5121% → 23%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
20.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 7 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
21.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 5 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
21.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+43
23.1%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Tae Crowder return for 43 yds to the Misso 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5280% → 81%
Q2 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
19.9%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the Misso 4Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
20.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole HardmanSimilar
Q2 11:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
20.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 11:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
19.0%
Rodrigo Blankenship 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2120% → 19%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
20.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
19.5%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
19.3%
Corey Fatony punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10MISSED FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:2481% → 81%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
19.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-10
19.3%
Holyfield, Elijah rush for 5 yards to the GEORGIA38, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Kindley, Solomon) 10 yards to the GEORGIA23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 20
OWN 23
+16
19.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 16 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+24
18.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Elijah Holyfield for 24 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
18.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for 5 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-1
18.3%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 33Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+1
18.2%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+49
19.0%
Rodrigo Blankenship 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11PUNT TD
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3121% → 15%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
20.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-10
21.0%
Rountree III, Larry rush for loss of 1 yard to the MISSOURI34, PENALTY MISSOURI holding 10 yards to the MISSOURI25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 17
OWN 25
+2
20.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 15
OWN 27
0
20.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q2 5:45
4TH & 15
OWN 27
+8
15.0%
Eric Stokes 8 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12FUMBLE
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:2616% → 17%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.5%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
15.8%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Grant, Walter) 10 yards to the MISSOURI40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI.Similar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
16.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Paul Adams) to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+4
15.5%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+4
15.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Badie for 4 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+8
15.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 8 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
16.8%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
16.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 7 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-3
16.7%
Drew Lock sacked by D'Andre Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 45 Drew Lock fumbled, forced by D'Andre Walker, recovered by Geo Deandre Baker , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:1785% → 87%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
14.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 9 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+6
14.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 6 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
13.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole HardmanSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
13.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Ahkil CrumptonSimilar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+4
13.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+5
13.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tre Williams) to the Misso 31Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
13.4%
Brian Herrien run for no gain to the Misso 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:5716% → 14%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
15.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-6
15.3%
Drew Lock sacked by D'Andre Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 25 Drew Lock fumbled, forced by D'Andre Walker, recovered by Misso Kevin Pendleton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 25
-5
14.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, Delay of Game (Drew Lock) to the Misso 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5616% → 15%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
16.1%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
15.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 37Similar
Q3 14:16
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
15.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Larry Rountree IIISimilar
Q3 13:58
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+23
15.2%
Corey Fatony punt for 45 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 23 yds to the Geo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 2:2887% → 95%
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
13.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 4 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+7
13.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 7 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
12.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+8
12.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
5.5%
Riley Ridley 33 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:388% → 18%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
7.6%
Drew Lock run for 10 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
7.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 14 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
8.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 12 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
8.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 7 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+4
8.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
8.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
8.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+12
8.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 12 yds to the Geo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
8.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
8.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+6
8.1%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Johnson, Johnathon, PENALTY GEORGIA roughing passer (Ledbetter, Jonathan) 6 yards to the GEORGIA5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI.Similar
Q3 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
17.7%
Damarea Crockett 5 Yd Run (Tucker McCann Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:5087% → 95%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
12.7%
Mecole Hardman run for 5 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+61
5.0%
Jeremiah Holloman 61 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:089% → 9%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
8.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 7 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
9.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
8.9%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
8.6%
Corey Fatony punt for 60 yds, downed at the Geo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5595% → 96%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
5.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+7
5.0%
Elijah Holyfield run for 7 yds to the Geo 16Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 1
OWN 16
-2
4.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 14Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
4.3%
Jake Camarda punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:078% → 19%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
8.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 14 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
8.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
8.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+16
7.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 16 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
8.8%
Tyler Badie run for 13 yds to the Geo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
8.9%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+11
8.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 11 yds to the Geo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
8.8%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Geo 3Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
18.8%
Tyler Badie 3 Yd Run (Drew Lock Pass to Albert Okwuegbunam for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:5384% → 96%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
15.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole HardmanSimilar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+12
15.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 12 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
15.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
12.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 8 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
3.9%
Mecole Hardman 54 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:046% → 16%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
6.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 16 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
6.5%
Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
5.9%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 1
50
0
5.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall BlantonSimilar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 1
50
+11
5.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 11 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
5.5%
Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
5.7%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+10
5.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 10 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
5.3%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+3
4.9%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Geo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
16.4%
Drew Lock 11 Yd Run (Tucker McCann Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24MISSED FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:3889% → 92%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
10.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 19 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
9.3%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+19
9.0%
Elijah Holyfield run for 19 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
8.5%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+8
8.0%
Jake Fromm run for 8 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
7.6%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
7.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
6.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole HardmanSimilar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
7.9%
Rodrigo Blankenship 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Walter PalmoreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:098% → 8%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
7.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 12 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
8.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
7.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 7 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
8.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+2
7.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 2 yds to the Misso 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:1694% → 98%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
6.4%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
6.4%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+27
6.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 27 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
5.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Misso 9Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
4.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for no gain to the Misso 9Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-14
3.5%
Mecole Hardman run for 1 yd to the Misso 8 GEORGIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cade Mays) to the Misso 23Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 18
OPP 23
+40
2.2%
Rodrigo Blankenship 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:222% → 2%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
2.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
2.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
2.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:1798% → 98%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
1.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
-1
1.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:47
Drew Lock 11 Yd Run (Tucker McCann Kick)
+11.6
TD · Q3 1:46
Tyler Badie 3 Yd Run (Drew Lock Pass to Albert Okwuegbunam for Two-Point Conversion)
+10
TD · Q3 7:50
Damarea Crockett 5 Yd Run (Tucker McCann Kick)
+9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com