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KENT

Kent State 17 at Ole Miss 38

MISS
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:25 · Eric Swinney run for 22 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:20: Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK) — MISS win probability +4.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:18: Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 41 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK) — MISS win probability +5.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:45: Woody Barrett run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +9.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q3 0:03: Luke Logan 27 yd FG GOOD — MISS win probability +5.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:55: Jordan Ta'amu run for 4 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK) — MISS win probability +5.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 6 of 7KENT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 11 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:14KENT 4th & 3 at MISS 31, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.2%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:14MISS 4th & 17 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:03KENT 4th & 25 at KENT 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:55MISS 4th & 23 at KENT 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00KENT 4th & 16 at MISS 34, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:41MISS 4th & 12 at MISS 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:28MISS 4th & 8 at MISS 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:19KENT 4th & 1 at MISS 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:07MISS 4th & 7 at KENT 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:20KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.9%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:00KENT 4th & 10 at MISS 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−4.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:03MISS 4th & 1 at KENT 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%−2.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−8.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:03MISS 4th & 3 at KENT 10, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.1%−0.8
    88% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−9.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:58KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 3 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:20MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:28KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:20MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:18MISS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:45KENT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:55MISS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:06MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.7%
KENT ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
95.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
95.7%
Woody Barrett run for 9 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
95.7%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 5 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
95.7%
Woody Barrett run for 6 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
95.7%
Justin Rankin run for 11 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
95.7%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
50
0
95.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
50
0
95.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
50
0
95.7%
Woody Barrett punt for 27 yds, downed at the Miss 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 2TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:4195% → 95%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
95.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the Miss 28Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+7
95.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 7 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
95.4%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 4 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
95.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+18
95.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 18 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
95.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Scottie Phillips for 38 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3MISSED FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 3:065% → 5%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
95.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for 13 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.2%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Javien HamiltonSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
95.2%
Justin Rankin run for 6 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-4
95.2%
Justin Rankin run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+9
95.2%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 9 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
95.2%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+9
95.2%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 9 yds to the Miss 47Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+9
95.2%
Woody Barrett run for 9 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
95.2%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Justin Rankin for 9 yds to the Miss 29Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
95.2%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Trey HarrellSimilar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 1
OPP 29
-2
95.2%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 31Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+48
94.8%
Matthew Trickett 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
94.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge, dropped pass, PENALTY OM pass interference (DaMarkus Lodge) 15 yards to the OM16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 25
OWN 16
+24
94.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 24 yds to the Miss 40Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+17
95.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 17 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-2
95.0%
Jordan Ta'amu run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 12
OPP 45
0
94.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 12
OPP 45
-5
94.8%
Mac Brown punt 39 yards to the KENT6, fair catch by TYSON,ZAQUON, PENALTY OM illegal formation 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 17
50
0
94.8%
Mac Brown punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:355% → 6%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
94.6%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-2
94.6%
Woody Barrett sacked by Qaadir Sheppard and Charles Wiley for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 23Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 13
OWN 23
-12
94.7%
Woody Barrett sacked by Markel Winters for a loss of 12 yards to the KntSt 11Similar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 25
OWN 11
0
94.5%
Matthew Trickett punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
94.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Scottie Phillips for 6 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+14
94.6%
Scottie Phillips run for 14 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
94.7%
OLE MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+5
94.6%
Isaiah Woullard run for 5 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
94.7%
Isaiah Woullard run for 4 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 6
OPP 25
-2
94.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 8
OPP 27
-15
94.5%
OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive pass interference (-15 Yards) to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 23
OPP 42
0
94.4%
Mac Brown punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 2:226% → 6%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Adam Dulka for 2 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+18
94.1%
Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ryder Anderson) to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.8%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
93.8%
Woody Barrett run for 15 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
93.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 5 yds to the Miss 40Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+12
93.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 12 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-6
93.5%
Woody Barrett sacked by Charles Wiley for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 34
0
93.2%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 34
0
93.4%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OPP 34
-6
93.7%
Woody Barrett sacked by Brenden Williams and Victor Evans for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. Brown, broken up by KJ SheraldSimilar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
93.7%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Kalil Morris for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 38Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
93.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete, broken up by Darryl MarshallSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
93.4%
Mac Brown punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 1:237% → 10%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
93.3%
Trey Harrell run for 12 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+49
93.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 49 yds to the Miss 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
92.6%
Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the Miss 22Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+4
92.6%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for 4 yds to the Miss 18Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+18
90.2%
Kavious Price pass complete to Jo-El Shaw for 18 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 4 yds to the Miss 29Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
91.4%
Scottie Phillips run for 4 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
91.4%
Scottie Phillips run for 4 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
91.5%
Scottie Phillips run for 5 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
91.8%
Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-5
91.7%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Dominic Hill for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 39Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
91.1%
Mac Brown punt for 34 yds, downed at the KntSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
14 plays · 38 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
89.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 8 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
89.0%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon, broken up by C.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+18
89.2%
Woody Barrett run for 18 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-15
88.5%
BARRETT,WOODY pass incomplete to SHAW,JO-EL (Kevontae' Ruggs), PENALTY KENT pass interference (WOODS,JOHNNY) 15 yards to the KENT38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 25
OWN 38
+14
89.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 14 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-2
88.7%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 13
50
+12
89.2%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 12 yds to the Miss 38Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+4
89.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for 4 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
88.3%
Woody Barrett sacked by Charles Wiley for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 37Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+29
88.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for 29 yds to the Miss 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
88.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 13Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-16
88.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Woody Barrett for a loss of 11 yards to the Miss 24 KENT ST Penalty, illegal forward pass (Woody Barrett) to the Miss 29Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 29
-6
89.1%
Woody Barrett sacked by Markel Winters for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 35Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 35
0
89.7%
Matthew Trickett punt for 27 yds, downed at the Miss 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:0588% → 86%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
87.8%
Scottie Phillips run for 6 yds to the Miss 14Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+21
87.9%
Scottie Phillips run for 21 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+41
88.1%
Tylan Knight run for 41 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
89.5%
Tylan Knight run for 4 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+4
89.5%
Tylan Knight run for 4 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 2
OPP 16
-5
89.0%
Scottie Phillips run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
86.2%
Luke Logan 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kalil Morris N/A return for no gain to the KntSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0016% → 18%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
83.7%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Justin Rankin, broken up by Zedrick WoodsSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+13
83.9%
Justin Rankin run for 13 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
83.3%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 8 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
82.0%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
82.2%
Woody Barrett run for 1 yd to the KntSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:3585% → 91%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
85.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 11 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
85.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 21 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
86.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+42
86.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 42 yds to the KntSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.1%
Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:2011% → 15%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
89.2%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Justin RankinSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
89.3%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+7
89.5%
Woody Barrett run for 7 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+41
89.1%
Justin Rankin run for 26 yds to the OLEMISS 30 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, personal foul (Zedrick Woods) to the Miss 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
87.3%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-8
87.3%
Woody Barrett sacked by Markel Winters for a loss of 8 yards to the Miss 23Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 18
OPP 23
+8
89.0%
Jo-El Shaw run for 8 yds to the Miss 15Similar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
85.1%
Matthew Trickett 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:3287% → 93%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+30
87.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 30 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
92.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 41 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17TD
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:239% → 19%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.0%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
91.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 4 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+11
90.9%
Woody Barrett run for 11 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
90.8%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 5 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+5
90.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Jo-El Shaw for 15 yds to the Miss 18 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Miss 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
90.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 16 yds to the Miss 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
90.1%
Woody Barrett run for 2 yds to the Miss 10Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
90.1%
Justin Rankin run for 5 yds to the Miss 5Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+3
90.7%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the Miss 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
90.1%
Justin Rankin run for no gain to the Miss 2Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.6%
Woody Barrett run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18INT
6 plays · 46 yds · 0:0085% → 88%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
85.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 33 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
87.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 8 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
87.6%
Scottie Phillips run for no gain to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+5
86.8%
KENT ST Penalty, (5 Yards) to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
87.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass intercepted Jamal Parker return for 20 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19INT
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0017% → 19%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
82.8%
BARRETT,WOODY pass incomplete to MCKOY,ISAIAH, PENALTY OM pass interference (Jalen Julius) 15 yards to the KENT42, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
81.5%
Woody Barrett pass intercepted Zedrick Woods return for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 4:4284% → 90%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 9 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
85.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 11 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
85.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 6 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+6
86.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Isaiah Woullard for 6 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
86.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 10 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
86.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 9 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
86.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
85.9%
Isaiah Woullard run for no gain to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 2:03
4TH & 1
OWN 0
0
81.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 24 yards to the KENT0, clock 02:03, PENALTY OM illegal shift off-setting, PENALTY KENT offside off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:03
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+7
84.3%
Scottie Phillips run for 7 yds to the KntSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
86.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-5
86.0%
OLE MISS Penalty, false start (D.K. Metcalf) to the KntSt 19Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+9
85.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 9 yds to the KntSt 10Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
85.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q3 0:03
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
90.1%
Luke Logan 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0314% → 13%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
86.1%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 7 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
84.5%
Woody Barrett run for 10 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
84.7%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
84.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Trey Harrell for 5 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-8
83.6%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
87.1%
Matthew Trickett punt for 47 yds, downed at the Miss 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 2:4090% → 97%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
89.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Elijah Moore, broken up by Jamal ParkerSimilar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+34
89.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 34 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
91.1%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 1 yd to the Miss 47Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
90.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for no gain to the Miss 47Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+45
90.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Dawson Knox for 45 yds to the KntSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
91.6%
Scottie Phillips run for 4 yds to the KntSt 4Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.0%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 4 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.4%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
94.0%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 5 yds Mike Carrigan fumbled, forced by Mohamed Sanogo, recovered by Miss C.J. MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 2:1997% → 100%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
97.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 16 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
97.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 1 yd to the KntSt 17Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+2
97.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+8
96.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 8 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.5%
Isaiah Woullard run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.1%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.2%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+6
99.2%
Woody Barrett run for 6 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Matthew Trickett punt for 48 yds, downed at the Miss 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 26Uncategorized
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
99.6%
Scottie Phillips run for 6 yds to the Miss 20Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+3
99.6%
Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Miss 23Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+5
99.6%
Tylan Knight run for 5 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.6%
Tylan Knight run for 6 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+2
99.6%
Tylan Knight run for 2 yds to the Miss 36Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+4
99.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Alex Weber for 4 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
99.6%
Eric Swinney run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 37Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+22
99.6%
Eric Swinney run for 22 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:45
Woody Barrett run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-9.5
TD · Q3 10:18
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 41 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q4 9:55
Jordan Ta'amu run for 4 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com