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ULM

UL Monroe 10 at Texas A&M 48

TA&M
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:52 · Jared Porter punt for 42 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Pregame prior+43.9Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 1:08: Craig Ford 27 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +1.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 10:17: Kellen Mond run for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +1.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:04: Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 2 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +3.3 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:05: Kellen Mond run for 9 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:05: Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 20 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00ULM 4th & 18 at ULM 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:52ULM 4th & 7 at TA&M 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:10TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:08ULM 4th & 6 at TA&M 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:17ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, down 11
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:33TA&M 4th & 7 at ULM 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:21ULM 4th & 12 at TA&M 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:43ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:05ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:11TA&M 4th & 17 at ULM 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00ULM 4th & 15 at ULM 39, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:52TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:17TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:04ULM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:05TA&M Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:05TA&M Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:39TA&M Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+29
96.3%
Derrick Gore run for 29 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.3%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
96.3%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the TexAM 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-8
96.3%
Caleb Evans sacked by Donovan Wilson for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 49Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 49
0
96.3%
Jared Porter punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:4796% → 96%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-6
95.9%
Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the TexAM 20 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 10Similar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 16
OWN 10
+6
95.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+15
95.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
95.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 21 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
95.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 13 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
96.0%
Kellen Mond run for 23 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
95.5%
Kellen Mond rush for 12 yards to the ULM0, clock 10:14, PENALTY TAMU holding (J. Sternberger) 10 yards to the ULM22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+19
95.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 19 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+1
95.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the LaMon 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.5%
Caleb Evans run for 9 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
95.4%
Austin Vaughn run for 3 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
95.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 18 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
95.4%
Austin Vaughn run for 1 yd to the TexAM 44Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
95.4%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
95.4%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
95.5%
Jared Porter punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
95.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 8 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
95.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
95.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 3 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
95.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-4
95.1%
Kellen Mond sacked by Cortez Sisco Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
95.0%
Braden Mann punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 2:465% → 7%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.8%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+19
94.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 19 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Brandius BatisteSimilar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
94.7%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+23
94.8%
Caleb Evans run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Justin Madubuike) to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
94.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (Brandius Batiste) to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+13
94.6%
Caleb Evans run for 13 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+13
94.4%
Austin Vaughn run for 13 yds to the TexAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
94.4%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
94.4%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+4
94.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 4 yds to the TexAM 10Similar
Q1 1:08
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
93.3%
Craig Ford 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:5194% → 95%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 9 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
93.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
93.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
93.5%
Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
50
+3
93.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
93.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 22 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
93.6%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
93.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 9 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+6
93.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
93.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the LaMon 9Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
92.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to J. Sternberger for 9 yards to the ULM0, clock 11:10, PENALTY TAMU holding (Carson Green) 10 yards to the ULM19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+8
92.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis, QB hurry by Hawley, Austin, PENALTY ULM pass interference (Hubbard, M.) 8 yards to the ULM11, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
92.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the LaMon 7Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
94.6%
Kellen Mond run for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the LaMon 25Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 9 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.0%
Jared Porter punt for 31 yds, downed at the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:2094% → 95%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
94.1%
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
94.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
94.2%
Kwame Etwi run for 1 yd to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
94.4%
Quartney Davis run for 11 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
94.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 19 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
94.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
94.4%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
94.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron Buckley, broken up by Collin TurnerSimilar
Q2 5:33
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
94.5%
Seth Small 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9MISSED FG TD
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:126% → 3%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.4%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
94.4%
Austin Vaughn run for 10 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+44
94.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 44 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
93.7%
Austin Vaughn run for 5 yds to the TexAM 15Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+3
93.7%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the TexAM 12Similar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
94.2%
Austin Vaughn run for 3 yds to the TexAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
93.9%
Austin Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 12Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
94.0%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
94.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to R.J. Turner, broken up by Debione RenfroSimilar
Q2 1:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+78
97.4%
Craig Ford 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Daylon Mack Tyrel Dodson return for 78 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:172% → 7%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Kayin White for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+34
97.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 34 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+36
97.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zachari Jackson for 36 yds to the TexAM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.1%
Kayin White run for 1 yd to the TexAM 2Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 2 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
95.2%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
94.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+7
94.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 7 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+12
94.6%
Kellen Mond run for 12 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
95.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 6 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+1
95.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
94.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon, broken up by Corey StraughterSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
94.5%
Braden Mann punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Marcus Green at the LaMon 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
94.4%
Austin Vaughn run for 1 yd to the LaMon 14Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
94.5%
Caleb Evans run for no gain to the LaMon 14Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 9
OWN 14
-2
94.6%
Caleb Evans sacked by Kingsley Keke for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 12Similar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 11
OWN 12
0
94.6%
Mark Deaves punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 3:1995% → 98%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
95.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 11 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
95.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 3
OPP 36
-2
95.1%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 38Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+14
94.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 14 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
95.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 8 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+7
95.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.4%
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.1%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the LaMon 17Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+28
98.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 28 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.0%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to R.J. Turner, broken up by Charles OliverSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-2
98.0%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 43Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 12
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Jared Porter punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:3699% → 99%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
98.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 15 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
98.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 9 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+7
98.7%
Kwame Etwi run for 7 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
98.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 13 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+24
98.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 24 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
98.7%
Kwame Etwi run for 3 yds to the LaMon 9Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-10
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to J. Sternberger for 9 yards to the ULM0, clock 00:25, PENALTY TAMU holding (Dan Moore) 10 yards to the ULM19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 17
OPP 19
0
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kwame EtwiSimilar
Q3 0:11
4TH & 17
OPP 19
+36
99.0%
Seth Small 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:111% → 1%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Marcus Green run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
99.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 16 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 5 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-10
99.0%
Evans, Caleb rush for 2 yards to the TAMU49, out-of-bounds (Donovan Wilson;D. Capers-Smith), PENALTY ULM holding (Spiller, Sloan) 10 yards to the ULM39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+1
99.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 1 yd to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 40
-1
99.0%
Caleb Evans sacked by Landis Durham for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
99.1%
Jared Porter punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:0799% → 100%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
99.2%
Jashaun Corbin rush for 16 yards to the TAMU41 (Griffith, David;Ingram, Nick), PENALTY ULM offside defense off-setting, PENALTY TAMU holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 15 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+8
99.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+4
99.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 4 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+25
99.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 25 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jace Sternberger for 20 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Josh Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 4 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+10
99.9%
Josh Johnson run for 10 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
99.9%
Caleb Evans sacked by TD Moton for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted Larry Pryor return for no gain to the TexAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 5:16100% → 100%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 6 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+2
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 5 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 9 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+11
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 11 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
99.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Quartney Davis for 25 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 7 yds to the LaMon 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 13 yds to the LaMon 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Javin Myers run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:04
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 2 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)
-3.3
TD · Q3 6:05
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q2 10:17
Kellen Mond run for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com