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UTEP

UTEP 0 at Tennessee 24

TENN
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:53 · Mitchell Crawford punt for 49 yds, downed at the Tenn 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Pregame prior+35.7Home team on offense+6.8Score differential+2.4Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 4:06: Ty Chandler rush for 7 yards to the UTEP0, clock 04:06, PENALTY UT personal foul 15 yards to the UTEP22, NO PLAY. — UTEP win probability +0.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 15:00: Ryan Metz pass incomplete — UTEP win probability +0.7 pts (now 4%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 9:04: Quardraiz Wadley rush for 3 yards to the UT30 (Darrell Taylor;Alexis Johnson Jr.), PENALTY UTEP holding (Ruben Guerra) 10 yards to the UT43, NO PLAY. — UTEP win probability +1.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:49: Ty Chandler run for 81 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +2.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:14: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 4 yds for a TD TENNESSEE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8 (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UTEP made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:30UTEP 4th & 4 at TENN 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:20TENN 4th & 3 at UTEP 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:39TENN 4th & 21 at UTEP 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:31UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:49UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:04UTEP 4th & 16 at TENN 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:53TENN 4th & 6 at UTEP 39, up 10
    Close callPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:53UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 22, down 10
    Close callPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:40TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:49UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:16TENN 4th & 9 at UTEP 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:30UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 12, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:43TENN 4th & 9 at UTEP 45, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:58UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:07UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:23TENN 4th & 2 at UTEP 49, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:56UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 13, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 10:49TENN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:49TENN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:14TENN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 11 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.2%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 5 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
98.2%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
98.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson, broken up by Kahani SmithSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
98.2%
Joe Doyle punt for 33 yds , Terry Juniel returns for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:552% → 2%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.0%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
98.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Keynan Foster for 7 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.0%
Quardraiz Wadley rush for loss of 1 yard to the UTEP35 (Daniel Bituli), PENALTY UT offside defense (Alexis Johnson Jr.) 5 yards to the UTEP41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+7
98.0%
Kai Locksley run for 7 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Forest McKee for 2 yds Forest McKee fumbled, forced by Bryce Thompson, , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 8
50
+4
98.0%
Kavika Johnson run for 4 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
97.6%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
97.6%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3FG
17 plays · 60 yds · 7:4198% → 96%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
97.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 11 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
97.6%
Tim Jordan run for 14 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
97.6%
Ty Chandler run for 13 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
97.7%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 6 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
97.7%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+1
97.6%
Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+8
97.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 8 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
97.7%
Tim Jordan run for 7 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+2
97.7%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
97.6%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
97.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 10 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-15
96.7%
Ty Chandler rush for 7 yards to the UTEP0, clock 04:06, PENALTY UT personal foul 15 yards to the UTEP22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 22
+2
96.7%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
0
96.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
-5
96.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, delay of game (Jarrett Guarantano) to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 25
+4
96.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 4 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 2:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
+38
96.3%
Brent Cimaglia 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:394% → 4%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
96.4%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for no gain to the UTEP30 (Nigel Warrior), PENALTY UTEP illegal motion (Walter Dawn Jr.) 5 yards to the UTEP25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.4%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
96.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 18 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
96.3%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
95.6%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
95.7%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete UTEP Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
95.9%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 19 yds, downed at the Tenn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5Uncategorized
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+53
95.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 53 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
96.0%
Madre London run for 9 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 13:31
4TH & 10
OWN 2
+13
95.7%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 47 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 13 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
95.5%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 8
OWN 4
-2
95.5%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 2Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 10
OWN 2
0
95.6%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 1:0495% → 96%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
95.4%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+29
95.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 29 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.2%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Joshua Fields run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Alan BuseySimilar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.0%
Kai Locksley sacked by Daniel Bituli for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-2
96.1%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 45 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 33 Marquez Callaway fumbled, recovered by UTEP TK PowellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
95.2%
Quardraiz Wadley rush for 3 yards to the UT30 (Darrell Taylor;Alexis Johnson Jr.), PENALTY UTEP holding (Ruben Guerra) 10 yards to the UT43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 20
OPP 43
0
95.5%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 20
OPP 43
0
95.5%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Keynan Foster, broken up by Shawn ShamburgerSimilar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 20
OPP 43
-5
95.7%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Ruben Guerra) to the Tenn 48Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 25
OPP 48
+9
95.7%
Kai Locksley run for 9 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 16
OPP 39
0
95.8%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:0095% → 96%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
95.4%
Ty Chandler run for 10 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
95.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 14 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
95.8%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-5
95.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Jahmir Johnson) to the Tenn 43Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+14
95.6%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 14 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
95.8%
Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-8
95.8%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Dylan Parsee for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+9
95.4%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 9 yds to the UTEP 39 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
95.5%
Joe Doyle punt for 26 yds, downed at the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:455% → 5%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
94.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the UTEP 13Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+9
94.9%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Warren Redix for 9 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 1
OWN 22
-5
94.9%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Bobby DeHaro) to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+5
95.1%
Kai Locksley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
94.9%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 49 yds, downed at the Tenn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
94.5%
Ty Chandler run for 8 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 2
OWN 37
-9
94.7%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 38 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive holding (Drew Richmond) to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+7
94.4%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
94.4%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
94.2%
Joe Doyle punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
94.4%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Keynan Foster for 14 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
94.3%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Quardraiz WadleySimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
94.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Warren Redix for 6 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
94.0%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
94.3%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-6
94.5%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 44 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15TD
1 play · 81 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
96.8%
Ty Chandler run for 81 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Kavika Johnson, broken up by Bryce ThompsonSimilar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 9 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
96.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 8 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
96.6%
Kavika Johnson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
96.6%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Quardraiz WadleySimilar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
96.7%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:49
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
96.8%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
96.9%
Jeremy Banks run for 5 yds to the Tenn 21Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+7
96.9%
Jeremy Banks run for 7 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+12
96.9%
Madre London run for 12 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
97.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 13 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
97.1%
Jeremy Banks run for no gain to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+1
96.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Madre London for 1 yd to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
96.8%
Joe Doyle punt for 39 yds, downed at the UTEP 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
97.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 8Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 9
OWN 8
-4
97.1%
UTEP Penalty, substitution infraction (-4 Yards) to the UTEP 4Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+5
97.1%
Kai Locksley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+3
97.2%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 5
OWN 12
0
97.1%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.6%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
97.6%
Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
97.5%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson, broken up by Chris RichardsonSimilar
Q3 5:43
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
97.3%
Joe Doyle punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:273% → 3%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
97.2%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+15
97.2%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to David Lucero (Nigel Warrior), PENALTY UT roughing passer (Matthew Butler) 15 yards to the UTEP34, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
97.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Winston Dimel for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+1
97.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 1 yd to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 11
OWN 33
-3
97.3%
Kai Locksley sacked by Darrin Kirkland Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 14
OWN 30
0
97.3%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:1098% → 100%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
97.8%
Ty Chandler run for 16 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
97.9%
Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-6
97.9%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Mike Sota for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+13
97.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-Anders (Dylan Parsee), PENALTY UTEP pass interference (Dylan Parsee) 13 yards to the UTEP45, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
98.0%
Tim Jordan run for 8 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+3
98.0%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+8
97.9%
Madre London run for 8 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+10
98.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 10 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
98.0%
Madre London run for 3 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+13
98.0%
Ty Chandler run for 13 yds to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 4 yds for a TD TENNESSEE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8 (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 12 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-2
99.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Winston Dimel for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 37Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.4%
Kai Locksley pass complete to David Lucero for 4 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
99.3%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.5%
Madre London run for 2 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 16
-1
99.5%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Brandon Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+28
99.5%
Madre London run for 28 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.5%
Madre London run for 2 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Jeremy Banks run for no gain to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+6
99.5%
Jeremy Banks run for 6 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Joe Doyle punt for 40 yds, downed at the UTEP 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-3
99.6%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 6Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 13
OWN 6
+3
99.6%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+4
99.6%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 13 UTEP Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
99.6%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
99.7%
Jeremy Banks run for 23 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Drew Richmond) to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+6
99.7%
Jeremy Banks run for 6 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+7
99.7%
Madre London run for 7 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+3
99.7%
Madre London run for 3 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:49
Ty Chandler run for 81 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q4 11:14
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 4 yds for a TD TENNESSEE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8 (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+1.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 9:04
Quardraiz Wadley rush for 3 yards to the UT30 (Darrell Taylor;Alexis Johnson Jr.), PENALTY UTEP holding (Ruben Guerra) 10 yards to the UT43, NO PLAY.
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com