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MIZ

Missouri 40 at Purdue 37

PUR
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+5.3PUR 47.7%Spencer Evans 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 27 - HOME 27 · Q3 8:27
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:27 · Spencer Evans 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior−6.5Home team on offense+1.5Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:09: David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 3 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +12.6 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 6:48: Drew Lock run for 8 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +14.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:16: David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 7 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK) — PUR win probability +28.0 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. FG · Q4 3:28: Spencer Evans 26 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +16.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Tucker McCann 25 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +30.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:14MIZ 4th & 8 at PUR 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:56MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:17PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:42MIZ 4th & 8 at PUR 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52PUR 4th & 6 at MIZ 16, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:52MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.5%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:33PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:17MIZ 4th & 8 at PUR 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    65.4%−0.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:32MIZ 4th & 4 at PUR 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:27PUR 4th & 12 at MIZ 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−2.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−10.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:56PUR 4th & 1 at MIZ 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.2%−3.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:30MIZ 4th & 1 at PUR 13, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.5%−2.4
    85% to make
    Punt
    64.0%−9.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:23PUR 4th & 4 at MIZ 31, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.7%−1.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−3.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.7%−2.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00MIZ 4th & 28 at MIZ 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−5.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:28PUR 4th & 9 at MIZ 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−8.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−24.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:56PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:26MIZ Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:33MIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:10MIZ Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:42PUR Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:09PUR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:48MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:16PUR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 2:4666% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 6 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
33.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
33.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 18 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
33.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
33.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+18
33.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 18 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
33.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
33.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall, broken up by Antonio BlackmonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
33.7%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+40
34.6%
Tucker McCann 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 1:1835% → 36%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
34.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, broken up by DeMarkus AcySimilar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+24
34.6%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 24 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+50
34.8%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 50 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
36.3%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 12 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
35.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+4
35.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+2
36.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 2
OWN 21
+2
36.2%
Corey Fatony punt for 56 yds , Rondale Moore returns for 2 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
36.7%
David Blough pass incomplete, PENALTY PUR holding (Grant Hermanns) 10 yards to the PUR15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
36.6%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 6 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
36.6%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 5 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
36.4%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 3 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 9:17
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
36.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5462% → 64%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
38.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 42 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
37.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+5
36.9%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive offside (Anthony Watts) to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
36.9%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
37.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+21
36.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 21 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
36.5%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 14 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
37.0%
David Blough pass intercepted Cam Hilton return for no gain to the Misso 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:0664% → 65%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
36.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 14 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
36.3%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+13
36.3%
Tyler Badie run for 13 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
36.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 7 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+8
36.0%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
36.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall, broken up by Dedrick MackeySimilar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
36.0%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
36.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+29
35.2%
Tucker McCann 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 1:5036% → 39%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
36.4%
D.J. Knox run for 8 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 2
OWN 40
-9
37.3%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds to the Prdue 46 PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+49
36.1%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 49 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
38.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cole Herdman, broken up by Khalil OliverSimilar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
38.5%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 4 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
38.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
39.2%
Spencer Evans 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1962% → 68%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
38.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 7 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
38.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
36.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
37.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+59
32.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 59 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
31.7%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 12 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
32.2%
Tario Fuller run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 33 Tario Fuller fumbled, recovered by Prdue Tario FullerSimilar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+4
31.7%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+5
31.3%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 5 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
31.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 3:0767% → 80%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
33.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+32
32.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 32 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
31.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 15 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
31.4%
Rountree, Larry rush for 2 yards to the PUR40 (Anthony Watts), PENALTY MU holding (Cook, Case) 10 yards to the MU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+11
31.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 11 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+1
31.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
31.6%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 8
OPP 40
+30
32.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 30 yds to the Prdue 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
31.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 2 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2824% → 33%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
23.7%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
23.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+16
23.3%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 16 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
24.3%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-5
24.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry Wright, PENALTY PUR illegal shift 5 yards to the PUR33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+5
23.6%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive offside (Jordan Elliott) to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+34
24.3%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 34 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
25.8%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 14 yds to the Misso 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
25.8%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+6
25.8%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Misso 5Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+4
25.4%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.1%
David Blough run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 2:1070% → 72%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
29.7%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
29.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 6 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
29.4%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
29.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+16
29.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 16 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
28.4%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
28.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 10 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
28.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 6 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
28.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 4
OPP 32
0
28.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+50
28.1%
Tucker McCann 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by null Navon Mosley return for 13 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 0:2329% → 43%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
29.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+31
29.0%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 31 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
30.3%
David Blough run for 21 yds to the Misso 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
43.3%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 3 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
36.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 6:3340% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.6%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
39.8%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
38.8%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
40.0%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 19 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
43.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
43.0%
David Blough pass complete to Terry Wright for 7 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+15
42.7%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 15 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
44.4%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
44.3%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for no gain to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+17
42.4%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 17 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
44.4%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 5 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
44.4%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 5Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-7
42.4%
David Blough sacked by Chris Turner for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 12Similar
Q3 8:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
47.7%
Spencer Evans 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3956% → 76%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.4%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
44.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for 7 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+52
43.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 52 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
38.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+8
23.7%
Drew Lock run for 8 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:5229% → 31%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.2%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
29.1%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 6 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
29.2%
David Blough pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 11 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
32.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
31.0%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for no gain to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+9
29.6%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 9 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
30.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19FG
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:2375% → 79%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+29
24.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 14 yds to the PURDUE 37 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Lorenzo Neal) to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
23.6%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
24.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+9
24.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 9 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+31
21.3%
Tucker McCann 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20MISSED FG
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:0721% → 22%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
21.0%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 28 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
23.6%
David Blough pass complete to Jared Sparks for 6 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
25.2%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
23.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+49
21.5%
Spencer Evans 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · -7 yds · 1:2379% → 77%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
20.8%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
20.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 5 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
20.1%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
21.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-16
19.2%
Drew Lock sacked by Derrick Barnes for a loss of 16 yards to the Misso 27 MISSOURI Penalty, intentional grounding (Drew Lock) to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 26
OWN 27
0
21.7%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 26
OWN 27
-2
22.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 28
OWN 25
0
22.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 56 yds, downed at the Prdue 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22TD
2 plays · 81 yds · 0:4819% → 47%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+74
18.5%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 74 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
46.5%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 7 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23INT
14 plays · 56 yds · 0:0064% → 68%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
35.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 12 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
33.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
32.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
50
+8
31.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+2
31.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
31.6%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+8
32.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 8 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
32.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+5
35.1%
Fatony, Corey punt 35 yards to the PUR0, touchback, PENALTY PUR offside (Fakasiieiki) 5 yards to the PUR30, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
30.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 11 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
29.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-3
29.4%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 19 Larry Rountree III fumbled, forced by Lorenzo Neal, recovered by Misso Drew LockSimilar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
32.2%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Kenneth Major return for no gain to the Prdue 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24FG
12 plays · 81 yds · 3:5135% → 58%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
35.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Terry WrightSimilar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+42
34.8%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 42 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
41.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
41.0%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 6 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+8
41.0%
David Blough pass complete to Isaac Zico for 8 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
44.1%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+11
44.2%
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 11 yds to the Misso 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
44.2%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 13 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
44.2%
David Blough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 9Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
44.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Isaac ZicoSimilar
Q4 7:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
41.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q4 3:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
57.6%
Spencer Evans 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 3:2852% → 96%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony WattsSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
48.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Badie for 20 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
43.3%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+8
41.2%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+25
41.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 25 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
39.0%
Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the Prdue 7Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+3
39.0%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
36.3%
Drew Lock run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 6Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
36.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 7Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
4.3%
Tucker McCann 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Tucker McCann 25 yd FG GOOD
-30.7
TD · Q4 12:16
David Blough pass complete to Rondale Moore for 7 yds for a TD (Spencer Evans KICK)
+28
FG · Q4 3:28
Spencer Evans 26 yd FG GOOD
+16
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com