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UL

Louisiana 10 at Mississippi State 56

MSST
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Davis Wade Stadium
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Win probability · MSST
modelMSST aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playMSST scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:42 · Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Keith Mixon at the MisSt 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+21.3Home team on offense+34.9Score differential+29.2Blowout margin+16.7Garbage-time factor+7.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:10: Nick Fitzgerald run for 10 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK) — MSST win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:35: Aeris Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK) — MSST win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:54: Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK) — MSST win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:18: Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 39 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK) — MSST win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:16: Nick Fitzgerald run for 26 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK) — MSST win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UL made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:48UL 4th & 6 at MSST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:06MSST 4th & 1 at UL 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:35UL 4th & 6 at UL 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:10UL 4th & 1 at UL 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:29UL 4th & 6 at MSST 36, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:53UL 4th & 10 at MSST 47, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:00MSST 4th & 7 at MSST 31, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:42UL 4th & 10 at UL 48, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:53UL 4th & 4 at MSST 41, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:38UL 4th & 7 at UL 28, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:06MSST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:10MSST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:35MSST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:54MSST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:18MSST Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:16MSST Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:01MSST Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:31UL Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:22MSST Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:052% → 2%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.1%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 14 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.1%
Andre Nunez run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+19
98.0%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 19 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
98.0%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 7 yds to the MisSt 32Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+7
97.9%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 7 yds to the MisSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the MisSt 25Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
97.8%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Earnest Patterson for 1 yd to the MisSt 24Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+3
97.7%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 3 yds to the MisSt 21Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
97.7%
Kyle Pfau 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 2TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 6:2298% → 97%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
97.7%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 6 yds to the MisSt 32Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+5
97.6%
Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the MisSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Stephen GuidrySimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
97.5%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Kylin Hill for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 36Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+14
97.3%
Nick Fitzgerald run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
50
+7
97.4%
Kylin Hill run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-1
97.2%
Kylin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+12
97.1%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 12 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+25
97.1%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Austin Williams for 25 yds to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
97.0%
Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Austin WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
97.0%
Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.7%
Nick Fitzgerald run for no gain to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.9%
Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:043% → 4%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
96.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+2
96.7%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+41
96.7%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 41 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
96.4%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the MisSt 36Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 1
OPP 36
-1
96.2%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 37Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
96.1%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:0896% → 97%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
96.4%
MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 33Similar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 14
OWN 33
+6
96.3%
Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the MisSt 39Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
96.3%
Nick Fitzgerald pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+44
96.1%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 44 yds to the LaLaf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.3%
Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Kylin HillSimilar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+7
96.2%
Nick Fitzgerald run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
96.7%
Nick Fitzgerald run for 10 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:253% → 3%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
96.6%
Ryheem Malone run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-2
96.6%
Andre Nunez run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+3
96.7%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 3 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 6
OWN 22
+6
96.6%
Rhys Byrns punt for 51 yds , Keith Mixon returns for 6 yds to the MisSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 6TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:4597% → 98%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
96.6%
Aeris Williams run for 28 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
96.8%
MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+4
96.6%
Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 11
OPP 40
-10
96.7%
Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Chaiziere Malbrue for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 21
50
+23
96.3%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 23 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+23
96.5%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 23 yds to the LaLaf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
96.5%
Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.6%
Aeris Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:143% → 3%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.4%
Levi Lewis run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
97.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 13 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.3%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
97.3%
Levi Lewis run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
97.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
97.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 8TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 2:0497% → 98%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
97.4%
Kylin Hill run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+2
97.3%
Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+36
97.2%
Nick Fitzgerald run for 36 yds to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.3%
Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.3%
Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 3:133% → 3%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.4%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
97.2%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+19
97.0%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 19 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
97.2%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Matt Barnes for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+20
97.1%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 20 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
96.9%
Andre Nunez run for no gain to the MisSt 40Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
96.9%
Raymond Calais run for 9 yds to the MisSt 31Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
96.6%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Jamal BellSimilar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-5
96.4%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 36Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
96.6%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 10TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:0099% → 100%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
98.9%
Aeris Williams run for 9 yds to the MisSt 45Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-1
98.9%
Aeris Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 44Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+17
99.1%
Aeris Williams run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.1%
Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Osirus MitchellSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.6%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 39 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 12TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
99.6%
Kylin Hill run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
99.6%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Kylin Hill for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 49Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+25
99.6%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Justin Johnson for 25 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.8%
Nick Fitzgerald run for 26 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.7%
Trey Ragas run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Jarrod JacksonSimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.7%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Earnest Patterson for 8 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
99.7%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
99.7%
Andre Nunez sacked by Gerri Green and Braxton Hoyett for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+4
99.8%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Raymond Calais for 4 yds to the MisSt 48Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+1
99.8%
Andre Nunez run for 1 yd to the MisSt 47Similar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Keith Mixon at the MisSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 14TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:45100% → 100%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Nick Fitzgerald pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+15
99.8%
Aeris Williams run for 15 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the MisSt 36Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+10
99.8%
Nick Gibson run for 10 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.8%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Nick Gibson for 6 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
Nick Gibson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.8%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 9 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+9
99.8%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 9 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 25 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
99.9%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+11
99.9%
Trey Ragas run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Andre Nunez pass intercepted Johnathan Abram return for no gain to the MisSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
99.9%
Aeris Williams run for 16 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-6
99.9%
Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 6 yards to the MisSt 22Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 16
OWN 22
+9
99.9%
Aeris Williams run for 9 yds to the MisSt 31Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Nick Fitzgerald pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Tucker Day punt for 43 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for no gain to the LaLaf 24 Ryheem Malone fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Ryheem Malone , return for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+24
99.9%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 24 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Andre Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Keith Mixon at the MisSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 18INT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.9%
Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 11Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+3
99.9%
Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the MisSt 14Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+6
99.9%
Keytaon Thompson run for 6 yds to the MisSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Keytaon Thompson run for 8 yds to the MisSt 28Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 23Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-7
99.9%
Nick Gibson run for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 16Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 14
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Keytaon Thompson pass intercepted Eric Garror return for no gain to the MisSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
10 plays · 47 yds · 5:020% → 0%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 48Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+8
99.9%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 8 yds to the MisSt 40Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-1
99.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 41Similar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+9
99.9%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Matt Barnes for 9 yds to the MisSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the MisSt 31Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-7
99.9%
Andre Nunez sacked by Willie Gay Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 38Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 16
OPP 38
+30
100.0%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 30 yds to the MisSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
99.9%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 10Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
100.0%
Andre Nunez run for 6 yds to the MisSt 4Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Keytaon Thompson run for 8 yds to the MisSt 33Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Dontavian Lee run for 2 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
99.9%
Keytaon Thompson pass complete to Brad Cumbest for 21 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Dontavian Lee run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+14
100.0%
Keytaon Thompson run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
100.0%
Keytaon Thompson pass complete to Malik Dear for 12 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
100.0%
Keytaon Thompson run for 16 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 8 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Jordan Wright run for no gain to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
100.0%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (Rhys Byrns) to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Keith Mixon at the MisSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 22Uncategorized
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
100.0%
Robert Rivers run for 7 yds to the MisSt 35Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
Robert Rivers run for 9 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
100.0%
Robert Rivers run for 5 yds to the MisSt 49Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+8
100.0%
Jalen Mayden run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:35
Aeris Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 4:54
Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q1 0:10
Nick Fitzgerald run for 10 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com