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MUR

Murray State 10 at Kentucky 48

UK
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadMUR aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreMUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD—UK 100.0%Preston Rice run for 21 yds for a TDTimeout MURRAY ST, clock 00:30(Gabriel Vicente KICK)AWAY 10 - HOME 48 · Q4 0:30
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:30 · Preston Rice run for 21 yds for a TD Timeout MURRAY ST, clock 00:30 (Gabriel Vicente KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 171Pregame prior+0.9Home team on offense+36.4Score differential+31.1Garbage-time factor+10.5Blowout margin+18.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+18.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:29: Miles Butler 40 yd FG GOOD — MUR win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:43: Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:19: Miles Butler 38 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:07: Asim Rose run for 3 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:05: Benny Snell Jr. pass complete to Terry Wilson for a loss of 6 yards lat. to Zy'Aire Hughes for 49 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:09MUR 4th & 4 at UK 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:01UK 4th & 22 at UK 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00MUR 4th & 17 at MUR 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:29UK 4th & 17 at MUR 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:21MUR 4th & 7 at UK 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:30UK 4th & 1 at UK 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.5%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00MUR 4th & 12 at MUR 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:01UK 4th & 1 at UK 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.8%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:19UK 4th & 10 at MUR 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:19MUR 4th & 8 at MUR 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:07MUR 4th & 13 at MUR 22, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00MUR 4th & 9 at UK 20, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:37UK 4th & 1 at MUR 46, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MUR made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 11:09UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:43UK Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:07UK Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:16UK Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:38UK Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:30MUR Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:5199% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
99.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 13 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 5 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
99.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+3
99.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
99.1%
Terry Wilson run for 9 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+7
99.1%
Terry Wilson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the MurrS 42Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+42
99.0%
Terry Wilson run for 42 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
D.J. Penick run for 1 yd to the MurrS 26Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
98.9%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Tyre Gray for 6 yds to the MurrS 32Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
98.9%
Drew Anderson pass complete to D.J. Penick for 5 yds to the MurrS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
98.9%
D.J. Penick run for 5 yds to the MurrS 42Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
98.9%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Malik Honeycutt for 1 yd to the MurrS 43Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+4
98.9%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Tyre Gray for 4 yds to the MurrS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.9%
Drew Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
98.9%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Armani Hayes for 6 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
98.9%
Drew Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
98.9%
Steve Dawson punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 4:2999% → 98%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
98.6%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the Kent 2Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+5
98.6%
[SHOT], PENALTY MUR offside defense (PRESLEY, K.J.) 5 yards to the UK7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+13
98.6%
Asim Rose run for 13 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 7 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+8
98.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 8 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
98.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 11 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
98.7%
Terry Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Isaiah EppsSimilar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 13
OWN 43
-10
98.6%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass complete to David Bouvier for 26 yards to the MUR31 (WARREN, TJ), PENALTY UK holding (E.J. Price) 10 yards to the UK33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 23
OWN 33
+1
98.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 1 yd to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 22
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Max Duffy punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MurrS 12 , Rodney Castille returns for no gain to the MurrS 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:512% → 2%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.2%
Drew Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+12
98.2%
Rodney Castille run for 12 yds to the MurrS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
98.2%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Rodney Castille for a loss of 5 yards to the MurrS 19Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+3
98.2%
Rodney Castille run for 3 yds to the MurrS 22Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 12
OWN 22
0
98.3%
Drew Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 22
-5
98.1%
MURRAY ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 17Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 17
0
98.1%
Steve Dawson punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MurrS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:2298% → 98%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
98.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the MurrS 36Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
98.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the MurrS 30Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+17
98.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 17 yds to the MurrS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
98.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the MurrS 13Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-8
98.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the MurrS 21Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 18
OPP 21
+1
98.1%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the MurrS 20Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+40
97.7%
Miles Butler 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 2:082% → 2%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.8%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Sylvaughn Turner for 4 yds to the MurrS 29Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
97.8%
D.J. Penick run for 7 yds to the MurrS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
97.8%
[SHOT], ANDERSON, Drew pass incomplete to MOSS, Jonathan, PENALTY UK pass interference (Mike Edwards) 2 yards to the MUR38, 1ST DOWN MUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.7%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Tyre GraySimilar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
97.7%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Rodney Castille for 8 yds to the MurrS 46Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+15
97.7%
[SHOT], ANDERSON, Drew pass incomplete to HAYES, Armani, PENALTY UK pass interference (Chris Westry) 15 yards to the UK39, 1ST DOWN MUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.6%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Sylvaughn TurnerSimilar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
97.6%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Tyre GraySimilar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+3
97.7%
Drew Anderson pass complete to D.J. Penick for 3 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
97.7%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Tyre Gray, broken up by Darius WestSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7TD
16 plays · 64 yds · 6:4798% → 99%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
97.5%
[SHOT], Benny Snell rush for 1 yard to the UK37 (WILLIAMS, Quin), PENALTY UK holding (Luke Fortner) 10 yards to the UK26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+3
97.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 3 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 17
OWN 29
-6
97.4%
Terry Wilson sacked by Kenney Wooten for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 20 Terry Wilson fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 26
OWN 20
+25
97.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 25 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
97.4%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
97.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
97.6%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+5
97.5%
[SHOT], PENALTY MUR offside defense (WOOTEN, Kenney) 5 yards to the MUR47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+5
97.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 5 yds to the MurrS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
97.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the MurrS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
97.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 5 yds to the MurrS 25Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+2
97.7%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the MurrS 23Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+5
97.6%
Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the MurrS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
97.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the MurrS 14Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+7
97.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 7 yds to the MurrS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 8FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 1:432% → 3%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.0%
MURRAY ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 20Similar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
98.0%
Rodney Castille run for 2 yds to the MurrS 22Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
98.0%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Malik Honeycutt for 12 yds to the MurrS 34Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
97.9%
Rodney Castille run for 4 yds to the MurrS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.9%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Malik HoneycuttSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
97.9%
Drew Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+26
98.0%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Malik Honeycutt for 26 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+30
97.6%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Corey Newble for 30 yds to the Kent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
97.5%
[SHOT], PENALTY MUR false start (CARTER, Cam) 5 yards to the UK11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
97.2%
Gabriel Vicente 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.3%
D.J. Penick run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
97.4%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to D.J. Penick, broken up by Jordan JonesSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
97.4%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Tyre Gray, broken up by Davonte RobinsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+2
97.5%
Steve Dawson punt for 55 yds , David Bouvier returns for 2 yds to the Kent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10FG
17 plays · 56 yds · 6:4297% → 98%
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
97.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 4 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
97.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+1
97.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 33Similar
Q3 14:01
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+2
97.2%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.4%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
97.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 13 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the MurrS 49Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-10
97.5%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson rush for 4 yards to the MUR45, PENALTY UK holding (E.J. Price) 10 yards to the UK41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 17
OWN 41
0
97.5%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Isaiah EppsSimilar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 17
OWN 41
+21
97.3%
Terry Wilson run for 21 yds to the MurrS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
97.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the MurrS 34Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+5
97.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 5 yds to the MurrS 29Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+12
97.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 12 yds Dorian Baker fumbled, forced by Marquez Sanford, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
97.5%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 21Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+1
97.5%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the MurrS 20Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
97.4%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr., broken up by Dior JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
98.0%
Miles Butler 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.8%
Rodney Castille run for 2 yds to the MurrS 27Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
97.7%
Rodney Castille run for no gain to the MurrS 27Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Rodney Castille, broken up by Jordan JonesSimilar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Steve Dawson punt for 45 yds, downed at the Kent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:4698% → 99%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
98.0%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 13
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Asim RoseSimilar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+15
97.9%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson sacked for loss of 5 yards to the UK20 (CATIS, Kendrick), PENALTY MUR personal foul (CATIS, Kendrick) 15 yards to the UK40, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
98.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 6 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+24
98.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 24 yds to the MurrS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
98.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 20 yds to the MurrS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
98.3%
Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the MurrS 3Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Asim Rose run for 3 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Sylvaughn Turner, broken up by DeAndre SquareSimilar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.2%
[SHOT], PENALTY MUR false start 5 yards to the MUR20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-1
99.2%
D.J. Penick run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 19Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+3
99.2%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Sylvaughn Turner for 3 yds to the MurrS 22Similar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Steve Dawson punt for 34 yds, downed at the Kent 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 1:2699% → 100%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
99.4%
Sihiem King run for 11 yds to the MurrS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.5%
Sihiem King run for 2 yds to the MurrS 43Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+49
99.9%
Benny Snell Jr. pass complete to Terry Wilson for a loss of 6 yards lat. to Zy'Aire Hughes for 49 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Drew Anderson sacked by Marquan McCall for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 30 Drew Anderson fumbled, recovered by MurrS Jensen Feggins , return for 0 yards , return for 4 yds to the MurrS 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Tyre Gray for 4 yds to the MurrS 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Armani Hayes for 11 yds to the MurrS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+34
99.9%
Rodney Castille run for 34 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
Rodney Castille run for 1 yd to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Tyre GraySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to D.J. PenickSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Malik Honeycutt, broken up by Kordell LooneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Sihiem King run for 2 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+15
99.9%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 15 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+40
99.9%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 40 yds to the MurrS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
100.0%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 17INT
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
100.0%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Armani Hayes for 15 yds to the MurrS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+16
100.0%
D.J. Penick run for 16 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
100.0%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Armani Hayes for 3 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
100.0%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Moss for 3 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+4
100.0%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Cameron Garrett for 4 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
100.0%
Shuler Bentley pass intercepted Jamin Davis return for 18 yds to the Kent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:59100% → 100%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Sihiem KingSimilar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
100.0%
Sihiem King run for 9 yds to the MurrS 46Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Sihiem King run for no gain to the MurrS 46Similar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Sihiem King run for 2 yds to the MurrS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
100.0%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 16 yds to the MurrS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
100.0%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Akeem Hayes for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 29Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+27
100.0%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 27 yds to the MurrS 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Danny Clark run for 2 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:080% → 0%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
[SHOT], PENALTY UK offside defense (Davoan Hawkins) 5 yards to the MUR30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Preston Rice pass incomplete to DeQuan DallasSimilar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Nolan Nichols run for 2 yds to the MurrS 32Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Preston Rice run for 4 yds to the MurrS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
100.0%
Nolan Nichols run for 4 yds to the MurrS 40Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Preston Rice pass incomplete to Nolan Nichols, broken up by Jamin DavisSimilar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+37
100.0%
Preston Rice pass complete to Malik Honeycutt for 37 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
100.0%
Nolan Nichols run for 1 yd to the Kent 22Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+1
100.0%
D.J. Penick run for 1 yd to the Kent 21Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+21
100.0%
Preston Rice run for 21 yds for a TD Timeout MURRAY ST, clock 00:30 (Gabriel Vicente KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20Uncategorized
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Adrian Middleton run for no gain to the Kent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:07
Asim Rose run for 3 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 1:43
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)
+0.8
FG · Q3 7:19
Miles Butler 38 yd FG GOOD
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com