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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 7 at Georgia 49

UGA
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:56 · Jake Camarda punt for 55 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Pregame prior+40.4Home team on offense+14.6Score differential+10.6Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:02: Jeremiah Holloman 11 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:51: Tyler Simmons 56 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:19: Mecole Hardman 70 Yd Punt Return (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:21: Patrick Smith 41 Yd pass from Brent Stockstill (Crews Holt Kick) — MTSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:14: Riley Ridley 12 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MTSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 9:40MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:25UGA 4th & 19 at UGA 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:02MTSU 4th & 9 at UGA 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:31MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:56UGA 4th & 20 at UGA 45, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:19MTSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:17MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:17MTSU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:09MTSU 4th & 8 at UGA 45, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:37MTSU 4th & 1 at UGA 38, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:52MTSU 4th & 5 at UGA 21, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:13UGA 4th & 2 at MTSU 49, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:56MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 47, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:24UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:02UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:51UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:19UGA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:21MTSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:14UGA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:23UGA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:33UGA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 3:3198% → 98%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
98.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+5
98.4%
Swift, D'Andre rush for loss of 1 yard to the GEORGIA16, PENALTY MIDDLETENN offside 5 yards to the GEORGIA22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+2
98.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
98.3%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+66
98.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for 66 yds to the MTnSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
98.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
98.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 3 yds to the MTnSt 5Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.2%
Mecole Hardman 5 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:432% → 2%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
98.1%
Brent Stockstill run for no gain to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
98.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 3 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.0%
Matt Bonadies punt for 56 yds, downed at the Geo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 2:1498% → 98%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
98.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+2
98.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 4
OWN 17
-8
97.9%
Holyfield, Elijah rush for 21 yards to the GEORGIA38, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Mays, Cade) 8 yards to the GEORGIA9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 12
OWN 9
-7
97.8%
Jake Fromm sacked by Jahmal Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 2 Jake Fromm fumbled, forced by Jahmal Jones, recovered by Geo Ben Cleveland , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 19
OWN 2
+7
97.7%
Jake Camarda punt for 41 yds , Ty Lee returns for 7 yds to the Geo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4INT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:232% → 2%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
97.7%
Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+5
97.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-8
97.6%
Ty Lee pass complete to Brent Stockstill for a loss of 8 yards to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+26
97.6%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Deandre Baker return for 26 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:5998% → 98%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
97.7%
Brian Herrien run for 21 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-9
97.7%
Herrien, Brian rush for 6 yards to the MIDDLETENN22, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Woerner, Charlie) 9 yards to the MIDDLETENN37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 19
OPP 37
+4
97.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 4 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+13
97.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to James Cook for 13 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+9
97.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
98.0%
Jeremiah Holloman 11 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:302% → 2%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
97.8%
Terelle West run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
97.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 6 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
97.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
97.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
97.7%
Matt Bonadies punt for 51 yds, downed at the Geo 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
6 plays · 94 yds · 2:4098% → 99%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
97.8%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Geo 12Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+20
97.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 20 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
97.7%
Elijah Holyfield run for 4 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
97.7%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+8
97.6%
Justin Fields run for 8 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
98.5%
Tyler Simmons 56 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8FUMBLE
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:282% → 2%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
98.4%
Brent Stockstill run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+6
98.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 6 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
98.4%
Terelle West run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 2
50
+1
98.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 1 yd to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+3
98.3%
Terelle West run for 3 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
98.3%
Terelle West run for 7 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+7
98.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 17 yds Brad Anderson fumbled, forced by Deandre Baker, recovered by Geo Richard LeCounte , return for 7 yds to the Geo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:2799% → 99%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
98.6%
Brian Herrien run for 8 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+7
98.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 7 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
98.6%
Elijah Holyfield run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Elijah HolyfieldSimilar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-10
98.7%
Fromm, Jake pass complete to Hardman, Mecole for 4 yards to the MIDDLETENN41, PENALTY GEORGIA illegal block (Stanley, Jayson) 10 yards to the GEORGIA45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+4
98.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 4 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 16
OWN 49
-4
98.7%
Jake Fromm sacked by Jordan Ferguson and Wesley Bush for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 20
OWN 45
0
98.7%
Jake Camarda punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10PUNT TD
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:372% → 1%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Terelle West run for no gain to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 6 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+70
99.5%
Mecole Hardman 70 Yd Punt Return (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:581% → 2%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 12 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.4%
Terelle West run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+7
99.5%
Brad Anderson run for 7 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.5%
Brad Anderson run for 6 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
99.5%
Terelle West run for no gain to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+41
98.3%
Patrick Smith 41 Yd pass from Brent Stockstill (Crews Holt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:0199% → 100%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
98.8%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Isaac Nauta) to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+65
98.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 65 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
98.9%
James Cook run for no gain to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
98.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+12
99.5%
Riley Ridley 12 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
99.7%
Terelle West run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+20
99.6%
Matt Bonadies punt for 47 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 20 yds to the Geo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 4 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+23
99.6%
Justin Fields run for 8 yds to the GEORGIA 47 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Personal Foul Targeting (Khalil Brooks) to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down (Khalil Brooks ejected)Similar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
99.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 12 yds to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 5 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
99.7%
Justin Fields 15 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Terelle West run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:510% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.7%
Terelle West run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
99.7%
Terelle West run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.7%
Terelle West run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 1 yd to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+4
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 1
50
+3
99.7%
Brad Anderson run for 3 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Gatlin CaseySimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.7%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Jimmy MarshallSimilar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ahkil Crumpton at the Geo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 4:35100% → 100%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+38
99.8%
Demetris Robertson run for 23 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Personal Foul (Darryl Randolph) to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
99.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 14 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Justin Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
99.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 11 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.8%
James Cook run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
99.8%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+7
99.8%
Brian Herrien run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.8%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-1
99.8%
James Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Jayson Stanley 9 Yd pass from Justin Fields (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18DOWNS
15 plays · 54 yds · 6:410% → 0%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Terelle West run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
99.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 7 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-1
99.9%
Terelle West run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 5 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 1 yd to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 5 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+3
99.9%
Terelle West run for 3 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+12
99.9%
Terelle West run for 12 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 4 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+1
99.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 1 yd to the Geo 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 5
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 4:38100% → 100%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
James Cook run for no gain to the Geo 21Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-2
99.9%
James Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 19Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+24
99.9%
Matthew Downing pass complete to James Cook for 24 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Prather Hudson run for 1 yd to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+6
99.9%
Kearis Jackson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 3
50
+1
99.9%
Prather Hudson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Jake Camarda punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 8:170% → 0%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
99.9%
Landon Board run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+5
99.9%
Landon Board run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+4
99.9%
Landon Board run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.9%
Landon Board run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+16
100.0%
Landon Board run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
John Turner run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
100.0%
John Turner run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
100.0%
John Turner run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Landon Board run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Chase Cunningham run for no gain to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 9
OWN 48
-1
100.0%
Landon Board run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Matt Bonadies punt for 43 yds, downed at the Geo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 9Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 11
OWN 9
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 8Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 8
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:21
Patrick Smith 41 Yd pass from Brent Stockstill (Crews Holt Kick)
-1.2
TD · Q2 7:19
Mecole Hardman 70 Yd Punt Return (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
+1
TD · Q2 14:51
Tyler Simmons 56 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com