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ETSU

East Tennessee State 3 at Tennessee 59

TENN
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadETSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreETSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:12 · Joe Doyle punt for 39 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior+27.1Home team on offense+31.1Score differential+26.8Blowout margin+14.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.5Garbage-time factor+10.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:32: Brent Cimaglia 26 yd FG GOOD — ETSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:27: Jeremy Banks run for 1 yd for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:12: Jeremy Banks run for 3 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:41: Logan Marchi pass intercepted for a TD Darrin Kirkland Jr. return for 33 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ETSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:00: Josh Palmer run for 20 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ETSU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00ETSU 4th & 4 at ETSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:32TENN 4th & 9 at ETSU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:32ETSU 4th & 7 at ETSU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:32TENN 4th & 8 at ETSU 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:49ETSU 4th & 4 at ETSU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:49ETSU 4th & 8 at ETSU 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 30, up 10
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:15ETSU 4th & 10 at ETSU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:41ETSU 4th & 8 at ETSU 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:00ETSU 4th & 1 at TENN 38, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:33ETSU 4th & 11 at TENN 33, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:01ETSU 4th & 11 at TENN 21, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:12TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 30, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00ETSU 4th & 7 at TENN 35, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:34ETSU 4th & 11 at ETSU 24, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:24TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 49, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:20TENN 4th & 4 at ETSU 4, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:15ETSU 4th & 1 at ETSU 34, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q2 9:27TENN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:12TENN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:41TENN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:00TENN Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:58TENN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:34TENN Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:20TENN Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ETSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
98.8%
Quay Holmes run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
-4
98.8%
Logan Marchi run for a loss of 4 yards to the ETnSt 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+8
98.8%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Quan Harrison for 8 yds to the ETnSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
98.8%
Marion Watson punt for 43 yds, downed at the Tenn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:0799% → 98%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
98.6%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
98.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete, broken up by Blake BockrathSimilar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+9
98.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 9 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+51
98.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 51 yds to the ETnSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
98.7%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the ETnSt 7Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-7
98.7%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 7 yards to the ETnSt 14Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+5
98.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-Anders, PENALTY ETSU offside defense (Blake Bockrath) 5 yards to the ETSU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
98.4%
Brent Cimaglia 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Logan Marchi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Keith Coffee for 3 yds to the ETnSt 28Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.4%
Logan Marchi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+33
98.4%
Marion Watson punt for 33 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
98.3%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-5
98.3%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 37Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+4
98.3%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+11
98.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jordan Murphy for 11 yds to the ETnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
98.3%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 44Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
98.3%
Madre London run for no gain to the ETnSt 44Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 6
OPP 44
-2
98.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 46Similar
Q1 8:32
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
98.2%
Joe Doyle punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 5PUNT TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:302% → 2%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.8%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Keith Coffee for 3 yds to the ETnSt 23Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
97.8%
Quay Holmes run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 26Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
97.8%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Keith Coffee, broken up by Bryce ThompsonSimilar
Q1 2:49
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+8
97.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Marquill Osborne blocked by Marquill Osborne Marquill Osborne return for 8 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.9%
EAST TENN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ETnSt 20Similar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+16
97.9%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Keith Coffee for 16 yds to the ETnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.8%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Quan HarrisonSimilar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
97.8%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Keith Coffee for 8 yds to the ETnSt 44Similar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-1
97.8%
Matt Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 43Similar
Q1 2:49
4TH & 3
OWN 43
-5
97.9%
EAST TENN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ETnSt 38Similar
Q1 2:49
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
97.9%
Marion Watson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:2598% → 98%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
97.6%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Jason Maduafokwa for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 16
+14
97.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jordan Murphy for 14 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
97.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jordan MurphySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
97.5%
Joe Doyle punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Tyree Robinson at the ETnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
97.5%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ari Werts for 6 yds to the ETnSt 24Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+7
97.4%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ari Werts for 7 yds to the ETnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.4%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete, broken up by Kyle PhillipsSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
97.5%
Quay Holmes run for no gain to the ETnSt 31Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
97.5%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Ari WertsSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
97.6%
Marion Watson punt for 51 yds, downed at the Tenn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:3497% → 98%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
97.2%
Jeremy Banks run for 15 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
97.2%
EAST TENN ST Penalty, offside defense (Tremond Ferrell) to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+1
97.3%
Jeremy Banks run for 1 yd to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
97.3%
Jeremy Banks run for no gain to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+9
97.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, PENALTY ETSU pass interference (Jeremy Lewis) 9 yards to the UT48, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+51
97.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 51 yds to the TENNESSEE 1 for a 1ST down EAST TENN ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.4%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the ETnSt 1Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
Jeremy Banks run for 1 yd for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
98.1%
Logan Marchi pass intercepted Bryce Thompson return for 21 yds to the ETnSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.9%
Jeremy Banks run for 3 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 12INT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:311% → 1%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.8%
Quay Holmes run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 31Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
98.7%
Quay Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 30Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+33
99.2%
Logan Marchi pass intercepted for a TD Darrin Kirkland Jr. return for 33 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Quay Holmes run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 28Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Keith CoffeeSimilar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
99.3%
Quay Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 27Similar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.3%
JJ Jerman punt for 42 yds, downed at the Tenn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
99.5%
Tim Jordan run for 12 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
99.5%
Tim Jordan run for 16 yds to the ETnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
99.5%
Jeremy Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 42Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+12
99.5%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 12 yds to the ETnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.5%
Jeremy Banks run for 8 yds to the ETnSt 22Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+2
99.5%
Madre London run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.7%
Josh Palmer run for 20 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 30 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
99.7%
Quay Holmes run for 18 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.7%
Quay Holmes run for 6 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
99.7%
Jacob Saylors run for 3 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
99.7%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Haddon Hill, broken up by Alontae TaylorSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+6
99.7%
Logan Marchi run for 6 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.7%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete, broken up by Alexis Johnson Jr.Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
99.7%
Quay Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Anthony SpagnolettiSimilar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 11
OPP 33
-2
99.6%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Logan Marchi for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:02100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
99.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 8 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer, broken up by Tyree RobinsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+34
99.8%
Madre London run for 34 yds to the ETnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.8%
Jeremy Banks run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, broken up by Jeremy LewisSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+12
99.8%
Tim Jordan run for 12 yds to the ETnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
99.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 12 yds to the ETnSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Madre London run for 3 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:570% → 0%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Jacob Saylors for no gain to the ETnSt 25Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Logan Marchi run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 32Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.8%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ari Werts for 5 yds to the ETnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
99.8%
Jacob Saylors run for 23 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.8%
Jacob Saylors run for 2 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Keith CoffeeSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+18
99.8%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Jacob Saylors for 18 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
99.8%
Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 21Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Keith CoffeeSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Quan HarrisonSimilar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+39
99.8%
JJ Jerman 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jeremy Banks run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Jeremy Banks run for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-4
99.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Joe Doyle punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:020% → 0%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Jacob Saylors run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 35Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Jacob Saylors run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
99.9%
Austin Herink pass complete to Nate Adkins for a loss of 3 yards to the ETnSt 39Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 13
OWN 39
-10
99.9%
Austin Herink pass complete to Kobe Kelley for 12 yards to the UT49 (Shawn Shamburger), PENALTY ETSU holding (Matt Pyke) 10 yards to the ETSU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 23
OWN 29
+33
99.9%
Austin Herink run for 33 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
Jacob Saylors run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-1
99.9%
Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Austin Herink pass incomplete to Quan HarrisonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Austin Herink pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 8 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+7
99.9%
Tim Jordan run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
50
+50
99.9%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Jordan Murphy for 50 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Matt Thompson run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 30Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Matt Thompson run for no gain to the ETnSt 30Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-6
100.0%
Austin Herink sacked by Emmit Gooden for a loss of 6 yards to the ETnSt 24Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Marion Watson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Tim Jordan run for 9 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+10
100.0%
Jeremy Banks run for 10 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
100.0%
Jeremy Banks run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 46Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-10
100.0%
Madre London rush for loss of 4 yards to the 50 yardline (Jason Maduafokwa), PENALTY UT holding (K'Rojhn Calbert) 10 yards to the UT44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 15
OWN 44
-1
99.9%
Madre London run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Princeton Fant run for 6 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Joe Doyle punt for 34 yds , MJ Woods returns for no gain to the ETnSt 20 MJ Woods fumbled, recovered by Tenn Micah AbernathySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
100.0%
Jeremy Banks run for 9 yds to the ETnSt 10Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+2
100.0%
Princeton Fant run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
100.0%
Princeton Fant run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 9Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
100.0%
Madre London run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 8Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
100.0%
Madre London run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 4Similar
Q4 3:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Madre London run for 4 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Dontavius Monroe run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 26Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Dontavius Monroe run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 30Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
Dontavius Monroe run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 34Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Marion Watson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Theo Jackson at the Tenn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 12
OWN 29
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:27
Jeremy Banks run for 1 yd for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 9:12
Jeremy Banks run for 3 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 7:41
Logan Marchi pass intercepted for a TD Darrin Kirkland Jr. return for 33 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com