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UGA

Georgia 41 at South Carolina 17

SC
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:18: Bryan Edwards 13 Yd pass from Deebo Samuel (Parker White Kick) — SC win probability +2.3 pts (now 29%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:57: Parker White 26 Yd Field Goal — SC win probability +2.0 pts (now 29%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:55: Mecole Hardman 34 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +10.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:12: Elijah Holyfield 5 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +7.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:59: Bryan Edwards 44 Yd pass from Jake Bentley (Parker White Kick) — SC win probability +1.9 pts (now 2%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 13:05SC 4th & 7 at SC 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:54SC 4th & 9 at UGA 33, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:30UGA 4th & 5 at SC 28, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.1%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:50SC 4th & 2 at SC 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:36UGA 4th & 17 at UGA 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:57SC 4th & 6 at UGA 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:59UGA 4th & 12 at SC 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    72.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:43SC 4th & 5 at SC 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:55SC 4th & 2 at SC 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:37SC 4th & 2 at SC 33, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:25SC 4th & 3 at UGA 5, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:27UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 26, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:01UGA 4th & 1 at SC 38, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:13UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:50UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:18SC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:55UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:12UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:00UGA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:59SC Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1FUMBLE RETURN TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:4726% → 27%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 7 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
26.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
26.7%
Bentley, Jake pass incomplete to Samuel, Deebo, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Baker, Deandre) 15 yards to the SOCAROLINA47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
26.7%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-1
26.6%
Juwan Taylor 1 Yd Fumble Return (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:3927% → 27%
Q1 13:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
26.7%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
26.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
26.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:1573% → 74%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
26.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 12 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
26.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+45
26.7%
Mecole Hardman run for 30 yds to the SOCAROLINA 32 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (T.J. Brunson) to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
26.0%
D'Andre Swift 17 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3226% → 29%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
26.1%
Bentley, Jake pass incomplete to Samuel, Deebo, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Baker, Deandre) 15 yards to the SOCAROLINA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
26.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+12
25.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 12 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+5
26.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 5 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
26.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+9
26.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to OrTre Smith for 9 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
26.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
26.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+18
26.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 18 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
26.4%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
28.7%
Bryan Edwards 13 Yd pass from Deebo Samuel (Parker White Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5INT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:4773% → 72%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
27.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (Jake Fromm) to the Geo 20Similar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 15
OWN 25
-7
27.5%
Tyler Simmons run for 5 yds to the Geo 25 GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Riley Ridley) to the Geo 13Similar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+10
27.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 10 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
27.6%
Jake Fromm run for 2 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
27.9%
Jake Fromm pass intercepted Rashad Fenton return for 16 yds to the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3729% → 28%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
29.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jacob AugustSimilar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-1
29.2%
Deebo Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+2
28.7%
Jake Bentley run for 2 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 9
OPP 33
0
28.3%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:1772% → 73%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
27.6%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Ridley, Riley, PENALTY SOCAROLINA pass interference (Fenton, Rashad) 15 yards to the GEORGIA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
27.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+15
27.1%
Elijah Holyfield run for 15 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
27.0%
Elijah Holyfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+3
27.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 3 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+5
27.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 5 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+45
27.1%
Rodrigo Blankenship 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:3427% → 26%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
26.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SCaro Jake BentleySimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+10
25.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 10 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+9
26.2%
Joseph Charlton punt for 42 yds , Ahkil Crumpton returns for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 3:1274% → 72%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
26.4%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
26.1%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+5
26.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 5 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
26.0%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 44Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
26.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Tyler SimmonsSimilar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-6
26.6%
Jake Fromm sacked by Keir Thomas and T.J. Brunson for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 38Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 17
OWN 38
0
27.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FG
15 plays · 71 yds · 5:3926% → 29%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
25.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 21Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
25.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+5
25.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kiel Pollard for 5 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
25.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 10 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
26.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 9 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+5
27.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
27.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 18 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
27.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+7
27.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for 7 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+6
26.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 6 yds to the Geo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
27.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 7 yds to the Geo 6Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 3
OPP 6
-3
27.6%
Jake Bentley sacked by D'Andre Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 9Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
26.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
28.8%
Parker White 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:5772% → 74%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
27.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
26.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
26.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 12 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
25.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 6 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+8
25.6%
Elijah Holyfield run for 8 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-8
24.7%
Jake Fromm sacked by Daniel Fennell for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 18
OPP 43
+6
25.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 12
OPP 37
0
25.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Ahkil CrumptonSimilar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
26.3%
Jake Camarda punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 1:1527% → 29%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
27.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 6 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+17
27.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 17 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
27.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
27.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 9 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
29.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 4 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
29.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
28.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 5 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
29.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
28.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:4275% → 79%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
25.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 10 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
24.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 12 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
23.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 11 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
23.0%
Jake Fromm run for 7 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+44
20.7%
Rodrigo Blankenship 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0476% → 87%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
24.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 13 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
23.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
23.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 9 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
23.0%
Elijah Holyfield run for 10 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
22.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 7 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+34
12.9%
Mecole Hardman 34 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5715% → 15%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.1%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
14.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
15.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to K.C. CrosbySimilar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
15.0%
Joseph Charlton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ahkil Crumpton at the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4386% → 96%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
13.6%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 23Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
13.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 15 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
12.7%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
12.4%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+10
12.3%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Herrien, Brian, PENALTY SOCAROLINA holding (Louis, Rosendo) 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+42
11.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 42 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
4.5%
Elijah Holyfield 5 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:356% → 5%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
5.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
5.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
5.8%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
5.3%
Joseph Charlton punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Ahkil Crumpton at the Geo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 4:3496% → 99%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
4.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+8
4.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 8 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
3.8%
Brian Herrien run for 10 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
3.5%
Brian Herrien run for 9 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+26
3.2%
Elijah Holyfield run for 26 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
3.0%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+4
2.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
2.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+15
1.2%
Brian Herrien 15 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19INT
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:342% → 1%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
1.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 1 yd to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
1.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
1.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 14 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
1.8%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+13
2.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Josh Vann for 13 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
2.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kyle Markway for 7 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+16
1.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Josh Vann for 16 yds to the Geo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
1.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Randrecous Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 16
+11
1.0%
Jake Bentley run for 11 yds to the Geo 5Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
0.8%
Jake Bentley run for no gain to the Geo 5Similar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 3
OPP 5
0
0.5%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted, touchback. J.R. Reed return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5799% → 99%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.7%
James Cook run for no gain to the Geo 20Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.6%
James Cook run for 3 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+3
0.6%
Justin Fields run for 3 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
0.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:270% → 2%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
0.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 8 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+4
0.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to A.J. Turner for 4 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
0.4%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+44
2.3%
Bryan Edwards 44 Yd pass from Jake Bentley (Parker White Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22END OF GAME
18 plays · 58 yds · 9:5899% → 100%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
1.1%
James Cook run for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
1.1%
James Cook run for 4 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
0.9%
James Cook run for 5 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
0.9%
James Cook run for 2 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+8
0.8%
Justin Fields pass complete to Trey Blount for 8 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
0.8%
Prather Hudson run for no gain to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
0.6%
James Cook run for 6 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+3
0.6%
James Cook run for 3 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
0.6%
James Cook run for 1 yd to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
0.5%
Prather Hudson run for 5 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+2
0.5%
Prather Hudson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+4
0.4%
James Cook run for 4 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
0.4%
James Cook run for 1 yd to the SCaro 25Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+6
0.3%
Prather Hudson run for 6 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+6
0.3%
Prather Hudson run for 6 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-4
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:55
Mecole Hardman 34 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
-10
TD · Q3 9:12
Elijah Holyfield 5 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
-7.4
TD · Q1 7:18
Bryan Edwards 13 Yd pass from Deebo Samuel (Parker White Kick)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com