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SIU

Southern Illinois 41 at Ole Miss 76

MISS
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadSIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreSIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:42 · D.J. Hampton run for 3 yds to the Miss 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:06: Sam Straub pass complete to Raphael Leonard for 9 yds for a TD (Nico Gualdoni KICK) — SIU win probability +6.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:49: Sam Straub pass complete to Raphael Leonard for 70 yds for a TD OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Nico Gualdoni KICK) — SIU win probability +7.9 pts (now 18%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:22: Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 46 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK) — MISS win probability +7.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:48: Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK) — MISS win probability +9.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:42: Sam Straub pass intercepted for a TD Vernon Dasher return for 88 yds for a TD (Luke Logan PAT MISSED) — MISS win probability +6.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00MISS 4th & 10 at MISS 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:32SIU 4th & 3 at MISS 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:31SIU 4th & 1 at MISS 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:12SIU 4th & 5 at MISS 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:40MISS 4th & 4 at SIU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.8%−0.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00SIU 4th & 17 at SIU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:22SIU 4th & 22 at SIU 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:36MISS 4th & 15 at MISS 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:00SIU 4th & 9 at MISS 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−5.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:41SIU 4th & 2 at MISS 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%−3.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:34SIU 4th & 4 at SIU 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:34SIU 4th & 2 at SIU 33, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 10 of 10SIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:04SIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:57MISS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:32SIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 5:31MISS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 1:01SIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 14:52MISS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 6:40MISS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 4:06SIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 1:17MISS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q2 0:49SIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 11:22MISS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 3:48MISS Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 14:42MISS Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 12:00MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 1:42MISS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
96.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 4 yds to the Miss 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+1
96.4%
Scottie Phillips run for 1 yd to the Miss 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
96.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 23
-5
96.4%
OLE MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Miss 18Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
96.4%
Mac Brown punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoIll 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 0:504% → 4%
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
96.2%
Sam Straub pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 15 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
96.2%
Sam Straub pass complete to Jacob Varble for 11 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
96.2%
Sam Straub pass complete to Darrell James for 21 yds to the Miss 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.2%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Darrell JamesSimilar
Q1 13:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.9%
Sam Straub pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 9 yds for a TD (Nico Gualdoni KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 3:0796% → 96%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
95.9%
Scottie Phillips run for 4 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
96.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 5 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+8
96.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 8 yds to the SoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
96.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Floyd Allen for 10 yds to the SoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete, broken up by Jeremy ChinnSimilar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
96.0%
Isaiah Woullard run for 7 yds to the SoIll 31Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-2
96.0%
Scottie Phillips run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoIll 33Similar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+5
95.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Braylon Sanders, PENALTY SIU offside (Agnew, Keenan) 5 yards to the SIU28, 1ST DOWN OM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
96.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 5 yds to the SoIll 23Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+16
96.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 16 yds to the SoIll 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.6%
Scottie Phillips run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:255% → 6%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
95.4%
D.J. Davis run for 32 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+29
95.3%
Sam Straub pass complete to Jacob Varble for 29 yds to the Miss 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
95.3%
Raphael Leonard run for 3 yds to the Miss 11Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
95.3%
Sam Straub run for no gain to the Miss 11Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+4
95.3%
Sam Straub pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 4 yds to the Miss 7Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+7
93.9%
Sam Straub pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 7 yds for a TD (Nico Gualdoni KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
4 plays · 81 yds · 0:5594% → 95%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
94.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Scottie Phillips for no gain to the Miss 19Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+51
94.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 51 yds to the SoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
94.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 30 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:306% → 9%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.4%
D.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the SoIll 30Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
94.4%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Jacob VarbleSimilar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
94.4%
Sam Straub pass complete to Darrell James for 7 yds to the SoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
94.3%
Sam Straub pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 4 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (C.J. Moore) to the Miss 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
94.2%
D.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Miss 41Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
94.2%
Sam Straub run for 3 yds to the Miss 38Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+3
94.2%
Sam Straub pass complete to Raphael Leonard for 3 yds to the Miss 35Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+30
94.3%
Sam Straub pass complete to Jaylon Graham for 30 yds to the Miss 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
94.1%
Sam Straub pass complete to D.J. Davis for 3 yds to the Miss 2Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.0%
Sam Straub run for 2 yds for a TD (Nico Gualdoni KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 1:0492% → 93%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
91.5%
Isaiah Woullard run for 1 yd to the Miss 14Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+12
91.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 12 yds to the Miss 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
91.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
50
+50
93.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Elijah Moore for 50 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 8FG
18 plays · 70 yds · 6:347% → 12%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.6%
Jonathan Mixon run for 4 yds to the SoIll 29Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
92.5%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Raphael LeonardSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
92.6%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoIll 24Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+28
92.7%
Sam Straub pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 28 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
91.9%
D.J. Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 12
50
0
92.1%
Sam Straub pass complete to Raphael Leonard for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 12
50
+15
92.3%
Straub, Sam pass incomplete to Leonard, Raphae (Montrell Custis), PENALTY OM pass interference (Montrell Custis) 15 yards to the OM35, 1ST DOWN SIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
91.8%
Je'Quan Burton run for 2 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+6
91.8%
Sam Straub run for 6 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+10
91.9%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the Miss 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
91.8%
Matt Quarells run for 8 yds to the Miss 9Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+2
91.8%
Jonathan Mixon run for 2 yds to the Miss 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
91.8%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Jonathan MixonSimilar
Q2 14:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
91.8%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Raphael Leonard, broken up by Myles HartsfieldSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
91.9%
D.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Miss 5Similar
Q2 8:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
88.3%
Nico Gualdoni 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3289% → 92%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
89.1%
Scottie Phillips run for 31 yds to the SoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
90.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
90.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 4 yds to the SoIll 40Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+2
89.9%
Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds to the SoIll 38Similar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+38
91.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 38 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:348% → 16%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.1%
Sam Straub pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 6 yds to the SoIll 31Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.4%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Raphael Leonard, broken up by Ken WebsterSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+34
91.6%
Sam Straub pass complete to Raphael Leonard for 34 yds Raphael Leonard fumbled, forced by Zedrick Woods, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
90.9%
Sam Straub pass complete to Jacob Varble for 9 yds to the Miss 11Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
90.9%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Miss 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
84.5%
Sam Straub pass complete to Raphael Leonard for 9 yds for a TD (Nico Gualdoni KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:4987% → 91%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 6 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
87.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 11 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
87.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 10 yds to the SoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
88.0%
OLE MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Miss 47Similar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+5
87.1%
Jordan Ta'amu run for 5 yds to the SoIll 48Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+19
87.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 19 yds to the SoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
88.6%
Isaiah Woullard run for 7 yds to the SoIll 22Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+4
88.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 4 yds to the SoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
88.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Braylon SandersSimilar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+12
88.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 12 yds to the SoIll 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.9%
Scottie Phillips run for 6 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:2810% → 18%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.5%
D.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the SoIll 28Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
90.4%
D.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the SoIll 30Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+70
82.5%
Sam Straub pass complete to Raphael Leonard for 70 yds for a TD OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Nico Gualdoni KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0783% → 81%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
82.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Scottie Phillips for 4 yds to the Miss 28Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
81.1%
Scottie Phillips run for 7 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. MetcalfSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
81.0%
Scottie Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 24 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
81.5%
Sam Straub pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 7 yds to the SoIll 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
80.7%
D.J. Davis run for 10 yds to the SoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
80.3%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Jacob VarbleSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
80.6%
D.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the SoIll 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+5
80.9%
Straub, Sam pass incomplete to Leonard, Raphae, PENALTY OM offside (Qaadir Sheppard) 5 yards to the SIU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+7
80.4%
Sam Straub pass complete to Jacob Varble for 7 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
79.9%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Raphael Leonard, broken up by C.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
79.9%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (Jacob Marnin) to the Miss 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+3
80.7%
Sam Straub pass complete to Jacob Varble for 3 yds to the Miss 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 46
0
81.0%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Matt Quarells, broken up by Vernon DasherSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 46
-5
82.3%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoIll 49Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
82.4%
Lane Reazin punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:2481% → 88%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
81.0%
Scottie Phillips run for 13 yds to the SoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
88.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 46 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
86.4%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (Sam Straub) to the SoIll 20Similar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+12
86.6%
Raphael Leonard run for 12 yds to the SoIll 32Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
85.3%
D.J. Davis run for 8 yds to the SoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
85.5%
Straub, Sam pass complete to James, Darrell for 5 yards to the SIU45 (Zedrick Woods), PENALTY OM 12 men on the field 5 yards to the SIU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+5
84.7%
Sam Straub pass complete to Darrell James for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
50
-12
84.4%
Sam Straub run for 3 yds to the OLEMISS 47 SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal block (Darrell James) to the SoIll 38Similar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 22
OWN 38
0
86.2%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Darrell JamesSimilar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 22
OWN 38
0
86.4%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Jacob Varble, broken up by Qaadir SheppardSimilar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 22
OWN 38
0
86.7%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Darrell JamesSimilar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 22
OWN 38
+51
87.3%
Lane Reazin punt for 51 yds , Elijah Moore returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
87.2%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 34 yards to the OM44 (Lewis, Torian), PENALTY OM ineligible downfield on pass (Alex Givens) 5 yards to the OM5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 15
OWN 5
0
87.1%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Elijah Moore, broken up by Jeremy Chinn OLE MISS Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 15
OWN 5
+7
87.0%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 7 yds to the Miss 12Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 8
OWN 12
-7
86.5%
Jordan Ta'amu sacked by Luke Giegling and Jordan Berner for a loss of 7 yards to the Miss 5Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 15
OWN 5
0
86.1%
Mac Brown punt for 39 yds, fair catch by D.J. Davis at the Miss 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 18FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:0217% → 20%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
83.4%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to D.J. Davis, broken up by Josiah CoatneySimilar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+10
83.5%
D.J. Davis run for 10 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
82.7%
Sam Straub pass complete to Raphael Leonard for 1 yd to the Miss 33Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+25
82.7%
Sam Straub pass complete to D.J. Davis for 25 yds to the Miss 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
82.4%
Darrell James run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 12Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+3
82.7%
Sam Straub run for 3 yds to the Miss 9Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
83.5%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Darrell James, broken up by C.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 5:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
80.0%
Nico Gualdoni 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1282% → 93%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+55
81.6%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 55 yds to the SoIll 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
84.7%
Scottie Phillips run for 6 yds to the SoIll 14Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
84.7%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Dawson KnoxSimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+9
83.8%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 9 yds to the SoIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.9%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 20INT TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 3:5910% → 7%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+29
90.2%
D.J. Davis run for 29 yds to the SoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
89.5%
Sam Straub pass complete to Darrell James for 6 yds to the SoIll 41Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
88.6%
Chris Perkins run for 3 yds to the SoIll 44Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
88.6%
Sam Straub run for 2 yds to the SoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.6%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Raphael LeonardSimilar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
89.0%
Sam Straub run for 2 yds to the SoIll 48Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+6
89.2%
Sam Straub pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 6 yds to the Miss 46Similar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+9
89.2%
D.J. Davis run for 9 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
88.2%
Sam Straub pass incomplete to Landon Lenoir, broken up by Vernon DasherSimilar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+11
88.2%
Sam Straub pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 11 yds to the Miss 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
87.0%
Chris Perkins run for 6 yds to the Miss 20Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+88
93.3%
Sam Straub pass intercepted for a TD Vernon Dasher return for 88 yds for a TD (Luke Logan PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 21INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
D.J. Davis run for no gain to the SoIll 25Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.8%
D.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the SoIll 28Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
94.9%
Sam Straub pass intercepted Keidron Smith return for no gain to the Miss 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 1:3697% → 99%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
96.5%
Isaiah Woullard run for 3 yds to the SoIll 49Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
96.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Elijah Moore, broken up by Tyree JacksonSimilar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+36
96.3%
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 36 yds to the SoIll 13 for a 1ST down SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
96.5%
Isaiah Woullard run for 1 yd to the SoIll 12Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
96.5%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete, broken up by Bryce NotreeSimilar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+5
96.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf, PENALTY SIU offside (Jones, Devin) 5 yards to the SIU7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+3
96.4%
Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Alex Weber (Jennings, C.J.), PENALTY SIU offside (Parzych, Blake) 3 yards to the SIU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
96.4%
Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the SoIll 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.2%
Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds for a TD (Isaac Way KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 23FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:201% → 0%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.1%
D.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the SoIll 27Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+12
99.1%
Sam Straub pass complete to Darrell James for 12 yds to the SoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.1%
Sam Straub run for 4 yds to the SoIll 43Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
99.1%
Chris Perkins run for 2 yds to the SoIll 45Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Chris Perkins run for no gain to the SoIll 45Similar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+56
99.9%
Sam Straub sacked by Jacquez Jones and Ross Donelly for a loss of 4 yards Sam Straub fumbled, recovered by Miss Victor Evans , return for 0 yards , return for 56 yds (Luke Logan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Javon Williams Jr. run for no gain to the SoIll 25Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoIll 27Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Landon Lenoir for 6 yds to the SoIll 33Similar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Lane Reazin punt for 41 yds , Elijah Moore returns for 4 yds to the Miss 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 25TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:51100% → 100%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.9%
Tylan Knight run for 8 yds to the Miss 38Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Armani Linton run for 8 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Armani Linton run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 6
50
+5
99.9%
Tylan Knight run for 5 yds to the SoIll 45Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+12
99.9%
Tylan Knight run for 12 yds to the SoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.9%
Tylan Knight run for 1 yd to the SoIll 32Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Matt Corral pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+31
99.9%
Matt Corral pass complete to Alex Weber for 31 yds to the SoIll 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Armani Linton run for no gain to the SoIll 1Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Matt Corral run for 1 yd for a TD (Patrick Nasiatka KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
D.J. Hampton run for 1 yd to the SoIll 26Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
D.J. Hampton run for 3 yds to the SoIll 29Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+25
99.9%
D.J. Hampton run for 25 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
D.J. Hampton run for 3 yds to the Miss 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:48
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)
+9.1
TD · Q2 0:49
Sam Straub pass complete to Raphael Leonard for 70 yds for a TD OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Nico Gualdoni KICK)
-7.9
TD · Q3 11:22
Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 46 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com