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SELA

SE Louisiana 0 at LSU 31

LSU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadSELA aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreSELA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:08 · Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devonte Williams at the SELa 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Pregame prior+41.8Home team on offense+11.8Score differential+6.4Garbage-time factor+4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 9:38: Timeout SE LOUISIANA, clock 09:38 — SELA win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:14: Chason Virgil pass complete to Nih-Jer Jackson for 8 yds to the SELa 27 — SELA win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:20: Timeout LSU, clock 00:20 — SELA win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: Joe Burrow pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 40 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK) — LSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:03: Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 7 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK) — LSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7SELA made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:15SELA 4th & 13 at SELA 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:20SELA 4th & 21 at SELA 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:21LSU 4th & 14 at SELA 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:21SELA 4th & 20 at SELA 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:45LSU 4th & 17 at LSU 23, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:33SELA 4th & 13 at SELA 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:08LSU 4th & 12 at LSU 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:14SELA 4th & 16 at LSU 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00SELA 4th & 8 at SELA 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:34LSU 4th & 23 at LSU 45, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:13SELA 4th & 1 at midfield, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:13SELA 4th & 1 at LSU 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:47LSU 4th & 7 at LSU 40, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00SELA 4th & 2 at SELA 48, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00SELA 4th & 5 at LSU 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:54LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 15, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:45SELA 4th & 1 at LSU 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:45SELA 4th & 3 at LSU 8, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:15LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:20LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:00LSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:03LSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Nick Brossette run for no gain to the LSU 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Nick Brossette run for 4 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.3%
Joe Burrow run for 3 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Devonte Williams at the SELa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 2FUMBLE
10 plays · 15 yds · 3:281% → 1%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
99.2%
Devonte Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SELa 18Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+15
99.2%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Marquis Williams for 15 yds to the SELa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
99.2%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the SELa 28Similar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+11
99.2%
Chason Virgil run for 11 yds to the SELa 39Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-1
99.2%
Lorenzo Nunez run for a loss of 1 yard to the SELa 38 SE LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+5
99.2%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Darren Johnson for 5 yds to the SELa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-6
99.2%
Chason Virgil run for a loss of 6 yards to the SELa 37Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 16
OWN 37
-11
99.0%
Chason Virgil sacked by Breiden Fehoko for a loss of 11 yards to the SELa 26Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 27
OWN 26
+8
99.0%
Darren Johnson run for 8 yds to the SELa 34 Darren Johnson fumbled, forced by Devin White, recovered by LSU Andre AnthonySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:3799% → 99%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+13
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 13 yds to the SELa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.0%
Nick Brossette run for no gain to the SELa 21Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+12
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Nick Brossette for 12 yds to the SELa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 9 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, delay of game (Chason Virgil) to the SELa 20Similar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
98.9%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Bransen Schwebel for 7 yds to the SELa 27Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
98.9%
Devonte Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the SELa 22Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
99.0%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+20
99.0%
Ivy Wall punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SELa 46 , Jonathan Giles returns for 20 yds to the SELa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:3499% → 99%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
98.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 23 yds to the SELa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
98.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 2 yds to the SELa 21Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
98.9%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete, broken up by Dejion LynchSimilar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+13
98.9%
Joe Burrow run for 13 yds to the SELa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
98.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 2 yds to the SELa 6Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
98.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 5 yds to the SELa 1Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Joe Burrow run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.9%
Darren Johnson run for 6 yds to the SELa 31Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
98.9%
Chason Virgil sacked by Neil Farrell Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the SELa 21Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-7
98.9%
Chason Virgil sacked by Ray Thornton for a loss of 7 yards to the SELa 14Similar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
98.9%
Ivy Wall punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Giles at the LSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:5999% → 99%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
98.9%
Joe Burrow run for 9 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+6
98.9%
Nick Brossette run for 6 yds to the SELa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
98.9%
LSU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
50
+14
98.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 14 yds to the SELa 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+8
98.9%
Nick Brossette run for 8 yds to the SELa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
98.9%
Nick Brossette run for 2 yds to the SELa 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+7
98.9%
Nick Brossette run for 7 yds to the SELa 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-10
98.8%
Nick Brossette rush for no gain to the SLU19 (Wright, Matthew;Walker, Zeke), PENALTY LSU O (Badara Traore) 10 yards to the SLU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 29
-3
98.8%
Joe Burrow sacked by Isaac Adeyemi-Berglund for a loss of 3 yards to the SELa 32Similar
Q2 11:21
4TH & 14
OPP 32
+50
98.9%
Cole Tracy 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.8%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Juwan Petit-Frere for 8 yds to the SELa 33Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
98.7%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 4 yds to the SELa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
98.7%
Virgil, Chason pass incomplete to Turner, CJ, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Kelvin Joseph) 14 yards to the LSU49, 1ST DOWN SLU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.7%
Chason Virgil pass incomplete to CJ TurnerSimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
98.7%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SELa 46Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 15
OWN 46
-5
98.8%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SELa 41Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 20
OWN 41
0
98.8%
Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Devonte WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 20
OWN 41
0
98.8%
Chason Virgil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:21
4TH & 20
OWN 41
0
98.8%
Ivy Wall punt for 29 yds, downed at the LSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
98.9%
Joe Burrow sacked by Mike Mason for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 23Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 17
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete, broken up by Isaac Adeyemi-BerglundSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 17
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Clyde Edwards-HelaireSimilar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
98.8%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SELa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
98.6%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Darren Johnson for 5 yds to the SELa 49Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-8
98.5%
Chason Virgil sacked by Grant Delpit for a loss of 8 yards to the SELa 41Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
98.7%
Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Juwan Petit-FrereSimilar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
98.7%
Ivy Wall punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Giles at the LSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
98.7%
Nick Brossette run for 11 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
98.7%
Nick Brossette run for 12 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
98.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 5 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+3
98.8%
Nick Brossette run for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
98.7%
Nick Brossette run for 4 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
98.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 17 yards to the SLU39 (Thorns, Brayleon), PENALTY LSU holding (Badara Traore) 10 yards to the LSU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+8
98.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 8 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 12
OWN 42
0
98.8%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr., broken up by Dejion LynchSimilar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 12
OWN 42
0
98.7%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete, broken up by Zeke WalkerSimilar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
98.7%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devonte Williams at the SELa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
98.3%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Nih-Jer Jackson for 8 yds to the SELa 27Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+1
98.3%
Devonte Williams run for 1 yd to the SELa 28Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
98.3%
Devonte Williams run for 3 yds to the SELa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
98.3%
Virgil, Chason pass incomplete to Jackson, Nih-Jer, PENALTY LSU personal foul (Jacob Phillips) 15 yards to the SLU46, 1ST DOWN SLU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
98.2%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 5 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
98.2%
Devonte Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+3
98.2%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 3 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.2%
Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Lorenzo NunezSimilar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
98.2%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Nih-Jer Jackson for 4 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 6
OPP 39
-10
98.2%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Darren Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the LSU 49Similar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
98.4%
Ivy Wall punt for 45 yds, downed at the LSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 96 yds · 0:5999% → 99%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
98.5%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the LSU 9Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 5
OWN 9
+9
98.5%
Nick Brossette run for 9 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.6%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Foster Moreau, broken up by Tamarcus RussellSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+11
98.6%
Nick Brossette run for 11 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
98.6%
Nick Brossette run for 7 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+24
98.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Foster Moreau for 24 yds to the SELa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.3%
Joe Burrow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 40 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.0%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Darren Johnson) to the SELa 20Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Lorenzo Nunez run for no gain to the SELa 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+25
99.0%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Juwan Petit-Frere for 25 yds to the SELa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
98.9%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Juwan Petit-Frere for 6 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-5
98.9%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Bransen Schwebel) to the SELa 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+1
98.9%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Bransen Schwebel for 1 yd to the SELa 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
98.9%
Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Nih-Jer JacksonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
99.0%
Ivy Wall punt for 41 yds, downed at the LSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.1%
Nick Brossette run for 4 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+42
99.1%
Nick Brossette run for 42 yds to the SELa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
99.2%
C. Edwards-Helaire rush for 18 yards to the SLU24 (Jordan, Ferlando;Lewis, Xavier), PENALTY LSU illegal block (Damien Lewis) 15 yards to the LSU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 25
OWN 43
0
99.2%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for no gain to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 25
OWN 43
0
99.2%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Jonathan Giles, broken up by Isaac Adeyemi-BerglundSimilar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 25
OWN 43
+2
99.1%
Joe Burrow run for 2 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 23
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Devonte Williams at the SELa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.1%
Lorenzo Nunez run for no gain to the SELa 18Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+23
99.1%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Marquis Williams for 23 yds to the SELa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.1%
Devonte Williams run for 4 yds to the SELa 45Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-5
99.1%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Jarius Gooch) to the SELa 40Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+7
99.1%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Nih-Jer Jackson for 7 yds to the SELa 47Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+3
99.1%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Bransen Schwebel for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 1
50
+4
99.1%
Darren Johnson run for 4 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.1%
Darren Johnson run for 5 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
99.0%
Darren Johnson run for 2 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+2
99.0%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Devonte Williams for 2 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
99.1%
Chason Virgil run for no gain to the LSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Nick Brossette run for no gain to the LSU 40Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr Chase, broken up by Dejion LynchSimilar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
99.2%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 59 yds, downed at the SELa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 18INT
14 plays · 78 yds · 3:061% → 1%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+23
99.2%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Juwan Petit-Frere for 8 yds to the SELa 9 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Grant Delpit) to the SELa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.2%
Devonte Williams run for 2 yds to the SELa 26Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+14
99.2%
Chason Virgil pass complete to CJ Turner for 14 yds to the SELa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.2%
Darren Johnson run for 1 yd to the SELa 41Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-8
99.2%
Chason Virgil sacked by Neil Farrell Jr. and Justin Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the SELa 33Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+15
99.2%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Bransen Schwebel for 15 yds to the SELa 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+15
99.3%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Darren Johnson for 15 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.3%
Chason Virgil pass incomplete to CJ TurnerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
99.3%
Lorenzo Nunez pass incomplete to Bransen SchwebelSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.3%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Nih-Jer Jackson for 5 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+8
99.3%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Devonte Williams for 8 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.2%
Devonte Williams run for no gain to the LSU 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
99.3%
Devonte Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
99.3%
Chason Virgil pass intercepted Greedy Williams return for no gain to the LSU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
99.4%
Nick Brossette run for no gain to the LSU 6Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+7
99.4%
Nick Brossette run for 7 yds to the LSU 13Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+2
99.4%
Joe Burrow run for 2 yds to the LSU 15Similar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 1
OWN 15
+12
99.4%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 48 yds , Xavier Lewis returns for 12 yds to the SELa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 20FUMBLE
13 plays · 33 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
99.4%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 10 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
99.4%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Bransen Schwebel) to the LSU 46Similar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+1
99.4%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 1 yd to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+13
99.4%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Juwan Petit-Frere for 13 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
99.3%
Devonte Williams run for no gain to the LSU 32Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+17
99.3%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 17 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.3%
Darren Johnson run for 5 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
99.3%
Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Nih-Jer JacksonSimilar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+2
99.3%
Chason Virgil pass complete to Darren Johnson for 2 yds to the LSU 8Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+4
99.3%
Chason Virgil run for 4 yds to the LSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.3%
Darren Johnson run for 1 yd to the LSU 3Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.3%
Lorenzo Nunez run for no gain to the LSU 3Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+64
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the SELa 18 TEAM fumbled, recovered by LSU JaCoby Stevens , return for 64 yds to the SELa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.6%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 5 yds to the SELa 13Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+3
99.6%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 3 yds to the SELa 10Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+3
99.5%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 3 yds to the SELa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 7 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Taron Jones run for 4 yds to the SELa 29Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
100.0%
JoMari Becnel run for 5 yds to the SELa 34Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+25
100.0%
Lorenzo Nunez run for 25 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Taron Jones run for no gain to the LSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:00
Joe Burrow pass complete to Stephen Sullivan for 40 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)
+1
TD · Q4 2:03
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 7 yds for a TD (Cole Tracy KICK)
+0.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 4:14
Chason Virgil pass complete to Nih-Jer Jackson for 8 yds to the SELa 27
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com