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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 7 at Vanderbilt 35

VAN
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFUMBLETDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:28 · Terelle West run for 14 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:59: Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 4 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 42%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q2 14:01: Brent Stockstill run for a loss of 7 yards Brent Stockstill fumbled, recovered by Vandy Dayo Odeyingbo , return for 3 yds, (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +4.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:26: Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Chris Pierce for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +10.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:43: Cam Johnson run for 6 yds to the Vandy 26 — VAN win probability +6.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:47: Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 28 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +5.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:21VAN 4th & 3 at MTSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:21MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:33VAN 4th & 3 at MTSU 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00VAN 4th & 2 at MTSU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    59.3%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:36MTSU 4th & 16 at VAN 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:26VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:42MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:07VAN 4th & 18 at VAN 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−2.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:47MTSU 4th & 6 at VAN 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:08MTSU 4th & 16 at VAN 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00MTSU 4th & 9 at VAN 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:26MTSU 4th & 11 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00VAN 4th & 4 at MTSU 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.5%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:39MTSU 4th & 7 at VAN 10, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:21VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:59MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:26VAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:47VAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:28VAN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:3961% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
60.7%
Khari Blasingame run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
60.7%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
60.7%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
60.7%
Khari Blasingame run for no gain to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+30
61.7%
Khari Blasingame run for 30 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
61.5%
Tavares Thomas run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
61.4%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Colin Anderson for a loss of 10 yards to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+7
61.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 7 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+12
61.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 12 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
61.4%
Brad Anderson run for no gain to the MTnSt 48 Brad Anderson fumbled, forced by Charles Wright,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
62.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 5 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
62.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
62.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney, broken up by Reed BlankenshipSimilar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
62.4%
Parker Thome punt for 34 yds, downed at the MTnSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4TD
15 plays · 93 yds · 6:5837% → 42%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
62.8%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Jordan Griffin for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 14
OWN 3
+9
62.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 9 yds to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+6
63.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 6 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+28
62.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 28 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
62.2%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
62.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Brad AndersonSimilar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+19
62.4%
Tavares Thomas run for 4 yds to the VANDERBILT 48 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (LaDarius Wiley) to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
61.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Brad AndersonSimilar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
61.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 6 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+5
62.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 5 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
61.7%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Louis Vecchio for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+7
62.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ruben Garnett for 7 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+16
62.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 16 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
61.8%
Tavares Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 4Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
57.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 4 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:5961% → 61%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
60.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Vandy 29Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-1
60.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+18
59.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 18 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
61.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
61.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+5
61.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 5 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
60.9%
Parker Thome punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6FUMBLE TD
1 play · -11 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
65.5%
Brent Stockstill run for a loss of 7 yards Brent Stockstill fumbled, recovered by Vandy Dayo Odeyingbo , return for 3 yds, (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
16 plays · 34 yds · 3:2535% → 32%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.4%
Brent Stockstill run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
65.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 1 yd to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
65.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
64.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ruben GarnettSimilar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
65.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 6 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
64.2%
[SH], WEST, Terelle rush for 3 yards to the MT44 (B DeVault-Smith), PENALTY VANDY offside (Charles Wright) 5 yards to the MT46, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
63.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tavonn SalterSimilar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+19
64.4%
Brent Stockstill run for 9 yds to the VANDERBILT 45 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
64.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
64.2%
Brent Stockstill run for 3 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 7
OPP 32
-5
65.3%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 37Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 12
OPP 37
-4
66.3%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Josh Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 16
OPP 41
0
67.7%
Matt Bonadies punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
67.6%
Khari Blasingame run for 6 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+3
67.7%
Kyle Shurmur run for 3 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+4
66.9%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
67.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Darryl RandolphSimilar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
67.7%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 4 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+5
67.1%
Kyle Shurmur run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 1
OWN 30
-5
66.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 25Similar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
66.2%
Parker Thome punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Reed Blankenship at the MTnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
69.2%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
69.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-5
70.2%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Kenny Hebert for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
71.3%
Matt Bonadies punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:1970% → 70%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
70.3%
Kalija Lipscomb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
70.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Khari BlasingameSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-13
69.7%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Darius Harris for a loss of 13 yards to the Vandy 18Similar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 18
OWN 18
0
70.2%
Parker Thome punt for 36 yds, downed at the MTnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11MISSED FG
12 plays · 24 yds · 1:5030% → 26%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
70.0%
Brent Stockstill run for 11 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
68.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Brad AndersonSimilar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
69.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Chaton Mobley for no gain to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+4
70.3%
Brent Stockstill run for 4 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 6
OPP 39
+15
71.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to CJ Windham for 15 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
67.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-5
68.1%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+4
70.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Luke Shiflett for 4 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
70.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 11
OPP 25
-5
72.8%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 16
OPP 30
+47
73.7%
Crews Holt 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
72.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.1%
Tavares Thomas run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
68.3%
Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
69.4%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, substitution infraction (4 Yards) to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
68.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 9 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+1
67.1%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
67.4%
Brent Stockstill run for 6 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
66.9%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
67.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Jimmy Marshall, broken up by Donovan SheffieldSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 44
-5
69.0%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 49Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
70.5%
Matt Bonadies punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 4:2572% → 88%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
71.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 15 yds to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
72.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 22Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+2
71.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+12
71.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 12 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+49
73.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Donaven Tennyson for 49 yds to the MTnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
77.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 15 yards to the MT0, clock 08:22, PENALTY VANDY illegal formation 5 yards to the MT20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+3
77.7%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+17
87.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Chris Pierce for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
84.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 8 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
83.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 2 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
83.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+5
84.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 5 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+14
84.0%
Brent Stockstill run for 14 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
82.5%
Maurice Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 11
50
-5
83.0%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Chandler Brewer) to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 16
OWN 45
-4
84.5%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Kenny Hebert for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 20
OWN 41
+9
84.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 11
50
0
84.9%
Matt Bonadies punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:5691% → 99%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
91.0%
Cam Johnson run for 6 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
91.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
91.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 16 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. BolarSimilar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
91.5%
Khari Blasingame run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 45Similar
Q3 2:43
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+7
91.1%
Kyle Shurmur run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 48
+9
92.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 9 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
93.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
93.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
93.1%
Khari Blasingame run for no gain to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
98.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 28 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17INT
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:082% → 1%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.4%
Maurice Gordon run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
98.4%
Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+14
98.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 14 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+22
98.3%
Maurice Gordon run for 22 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
98.1%
Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+7
98.0%
Chaton Mobley run for 7 yds to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
98.0%
Chaton Mobley run for 10 yds to the Vandy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
98.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
98.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Maurice GordonSimilar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+3
98.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 3 yds to the Vandy 10Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 7
OPP 10
0
98.8%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted, touchback. Frank Coppet return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 7:0499% → 100%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.0%
Kalija Lipscomb run for 14 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.0%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 8 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 2
OWN 42
-1
99.1%
Jamauri Wakefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 41Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
99.0%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 5 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.1%
Josh Crawford run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
99.1%
Josh Crawford run for no gain to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+12
99.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 12 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
99.1%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
99.1%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+2
99.1%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+1
99.6%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
100.0%
Jamauri Wakefield run for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
Q4 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
100.0%
VANDERBILT Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19END OF GAME
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Maurice Gordon run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
100.0%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
100.0%
Terelle West run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
100.0%
Terelle West run for 14 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:26
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Chris Pierce for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)
+10.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:43
Cam Johnson run for 6 yds to the Vandy 26
+6.2
TD · Q4 12:47
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 28 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com