Try the model
WVU

West Virginia 40 at Tennessee 14

TENN
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Bank of America Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:14 · Billy Kinney punt, downed at the Tenn 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Home team on offense−3.9Pregame prior−18.8Score differential−2.2Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:13: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 1 yd for a TD (Chip Omer KICK) — TENN win probability +8.3 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 12:54: Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V. for 33 yds for a TD WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 8 (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +11.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:09: Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 28 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +9.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:09: Tim Jordan run for 4 yds for a TD (Chip Omer KICK) — TENN win probability +11.2 pts (now 23%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:15: Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 14 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WVU win probability +9.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 15:00TENN 4th & 25 at TENN 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:00WVU 4th & 8 at TENN 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:54TENN 4th & 14 at WVU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:32TENN 4th & 17 at TENN 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:14WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:13TENN 4th & 1 at WVU 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:13WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:08TENN 4th & 4 at WVU 41, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    34.1%−1.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:45TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 16, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00TENN 4th & 12 at TENN 48, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:57TENN 4th & 2 at WVU 2, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−5.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:52TENN 4th & 2 at WVU 46, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 3:32WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:13TENN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:54WVU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:09WVU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:09TENN Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:15WVU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:02WVU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
26.8%
Jarrett Guarantano run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 15 Jarrett Guarantano fumbled, forced by Kenny Bigelow Jr., recovered by Tenn Josh PalmerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
26.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, broken up by Hakeem BaileySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-5
26.8%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 10Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 25
OWN 10
+37
26.8%
Joe Doyle punt for 37 yds , Marcus Simms returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:2573% → 72%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
27.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 10 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
27.4%
Pettaway, M. rush for no gain to the UT38 (Tuttle,S.;Taylor,A.), PENALTY WVU holding 10 yards to the UT48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+25
27.5%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V. for 25 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
27.4%
Martell Pettaway run for 12 yds to the Tenn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
27.4%
Tevin Bush run for 2 yds to the Tenn 9Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
27.4%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills V.Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
27.4%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
28.3%
Evan Staley 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
28.4%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 14Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 14
OWN 14
+6
28.4%
Tim Jordan run for 6 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+16
28.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 16 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
28.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 1 yd to the Tenn 37Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
28.5%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+19
28.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 19 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
28.9%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 13
OPP 45
-1
28.6%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 14
OPP 46
0
28.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:54
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
28.3%
Joe Doyle punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings Jr. at the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 2:1870% → 73%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
30.4%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+9
30.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 9 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
30.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+10
30.2%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V. for 10 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
27.2%
Will Grier pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 59 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
27.4%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Reese Donahue for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 18Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+8
27.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tim Jordan for 8 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+5
26.9%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
26.7%
Joe Doyle punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
26.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
26.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills V.Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+1
27.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for 1 yd to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
27.4%
Billy Kinney punt, downed at the Tenn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7TD
19 plays · 78 yds · 8:4727% → 35%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
26.9%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
27.1%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
26.9%
Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
27.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
27.0%
Tim Jordan run for 9 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
27.4%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
27.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 11 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
28.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 9 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+4
28.0%
Madre London run for 4 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
28.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 5 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
28.6%
Madre London run for no gain to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+14
27.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 14 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
28.6%
Tim Jordan run for 13 yds to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
29.4%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 3Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
29.4%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the WVirg 3Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
28.5%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 2 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 1 yd for a TD (Chip Omer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
33.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
32.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Josh Sills) to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
33.4%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Alec SinkfieldSimilar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
34.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills V.Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+6
35.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 53 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 6 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0034% → 35%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
33.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 7 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+17
35.6%
Tim Jordan run for 17 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
36.4%
Josh Palmer run for 7 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 3
OPP 40
-1
36.5%
Madre London run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
36.1%
Madre London run for no gain to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 5:08
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
34.9%
Joe Doyle punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings Jr. at the WVirg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 1:5266% → 74%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
33.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
33.6%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V. for 18 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
31.6%
Brown, Leddie rush for 6 yards to the WVU49 (TEAM), PENALTY UT offside (Buchanan,B.) 5 yards to the WVU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 5
OWN 48
+8
31.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 8 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
30.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 14 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
29.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus Simms, broken up by Trevon FlowersSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
29.9%
Leddie Brown run for 11 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
29.5%
Will Grier sacked by Shy Tuttle for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+4
31.1%
Will Grier run for 4 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+35
25.6%
Evan Staley 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:0672% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
28.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Martell Pettaway for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+8
29.5%
Martell Pettaway run for 8 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+32
28.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 32 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
17.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V. for 33 yds for a TD WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 8 (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
21.1%
Tim Jordan run for 8 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 2
OWN 24
-3
21.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Cedric Tillman for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 21Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 5
OWN 21
-5
20.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Trey Smith) to the Tenn 16Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
20.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer, broken up by Toyous Avery Jr.Similar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
20.3%
Joe Doyle punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:4984% → 94%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
15.9%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 38Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+22
16.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 22 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
15.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
15.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 9 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
16.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
15.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills V.Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
5.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 28 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0010% → 23%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
9.6%
Tim Jordan run for 30 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
10.8%
Madre London run for 9 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+10
10.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 10 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
11.3%
Guarantano,J. pass incomplete to Palmer,J. (Norwood, Josh), PENALTY WVU pass interference (Norwood, Josh) 15 yards to the WVU11, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
11.3%
Tim Jordan run for 7 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
22.5%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds for a TD (Chip Omer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:5485% → 96%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
14.6%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+30
14.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 30 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
13.3%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V. for 6 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+5
13.2%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
13.1%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+9
13.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 9 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
13.0%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+1
13.0%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Tenn 14Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
3.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 14 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:158% → 7%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
7.7%
Tim Jordan run for 10 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
8.0%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+11
8.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
50
-1
8.4%
Jeremy Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-1
7.5%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
7.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Tim JordanSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
7.3%
Joe Doyle punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17FUMBLE
9 plays · 53 yds · 0:0096% → 97%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
3.7%
Will Grier sacked by TEAM for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 9Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 11
OWN 9
0
3.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills V.Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+22
3.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 22 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
3.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Dominique Maiden for 8 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+1
3.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+6
3.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
3.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+6
3.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 6 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
3.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37 Kennedy McKoy fumbled, forced by Theo Jackson, recovered by Tenn Paul BainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 61 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
4.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 20 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+22
5.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 22 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
5.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tim Jordan for 3 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+10
5.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jeremy Banks for 10 yds to the WVirg 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
5.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Trey Smith) to the WVirg 13Similar
Q4 9:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+5
5.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jordan Murphy for 5 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
5.5%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
5.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 3 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
5.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 4:4198% → 100%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
2.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+38
2.2%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V. for 38 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
2.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 6 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+29
2.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 29 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
2.0%
Marcus Simms run for 5 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+3
2.0%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
2.0%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+5
1.2%
Staley, Evan field goal attempt from 32 MISSED - wide left,, clock 02:06, PENALTY UT offside (TEAM) 5 yards to the UT10, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
0.2%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V. for 10 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20END OF GAME
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
0.1%
Jeremy Banks run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 6
50
-1
0.1%
Jeremy Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+5
0.1%
Jeremy Banks run for 5 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+4
0.1%
Jeremy Banks run for 4 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:54
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V. for 33 yds for a TD WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 8 (Evan Staley KICK)
-11.5
TD · Q3 6:09
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds for a TD (Chip Omer KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q3 8:09
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings Jr. for 28 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)
-9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com