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UTM

UT Martin 14 at Missouri 51

MIZ
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadUTM aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreUTM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:08 · Dresser Winn pass complete to Jaimiee Bowe for 23 yds to the Misso 4 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior+41.3Home team on offense+17.5Score differential+12.6Blowout margin+4.2Garbage-time factor+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:22: Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 34 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:57: Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:55: Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 31 yds for a TD TENN MARTIN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:34: Jaimiee Bowe run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Courtright KICK) — UTM win probability +1.0 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UTM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:43: Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 5 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 6UTM made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UTM 4th & 3 at UTM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:58UTM 4th & 9 at UTM 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:22UTM 4th & 5 at UTM 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:08UTM 4th & 4 at MIZ 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:03MIZ 4th & 6 at UTM 8, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:43UTM 4th & 8 at UTM 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:06UTM 4th & 6 at UTM 39, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:58MIZ 4th & 4 at UTM 14, up 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:31MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 31, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:38UTM 4th & 12 at UTM 33, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:32MIZ 4th & 4 at UTM 15, up 34
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:32UTM 4th & 5 at UTM 30, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:03MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 38, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:06UTM 4th & 7 at UTM 34, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:11MIZ 4th & 4 at UTM 41, up 37
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:32UTM 4th & 12 at UTM 25, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:58MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:22MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:57MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:55MIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:34UTM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:43MIZ Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:14MIZ Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:31UTM Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.3%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Jaylon Moore for 4 yds to the TnMar 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
98.3%
LaDarius Galloway run for 3 yds to the TnMar 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
98.3%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+2
98.3%
Zane Cox punt for 32 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for 2 yds to the Misso 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 2:5898% → 98%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
98.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 11 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
98.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 11 yds to the TnMar 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
98.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 7 yds to the TnMar 33Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+1
98.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the TnMar 32Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
98.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the TnMar 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
98.2%
Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 32Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+17
98.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 17 yds to the TnMar 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
98.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 6 yds to the TnMar 9Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
98.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
98.0%
GALLOWAY, LaDar rush for 2 yards to the UTM27 (Palmore, Walter), PENALTY UTM illegal block 12 yards to the UTM13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+8
98.0%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Terry Williams for 8 yds to the TnMar 21Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
98.0%
LaDarius Galloway run for 1 yd to the TnMar 22Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+9
98.0%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Jaylon Moore for 9 yds to the TnMar 31Similar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
98.0%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TnMar 26Similar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
98.0%
Zane Cox punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TnMar 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 0:3598% → 98%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.8%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+10
97.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 10 yds to the TnMar 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
98.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 34 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Jaylon MooreSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.0%
Dresser Winn run for 9 yds to the TnMar 34Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
98.0%
Dresser Winn run for 1 yd to the TnMar 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
98.0%
WINN, Dresser pass complete to GALLOWAY, LaDar for 6 yards to the UTM41, PENALTY UTM ineligible downfield on pass (WALKER, James) 5 yards to the UTM30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+9
98.0%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Jaylon Moore for 9 yds to the TnMar 39Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
97.9%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+1
98.0%
Dresser Winn run for 1 yd to the TnMar 40Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
98.0%
Joseph Foley punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
17 plays · 55 yds · 4:3398% → 98%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
98.0%
Rountree, Larry rush for 7 yards to the UTM48 (STREATOR, Porte;WALL, Garrett), PENALTY MU holding 10 yards to the MU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+6
97.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+9
97.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 5
50
+7
97.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 7 yds to the TnMar 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
98.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the TnMar 35Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+1
98.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the TnMar 34Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+2
98.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the TnMar 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
98.0%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the TnMar 24Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 2
OPP 24
0
98.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+10
98.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 10 yds to the TnMar 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
98.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
98.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the TnMar 7Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+4
97.6%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Okwuegbunam, Al (HORTON-MARTINDA), PENALTY UTM offside (PRATHER JR, Kev) 4 yards to the UTM3, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.7%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Hall, Emanuel, PENALTY UTM pass interference (MAURA, DaVonte) 1 yards to the UTM2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the TnMar 1Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
98.3%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 6 yds to the TnMar 24Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+1
98.3%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Devonte Howard for 1 yd Devonte Howard fumbled, forced by Terry Petry, recovered by Misso Nate BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8TD
3 plays · 32 yds · 1:1799% → 99%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
98.6%
Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnMar 33Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+2
98.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 2 yds to the TnMar 31Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+31
99.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 31 yds for a TD TENN MARTIN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:211% → 2%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.2%
Terry Williams run for 5 yds to the TnMar 30 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Gerald Nathan Jr.) to the TnMar 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
99.1%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Terry Williams for 12 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
99.0%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Ben Phillips Jr. for 10 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
99.0%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Terry Williams for 7 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
98.9%
Dresser Winn run for 1 yd to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 2
OPP 25
-2
99.1%
Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+23
99.0%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Jaimiee Bowe for 23 yds to the Misso 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.0%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the Misso 1Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.1%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Courtright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10FG
7 plays · 67 yds · 1:3199% → 99%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.8%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+62
98.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 62 yds to the TnMar 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
98.9%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the TnMar 8Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
98.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate Brown, broken up by Andrew Horton-MartindaleSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+27
98.8%
Tucker McCann 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
98.8%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Devonte Howard for 13 yds to the TnMar 23 TENN MARTIN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-11 Yards) to the TnMar 12Similar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 8
OWN 12
+1
98.8%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Terry Williams for 1 yd to the TnMar 13Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
98.8%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Terry WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+8
98.8%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Devonte Howard for 8 yds to the TnMar 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.8%
Zane Cox punt for 47 yds, downed at the Misso 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:1199% → 100%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
98.9%
Drew Lock run for 5 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+8
98.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 8 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
98.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 5
50
+8
98.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 8 yds to the TnMar 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
98.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the TnMar 37Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+2
98.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the TnMar 35Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
98.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 9 yds to the TnMar 11Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 1
OPP 11
0
98.9%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+5
98.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the TnMar 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
98.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the TnMar 5Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 5 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.7%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, delay of game (Dresser Winn) to the TnMar 20Similar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
99.7%
LaDarius Galloway run for 6 yds to the TnMar 26Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
99.7%
LaDarius Galloway run for 6 yds to the TnMar 32Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.6%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, delay of game (Zane Cox) to the TnMar 27Similar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-13
99.7%
Zane Cox punt for 45 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for a loss of 13 yards to the Misso 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
99.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Larry Rountree III for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 11Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+11
99.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 11 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+2
99.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 7 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jalen Knox for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+70
99.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kam Scott for 70 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.7%
Dresser Winn pass complete to LaDarius Galloway for 1 yd to the TnMar 25Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
LaDarius Galloway run for 6 yds to the TnMar 31Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
99.7%
LaDarius Galloway run for 4 yds to the TnMar 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
LaDarius Galloway run for 5 yds to the TnMar 40Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
99.7%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 1 yd to the TnMar 41Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-2
99.7%
Dresser Winn sacked by Terez Hall for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 39Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Zane Cox punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17FG
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 18Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+44
99.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 44 yds to the TnMar 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
99.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 18 yds to the TnMar 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the TnMar 16Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+2
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the TnMar 14Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
99.8%
Tucker McCann 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Devonte Howard, broken up by Cam HiltonSimilar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
WINN, Dresser pass incomplete to GALLOWAY, LaDar, PENALTY MU pass interference (Hall, Terez) 15 yards to the UTM40, 1ST DOWN UTM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.8%
Terry Williams run for 6 yds to the TnMar 46Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+4
99.8%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Terry Williams for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.8%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 3 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-4
99.8%
Dresser Winn run for a loss of 4 yards to the TnMar 49Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+51
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to LaDarius Galloway for 51 yds for a TD, (Ryan Courtright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
99.8%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 22Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
99.8%
Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.8%
Taylor Powell run for 4 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.8%
Corey Fatony punt for 35 yds , Ben Phillips Jr. returns for 1 yd to the TnMar 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.9%
Dresser Winn sacked by Jacob Trump for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 33Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Terry Williams, broken up by Joshuah BledsoeSimilar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Zane Cox punt for 46 yds , Dominic Gicinto returns for 1 yd to the Misso 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+15
99.9%
Powell, Taylor pass incomplete to Scott, Kam, PENALTY UTM pass interference (MAURA, DaVonte) 15 yards to the MU41, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for no gain to the Misso 41Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Logan ChristophersonSimilar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+38
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jalen Knox for 38 yds to the MISSOURI 21 for a 1ST down TENN MARTIN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 1 yd to the TnMar 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+5
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 5 yds to the TnMar 15Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
99.9%
Sean Koetting 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Joe Hudson pass incomplete to Ben Phillips Jr.Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Joe Hudson run for 5 yds to the TnMar 30Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Peyton Logan run for no gain to the TnMar 30Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Zane Cox punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dominic Gicinto at the Misso 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Alex OfodileSimilar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Logan ChristophersonSimilar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 49 yds , Ben Phillips Jr. returns for 3 yds to the TnMar 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
99.9%
Peyton Logan run for 15 yds to the TnMar 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
99.9%
Peyton Logan run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 28Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Peyton Logan run for 6 yds to the TnMar 34Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Joe Hudson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Zane Cox punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dominic Gicinto at the Misso 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
99.9%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the TnMar 38 for a 1ST down TENN MARTIN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Brandon Anderson) to the TnMar 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the TnMar 47Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.9%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnMar 48Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+7
99.9%
Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the TnMar 41Similar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ben Phillips Jr. at the TnMar 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+14
100.0%
Joe Hudson pass complete to Donnell Williams for 14 yds to the TnMar 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Joe Hudson pass incomplete to Donnell WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+11
100.0%
Joe Hudson run for 11 yds to the TnMar 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
99.9%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (Donnell Williams) to the TnMar 22Similar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
Joe Hudson run for 2 yds to the TnMar 24Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 13
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Joe Hudson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+1
100.0%
Joe Hudson pass complete to Peyton Logan for 1 yd to the TnMar 25Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Zane Cox punt for 35 yds, downed at the Misso 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
100.0%
Dawson Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+17
100.0%
Micah Wilson run for 17 yds to the TnMar 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
100.0%
Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the TnMar 42Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-2
100.0%
Walter Palmore run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 44Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-3
100.0%
Walter Palmore run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:34
Jaimiee Bowe run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Courtright KICK)
-1
TD · Q2 14:57
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 2:43
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 5 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com