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CMU

Central Michigan 20 at Kentucky 35

UK
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFUMBLETDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:28 · Jack Sheldon punt for 64 yds, downed at the Kent 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+38.9Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:51: Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Armstrong KICK) — CMU win probability +5.7 pts (now 27%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q2 5:33: Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 4 yards for a TD Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, forced by Nate Brisson-Fast, recovered by CMich Devonni Reed , return for 20 yds — CMU win probability +6.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:00: Benny Snell Jr. run for 52 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +7.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:14: Gunnar Hoak pass complete to David Bouvier for 24 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +12.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:01: Benny Snell Jr. run for 11 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK) — UK win probability +10.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00UK 4th & 5 at UK 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:28CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:55UK 4th & 8 at UK 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:25CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:16CMU 4th & 2 at UK 8, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.6%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:34CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 27, up 3
    Close callPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:01CMU 4th & 4 at UK 4, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−6.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:52CMU 4th & 3 at UK 47, down 1
    Close callPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:15UK 4th & 6 at UK 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:52CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 43, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:04UK 4th & 6 at UK 41, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:44CMU 4th & 14 at CMU 9, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:50CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 20, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:53CMU 4th & 6 at CMU 41, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:33UK 4th & 8 at CMU 31, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:34CMU 4th & 6 at UK 28, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:20UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:51CMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:00UK Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:14UK Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:01UK Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:53UK Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
89.6%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
89.6%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
89.6%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
89.6%
Max Duffy punt for 50 yds, downed at the CMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
89.1%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 15 Jonathan Ward fumbled,Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+5
89.2%
Tony Poljan run for 5 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+5
89.2%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Cameron Cole for 5 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q1 13:28
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
89.2%
Jack Sheldon punt for 64 yds, downed at the Kent 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
88.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 16Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+1
88.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 1 yd to the Kent 17Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+7
88.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 7 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
88.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-11
88.7%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian Baker, PENALTY UK holding 11 yards to the UK14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 20
OWN 14
+1
88.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 15Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 19
OWN 15
+11
88.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 11 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
88.6%
Max Duffy punt for 54 yds, downed at the CMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
87.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the CMich 22Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-3
87.6%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 19Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+6
87.7%
Jonathan Ward run for 6 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+21
87.8%
Jack Sheldon punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 44 , David Bouvier returns for 21 yds to the Kent 46 KENTUCKY Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the Kent 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
87.4%
Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-2
87.4%
Terry Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 49 Terry Wilson fumbled, recovered by CMich Sean AdesanyaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:5714% → 15%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.4%
Tony Poljan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
86.4%
[SHOT], POLJAN, Tony rush for 17 yards to the UK32 (Josh Allen;Mike Edwards), PENALTY CMU illegal motion 5 yards to the CMU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+4
86.7%
Tony Poljan run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 11
50
+34
86.6%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Cameron Cole for 34 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
86.2%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 17Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+6
86.3%
Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the Kent 11Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+3
86.4%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Kumehnnu Gwilly for 3 yds to the Kent 8Similar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+26
85.0%
Michael Armstrong 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:4985% → 87%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
85.0%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass incomplete to C.J. Conrad, PENALTY CMU pass interference 7 yards to the UK31, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
85.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 31 Benny Snell Jr. fumbled,Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
85.0%
Terry Wilson sacked by N/A for 0 yards to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+14
84.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 14 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
86.5%
Asim Rose run for 55 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:1714% → 14%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
86.1%
[SHOT], PENALTY CMU delay of game 1 yards to the CMU1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 11
OWN 1
0
86.1%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the CMich 1Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+6
86.2%
Jonathan Ward run for 6 yds to the CMich 7Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 5
OWN 7
-3
86.4%
[SHOT], PENALTY CMU false start 3 yards to the CMU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+3
86.1%
Tony Poljan run for 3 yds to the CMich 7Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 7
+10
86.3%
Jack Sheldon punt for 39 yds , David Bouvier returns for 10 yds to the CMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
86.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
86.3%
Terry Wilson run for no gain to the CMich 32Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
86.0%
Terry Wilson pass intercepted, touchback. Xavier Crawford return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 7:0315% → 27%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
84.9%
Tony Poljan pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 5 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
84.7%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
84.9%
Tony Poljan run for 5 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
84.7%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Keegan Cossou for 7 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+3
84.2%
Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
84.2%
Tony Poljan run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 3
50
+2
83.8%
Tony Poljan run for 2 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
84.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
83.9%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Keegan Cossou for 3 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
83.9%
Jamil Sabbagh run for 6 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-5
83.9%
[SHOT], PENALTY CMU false start (EIPPER, Steve) 5 yards to the UK41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-5
84.0%
[SHOT], PENALTY CMU false start (NEERING, Alex) 5 yards to the UK46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+14
84.4%
[SHOT], POLJAN, Tony pass incomplete to WARD, Jonathan, PENALTY UK personal foul (Chris Westry) 14 yards to the UK32, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
83.6%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Brandon Childress for 17 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
83.5%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 5 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+6
83.5%
Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the Kent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
73.5%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
69.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 4 yards for a TD Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, forced by Nate Brisson-Fast, recovered by CMich Devonni Reed , return for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:2468% → 77%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
68.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+4
68.7%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
68.5%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to David BouvierSimilar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
68.3%
Terry Wilson run for 13 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
69.9%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to C.J. ConradSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+52
76.9%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 52 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2225% → 25%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
74.7%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+5
75.0%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Jamil Sabbagh for 5 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+2
75.3%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Bernhard Raimann for 2 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
74.8%
Jack Sheldon punt for 46 yds, downed at the Kent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0074% → 75%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
73.7%
Terry Wilson run for no gain to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
73.3%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 11 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+36
74.7%
Terry Wilson pass intercepted Gage Kreski return for 36 yds to the Kent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:1832% → 35%
Q2 1:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+9
68.0%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Cameron Cole for 9 yds to the Kent 4Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
69.1%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Cameron ColeSimilar
Q2 1:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
65.3%
Michael Armstrong 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 0:4168% → 83%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
67.9%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to David Bouvier for 19 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
70.0%
Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
69.7%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to David Bouvier for 5 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+8
70.4%
Sihiem King run for 8 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
70.7%
Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to David Bouvier, broken up by Trevor ApseySimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+15
70.6%
[SHOT], Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps, PENALTY CMU pass interference (BUNTING, Sean) 15 yards to the CMU24, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
82.8%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to David Bouvier for 24 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
79.5%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 4 yds to the CMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
79.1%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Brandon ChildressSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
79.4%
Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+9
78.9%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Bernhard Raimann for 9 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
77.6%
Tony Poljan run for 1 yd to the CMich 47Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
77.7%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Jamil SabbaghSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+6
78.6%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Brandon Childress for 6 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
78.6%
Jack Sheldon punt for 34 yds, downed at the Kent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
78.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+2
78.5%
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 2 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
77.7%
Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+1
77.1%
Max Duffy punt for 50 yds , Jamil Sabbagh returns for 1 yd to the CMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
77.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 5 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
75.6%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
75.7%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 1 yd to the CMich 43Similar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
77.0%
Jack Sheldon punt for 47 yds, downed at the Kent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
77.2%
Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+10
77.3%
Asim Rose run for 10 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
77.5%
Asim Rose run for 10 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
78.2%
Sihiem King run for 4 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
79.3%
Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
78.0%
Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to David Bouvier, broken up by Sean BuntingSimilar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
76.7%
Max Duffy punt for 46 yds , Xavier Crawford returns for no gain to the CMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
75.8%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Cameron ColeSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
76.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the CMich 16Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 7
OWN 16
-7
77.1%
Tony Poljan sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 9 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 14
OWN 9
+2
78.2%
Jack Sheldon punt for 38 yds , David Bouvier returns for 2 yds to the CMich 40 David Bouvier fumbled, forced by Troy Hairston,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:1679% → 90%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
78.8%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden, PENALTY CMU pass interference (McCOY, Alonzo) 15 yards to the CMU25, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
79.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+10
79.5%
Terry Wilson run for 10 yds to the CMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
90.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 11 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 12%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
86.2%
Tony Poljan run for 6 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
85.8%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Kobe LewisSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-13
86.6%
[SHOT], POLJAN, Tony pass complete to CHILDRESS, B. for 34 yards to the UK40, out-of-bounds (Mike Edwards), PENALTY CMU pass interference (CHILDRESS, B.) 13 yards to the CMU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+7
87.3%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Damon Terry for 7 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+3
87.7%
Jack Sheldon punt for 56 yds , David Bouvier returns for 3 yds to the Kent 23 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Tyjuan Swain) to the Kent 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:1090% → 96%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
90.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 3 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
90.2%
Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
89.7%
Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+33
90.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 21 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Trevor Apsey) to the CMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
90.7%
Asim Rose run for 8 yds to the CMich 4Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
95.8%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.1%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Jamil Sabbagh for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
93.7%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Cameron Cole for 3 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
93.8%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
93.6%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Jamil SabbaghSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
93.7%
Tony Poljan run for 4 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
93.7%
Tony Poljan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
93.9%
Jack Sheldon punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 27DOWNS
12 plays · 49 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
95.7%
Sihiem King run for 10 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
95.8%
Terry Wilson run for 8 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+1
96.1%
Sihiem King run for 1 yd to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
96.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
96.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 12 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
96.1%
Sihiem King run for 8 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+1
96.1%
Sihiem King run for 1 yd to the CMich 37Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
96.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
96.1%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh Ali, broken up by Devonni ReedSimilar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
96.1%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 7
OPP 30
-1
96.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 31Similar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 8
OPP 31
0
95.5%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Sihiem King, broken up by Malik FountainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 28DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
95.7%
Tony Poljan run for 5 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
95.7%
Jonathan Ward run for 7 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
95.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+3
95.6%
Tony Poljan run for 3 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+17
95.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 17 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-9
94.9%
Tony Poljan sacked by Jordan Jones and Tymere Dubose for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 19
OPP 41
+13
95.6%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Kumehnnu Gwilly for 13 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
95.2%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Marcus Griffin, broken up by Jamar WatsonSimilar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 6
OPP 28
0
95.7%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Brandon ChildressSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 29Uncategorized
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0698% → 98%
Q4 2:33
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
98.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+5
98.3%
Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 5 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+8
98.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
98.4%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the CMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:14
Gunnar Hoak pass complete to David Bouvier for 24 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)
+12.2
TD · Q3 4:01
Benny Snell Jr. run for 11 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)
+10.7
TD · Q2 4:00
Benny Snell Jr. run for 52 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com