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APSU

Austin Peay 0 at Georgia 45

UGA
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadAPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreAPSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:17 · Devin Stuart punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ahkil Crumpton at the Geo 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Pregame prior+47.8Home team on offense+0.2Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:27: Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 10 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:41: D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 11:35: Elijah Holyfield run for 1 yd to the Geo 22 — UGA win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:29: Demetris Robertson run for 72 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:50: Elijah Holyfield run for 17 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 4APSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 10:42UGA 4th & 3 at APSU 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:17APSU 4th & 2 at APSU 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:39APSU 4th & 1 at UGA 20, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:29APSU 4th & 7 at APSU 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:38APSU 4th & 6 at APSU 29, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:06APSU 4th & 3 at APSU 32, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:27APSU 4th & 7 at APSU 45, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:47UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 45, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:30APSU 4th & 3 at APSU 27, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:05APSU 4th & 5 at APSU 30, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:30APSU 4th & 7 at APSU 23, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:30UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 29, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:54APSU 4th & 3 at UGA 29, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:59UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 37, up 45
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 3:27UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:41UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:29UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:50UGA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:28UGA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:44UGA Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:53100% → 100%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
99.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 8 yds to the APeay 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the APeay 43Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+8
99.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Ahkil Crumpton for 8 yds to the APeay 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to James Cook for 7 yds to the APeay 28Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+4
99.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 4 yds to the APeay 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 6 yds to the APeay 18Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+1
99.6%
Elijah Holyfield run for 1 yd to the APeay 17Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
99.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Tyler SimmonsSimilar
Q1 10:42
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
99.5%
Rodrigo Blankenship 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 3:251% → 1%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.5%
AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the APeay 20Similar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.5%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to DJ Montgomery for 5 yds to the APeay 25Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Ahmaad Tanner run for 2 yds to the APeay 27Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.5%
DeAngelo Wilson run for 9 yds to the APeay 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for no gain to the APeay 36 Jeremiah Oatsvall fumbled, recovered by APeay Jeremiah Oatsvall Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DJ MontgomerySimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.4%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 6 yds to the APeay 42Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+2
99.4%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to DeAngelo Wilson for 2 yds to the APeay 44Similar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Devin Stuart punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ahkil Crumpton at the Geo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:4499% → 99%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Mecole HardmanSimilar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 15 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
99.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 10 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+13
99.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 13 yds to the APeay 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
99.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 11 yds to the APeay 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Elijah HolyfieldSimilar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 3 yds to the APeay 26Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+12
99.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 12 yds to the APeay 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.2%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the APeay 10Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
99.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Riley Ridley for 10 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · -17 yds · 0:331% → 1%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.3%
Oatsvall, Jeremiah rush for 6 yards to the AUSTINPEAY31, PENALTY AUSTINPEAY illegal formation 5 yards to the AUSTINPEAY20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-12
99.3%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for a loss of 12 yards to the APeay 8 Jeremiah Oatsvall fumbled, recovered by Geo D'Andre WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 2:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 5:561% → 1%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Ahmaad Tanner run for 1 yd to the APeay 26Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
99.4%
JaVaughn Craig pass complete to DeAngelo Wilson for 9 yds to the APeay 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.3%
DeAngelo Wilson run for 7 yds to the APeay 42Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+10
99.3%
JaVaughn Craig pass complete to DJ Montgomery for 10 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.3%
Ahmaad Tanner run for 5 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
99.3%
Ahmaad Tanner run for 3 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+11
99.3%
JaVaughn Craig run for 11 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.2%
JaVaughn Craig run for 4 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+4
99.2%
Prince Momodu run for 4 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
99.2%
JaVaughn Craig run for 1 yd to the Geo 20Similar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+37
99.2%
Logan Birchfield 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 1:0699% → 100%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.3%
Elijah Holyfield run for 1 yd to the Geo 22Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+6
99.3%
Justin Fields run for 6 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+72
99.5%
Demetris Robertson run for 72 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Prince Momodu run for 3 yds to the APeay 28Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.5%
JaVaughn Craig pass incomplete to Gorel Soumare, broken up by Tyson CampbellSimilar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.5%
JaVaughn Craig pass incomplete to Trey PruittSimilar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.5%
Devin Stuart punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:38100% → 100%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.6%
Tyler Simmons run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Helmet Contact (-15 Yards) to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 6
OWN 35
+10
99.5%
Justin Fields run for 10 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.6%
Justin Fields pass complete to Brian Herrien for 4 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+17
99.5%
Justin Fields run for 17 yds to the APeay 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.5%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the APeay 32Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+2
99.5%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the APeay 30Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+12
99.5%
Justin Fields pass complete to Riley Ridley for 12 yds to the APeay 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
99.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the APeay 17Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
99.8%
Elijah Holyfield run for 17 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Jay Parker run for no gain to the APeay 25Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Josh Alexander for 7 yds to the APeay 32Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-3
99.8%
Ahmaad Tanner run for a loss of 3 yards to the APeay 29Similar
Q2 2:38
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Devin Stuart punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.8%
James Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+12
99.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Ahkil Crumpton for 12 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to D'Andre SwiftSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+59
99.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 59 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Tre Nation for 4 yds to the APeay 29Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Josh Alexander for 3 yds to the APeay 32Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Devin Stuart punt for 33 yds , Ahkil Crumpton returns for no gain to the Geo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Daryl Rollins-Davis run for 5 yds to the APeay 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by APeaySimilar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
99.9%
JaVaughn Craig pass complete to DeAngelo Wilson for 12 yds to the APeay 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Ahmaad Tanner run for 6 yds to the APeay 48Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 48
-3
99.9%
Prince Momodu run for a loss of 3 yards to the APeay 45Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
99.9%
JaVaughn Craig pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Devin Stuart punt for 45 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for 5 yds to the 50 yard line AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Failure to Wear Required Equipment (-5 Yards) to the Geo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
99.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Trey Blount for 19 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 3 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Justin Fields pass incomplete to James CookSimilar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Brian Herrien for 3 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Jake Camarda punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
JaVaughn Craig run for 5 yds to the APeay 25Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Tre Nation run for no gain to the APeay 25Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
JaVaughn Craig pass complete to DeAngelo Wilson for 2 yds to the APeay 27Similar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Devin Stuart punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 6 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+36
99.9%
James Cook run for 36 yds to the APeay 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
99.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Jeremiah Holloman for 7 yds to the APeay 11Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 3
OPP 11
-1
99.9%
James Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 12Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Justin Fields pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 12 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Prince Momodu run for 1 yd to the APeay 26Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to Prince MomoduSimilar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Gorel Soumare for 4 yds to the APeay 30Similar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Devin Stuart punt for 40 yds , Ahkil Crumpton returns for no gain to the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Trey BlountSimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+26
99.9%
James Cook run for 26 yds to the APeay 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
James Cook run for 2 yds to the APeay 42Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+11
99.9%
Prather Hudson run for 11 yds to the APeay 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.9%
Prather Hudson run for 5 yds to the APeay 26Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
99.9%
James Cook run for 4 yds to the APeay 22Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
99.9%
Matthew Downing run for 2 yds to the APeay 20 Matthew Downing fumbled, recovered by APeay Shaun WhittinghillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 6:550% → 0%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Tre Nation run for 2 yds to the APeay 22Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
100.0%
Tre Nation run for 1 yd to the APeay 23Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Baniko Harley for no gain to the APeay 23 AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+9
100.0%
Devin Stuart punt for 51 yds , Ahkil Crumpton returns for 9 yds to the Geo 32 GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Latavious Brini) to the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Prather Hudson run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Matthew Downing pass complete to James Cook for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Luke Ford for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+32
99.9%
Jake Camarda punt for 47 yds, fair catch by DeAngelo Wilson at the GEORGIA 24 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (James Cook) to the APeay 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:060% → 0%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
100.0%
Daryl Rollins-Davis run for 14 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
100.0%
Tre Nation run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 49Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+13
100.0%
Daryl Rollins-Davis run for 13 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
100.0%
JaVaughn Craig pass incomplete to Baniko HarleySimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
100.0%
Tre Nation run for 4 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+3
100.0%
Tre Nation run for 3 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+1
100.0%
Tre Nation run for 1 yd to the Geo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
100.0%
Ian Donald-McIntyre run for 1 yd to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+5
100.0%
Lofton Tidwell run for 5 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Lofton Tidwell run for 3 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Jake Camarda punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
JaVaughn Craig pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
JaVaughn Craig pass complete to Baniko Harley for 1 yd to the APeay 21Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+2
100.0%
JaVaughn Craig pass complete to Prince Momodu for 2 yds to the APeay 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:50
Elijah Holyfield run for 17 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 2:41
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+0.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 11:35
Elijah Holyfield run for 1 yd to the Geo 22
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com