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WASH

Washington 16 at Auburn 21

AUB
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:03 · Anders Carlson 54 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Home team on offense+4.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Pregame prior+0.7Score differential+0.4Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:45: Sal Cannella 10 Yd pass from Jarrett Stidham (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — AUB win probability +0.9 pts (now 54%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 2:59: Peyton Henry 31 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +1.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:43: Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 13 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +14.6 pts (now 48%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:06: Peyton Henry 30 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +8.8 pts (now 52%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:15: JaTarvious Whitlow run for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — AUB win probability +29.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 8 of 9WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:57WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:39AUB 4th & 5 at WASH 14, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:59WASH 4th & 10 at AUB 14, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:29AUB 4th & 5 at WASH 15, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:41WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:00AUB 4th & 1 at WASH 43, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−2.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:35AUB 4th & 7 at WASH 10, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:57WASH 4th & 11 at AUB 11, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−6.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:23AUB 4th & 14 at WASH 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.3%
    45% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:05AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 33, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−2.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:57WASH 4th & 20 at AUB 23, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−3.7
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−8.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:03AUB 4th & 4 at WASH 37, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.4%−2.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:52AUB 4th & 5 at AUB 25, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:06WASH 4th & 13 at AUB 13, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−3.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−13.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:13AUB 4th & 22 at AUB 28, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−7.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:49WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 41, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.1 ptsPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%−5.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:31WASH 4th & 16 at WASH 47, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 2WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:45AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    55.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:43WASH Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:15AUB Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    77.1%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    78.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2548% → 48%
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.0%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
52.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Drew SampleSimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
52.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q1 13:57
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+32
52.2%
Joel Whitford punt for 43 yds , Ryan Davis returns for 32 yds to the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:5552% → 54%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
52.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 13 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
52.5%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+8
52.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kam Martin for 8 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
52.8%
Jarrett Stidham run for no gain to the Wash 13Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
52.9%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
53.7%
Sal Cannella 10 Yd pass from Jarrett Stidham (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3INT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:4847% → 47%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
53.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 10 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
53.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 36Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
53.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+10
53.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 10 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
53.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 1 yd to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
53.5%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Jamel Dean return for no gain to the Aub 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:5855% → 57%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
54.6%
Jarrett Stidham run for 1 yd to the Aub 38Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+8
54.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kam Martin for 8 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 1
50
-11
55.1%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (Mike Horton) to the Aub 35Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+18
54.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 18 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
55.9%
Chandler Cox run for 1 yd to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+3
55.7%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+24
55.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 24 yds to the Wash 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
56.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 1 yd to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+4
56.8%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
56.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
56.9%
Anders Carlson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:2143% → 44%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
56.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 14 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
56.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+46
55.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 32 yds to the AUBURN 28 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (14 Yards) to the Aub 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
55.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Aub 12Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-2
55.6%
Jake Browning sacked by Jeremiah Dinson for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 14Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
57.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+31
55.9%
Peyton Henry 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6MISSED FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:0057% → 58%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
57.1%
Jarrett Stidham run for 3 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+18
57.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 18 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
58.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 16 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
58.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chandler Cox for 19 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
59.0%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+3
59.4%
Jarrett Stidham run for 3 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
59.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Sal CannellaSimilar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
58.3%
Anders Carlson 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4043% → 42%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
56.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
57.1%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dontavius Russell) to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
56.6%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
57.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+9
58.1%
Race Porter punt for 43 yds , Ryan Davis returns for 9 yds to the Aub 33 AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (Marquis McClain) to the Aub 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:2559% → 62%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
58.6%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+19
59.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Seth Williams for 19 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
61.0%
Kam Martin run for 7 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+1
61.3%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
60.8%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+19
60.5%
Kam Martin run for 19 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
62.1%
Kam Martin run for 6 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+5
62.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to JaTarvious Whitlow for 5 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
62.3%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for no gain to the Wash 13Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
62.3%
Jarrett Stidham run for 3 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
61.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
62.2%
Anders Carlson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:0837% → 37%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
62.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
63.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 4 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
64.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 13 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
62.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 22 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
62.3%
Ahmed, Salvon rush for 1 yard to the AUBURN39, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Wattenberg, Luke) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 20
50
+42
63.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 42 yds to the Aub 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
61.4%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Aub 8Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
62.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q2 6:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
63.6%
Jake Browning sacked by TEAM for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 11Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
62.9%
Peyton Henry 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 4:0764% → 67%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
64.3%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Aub 28Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
64.3%
Kam Martin run for no gain to the Aub 28Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+10
63.5%
Stidham, Jarrett pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 10 yards to the AUBURN38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.Similar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
65.9%
Jarrett Stidham run for 18 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
67.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
67.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+7
67.0%
Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
68.0%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
68.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-5
67.1%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by Ryan Bowman for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 35 Jarrett Stidham fumbled, forced by Ryan Bowman, recovered by Aub Jack Driscoll , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 14
OPP 35
+53
67.4%
Anders Carlson 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:3231% → 48%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
68.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 12 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
67.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 14 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+36
66.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 36 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
51.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 13 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:3259% → 59%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
58.7%
Ryan Davis run for 10 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
58.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to John Shenker for 5 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-10
60.8%
Stidham, Jarrett rush for 7 yards to the AUBURN47, PENALTY AUBURN holding (Harrell, Marquel) 10 yards to the AUBURN30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+11
58.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kam Martin for 11 yds to the Aub 41Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+8
59.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:4059% → 57%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
59.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 15 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
59.5%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the Aub 36Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-5
60.7%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Mike Horton) to the Aub 31Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
59.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Sal CannellaSimilar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+2
58.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 2 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 10
OWN 33
+40
57.3%
Aidan Marshall punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the AUBURN 37 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:0342% → 40%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+24
57.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 24 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
54.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Aub 48Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+24
54.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 24 yds to the Aub 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
53.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+9
53.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 9 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
53.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Aub 8Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 5
OPP 8
0
53.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 5
OPP 8
-15
54.8%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Fuller, Aaron for 8 yards to the AUBURN0, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference (Baccellia, Andre) 15 yards to the AUBURN23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 20
OPP 23
0
56.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 20
OPP 23
+40
60.0%
Peyton Henry 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:2760% → 62%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
59.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kam Martin for 2 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+8
59.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chandler Cox for 8 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
60.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chandler Cox for 13 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
62.9%
Kam Martin run for 11 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
63.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to JaTarvious WhitlowSimilar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
63.6%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+2
63.5%
Jarrett Stidham run for 2 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+54
61.8%
Anders Carlson 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16FUMBLE
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:2542% → 45%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
58.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 5
50
0
55.2%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Pounds, Quinten, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference (Igbinoghene, Noah) 0 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
50
+25
55.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 25 yds to the Aub 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
53.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Ty Jones for 17 yds to the Aub 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
53.4%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
53.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Aub 3Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-17
55.1%
Jake Browning run for a loss of 17 yards to the Aub 20 Jake Browning fumbled, recovered by Aub Darrell WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1661% → 58%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
60.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kam Martin for 3 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-3
60.2%
Kam Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 20Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
58.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Greg Gaines) to the Aub 25Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
59.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Sal CannellaSimilar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+33
57.8%
Arryn Siposs punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Hunter Bryant at the AUBURN 28 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (-14 Yards) to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:4645% → 52%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
54.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 16 yds to the AUBURN 42 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Aaron Fuller) to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 4
OWN 48
+5
55.0%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
55.0%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Aub 47Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
55.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 5 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+7
55.8%
Jake Browning run for 7 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
53.6%
Gaskin, Myles rush for loss of 2 yards to the AUBURN37, PENALTY AUBURN personal foul 15 yards to the AUBURN20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
53.1%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Aub 15Similar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 5
OPP 15
+5
53.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the Aub 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
53.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd to the Aub 9Similar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+36
66.1%
Chico McClatcher run for -4 yds to the Aub 13Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
56.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
48.0%
Peyton Henry 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 1:4749% → 45%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
48.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 6 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
51.6%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
50.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 6 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
52.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-12
48.3%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by Myles Bryant for a loss of 12 yards to the Aub 28 AUBURN Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jarrett Stidham) to the Aub 28Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 22
OWN 28
0
45.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 22
OWN 28
0
44.7%
Arryn Siposs punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1154% → 55%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-15
45.6%
Browning, Jake pass complete to Jones, Ty for 23 yards to the AUBURN45, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference (Jones, Ty) 15 yards to the WASHINGTON17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 25
OWN 17
+10
46.8%
Jake Browning run for 10 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+3
47.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 3 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+11
47.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 11 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+1
44.8%
Race Porter punt for 36 yds , Ryan Davis returns for 1 yd to the Aub 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 3:2649% → 87%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
48.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
48.4%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+12
45.1%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Chandler Cox for 12 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
50.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 2 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
54.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 21 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
56.5%
Jarrett Stidham run for 4 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+8
56.2%
Kam Martin run for 8 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
56.2%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
57.1%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
86.5%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 22 yds · 4:1820% → 15%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
76.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+19
79.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 19 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
75.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Kaleb McGary) to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+2
79.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+2
80.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 11
50
+13
80.1%
Jake Browning run for 13 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
76.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-3
77.0%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 40Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 13
OPP 40
-3
81.1%
Jake Browning sacked by Big Kat Bryant for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 43Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 16
OWN 47
-10
85.5%
Jake Browning sacked by Smoke Monday for a loss of 10 yards to the AUBURN 47 WASHINGTON Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Wash 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23Uncategorized
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:5095% → 97%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
94.5%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
95.2%
Jarrett Stidham run for 6 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+4
95.5%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:15
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+29.4
TD · Q2 0:43
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 13 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
-14.6
FG · Q4 14:06
Peyton Henry 30 yd FG GOOD
-8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com