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EIU

Eastern Illinois 20 at Arkansas 55

ARK
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Nick Bruno punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ark 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Pregame prior+21.2Home team on offense+34.8Score differential+28.8Blowout margin+14.8Garbage-time factor+9.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:25: Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd for a TD — ARK win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:22: Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 14 yds for a TD — ARK win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:22: Harry Woodbery pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 43 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno PAT BLOCKED) — EIU win probability +1.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:20: Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 48 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK) — ARK win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:45: Ty Storey pass complete to Jordan Jones for 57 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK) — ARK win probability +2.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 6 of 7EIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:43ARK 4th & 5 at EIU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:15EIU 4th & 14 at ARK 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:15ARK 4th & 7 at EIU 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:52ARK 4th & 18 at EIU 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:18EIU 4th & 1 at ARK 12, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:22EIU 4th & 3 at EIU 42, down 24
    Close callPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:45ARK 4th & 9 at ARK 16, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:04EIU 4th & 9 at EIU 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00ARK 4th & 3 at ARK 33, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:40EIU 4th & 1 at ARK 27, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:54EIU 4th & 1 at ARK 23, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:51EIU 4th & 7 at ARK 15, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:40ARK 4th & 5 at EIU 5, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00EIU 4th & 6 at EIU 49, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:34ARK 4th & 13 at ARK 12, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:00EIU 4th & 4 at ARK 16, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:48EIU 4th & 6 at EIU 29, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 7:25ARK Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:22ARK Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:22EIU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:20ARK Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:45ARK Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:54ARK Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:51EIU Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:00EIU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:48ARK Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EIUDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
98.4%
Isaiah Johnson run for 8 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley run for 1 yd to the EIlln 35 Johnathan Brantley fumbled, forced by Chevin Calloway, recovered by Ark Chevin CallowaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 2FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4198% → 98%
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
98.4%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the EIlln 33Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+11
98.4%
Cole Kelley pass complete to Austin Cantrell for 11 yds to the EIlln 22 for a 1ST down EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
98.4%
Cole Kelley run for 2 yds to the EIlln 20Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+3
98.4%
Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the EIlln 17Similar
Q1 14:24
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
98.4%
Cole Kelley pass incomplete, broken up by Mark WilliamsSimilar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
98.2%
Connor Limpert 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 3MISSED FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 3:282% → 2%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.2%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Aaron Gooch for 11 yds to the EIlln 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
98.2%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 9 yds to the EIlln 45Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
98.2%
Johnathan Brantley run for 3 yds to the EIlln 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
98.2%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 7 yds to the Ark 45Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+7
98.2%
Isaiah Johnson run for 7 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
98.2%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 12 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
98.2%
Johnathan Brantley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-5
98.2%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 31Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 15
OPP 31
+2
98.2%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 2 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 13
OPP 29
-1
98.2%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 30Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+47
97.9%
Matt Severino 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.8%
Cole Kelley pass complete to Deon Stewart for no gain to the Ark 30Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+12
97.8%
Cole Kelley pass complete to Jordan Jones for 12 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
97.9%
Cole Kelley pass complete to Jordan Jones for 9 yds to the EIlln 49Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+2
97.9%
Cole Kelley pass complete to Chase Hayden for 2 yds to the EIlln 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.9%
Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the EIlln 44Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-2
97.9%
Chase Hayden run for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 46Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+2
97.9%
Cole Kelley run for 2 yds to the EIlln 44Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
97.8%
Blake Johnson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Aaron Gooch at the EIlln 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
97.5%
Isaiah Johnson run for no gain to the EIlln 9 Isaiah Johnson fumbled, forced by Michael Taylor II,Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
97.5%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete to Aaron Gooch, broken up by D'Vone McClureSimilar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+12
97.5%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Aaron Gooch for 12 yds to the EIlln 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
97.5%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 20Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+9
97.5%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Aaron Gooch for 9 yds Aaron Gooch fumbled, forced by Dre Greenlaw, recovered by Ark Chevin CallowaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
97.4%
Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 30Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
97.4%
Cole Kelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 11
OPP 30
-10
97.3%
Cole Kelley pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 13 yards to the EIU17 (CRITTENDEN, Ray;CROSBY, Antonio), PENALTY AR holding (Shane Clenin) 10 yards to the EIU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 21
OPP 40
+3
97.2%
Cole Kelley pass complete to T.J. Hammonds for 3 yds to the EIlln 37Similar
Q1 4:52
4TH & 18
OPP 37
0
97.2%
Blake Johnson punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Aaron Gooch at the EIlln 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 7FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -13 yds · 0:373% → 3%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
96.8%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EIlln 9Similar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 15
OWN 9
-1
96.9%
Isaiah Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 8Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 16
OWN 8
+1
97.3%
Harry Woodbery sacked by Armon Watts for a loss of 7 yards Harry Woodbery fumbled, recovered by Ark Briston Guidry , return for 0 yards , return for 1 yd, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 8MISSED FG
17 plays · 63 yds · 5:283% → 4%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.3%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Aaron Gooch for 2 yds to the EIlln 27Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
97.3%
Johnathan Brantley run for 3 yds to the EIlln 30Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
97.3%
Johnathan Brantley run for 7 yds to the EIlln 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.2%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete to Alexander HollinsSimilar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
97.2%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to James Sheehan for 5 yds to the EIlln 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
97.0%
Johnathan Brantley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+5
97.1%
BRUNO, Nick punt 40 yards to the AR18, fair catch by Jared Cornelius, PENALTY AR illegal defense 5 yards to the EIU47, 1ST DOWN EIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
96.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 9 yds to the Ark 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+9
96.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 9 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
96.8%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
96.8%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete to Isaiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+11
96.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 11 yds to the Ark 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
96.8%
Johnathan Brantley run for 1 yd to the Ark 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+5
96.8%
Isaiah Johnson run for 5 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+3
96.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Xander Richards for 3 yds to the Ark 12Similar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+29
96.5%
Matt Severino 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:5397% → 98%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
96.6%
Chase Hayden run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 19Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
96.6%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jordan JonesSimilar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+46
96.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jordan Jones for 46 yds to the EIlln 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
96.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jordan Jones for 8 yds to the EIlln 27Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
96.8%
Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the EIlln 27Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+7
96.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 7 yds to the EIlln 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
96.8%
Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the EIlln 16Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+8
96.8%
Devwah Whaley run for 8 yds to the EIlln 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
96.8%
Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the EIlln 4Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
96.8%
Ty Storey run for 3 yds to the EIlln 1Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.5%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (Johnathan Brantley) to the EIlln 20Similar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
97.5%
Isaiah Johnson run for 7 yds to the EIlln 27 Isaiah Johnson fumbled, forced by De'Jon Harris, recovered by Ark Santos RamirezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:5098% → 99%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
97.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 8 yds to the EIlln 19Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+5
97.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 5 yds to the EIlln 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 14 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.5%
Johnathan Brantley run for 3 yds to the EIlln 28Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Teriq Phillips for 4 yds to the EIlln 32Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
98.4%
Robert Columbus run for 3 yds to the EIlln 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete to James Sheehan, broken up by Bumper PoolSimilar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.4%
Robert Columbus run for 2 yds to the EIlln 37Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+5
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Robert Columbus for 5 yds to the EIlln 42Similar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
98.4%
Nick Bruno punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Xzavier Shugars for 4 yds to the EIlln 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
98.7%
T.J. Hammonds run for 1 yd to the Ark 16Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
98.7%
Ty Storey pass incomplete, broken up by DySaun SmithSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
98.7%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jordan Jones, broken up by Mark WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+3
98.6%
Blake Johnson punt for 44 yds , Aaron Gooch returns for 3 yds to the Ark 19 ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive holding (T.J. Smith) to the Ark 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:362% → 3%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
98.3%
Harry Woodbery pass complete to Aaron Gooch for 4 yds to the Ark 43Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+43
97.0%
Harry Woodbery pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 43 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:0298% → 99%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
97.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jeremy Patton for 2 yds to the Ark 23Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+19
97.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 19 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
97.6%
Ty Storey run for 10 yds to the EIlln 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
99.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 48 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 0:162% → 3%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Harry Woodbery pass incomplete to Alexander HollinsSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.6%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EIlln 20Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
97.6%
Darshon McCullough run for 1 yd to the EIlln 21Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+5
97.6%
Darshon McCullough run for 5 yds to the EIlln 26Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.4%
Nick Bruno punt for 31 yds, downed at the Ark 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jordan Jones for 57 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the EIlln 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.6%
Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
99.6%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jeremy PattonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Blake Johnson punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EIlln 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.5%
Jamal Scott run for 5 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+12
99.5%
Jamal Scott run for 12 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.5%
Harry Woodbery pass complete to James Sheehan for 4 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
99.4%
Jamal Scott run for 3 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
99.5%
Jamal Scott run for 2 yds to the Ark 27Similar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+60
99.3%
Johnathan Brantley sacked by D'Vone McClure for a loss of 8 yards to the EIlln 5 Johnathan Brantley fumbled, recovered by Ark Bumper Pool , return for 0 yards , return for 60 yds to the EIlln 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:37100% → 100%
Q3 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.7%
Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the EIlln 2Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 22TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 5:030% → 1%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.8%
Harry Woodbery pass complete to Matt Reyna for 3 yds to the EIlln 18Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+8
99.8%
Harry Woodbery pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 8 yds to the EIlln 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+29
99.8%
Jamal Scott run for 29 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
Jamal Scott run for 1 yd to the Ark 44Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+8
99.8%
Jamal Scott run for 8 yds to the Ark 36Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+4
99.7%
Jamal Scott run for 4 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
99.7%
Robert Columbus run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 34Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
99.7%
Harry Woodbery pass incomplete to Bryce Walker, broken up by Grant MorganSimilar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+11
99.8%
Harry Woodbery pass complete to Nick Atoyebi for 11 yds to the Ark 23Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+5
99.6%
Robert Columbus run for 5 yds to the Ark 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.7%
Robert Columbus run for 3 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
99.7%
Harry Woodbery pass incomplete to James SheehanSimilar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
99.7%
Harry Woodbery pass incomplete to Nick Atoyebi, broken up by Briston GuidrySimilar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+15
99.3%
Harry Woodbery pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 23FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 5:11100% → 100%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
99.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 33Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+11
99.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Chase Harrell for 11 yds to the Ark 44Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+36
99.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Chase Harrell for 36 yds to the EIlln 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
99.8%
PENALTY AR unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY EIU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the EIlln 18Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+7
99.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 7 yds to the EIlln 11Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+5
99.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the EIlln 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the EIlln 5Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the EIlln 5Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jeremy PattonSimilar
Q3 0:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
99.9%
Connor Limpert 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
99.9%
Jamal Scott run for 7 yds to the EIlln 30Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Harry Woodbery pass complete to Aaron Gooch for 5 yds to the EIlln 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Jamal Scott run for 5 yds to the EIlln 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Jamal Scott run for 2 yds to the EIlln 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Harry Woodbery pass complete to Xzavier Shugars for 3 yds to the EIlln 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Harry Woodbery pass incomplete to Jamal ScottSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Jamal Scott run for 4 yds to the EIlln 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Harry Woodbery pass incomplete to Aaron GoochSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Nick Bruno punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ark 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
99.9%
T.J. Hammonds run for 10 yds to the Ark 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
99.9%
Daulton Hyatt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 13Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+3
99.9%
T.J. Hammonds run for 3 yds to the Ark 16Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 9
OWN 16
-4
99.9%
Daulton Hyatt sacked by D'Mitri George for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 12Similar
Q4 12:34
4TH & 13
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Reid Bauer punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 26TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
99.9%
BRANTLEY, John pass incomplete to HOLLINS, A., PENALTY AR pass interference (Britto Tutt) 15 yards to the AR22, 1ST DOWN EIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Johnathan Brantley run for no gain to the Ark 22Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
99.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Matt Reyna for 9 yds to the Ark 13Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-3
99.9%
Robert Columbus run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 16Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 16 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 27TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Cole Kelley run for no gain to the Ark 28Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Cole Kelley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 7 yds to the Ark 35Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Cole Kelley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 6 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.9%
Maleek Williams run for 7 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+6
99.9%
Maleek Williams run for 6 yds to the EIlln 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Cole Kelley pass incomplete to Chase Harrell, broken up by Javon TurnerSimilar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Maleek Williams run for 4 yds to the EIlln 42Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+42
99.9%
Cole Kelley pass complete to Austin Cantrell for 42 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
100.0%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 4 yards to the EIlln 21Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+12
100.0%
Johnathan Brantley run for 12 yds to the EIlln 33Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-4
100.0%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 4 yards to the EIlln 29Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Nick Bruno punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 29Uncategorized
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 25Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 13
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 23Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 15
OWN 23
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:45
Ty Storey pass complete to Jordan Jones for 57 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q2 1:20
Ty Storey pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 48 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q2 2:22
Harry Woodbery pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 43 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno PAT BLOCKED)
-1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com