Try the model
MASS

Massachusetts 45 at Florida International 63

FIU
2017 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2017 · FIU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:17 · Logan Laurent punt for 36 yds , Julian Williams returns for 5 yds to the FlaIn 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Home team on offense−1.5Score differential−2.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Pregame prior−3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:49: Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +9.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:37: Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 31 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +12.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:01: Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 2 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK) — MASS win probability +12.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:36: Alex McGough run for 60 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +19.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:51: Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 19 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +10.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:02MASS 4th & 9 at FIU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:57FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 13, up 7
    Close callPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:17MASS 4th & 17 at MASS 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:16MASS 4th & 4 at FIU 18, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.7%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−6.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:08FIU 4th & 24 at FIU 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−3.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:01MASS 4th & 2 at FIU 2, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    22.3%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    15.1%−8.9
    average punt
  7. Q4 2:28MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 38, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 11:02FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:35FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:40MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:13MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:03FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:59MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:49FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:37FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:01MASS Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 2:36FIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 11:51FIU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 9:02FIU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 7:16MASS Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 2:28FIU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 0:21MASS Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5844% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
44.1%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+12
44.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 12 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
44.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
44.1%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+33
44.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 33 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
44.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 2 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+7
44.1%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
44.1%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the UMass 18Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+6
44.1%
McGOUGH, Alex rush for 1 yard to the UMASS17 (MONTEIRO, Jesse), PENALTY UMASS offside defense (ALI-MUSA, Ali) 6 yards to the UMASS12, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
47.2%
Alex Gardner run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.5%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
46.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 14 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
46.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 7 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+10
46.2%
Marquis Young run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
46.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
46.2%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
46.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
46.6%
Logan Laurent punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:2648% → 53%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+72
48.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 72 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
48.8%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
53.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 0:5548% → 52%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
51.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+50
51.8%
Marquis Young run for 50 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
48.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 24 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
49.6%
Shermar Thornton run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-8
49.7%
Alex McGough sacked by Jarell Addo for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+29
49.1%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Bakhari Goodson return for 29 yds to the FLAINTL 49 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6FUMBLE
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 0
OPP 6
+1
48.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 1 yd Adam Breneman fumbled, forced by Niko Gonzalez, recovered by FlaIn Anthony WintSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
50.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+6
50.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 1
OWN 14
-1
50.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 2
OWN 13
+17
49.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Marquis Young at the FlaIn 45 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, kick catching interference (Austin Maloney) to the FlaIn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 2:4451% → 55%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
48.9%
Andy Isabella run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
48.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 12 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.8%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1048% → 55%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
47.5%
Alex McGough run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
48.1%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
47.5%
Alex McGough run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
48.8%
Alex Gardner run for 16 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
49.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to D'Vonte Price for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+32
49.4%
Alex McGough run for 32 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
49.9%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the UMass 6Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
56.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
54.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Tyler Hayes) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0446% → 56%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
53.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 11 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
53.0%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
52.2%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
52.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 6
50
+14
51.9%
Marquis Young run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
51.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bilal Ally for 8 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+28
44.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 28 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11FUMBLE
7 plays · 68 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
49.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
48.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 6 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+6
48.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 6 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
49.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Bryce Singleton) to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+5
49.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 5 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+40
49.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 40 yds to the FlaIn 47 Shawndarrius Phillips fumbled, forced by Isaiah Rodgers, recovered by UMass Isaiah Rodgers , return for 38 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0056% → 52%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
44.0%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
44.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-7
45.3%
Andrew Ford sacked by Anthony Johnson and Josh Little for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 46Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 17
OWN 46
+5
47.8%
Logan Laurent punt for 36 yds , Julian Williams returns for 5 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:0250% → 65%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
50.0%
Alex McGough run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 1
OWN 32
-1
51.4%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+21
49.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 21 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
52.8%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+10
52.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 10 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
53.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Shermar ThorntonSimilar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+26
53.3%
Alex Gardner run for 26 yds to the UMass 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
53.4%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the UMass 9Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
53.4%
Alex McGough run for 8 yds to the UMass 1Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.6%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.5%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
62.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 10 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
61.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for no gain to the UMass 37Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-2
61.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for a loss of 2 yards Sadiq Palmer fumbled, forced by Andrew Brown, recovered by FlaIn Anthony WintSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 0:1866% → 77%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
65.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
65.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 6 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+31
76.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 31 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+1
76.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense (Bakhari Goodson) to the UMass 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.5%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:4425% → 29%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+39
75.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 39 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
71.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
71.8%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+9
72.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 9 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
71.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
71.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+6
72.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 6 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
70.6%
Logan Laurent 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
73.2%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
73.5%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+6
73.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-6
74.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 16
OWN 37
+5
73.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 5 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 11
OWN 42
-13
72.7%
Alex McGough sacked by Bryton Barr for a loss of 13 yards to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 24
OWN 29
0
71.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 45 yds , Jessie Britt returns for no gain to the UMass 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:2726% → 41%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
74.5%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
74.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 2 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+11
74.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jacoby Herring for 11 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
73.3%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+40
72.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 40 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
70.2%
FORD, Andrew pass incomplete to YOUNG, Marquis, PENALTY FIU holding (GONZALEZ, Niko) 7 yards to the FIU7, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
70.2%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
70.2%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
71.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 5:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 2 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 2:2563% → 83%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
63.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
63.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Pharoah McKever, broken up by Jesse MonteiroSimilar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+9
61.8%
Alex McGough run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
63.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+18
63.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
83.0%
Alex McGough run for 60 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21MISSED FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:0119% → 19%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jessie Britt for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
80.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Anthony WintSimilar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+26
81.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 26 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
77.7%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
77.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Niko GonzalezSimilar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+10
78.5%
Ross Comis run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
76.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jacoby Herring for 8 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+1
76.1%
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
78.8%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
77.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 13 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
77.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 7 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
77.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Bryce CanadySimilar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 0
OPP 5
+23
81.4%
Logan Laurent 23 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Brad Muhammad TEAM return for no gain to the FlaIn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:4486% → 97%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
85.5%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to MALONEY, Austin (PORTER, Jackson), PENALTY UMASS pass interference (PORTER, Jackson) 15 yards to the FIU35, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+46
85.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shermar Thornton for 31 yds to the FLAINTL 34 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jackson Porter) to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
96.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 19 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
95.3%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Bryce Canady return for no gain to the UMass 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:4997% → 100%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
96.6%
Alex McGough sacked by Ali Ali-Musa for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+10
96.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 10 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+13
96.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 13 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+28
97.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 28 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 2 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:461% → 4%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 4 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+22
99.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 22 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
99.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 10 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jessie Britt, broken up by Josh LittleSimilar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
95.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 29 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4898% → 100%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.5%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+33
97.5%
Alex Gardner run for 33 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
97.8%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+4
98.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+14
98.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 14 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
98.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+12
98.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jacob Kraut for 12 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
98.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 4 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the UMass 1Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:070% → 1%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for 5 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+18
99.9%
Marquis Young run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+25
99.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Kyle Horn for 25 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
99.8%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 7 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+6
99.7%
Ross Comis pass complete to Jacoby Herring for 6 yds to the FlaIn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.2%
Ross Comis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
99.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:36
Alex McGough run for 60 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
+19.5
TD · Q3 5:01
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 2 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q2 0:37
Alex McGough pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 31 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
+12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com