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USF

South Florida 37 at UConn 20

CONN
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Brett Graham punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior−44.0Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:10: Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK) — CONN win probability +3.7 pts (now 12%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 10:44: Emilio Nadelman 25 yd FG GOOD — USF win probability +2.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:58: Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 11 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) — USF win probability +6.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:17: Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marquez Valdes-Scantling for 95 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) — USF win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:24: David Pindell run for 10 yds for a TD, (David Pindell intercepted ) — CONN win probability +2.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:26USF 4th & 10 at CONN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:06CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:46CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:07CONN 4th & 17 at USF 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:10CONN 4th & 2 at USF 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:16USF 4th & 5 at CONN 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:44USF 4th & 8 at CONN 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:29CONN 4th & 1 at USF 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%−1.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:58CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 43, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:23USF 4th & 20 at CONN 34, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:46USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:40USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:10CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:58USF Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:17USF Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:07CONN Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
6.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
6.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-9
6.0%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Bruce Hector and Nico Sawtelle for a loss of 9 yards to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
6.0%
Brett Graham punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
6.4%
Darius Tice run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 14
OPP 45
0
6.5%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Marquez Valdes-ScantlingSimilar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+4
6.5%
Quinton Flowers run for 4 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
6.5%
Jonathan Hernandez punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
6.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+15
6.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 15 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
7.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+6
7.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
7.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+12
6.9%
Brett Graham punt for 36 yds , Tajee Fullwood returns for 12 yds to the SFla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:1492% → 93%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+23
7.6%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 23 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
7.5%
Quinton Flowers run for 17 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
7.5%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 1 yd to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
7.5%
Quinton Flowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+15
7.5%
FLOWERS, Q pass incomplete to SALOMON, Darnel, PENALTY UCONN pass interference (BELL, Tre) 15 yards to the UCONN13, 1ST DOWN USF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
7.5%
D'Ernest Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 16Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+15
7.5%
Quinton Flowers run for 15 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.4%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) CONNECTICUT Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
7.7%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
7.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 5 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-2
7.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-4
7.7%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Mike Love for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
7.6%
Brett Graham punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tajee Fullwood at the SFla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6INT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
8.0%
Darius Tice run for 1 yd to the SFla 18Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+9
8.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Tyre McCants for 9 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
8.0%
Quinton Flowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+15
8.0%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Darnell Salomon for 15 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
7.8%
Darius Tice run for no gain to the SFla 42Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
7.9%
Quinton Flowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
8.0%
Quinton Flowers pass intercepted Tre Bell return for no gain to the UConn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
8.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
8.9%
Jason Thompson run for 3 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
8.9%
SHIRREFFS, Bry. pass incomplete to DIXON, Keyion, PENALTY USF offside defense (HECTOR, Bruce) 5 yards to the UCONN47, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
9.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 7
50
+1
9.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the SFla 49Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+15
9.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 15 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
9.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-11
9.3%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Kirk Livingstone for a loss of 11 yards to the SFla 41Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 17
OPP 41
0
8.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 17
OPP 41
0
8.6%
Brett Graham punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Tajee Fullwood at the SFla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 2:4590% → 92%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
9.6%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 2 yds to the SFla 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+21
9.7%
Quinton Flowers run for 21 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
9.3%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marquez Valdes-Scantling for 26 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
9.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Tyre McCants for 19 yds to the UConn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
9.1%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 4 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
9.1%
Quinton Flowers run for no gain to the UConn 12Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
7.6%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 12 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9TD
15 plays · 58 yds · 5:309% → 12%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
8.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
8.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+4
8.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 4 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
8.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Kevin Mensah for no gain to the SFla 48Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
8.3%
Quayvon Skanes pass complete to Bryant Shirreffs for 6 yds to the SFla 42Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+14
8.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 14 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
8.5%
SHIRREFFS, Bry. pass complete to BEALS, Tyraiq for 13 yards to the USF15, out-of-bounds (NICHOLS, Deatri;HOGGINS, Ronnie), PENALTY UCONN illegal formation 5 yards to the USF33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+15
8.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 15 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
8.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 12 yds to the SFla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
8.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the SFla 4Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
8.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the SFla 2Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
8.3%
Jason Thompson run for no gain to the SFla 2Similar
Q2 7:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
12.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10FG
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:5489% → 89%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
11.4%
Darius Tice run for 5 yds to the SFla 15Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+12
11.4%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Darnell Salomon for 12 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
11.0%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Darius Tice for 8 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+1
10.7%
Quinton Flowers run for 1 yd to the SFla 36Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+38
10.7%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Tyre McCants for 38 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
10.1%
Darius Tice run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 31Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 15
OPP 31
+5
10.4%
Darius Tice run for 5 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+5
10.4%
Quinton Flowers run for 5 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+38
11.1%
Emilio Nadelman 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11INT
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
11.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 16 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
12.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 9 yds to the SFla 39Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
12.3%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the SFla 39Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
12.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
12.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyler Davis for 5 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
12.8%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the SFla 31Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+11
12.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 11 yds to the SFla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
12.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted Deatrick Nichols return for no gain to the SFla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0088% → 89%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
11.7%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marquez Valdes-Scantling for 7 yds to the SFla 18Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+2
11.5%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 2 yds to the SFla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 4:1688% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
12.0%
Quinton Flowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
12.1%
Quinton Flowers run for 2 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+8
12.4%
Quinton Flowers run for 8 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
11.8%
Darius Tice run for 3 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+16
11.5%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Temi Alaka for 16 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
11.3%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marquez Valdes-Scantling for 9 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+1
11.2%
Darius Tice run for 1 yd to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
11.3%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Temi Alaka for 15 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
11.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Darnell Salomon for 12 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
11.1%
Darius Tice run for 4 yds to the UConn 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
11.1%
Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
11.4%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Tyre McCants, broken up by Tyler CoyleSimilar
Q3 10:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
9.3%
Emilio Nadelman 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:1511% → 13%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
11.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+7
11.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 7 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
11.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+19
11.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 19 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
12.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
11.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 15 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
12.8%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 11
OPP 34
-2
12.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Jason Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 36Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+5
11.5%
SHIRREFFS, Bry. rush for 5 yards to the USF31 (SANCHEZ, Auggie;HECTOR, Bruce), PENALTY USF offside defense (LOVE, Mike) 5 yards to the USF31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+7
11.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
12.9%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the SFla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:2791% → 98%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
9.0%
Deangelo Antoine run for 2 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+21
9.0%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Tyre McCants for 21 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
8.3%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marquez Valdes-Scantling for 9 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-1
8.2%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Tyre McCants for a loss of 1 yard Tyre McCants fumbled, forced by Marshe Terry,Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+10
8.4%
Quinton Flowers run for 10 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
8.1%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to D'Ernest JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
8.1%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Marquez Valdes-ScantlingSimilar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+19
8.2%
Quinton Flowers run for 19 yds to the UConn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
8.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Temi Alaka for 5 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
1.7%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 11 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
3.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for no gain to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+18
3.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 18 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
3.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
3.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 2 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-6
3.3%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Bruce Hector for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 43 Bryant Shirreffs fumbled, recovered by UConn Matt Peart , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 11
OWN 43
+52
3.2%
Brett Graham punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCONN 10 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (5 Yards) to the SFla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17TD
1 play · 95 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+95
0.9%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marquez Valdes-Scantling for 95 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:102% → 3%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
2.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 20 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
2.4%
Quayvon Skanes run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 40 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SFla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
2.6%
Keyion Dixon run for 2 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+23
2.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 23 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19FG
14 plays · 45 yds · 3:4498% → 99%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
1.7%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Cameron Ruff) to the SFla 16Similar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 15
OWN 16
0
1.7%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to D'Ernest JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+3
1.7%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Tyre McCants for 3 yds to the SFla 19Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 12
OWN 19
-1
1.8%
Quinton Flowers run for 9 yds to the SFla 28 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, IB (Marquez Valdes-Scantling) to the SFla 18Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+20
1.8%
Quinton Flowers run for 20 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
1.6%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Elkanah Dillon for 1 yd to the SFla 39Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
1.6%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Darnell SalomonSimilar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+12
1.7%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Darnell Salomon for 12 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
1.6%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Temi Alaka for 25 yds to the UConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
1.5%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Darnell Salomon, broken up by Vontae DiggsSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
1.5%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Temi Alaka, broken up by Cameron StapletonSimilar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 10
OPP 24
-10
1.6%
Quinton Flowers sacked by Cameron Stapleton for a loss of 10 yards to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 20
OPP 34
+51
1.0%
Emilio Nadelman 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:592% → 5%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
1.6%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
1.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+8
1.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 8 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
1.7%
PINDELL, David pass complete to SKANES, Quayvon for 5 yards to the USF49 (ABRAHAM, Devin), PENALTY USF offside defense (BLACK, Josh) 5 yards to the USF49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+1
1.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the SFla 48Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+22
1.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 22 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
2.0%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the SFla 21Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
2.0%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+7
1.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 7 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
2.0%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the SFla 10Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
4.8%
David Pindell run for 10 yds for a TD, (David Pindell intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21FUMBLE
11 plays · 52 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
2.4%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marquez Valdes-Scantling for 6 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+3
2.3%
Darius Tice run for 3 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+5
2.4%
Darius Tice run for 5 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
2.4%
Darius Tice run for 6 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-10
2.3%
FLOWERS, Q rush for 13 yards to the UCONN19, PENALTY USF holding (RUFF, Cameron) 10 yards to the UCONN42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+13
2.4%
Darius Tice run for 13 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
2.4%
Darius Tice run for 3 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
2.4%
Quinton Flowers run for 12 yds to the UConn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
2.4%
Darius Tice run for 3 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+9
2.4%
Darius Tice run for 9 yds Darius Tice fumbled, forced by Vontae Diggs, recovered by UConnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
2.0%
Rhakim Williams run for 3 yds to the UConn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:58
Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 11 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)
-6.4
TD · Q2 7:10
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q4 6:24
David Pindell run for 10 yds for a TD, (David Pindell intercepted )
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com