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2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadCHSO aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreCHSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:04 · Kyle Reighard punt for 46 yds , Luke Timian returns for 9 yds to the ChaSo 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Pregame prior+24.9Home team on offense+31.2Score differential+28.3Garbage-time factor+8.5Blowout margin+13.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:00: Peyton Ramsey 0 Yd Fumble Return (Griffin Oakes Kick) — IU win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CHSO has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:41: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ryan Watercutter for 5 yds to the Ind 48 — IU win probability +0.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:34: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Taysir Mack for 45 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. SACK · Q3 13:51: Shane Bucenell sacked by Jacob Robinson and Greg Gooch for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 33 — CHSO win probability +1.0 pts (now 3%) (top driver: CHSO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:04: Griffin Oakes 21 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8CHSO made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00CHSO 4th & 6 at CHSO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:56IU 4th & 12 at CHSO 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:56CHSO 4th & 9 at CHSO 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:03IU 4th & 1 at CHSO 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:32CHSO 4th & 14 at CHSO 3, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CHSO 4th & 1 at IU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:17IU 4th & 11 at IU 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:53CHSO 4th & 6 at IU 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:00CHSO 4th & 4 at CHSO 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:28IU 4th & 12 at CHSO 38, up 17
    Close callPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:47CHSO 4th & 10 at CHSO 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:50CHSO 4th & 21 at IU 38, down 24
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:04IU 4th & 3 at CHSO 3, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:04CHSO 4th & 7 at CHSO 10, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:21CHSO 4th & 6 at IU 44, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:58IU 4th & 3 at IU 14, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00CHSO 4th & 19 at CHSO 35, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:07IU 4th & 10 at CHSO 34, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:46CHSO 4th & 1 at CHSO 30, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:39IU 4th & 10 at IU 28, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:17CHSO 4th & 15 at CHSO 20, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:26IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:00IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:34IU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CHSODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.7%
Ronnie Harris run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
96.7%
Shane Bucenell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
96.7%
Shane Bucenell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+16
96.7%
Kyle Reighard punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ChaSo 45 , Luke Timian returns for 16 yds to the ChaSo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 2:3597% → 96%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
96.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 3 yds to the ChaSo 42Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+18
96.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 18 yds to the ChaSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-8
96.5%
Peyton Ramsey sacked by Zane Cruz for a loss of 8 yards to the ChaSo 32Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 18
OPP 32
+23
96.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 23 yds to the ChaSo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 0
OPP 9
-5
96.5%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Mike Barwick Jr.) to the ChaSo 14Similar
Q1 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+6
96.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 8Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 0
OPP 8
-15
96.5%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Simmie Cobbs Jr.) to the ChaSo 23Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 0
OPP 23
+11
96.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 12Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
96.0%
Griffin Oakes 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.1%
Shane Bucenell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.1%
Noah Shuler run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 26Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
96.1%
Shane Bucenell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
96.1%
Kyle Reighard punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luke Timian at the Ind 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4FUMBLE
11 plays · 59 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ryan Watercutter for no gain to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
95.9%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Cobbs, Simmie (HOPKINS, S.), PENALTY CSU offside (RUFF, B.) 5 yards to the IND40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-1
96.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+7
95.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 7 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
96.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 13 yds to the ChaSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
96.0%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 39Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+4
96.0%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 35Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+3
96.0%
Morgan Ellison run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 32Similar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+4
95.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
96.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 6 yds to the ChaSo 22Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+16
96.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 16 yds Simmie Cobbs Jr. fumbled, forced by Shadarius Hopkins, recovered by ChaSo Sekwan Jenkins , return for 1 yd to the ChaSo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
95.3%
Geoffrey Wall run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 14Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 3
OWN 14
0
95.3%
Shane Bucenell pass incomplete, broken up by Jacob RobinsonSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 3
OWN 14
-5
95.3%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ChaSo 9Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 8
OWN 9
-3
95.4%
Shane Bucenell sacked by Mike Barwick Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the ChaSo 6Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 11
OWN 6
-3
95.4%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, false start (-3 Yards) to the ChaSo 3Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 14
OWN 3
+7
95.4%
Kyle Reighard punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ChaSo 32 , Luke Timian returns for 7 yds to the ChaSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:2395% → 96%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
95.1%
Morgan Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+6
95.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 27Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+13
95.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Taysir Mack for 13 yds to the ChaSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
95.1%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 12Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
95.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Taysir Mack for 12 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:265% → 5%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.3%
Terrance Wilson run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 26Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
95.3%
Ronnie Harris run for 20 yds to the ChaSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
95.1%
Terrance Wilson run for 5 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
95.1%
Ronnie Harris run for 4 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+6
95.0%
Ronnie Harris run for 6 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
95.1%
Chanin Hamilton run for 5 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+3
94.9%
Terrance Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+1
94.4%
Terrance Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
-1
94.6%
Noah Shuler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
94.7%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
94.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle, broken up by Jonathan SlatonSimilar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
94.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
94.4%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:446% → 6%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
94.4%
INDIANA Penalty, offside defense (Ja'merez Bowen) to the ChaSo 46Similar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+4
94.3%
Ronnie Harris run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 1
50
+3
94.2%
Shane Bucenell run for 3 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
94.3%
Terrance Wilson run for 8 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
94.2%
Shane Bucenell pass incomplete to Geoffrey Wall, broken up by Chase DutraSimilar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
94.2%
Noah Shuler run for 1 yd to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-5
94.4%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
94.5%
Kyle Reighard punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Luke Timian at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10FUMBLE RETURN TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 2:5194% → 96%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
94.3%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 8 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+11
94.4%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Taysir Mack for 11 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
94.4%
Peyton Ramsey run for 9 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+5
94.6%
Cole Gest run for 5 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
94.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 4 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
94.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 5 yds to the ChaSo 48Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+4
94.6%
Cole Gest run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
94.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+27
94.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Devonte Williams for 27 yds to the ChaSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
94.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Taysir Mack for 15 yds to the ChaSo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 0
OWN 2
0
96.3%
Peyton Ramsey 0 Yd Fumble Return (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
96.1%
Geoffrey Wall run for 9 yds to the ChaSo 24Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 1
OWN 24
0
95.9%
Shane Bucenell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 1
OWN 24
-3
96.0%
Terrance Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ChaSo 21Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 4
OWN 21
+11
96.2%
Kyle Reighard punt for 57 yds , Luke Timian returns for 11 yds to the Ind 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
96.7%
Cole Gest run for 5 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+12
96.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Luke Timian for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
50
+7
96.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 7 yds to the ChaSo 43Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-5
96.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 5 yards to the ChaSo 48Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+12
96.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 12 yds to the ChaSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
96.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 34Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+1
96.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Mike Majette for 1 yd to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
96.7%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ryan Watercutter, broken up by Demetri RoyerSimilar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 7
OPP 33
-5
96.5%
INDIANA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ChaSo 38Similar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 12
OPP 38
+33
96.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Taz Lindsey at the ChaSo 10 CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Offensive holding (5 Yards) to the ChaSo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
96.1%
Ronnie Harris run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
95.9%
Terrance Wilson run for no gain to the ChaSo 16Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
96.0%
Terrance Wilson run for no gain to the ChaSo 16Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
96.0%
Shane Bucenell pass incomplete to Geoffrey WallSimilar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
96.0%
Kyle Reighard punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Luke Timian at the Ind 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 1:0797% → 99%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
96.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ryan Watercutter for 5 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+7
96.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ryan Watercutter for 7 yds to the ChaSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
96.8%
Ramsey, Peyton pass complete to Mack, Taysir for 16 yards to the CSU29 (STANLEY, J.;ROWLAND, B.), PENALTY IND pass interference (Mack, Taysir) 15 yards to the IND40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 25
OWN 40
+7
96.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 7 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+8
96.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 8 yds to the ChaSo 45Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+45
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Taysir Mack for 45 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
97.7%
Shane Bucenell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16INT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
98.1%
Morgan Ellison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+5
98.1%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, offside defense (Johnny Robinson) to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
98.1%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+2
98.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass intercepted Anthony Ellis return for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:013% → 2%
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-6
97.1%
Shane Bucenell sacked by Jacob Robinson and Greg Gooch for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 16
OPP 33
-5
97.3%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 21
OPP 38
0
98.0%
Terrance Wilson run for no gain to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 21
OPP 38
0
98.1%
Shane Bucenell pass incomplete to Kameron Brown, broken up by Chris CovingtonSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 21
OPP 38
0
98.1%
Kyle Reighard punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Luke Timian at the Ind 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18FG
18 plays · 90 yds · 4:5898% → 100%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+14
98.4%
Cole Gest run for 14 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
98.4%
Cole Gest run for 3 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+7
98.4%
Cole Gest run for 7 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
98.4%
Morgan Ellison run for 8 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+7
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Taysir Mack for 7 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Taysir Mack for 8 yds to the ChaSo 46Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+15
98.5%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Mack, Taysir, PENALTY CSU offside declined, PENALTY CSU pass interference (SLATON, J.) 15 yards to the CSU31, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 4 yds to the ChaSo 27Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+4
98.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 23Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+3
98.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
98.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 19Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+7
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 12Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
98.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q3 12:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
98.5%
Peyton Ramsey run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 3Similar
Q3 7:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
99.8%
Griffin Oakes 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
99.8%
Terrance Wilson run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 8Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+2
99.8%
Terrance Wilson run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 10Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
99.8%
Shane Bucenell pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 7
OWN 10
+9
99.8%
Kyle Reighard punt for 46 yds , Luke Timian returns for 9 yds to the ChaSo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.8%
Cole Gest run for 9 yds to the ChaSo 38 Cole Gest fumbled, forced by Brandon Rowland, recovered by ChaSo Anthony EllisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.8%
Noah Shuler run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 46Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+6
99.8%
Noah Shuler run for 6 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
99.8%
Ronnie Harris run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 43 CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the ChaSo 42Similar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+2
99.8%
Terrance Wilson run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 44Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 18
OWN 44
+10
99.8%
Shane Bucenell run for 10 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+2
99.8%
Terrance Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Kyle Reighard punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Luke Timian at the Ind 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
99.9%
Mike Majette run for 1 yd to the Ind 8Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+2
99.9%
Mike Majette run for 2 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+4
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Taz Lindsey at the ChaSo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:150% → 0%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
99.9%
WILSON, T. rush for loss of 4 yards to the CSU40 (Bowen, Ja'merez;McGinnis, M.), PENALTY CSU illegal block 15 yards to the CSU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 29
-1
99.9%
Shane Bucenell sacked by Allen Stallings IV for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 26
OWN 28
-7
99.9%
Terrance Wilson run for a loss of 7 yards to the ChaSo 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 33
OWN 21
+14
99.9%
London Johnson run for 14 yds to the ChaSo 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Kyle Reighard punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Luke Timian at the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 9 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 6 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 48Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for no gain to the ChaSo 48Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+14
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 14 yds to the ChaSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 32Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-10
99.9%
Ramsey, Peyton pass complete to Fryfogle, Ty for 15 yards to the CSU17 (JENKINS, S.;HOPKINS, S.), PENALTY IND holding (Watercutter, R.) 10 yards to the CSU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 18
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
Morgan Ellison run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 36Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 34Similar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Taz Lindsey at the ChaSo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
99.9%
Ronnie Harris run for 9 yds to the ChaSo 16Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 1
OWN 16
0
99.9%
London Johnson pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+5
99.9%
HARRIS, R. rush for 2 yards to the CSU18 (Willis, Dameon;Walker, Zeke), PENALTY IND offside defense 5 yards to the CSU21, 1ST DOWN CSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.9%
London Johnson run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 23Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Ronnie Harris run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Ronnie Harris run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 30Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Kyle Reighard punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Alex Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-7
99.9%
Mike Fiacable run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 24 Mike Fiacable fumbled, recovered by Ind Mike FiacableSimilar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
Alex Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Taz Lindsey at the ChaSo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
100.0%
Adam Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the ChaSo 22Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
Adam Allen run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 24Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-4
100.0%
Ellijah Henry run for a loss of 4 yards to the ChaSo 20Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Kyle Reighard punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
100.0%
Connor Thomas run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:34
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Taysir Mack for 45 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 8:00
Peyton Ramsey 0 Yd Fumble Return (Griffin Oakes Kick)
+1.5
FG · Q3 7:04
Griffin Oakes 21 yd FG GOOD
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com